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This is the MODIS Lake Michigan satellite picture from this Thurs. PM. Note the cumulus clouds over inland areas of Lower Michigan…some fog at the south end of Lake Michigan (N. Indiana). No clouds over the cool water of Lake Michigan where the air would be stable and not creating the thermals for cumulus clouds. There’s also no cumulus in Wisconsin. There’s a lot of moisture in MI from the rain we had Wednesday, but it didn’t rain in Wisconsin, so the ground was dry there.
You can also see some smoke northwest of Green Bay from the wildfires in Canada. The smoke was moving with the upper level winds from north to south. The smoke has traveled over 1,000 miles from Alberta to Lake Michigan.
Here’s sunset at the Muskegon Channel Thursday evening (from NOAA Coastwatch). The days continue to lengthen. The sunrise/sunset in downtown G.R. this Thurs. was 6:31am/8:49pm. The lake made a big difference in temperature today. The high temp. was 69 in G.R. and 67 at Kalamazoo. The high temp. at the Muskegon Channel was 50.9 at 10 am, then the lake breeze kicked the temp. down into the mid 40s. When G.R. was 69, the temp. at the South Haven Lighthouse was 45.
This pic. is from the Chicago water intake, 2.75 miles out into the lake east of downtown Chicago. There was plenty of wind for this sailboat during the afternoon. At 4 pm the weather station at the intake showed a 17 mph NNE wind and a temp. of 46.0. The wind went calm at 7 pm, when the station reached the high for the day of 49.3.
The water levels of the Great Lakes remain well above average. Lake Michigan/Huron (one lake for lake level purposes) is up 3″ in the last month, up 10″ in the last year and is now 13″ above the May average level. Lake Superior is up 2″ in the last month, up 1″ year-to-year and is at 6″ above the May average. Lake Erie is 4″ higher than one month ago, 14″ higher than one year ago and 14″ above the May average. Lake Ontario is up 1″ in the last month, up 13″ in the last year and is at 4″ above the May average. Lake St. Clair is up 2″ in the last month, up 13″ in the last year and is at 16″ above the May average. The flow on all the connection Great Lakes rivers is above average and expected to stay above average into early summer.
Most rivers remain well above average flow. Here’s some selected gage reports in cubic feet per second compared to the average flow in cfs in ( ): Grand River at Grand Rapids 8,830 cfs (4,370 cfs), Muskegon River at Croton 5,550 cfs (2,680 cfs), Kalamazoo River at Comstock 1,710 cfs (1,030 cfs), Saginaw River at Saginaw 8.930 cfs (6,919 cfs), St. Joseph River at Niles 5,730 cfs (4,380 cfs), River Raisin at Monroe MI 2,130 cfs (735 cfs), Detroit River at Detroit 237,000 cfs (179,000 cfs).
Also: High water levels shrinking Great Lakes beaches. Lake Michigan trout, salmon stocking drops. Push for butt-free beaches. Relatively new buoy off Wilmette/Winnetka. Take a trip 2,000 feet below Lake Erie. “Alarmist” U of M study on a Straits of Mackinac oil spill is inaccurate.
Here’s a pic. from the Muskegon Channel (from NOAA Coastwatch). You can see a boat heading out. Looks like a GLERL boat. They are headquartered right there on the channel. BIG difference between the lakeshore and inland. At 3 pm it’s 66 in G.R., 64 in Muskegon, 63 in Big Rapids…but only 44.6 at the S. Haven Lighthouse and 45.9 at the beach in Muskegon. Dry now…can’t totally rule out a sprinkle somewhere, but the vast majority of us will stay dry through tomorrow with a chance of a shower on Friday. BIG backup southbound on US 131 starting at the Ann St. construction site…it goes to one lane and there is a 2-mile back up…avoid it if you can.
Pic. of gull in flight is from the Toledo GLERL cam (from NOAA Coastwatch). All of the Great Lakes continue to have water levels significantly above the April average. Lake Michigan/Huron is up one inch in the last two weeks, up 6″ in the last month and is now 10″ higher than one year ago. The current level is 17″ above the April average, 17″ below the highest April water level of 1986 and 47″ higher than the lowest April water level in 1964. Lake Superior is up 1″ in the last 2 weeks, up 2″ in the last month. Superior is now 10″ higher than the long-term April average. Lake Erie is up 5″ in the last month and is now 14″ higher than one year ago. Erie is 16″ higher than the century April average. Lake Ontario is 4 inches higher than one month ago, 14″ higher than one year ago and 9″ above the April average. Lake St. Clair is 11″ higher than one year ago and 18″ higher than the century average for April.
This pic. from the Alpena GLERL cama shows 3 boats (fishing I presume) and lots of blue sky Friday afternoon. Also: Why Lake Michigan’s salmon population is plummeting. DNR stocking chinook in Wisconsin. New 700-acre park on Lake Erie coming near Toledo. The abandoned lighthouse on Green Island.
This picture shows the remains of an SUV that was thrown half a mile into the top of the water tower seen in the background, before bouncing off, traveling another 1/4 mile though the air, impacting the ground and eventually coming to rest in the parking lot of the E.E. Pickle funeral home on the opposite side of town in the EF5 tornado that hit Smithville MS five years ago today. From Wikipedia:
The 2011 Super Outbreak was the largest, costliest, and one of the deadliest tornado outbreaks ever recorded, affecting the Southern, Midwestern, and Northeastern United States and leaving catastrophic destruction in its wake. The event affected Alabama and Mississippi the most severely, but it also produced destructive tornadoes in Arkansas, Georgia, Tennessee and Virginia, and affected many other areas throughout the Southern and Eastern United States. In total, 363 tornadoes were confirmed by NOAA‘s National Weather Service (NWS) and Government of Canada‘s Environment Canada in 21 states from Texas to New York to southern Canada. Widespread and destructive tornadoes occurred on each day of the outbreak, with April 27 being the most active day with a record of 219 tornadoes touching down that day from midnight to midnightCDT (0500 – 0500 UTC). Four of the tornadoes were destructive enough to be rated EF5, which is the highest ranking possible on the Enhanced Fujita scale; typically these tornadoes are only recorded about once each year or less.
This map shows where a tornado occurred (red dot), where severe wind gusts occurred (blue dot) and where severe hail was reported (green dot). In total, 348 people were killed as a result of the outbreak, which includes 324 tornado-related deaths across six states and an additional 24 fatalities caused by other thunderstorm-related events such as straight-line winds, hail, flash flooding or lightning. In Alabama alone, 238 tornado-related deaths were confirmed by the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) and the state’s Emergency Management Agency.
April 27’s 317 fatalities were the most tornado-related fatalities in the United States in a single day since the “Tri-State” outbreak on March 18, 1925 (when at least 747 people were killed). Nearly 500 preliminary local storm reports were received for tornadoes over four days, including 292 in 16 states on April 27 alone. This event was the costliest tornado outbreak and one of the costliest natural disasters in United States history (even after adjustments for inflation), with total damages of approximately $11 billion (2011 USD).
Another major earthquake has occurred. The magnitude 7.8 quake hit in the country of Equador, about 106 miles WNW of the capital of Quito. So far, 48 fatalities have been reported and hundreds are injured. This is the latest in a series of quakes that have hit around the rim of the Pacific Ocean, including major quakes in Japan and Vanuatu. This latest quake hit at 7:58 pm Eastern time. The depth was 19.2 km or approx. 11 miles below the earth’s surface. Buildings have collapsed and it appears from one picture that a highway bridge has collapsed. Cars have been crushed. Oil production at 110,000 barrel/day refinery halted as precaution. Video of quake. 36 aftershocks, some of them major in the first 4 hours after the major quake. The control tower at the Manta airport has collapsed. Manta is the 5th biggest city in Equador and bigger than Grand Rapids. If you were in this car, you didn’t have a chance. 7.8 ties for strongest equake of 2016 in the world. A state of emergency has been declared in 6 provinces and the National Guard has been called out. 3,500 police and 10,000 National Guard troops are responding.
Video of road collapse in Japanese equake. Streets fill with foam after Japanese quake. 32 fatalities have been confirmed in the Japanese equakes of Thurs. night and Fri. Look at the video of roads destroyed, landslides, huge cracks in the earth.
Big equakes worldwide in the Pacific “Ring of Fire” over the last 72 hours:
Also – Mountain in Equador determined to be farthest point from the center of the Earth and closest point on Earth to the sun.
There’s an awesome flyover of the International Space Station this (Fri.) evening starting at 9:27 pm. Look to the west-northwest not quite halfway above the horizon (35 degrees above the horizon). The ISS will appear and move straight toward you, passing almost directly overhead (86 degrees. The I.S.S. will continue moving to the southeast and it’ll disappear into the Earth’s shadow when it’s about 20 degrees above the southeast horizon. You’ll be able to see the I.S.S. for slightly over 3 minutes. There are several more good viewing opportunities coming up, so look at the schedule here. Here’s a link to a map that shows where the space station is right now (takes a little while to open the page). Here’s another tracking map with the position of the sun. The Space Station circles the globe about every 93 minutes. It’s about the size of a football field and flies about 220 miles above the ground, about the distance between Grand Rapids and Indianapolis. Check out www.spaceweather.com for details on auroras, the number of sunspots, asteroid approaches and more. Sky and Telescope’s Sky at a Glance will show you the current position of the moon and planets. You can also get the latest on West Michigan astronomical events from the Grand Rapids Amateur Astronomical Assn. Thanks to Steve Schrier for finding these very cool high res. pics. of Planet Earth.
Here’s the map on the 7.0 earthquake that just occurred in Southern Japan. This is even bigger than the quake that killed 9 and injured nearly 3,000 a couple days ago. A Tsunami Alert was issued for a tsunami of about 3 feet, but that has been dropped now. The e-quake was over land. The depth was 17.5 km or 10.9 miles below the surface. These numbers are preliminary and may change. The quake was strongly felt. As I write this, it’s too early for the extent of damage or number of injuries. Since 4/3, the Earth has had nine earthquakes at or above magnitude 6.0.
Update – now we’ve had a 6.1 earthquake off the coast of Guatamala.
Also – Severe T-Storm Watch for Southern Florida – Tornado Watch for the Texas Panhandle up into W. Kansas – Heavy snow falling in the Colorado Rockies. We made at least 71 in G.R. today. The high temperature at the beach at S. Haven was 63.0 at 1 pm. Then the lake breeze kicked in and the temperature dipped a bit. It’s 51.6 degrees at 6:30 pm.
This is Thursday afternoon’s MODIS Great Lakes satellite picture (from NOAA Coastwatch), showing (for a change) clear skies over much of the Great Lakes. High pressure is overhead, both at the surface and aloft and the “ridge” will stick around through at least Sunday. On the picture, you can still see some snow on the ground in N. Lower Michigan (north of Houghton Lake and east of Traverse City) and in the U.P., where most lakes are still frozen over. There is still some ice in a couple of bays in Lake Superior north of Isle Royale and along the Canadian shore of northern Lake Huron.
All the Great Lakes continue to have high water levels. The level of Lake Michgian/Huron is up a whopping 7 inches in the last month and up 10″ in the last year. The level is now 16″ above the April average. It’s still 18″ below the highest level reached in the last 100 years, which was in 1986 (and 46″ above the lowest water level ever recorded in April in 1964). The water level of Lake Superior is up 1 inch in the last month and up 2″ in the last year. Superior is 9″ above the long-term April average. Lake Erie has gained 8″ in the last month and 17″ year-to-year. Erie is now 17″ above the century average for April. Lake Ontario is up 6″ in the last month and up a whopping 20″ year-to-year. Ontario is 10″ above the April average level. Lake St. Clair is up 8″ in the last month, up 12″ in the last year and is now 18″ above the April average. All of the rivers that connect the Great Lakes have above average flow and that should continue at least into early summer. The pic. of the pretty red sunset this Thurs. evening from the Muskegon Channel (from NOAA Coastwatch).
Here’s the zoomed-in Lake Michigan MODIS picture from Thurs. PM. Snowcover Thursday AM in Michigan: 27″ Painesdale and Hoist Basin, 18″ Big Bay, 15″ Grand Marais, 14″ Marquette (airport) and Hancock, 10″ Champion and Atlantic Mine, 5″ Rogers City, 4″ Newberry and Gaylord, 3″ Kalkaska and S. Ste. Marie, 2″ Munising and Grayling. With the sunshine and warmer temperatures much of this snow cover will melt in the next 4-5 days. The Ripley cam still shows a lot of snow.
Most area rivers remain higher than average. Here’s a few reports from Thurs. evening, with average flow in cubic feet per second in ( ): Grand River at Grand Rapids 11,900 cfs (6,260 cfs), Muskegon River at Croton 3,940 cfs (3,010 cfs), Kalamazoo River at New Richmond 4,190 cfs (2,819 cfs), St. Joseph River at Niles 5,460 cfs (4,840 cfs), Fox River at Appleton WI 13,510 cfs (5,750 cfs), Maumee River at Waterville OH 11,200 cfs (5,900 cfs).
Great Lakes News: New Lake Macatawa kayak launches. Update on the Coast Guard at Harbor Beach. Sign your team up for Beach Survival Challenge. Since 2005, search and rescue cases involving the Coast Guard have decreased by 63 percent across the Great Lakes, and by 47 percent nationwide. Pictures of Isle Royale. Coast Guard still breaking ice in mid-April after a mild winter. Dam removal continues on the Kalamazoo River. History of salmon in the Great Lakes.
Also: Severe weather possible from Nebraska to Texas. “SNOW ACCUMULATIONS…ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 FEET OF SNOW CANBE EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.” Nine fatalities and over 1,000 injured in Japanese Earthquake. Awesome dust devil in Latvia. Yellow canola fields. Tornadoes in Iraq. Another pic. of Iraq twister. Video of the Iraq tornado. And another pic. Tornado in Italy. Hailstorm in MS. Mostly sunny and pleasant for the Boston Marathon. Shelf cloud over field of yellow flowers in Germany. All U.S. tornado tracks since 1950. Note the lack of tornadoes north of Muskegon along the lakeshore. Flash Flood! Kuwait duststorm. Yellow Warning. Sunrise, Niagara Falls.
Today is the 51st anniversary of the famous Palm Sunday tornado outbreak of April 11, 1965. The picture at the top is the Swan Inn at 6 Mile Road and Alpine Avenue in Comstock Park (by Walter Nelson). A long-track F4 tornado moved from Ottawa Co. into Kent Co. – hitting Comstock Park and Rockford, then moving northeast into Montcalm Co. before completely dissipating. Here’s stories from survivors. Check out photos from the aftermath of the twister. Could it happen again? Major West Michigan tornadoes through the decades.
Two F4 tornadoes struck Branch and Hillsdale Counties 30 minutes apart with 21 lives lost. One tornado had a continuous track of over 90 miles. The twisters moved across Coldwater Lake, Devils Lake, Manitou Beach and Baw Beese Lake destroying hundreds of cottages and homes. A wind instrument near Tecumseh measured a wind of 151 mph in the 2nd tornado. The loss of life would have been much worse, but for the fact that it was still too early for the summer influx of cottage owners and the fact that many residents had left for evening Palm Sunday church services. An F4 tornado north of Lansing left one person dead and there was a tornado fatality near Middleville in Barry Co. Other tornadoes that day hit north of Kalamazoo (17 injured there), near Hastings, Bay City, Unionville and 2 tornadoes struck Alma. After this event, the Weather Bureau began the Watch/Warning system that is still in use today. Read more here, here, and here. That year we had record snowfall (36″) and it was quite cold in March. Hail up to golfball-sized fell. Photos here. Check out the Comstock Park Palm Sunday tornado facebook page. Pictures from Marion, Indiana. Dr. Ted Fujita’s summary of the tornadoes that day.
ADD: Actual pic. of the Branch Co. tornado – what a MONSTER wedge tornado!
Photos here. More pictures. 1995 special from WSBT on the tornado outbreak. Here’s old film from 1965 – Toledo. Here’s more old film – look at what radar looked like in those days. Here’s pics. and the story of the Crystal Lake IL tornado that preceded the twisters in IN, MI and OH. A lot more people live in the path of these tornadoes 51 years later.
These are the path lengths of the tornadoes that day, moving through 6 states. Here’s how you can be prepared when severe weather threatens. Scientists explore changes to tornado warnings. West Michigan counties with the highest tornado count. Emergency preparedness for severe storms. Last year, Alpine Twp. printed The 50th Anniversary of the Palm Sunday Tornado book. This is a history of the tornado that came through Alpine Township on April 11, 1965. We worked with the National Weather Service on this very interesting book. It is available for $20 at the township office on Alpine Ave. and 6 Mile Road. We interviewed those who lived through that tornado and included photos of the destruction of that day. Along with the book, we include a DVD of those interviews and photos.
If you don’t have time to look at all the links…bookmark this page and come back when you have some minutes to spare.
Quick climate note. April. 1-10 was 9.4 deg. cooler than average in G.R. and we had at least a trace of snow on each of the first 10 days of April (4 days with measurable snow). The rain has ended and the fog (pretty thick in places at 8 am mainly north of G.R. and in some lakeshore areas. Places reporting thick fog at 8 am: Fremont, S. Haven, Houghton Lake and Mackinac Is.) will dissipate and we’ll become partly sunny later today. At 8 am it’s 46 in G.R., 41 at Muskegon and 37 in Big Rapids – everyone above freezing, so roads are just damp – the rest of the week looks dry with a gradual warming trend all the way up near 70 by the end of the week. We ended up with about 3/4″ of precipitation in G.R. G.R. is roughly up to 2.26″ for April and we’re now 4.81″ above average for 2016 – rivers remain high which means the water level of the Great Lakes will remain high. Only 27% sunshine so far this month…April avg. is 54%. More snow today and tonight for the U.P. Snow depth this AM: 21″ five miles NW of Ishpeming, 18″ Marquette (airport), 17″ Grand Marais, 16″ Hancock, 8″ Newberry.
ROCKFORD, Mich. (WOOD) — Three months after giving birth to her son, Rockford native Ginger Zee was tearing up the dance floor in hopes of taking home the mirror ball trophy.
Zee didn’t try to hide the impact of motherhood during Monday’s premiere of “Dancing with the Stars.”
“I apologize if I’m going to leak on you because I’m breastfeeding. I’m a new mommy,” Zee told her partner, season 20 champ Val Chmerkovskiy, during one of their first dance practices.
At one point, Zee began unpacking a breast pump during a break in dance practice.
“There’s a first time for everything,” her partner said.
Zee is traveling between work in New York and Los Angeles, where the show is taped. During one of her dance practices, Zee’s 3-month-old son, Adrian came to visit.
Zee said he was the reason she was tearing up as the judges gave her jive some of the highest marks of the night.
“I want to make my son proud,” she explained.
The Good Morning America meteorologist who used to be a part of Storm Team 8 sparkled in a blue and green sequined dress as the judges pulled out every forecast pun they could think of.
“The forecast is looking pretty good,” said Bruno Tonioli.
“The clouds parted and a ray of sunshine came through,” Len Goodman said.
“You have something phenomenal. You are infectious… just pure joy,” added Carrie Ann Inaba.
WEEK ONE SCORES (out of 30):
One couple will go home next Monday night. Find out who by watching season 22 of “Dancing with the Stars,” beginning at 8 p.m. on WOTV 4.
My daughter #3 took this pic. She lives about a block or so from where this picture was taken on the Mission Peninsula north of Traverse City. The snow is pretty much gone from Lower Michigan and the sun is climbing higher in the sky and will start to very slowly warm the Great Lakes. As I write this Thurs. evening, Lake Superior had only a 1.5% ice cover (in 2014 there was a , Lake Michigan 3.4%, Lake Huron 7.9%, Lake Ontario 0.8% and Lake Erie is at 0.0% – ice free. On 3/18/14 – Lake Michigan had a 66.5% ice cover and on 3/18/15 – Lake Michigan had a 28.1% ice cover. The Great Lakes as a whole has only a 2.7% ice cover. Here’s Lake Michigan water temp. compared to previous years on this date. We’re warmer than on this date in 2014 or 2015, but cooler than 2012.
The water levels of the Great Lakes remain high. The level of Lake Michigan/Huron is up 4″ since Dec. 11. It’s also up 2″ in the last month, up 5 inches year-to-year and it’s now 13″ higher than the long-term March average. The level of Lake Superior is down 1″ in the last month, up 1″ year-to-year and the level is now 9″ above the long-term average. Lake Superior is now within 6″ of the highest water level ever measured. That was in 1986. The level of Lake Erie is up 6″ in the last month, up 17″ in the last year (that’s a lot) and it’s now 14″ above the century March average. Lake Ontario is also up 6″ in the last month. Ontario is up a whopping 23″ in the last year and is now 13″ above the century average. Lake St. Clair has had an 11″ rise in the last month…up 10″ in the last year and is now 16″ above the century average. The outflow of all the connecting Great Lakes rivers (St. Mary’s, St. Clair, Detroit, Niagara and the outflow down the St. Lawrence River) will continue to be above average through the spring.
Here’s some precipitation departures from average since January 1: Duluth +2.44″, Marquette +0.78″, Green Bay +1.09″, Milwaukee -1.93″, Chicago -1.45″, S. Bend +0.20″, Grand Rapids +2.03″, Alpena +2.60″, Flint +1.35″, Toledo -0.54″, Cleveland +0.81″, Bujffalo -0.42″, Rochester +0.53″, Syracuse +2.13″, Watertown +0.85″. This winter the Great Lakes has had above average precipitation and below average snowfall. Because it’s been warmer than average, we’ve had less lake-effect snow and more of the precipitation from passing weather systems has fallen as rain instead of snow.
This is a picture of the high water from the Grand River near the fairgrounds in Ionia. There are river advisories in W. Michigan for parts of these rivers: Grand, Thornapple, Muskegon, Chippewa, Looking Glass and Maple – also Sycamore Creek. These rivers are below flood stage, but in places are above bankfull. Snow is pretty much gone from Lower Michigan, but there is still some snow in the U.P. Here’s Thurs. morning snowcover: 27″ near Hancock, 23″ Atlantic Mine (inc. 18″ of new snow Tues. into Weds.), 20″ Herman, 18″ near Houghton, 15″ Ishpeming and Big Bay, 14″ Grand Marais, 9″ Marquette (airport), 7″ Ironwood and Munising…just a trace left at Sault Ste. Marie.
Also: Lake Huron’s glory days as a salmon fishery are likely gone forever. Implications for the other Great Lakes. Cold and snow in Mexico may mean fewer monarch butterflies in the Great Lakes this summer. Ohio’s first great cormorant has been feeding at the mouth of the Cuyahoga River. Pics. of Bois Blanc Island. The first tornado of 2016 in Canada is rated EF1.
See an enlarged the map of Ireland here.
Over the last 18 years (inc. 2015), this has been the weirdest day for weather in West Michigan! The average high temperature for St. Patrick’s Day in Grand Rapids MI is 45°. After three years in a row with temperatures well above normal on St. Patrick’s Day, 3/17/13 and 3/17/14 were 15° and 14° degrees cooler than average in G.R. Last year (2015), we had a high of 50°. Grand Rapids had five years that were significantly colder than average from 2005-2009.
Here are the high temperatures for St. Patrick’s Day for G.R. starting in 1998: 36°, 60°, 37°, 39°, 39°, 68°, 33°, 35°, 28°, 38°, 37°, 71°, 65°, 78°, 30°, 31° and 50°. There have been no 40s, and only one 50°…it’s been either real warm or real cold on St. Patrick’s Day in W. Michigan.
For nearly 30 years, the shortest St. Patrick’s Day Parade was in Conklin. I know that Fenian’s was sold.
>>Inside woodtv.com: ‘World’s shortest parade’ returns for 28th year
Which brings me to the weather of Ireland. Just like the wind coming off Lake Michigan moderates the climate of West Michigan, making the lakeshore cooler in spring/summer and warmer in winter…the same is true in Ireland. The wind off the ocean keeps the temperature fairly constant. The difference between the average high temperature in Dublin in January (45F) and July (67F) is only 22 degrees. The warmest temperature in Dublin in calendar year 2008 was just 72F (you won’t find a lot of backyard swimming pools in Ireland). The coolest temperature all year was 25F. In the winter of 2013-14 the lowest temperature in Dublin was 28 (reached several times). Dublin only recorded 1/10″ of snowfall in 2008 – that coming on April 6th. There were two other days with trace amounts. The city did have 1/10″ of snow on 3/11/13 and trace amounts on the 12th and 13th. Dublin is actually 700 miles north of Grand Rapids. Despite it’s northerly location (summer daylight grows to 17 hours long in June), winters are milder due to the influence of the relatively warm Gulf Stream current.
Ireland is the 20th biggest island in the world (third biggest in Europe) and is just slightly smaller than South Carolina. Rainfall is frequent and mostly light. Dublin records thunder an average of only four days per year. The average high and low temperature for Dublin on 3/17 is 50/36.
Here’s a St. Patrick’s Day Quiz (I got 24 out of 30). Here’s an Irish Blessing and some cool pics. of Ireland. Armagh’s Cathedral lit up in Green. According to http://www.ancestry.com – I’m a whopping 1% Irish.
From the Confession of (St.) Patrick (of Ireland): “”Patrick the sinner, an unlearned man to be sure. None should ever say that it was my ignorance that accomplished any small thing, it was the gift of God.”
Check out these two pictures taken 26 hours apart (from NOAA Coastwatch). This is the pier (technically a breakwater) at South Haven, Michigan. The picture on the left was taken at 8:03 am Tuesday (2/9). There’s some old ice against the metal base of the catwalk (which by the way is the original catwalk placed in 1925 – one of only four piers in Michigan to still have the original catwalk). The picture on the right was taken the next day, Wednesday (2/10). Dozens of large ice balls have mysteriously appeared on the pier. I would guess that some of them are heavy enough that you would have a hard time lifting them. Note that there are more ice balls on the right side of the pier than on the left side. The camera is facing east. The wind during these 26 hours was generally northwest at around 20 mph. On the left is the outlet of the Black River and out of view, farther to the left is another parallel pier (breakwater – it stops, breaks the water). While you might think the water would be calmer in the channel, that may not be the case here at the end of the pier. During this time, heavier lake-effect snow was falling inland. Often the heaviest lake-effect snow is not at the shore, but farther inland in a single or multiple bands.
Now this picture is from 5:03 pm Weds. afternoon. Wow! The balls have been multiplying! Look close and you’ll see more ice balls in the water to the right. Check out this video of ice balls in Lake Michigan from Jan. 2014. After a relatively mild winter, cold air covers the Great Lakes. Bits of ice freeze on the surface. As water splashes on them, that water freezes and the ice chunk starts to get bigger. The action of the waves causes the ice chunk to spin. The ice chunk also rubs against other ice chunks, especially near the shore and at the pier. This action makes the ice balls round. We’ve seen ice balls that are quite round and weigh over 100 pounds. Eventually the waves push the ice balls up on the pier and on shore.
While the pictures are nice to see, it’s dangerous to go out on the piers in winter. You can see beautiful pictures of the Great Lakes in winter by checking out the GLERL cameras from NOAA Coastwatch.
Here’s where you can see the latest percent of ice cover on Lake Michigan (12% as I write this) and the Great Lakes (8% as I write this). Check out this graph of historical ice cover on the Great Lakes. Note that since 1973, the greatest ice cover on the Great Lakes was in 1979. However, the recent winters of 2013-14 (2nd highest) and the winter of 2014-15 (4th highest) produced very high ice extent on the Great Lakes. This contributed to lower evaporation, and has been a factor in the fast recovery of Great Lakes water levels, which are now all well above the historic averages for February.
Finally, here’s a picture from the GLERL cam which is 2.75 miles east of downtown Chicago at the water intake. You can see on the west side of Lake Michigan, the sky is clear and the sun is shining. The satellite picture shows the clouds forming over Lake Michigan as the cold air (temps. in the teens) moves over the relatively warmer water. The air over the water warms, lifts up and produces the lake-effect snow that accumulated to over a foot deep in parts of Western Lower Michigan.
A magnitude 6.4 earthquake caused considerable damage at the southern end of the island of Taiwan. Officially, 7 fatalites, but that number will climb, with 318 injured. One of the fatalities was a 10-day old infant. At least 8 large buildings have collapsed. Hundreds of people have been trapped. Pic. may be Tainan, a city of 2 million. Here’s an overhead shot of the big apartment building that has collapsed. 123 people have been rescued from one collapsed building, another 37 from another building. Look at this picture! Video of rescues (brave firefighters). More pics. More pics. Baby carried from the debris. Another picture of a huge building collapse. Look at this. Drone footage here. The earthquake was centered 6.2 miles beneath the surface. After a quake like this, there is danger from aftershocks and from fires. Also 5.1 magnitude earthquake in Nepal and large volcano erupting in Japan (video with lightning at link). Also 3.4 mag. e-quake in Oklahoma and 2.7 mag. just west of L.A. Now USGS reports a M4.9
#earthquake 97km NNE of Kiunga, Papua New Guinea.
This is the Saturday AM update from the Storm Prediction Center. The strong storm system (that we have been tracking since early this week) will move across the country from California to the East Coast, bringing heavy snow, heavy rain, freezing rain and severe weather, including the possiblity of tornadoes. This is the Severe Weather Outlook from the Storm Prediction Center for Day 5 (Tues at 7 am to Weds. at 7 am). It’s rare to put a 30% outlook out on Day 5. SPC says: “THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MATURE WITH AN INCREASING SEVERE THREAT TO THE E ON TUE/D5…WITH BOTH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY. THE BEST OVERLAP OF INSTABILITY AND ASCENT WOULD APPEAR TO BE FROM CNTRL AND NRN MS INTO NRN AL…WRN AND MIDDLE TN DURING THE DAY…OR JUST E OF THE MS RIVER. DESPITE THE WEAK INSTABILITY…EXTREME SHEAR PROFILES WILL FAVOR A FEW TORNADOES…POSSIBLY ONE OR TWO STRONG…ALONG WITH DAMAGING (WIND) BOWING STRUCTURES.” Here’s the U.S. Hazard’s Map. Here’s Western U.S. radar and Rocky Mountain States radar.