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This is the updated (at 11:30 am) Severe Weather Outlook Area from the Storm Prediction Center. The Enhanced Risk Area is now southeast of a line from South Bend to Kalamazoo to Lansing to Port Huron. The Slight Risk comes up to Michigan City IN to Grand Rapids to Saginaw. Best time for storms will be mid-afternoon to early tonight.
Big temperature spread across the area! At 2 pm, it’s 64 at Coldwater, 64 at Marshall, 50 in Battle Creek, 45 in Lansing, 39 in G.R., 33 in Cadillac. It’s 71 with a 55 dewpoint at Lambertville in the SE corner of the state. Big t-storm moving thru Lenawee and Monroe Counties.. The warmer the air, the greater the severe threat. Keep an eye on the satellite loop. Here’s simulated radar.
The first batch of showers and storms is exiting to the east. Rainfall thru 9 am:Hesperia 1.54″, Muskegon 1.13″, Fremont 1.11″, Kent City 0.76″, Sparta 0.72″, Holland 0.57″, Grand Rapids (airport) 0.46″. Lots of rumbling thunder, but no severe weather with the early morning storms.
Meso-discussion for SE MI for a wind and hail threat next 2 hours. There were 3 reports of tree damage in Berrien Co this AM.
SPC says: SPC says: “Severe thunderstorms are forecast to affect areas from Lower Michigan southward to Tennessee, mainly this afternoon through tonight. The primary threat appears to be damaging wind, but some hail and a couple of tornadoes will also be possible…Initial storm development is likely close to the surface cyclone in southern Lower MI…will favor semi-discrete supercells with an associated large hail/damaging wind risk into this evening across southern Lower MI. A couple of tornadoes will also be possible as any sustained supercells can interact with the zone of stronger low-level shear.”
These are the Storm Prediction Center probabilities for a tornado, wind damage and hail. These are the probabilities of a report within 25 miles of a single location. Again, the probabilities are generally SE of G.R.
The greatest threat will be isolated damaging wind gusts. There is also the risk of some hail. Hail has to be 1″ in diameter to be called “severe”. Early and late season convection may not necessarily have a lot of lightning. The strongest winds are often at the front edge of the storm. The low pressure center will track across Southern Lower Michigan from WSW to ENE, taking a path from near Benton Harbor to near Lansing. The greatest threat will be southeast of that line. In the warm air southeast of the low, temps. may reach 60…in the cooler air north of the low it’ll stay in the 40s and severe weather is not likely north of the low. Here’s a surface weather map. The maps, highs and lows on the map at the link are drawn by computer and are often close, but not exactly where the actual low pressure center or front actually is. Look at the individual station plots on the map. Here’s where you can learn about the station plots.
Overnight storms produced 1″ hail that covered the ground at Amboy IL.
This is the area getting heavy snow and some freezing rain across NW Iowa, SE Minnesota and Wisconsin.
BTW, the only tornado Kyle and I could find in the state of Michigan in Feb. was a very brief tornado that touched down Feb. 28, 1974 SE of Yipsilanti. It was 50 yards wide, was on the ground for 1/10th mile and had very brief winds of 90 mph.
Links: Here’s Grand Rapids radar and Northern Michigan radar, Milwaukee radar, Northern Indiana radar, Chicago radar, Detroit radar, Regional radar, the Updated GRR NWS Short Term Discussion. Here’s College of DuPage Radar Map (pick any radar in the U.S.), College of DuPage Grand Rapids radar, the West Michigan Lightning Tracker, National Lightning Tracker, the local warning/advisory map, the National warning/watch/advisory map, and a surface weather map. Here’s the 84-Hour snow forecast from the NAM model and the 120-hour snow forecast from the GFS model. You can checkout the latest Grand Rapids NWS discussion, the Northern Indiana NWS discussion (includes the Michigan Counties that border Indiana), the discussion for Northern Lower Michigan, and Eastern Lower Michigan. Here’s the Spyglass Condos Weather Station the S. Haven GLERL station, the Muskegon GLERL station, the Grand Haven Steelheaders webcam and weather station, and the weather station at Holland State Park. Check out the links to webcams. Here’s the infrared satellite loop (night) and the visible satellite loop (daytime), Lake Michigan water temperatures (summer). Here’s recent storm reports from SW Michigan, Northern Michigan, NE Illinois, SE. Wisconsin, Upper Michigan and E. Michigan. Check out the wind and wave height at the South Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the North Mid-Lake Michigan Buoy (Apr. to Nov. only), the buoy at Big Sable Point near Ludington and the weather station on the beach at St. Joseph. Here’s Michigan ski conditions. Cool U.S. satellite loop.
This is the 2 am update from the Storm Prediction Center for Friday PM/Evening. The Enhanced (orange), Slight (yellow) and Marginal (dark green) outlooks have been expanded. The Enhanced Outlook is now everyone south of a line from S. Bend to the Kalamazoo area to Lansing to Lake St. Clair. The Slight Risk is up to Holland to Grand Rapids to Lexington and the Marginal Risk is up to Muskegon to Big Rapids to Standish.
SPC says: “Damaging winds, tornadoes, and large hail are possible…Forecast soundings show moist boundary layers with effective SRH in the 150-200 m2/s2 range over much of the warm sector but locally higher (200-300 m2/s2) over the northern portion of the Enhanced Risk in the Michiana/southern Lower Michigan vicinity…threats from the more intense storms include damaging winds, large hail, and the possibility for tornadoes.”
This is SPC’s Thunderstorm Outlook for today (Thurs.) with a (in dark green) Marginal Risk from N. KS and SE NE to the Mississippi River. Much of Lower Michigan is in the General T-Storm Outlook and that’s mainly for Thursday night.
I looked thru the tornado reports at The Tornado Project (list of tornadoes from 1950-2012) and didn’t see any listed for February. It did list two EF2 tornadoes in Berrien Co. on 3/4 in 1961 and 1976. I’ll try and get in touch with the National Weather Service and/or Mike Geukes (local authority on tornadoes in MI).
Climatologically, severe weather is very rare in February in Michigan. It’s very difficult to get tornadoes when the temperature is below 60 degrees. The odds of getting nothing from this event would be highest and the odds of getting straight-line thunderstorm winds would be higher than getting a tornado where you are.
Here’s the latest GRR NWS discussion.
Also: Southern Hemisphere tropical cyclone season is 60% over & activity as measured by ACE is only 18% of normal.
The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a large section of the Southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley for possible severe weather on Friday. There is an Enhanced Risk Area (orange on the map) that covers much of Northern and Central Indiana and small portions of S. Lower Michigan and NW Ohio. That is surrounded by a Slight Risk Area that comes as far north as Holland to Grand Rapids to Port Huron and also includes much of Ohio, Kentucky, E. Illinois and the rest of Ohio. The darker green is the Marginal Risk Area and the lighter green is the General T-Storm Area. SPC says: “Downward momentum transport via damaging winds are the predominant severe risk. However, some forecast soundings show relatively moist low levels with strong 0-1 km shear in excess of 25-30 knots. A tornado risk may develop with the maturing squall line.
This is the General Thunderstorm Outlook for Thursday/Thursday night. It covers part or all of 11 states, including all of Iowa and most of Wisconsin and Lower Michigan. Most of the day should be dry in Lower Michigan with an increasing chance of rain overnight.
Lots of good information in the threats below, so continuing reading if you have the time.
Here’s a beautiful drone pic. from Jack Martin taken near Holland, Michigan. We’ll see partly to mostly sunny skies today and over the weekend with a big push of unseasonably warm air across the Great Lakes. It’s too early to fill the pool, but I’ll bet some people get the golf clubs out this weekend. In fact, I’ll bet a few people will both ski and play golf in the same weekend!
As of early afternoon Friday, the Great Lakes had 13.3% ice cover. Ice cover on the individual lakes as of Friday was 11.7% on Lake Michigan, only 5% on Lake Superior (deeper lake, less ice cover), 23.9% on Lake Huron (the most of any of the Great Lakes), Lake Erie at 8.9%, Lake Ontario just 2.3%. We’ve had two winters now with relatively low ice extent on the Great Lakes, following two years with very high ice extent.
The water level of Lake Michigan-Huron is unchanged in the last month, down 3 inches in the last year and stands 8″ above the February average. Lake Superior is down 2″ in the last month and down 2″ year-to-year. Superior is 6″ above the February average. Lake Erie is up 4″ in the last month, up 5″ in the last year and is now 17″ above the average water level for February. Lake Ontario is up a whopping 8″ in the last month, but is unchanged in the last year. Ontario is 9″ above the Feb. average. Lake St. Clair is down 2″ in the last week, up 7″ in the last year and is now 18″ above the average level for February.
It’s free fishing weekend in Michigan…you don’t need a license to fish this Sat. and Sun., but you do need to observe all the other rules and limits. A number of mostly free events are going on for free fishing weekend. Here’s the DNR’s latest fishing report.
More: 30 wolves coming to Isle Royale. Do Michigan dams pose a risk? New book on Great Lakes freighters. Historical pics. of the USS Silversides – now in Muskegon – I saw it at the Museum of Science and Industry in Chicago. Michigan’s Sturgeon season lasted about an hour.
Look at the heavy rain that’s expected for S. California. A heavy rain like this will not only cause some flooding, but mudslides/rockslides are possible.
The Sierra Mountains will once again see heavy snowfall. I checked some Western ski area season snowfall totals. Mammoth Mt. is up to 430″ for the winter – that’s 68″ more than they got all last winter. The base at the lodge is 178″. At the top of the mountain at 11,053 ft. elevation, the snow base is 340″ (28.3 feet!). It’s the most snow Mammoth Mt. has seen since 2010-11. Other season snowfall totals: 484″ Kirkwood CA, 482″ Alpine CA, 476″ Squaw Valley CA, 464″ Heavenly CA, 434″ Jackson Hole WY, 340″ Alta UT, 339″ Wolf Creek, 326″ Timberline OR, 311″ Alyeska AK, 300″ Whistler BC Canada.
This pic. of the Oroville Dam was taken 2/11. You can see the water going over the spillway. It washed out the road that you see in the pic. The main spillway (which was damaged is in the foreground. The dam was completed in 1968 and at 770 feet, it’s the tallest dam in the U.S. When full, the reservoir contains 3.5 million acre feet of water. It’s very deep with a relatively small surface area (good for storing water). the 3.5 million acre feet compares volume wise to Lake St. Clair that has 2.77 million acre feet. You can see that if the dam failed, that’s a lot of water heading down the Feather River to Yuba City, Maryville and eventually Sacramento. They have been trying to lower the lake level at the rate of 8 feet per day. They have had 125 construction crews that can drop 1,200 tons of rocks until the spillway area in an hour. Two helicopers are in use. The nearly 200,000 people evacuated have been allowed to return home…that’s about the same number of people that live in G.R. Could you imagine the traffic jams if the entire city of G.R. was told to leave town all at once. The overnight run of the GFS model gives 9.6″ of rain to Oroville CA in the next 6 days!
Sutter County OEM immediate evacuation ordered for Live Oak, Yuba City, Nicolaus & all communities Feather River Yuba City basin. That’s 130,000 people, or 2 1/2 times the population of Battle Creek! DWR plans to use helicopters to drop rocks to fill in the gouge in the Oroville Auxilliary Spillway to stabilize. Here’s the latest tweets from NWS Sacramento. Live video. Live video. Latest from the Sacramento Bee. Traffic jams as thousands flee to higher ground. There was a 3-mile backup on the highway leaving Oroville as residents rushed to higher ground. The Oroville Dam is the tallest dam in the U.S. Watch live: State Emergency Operations Center (when active). Nice aerial view of the dam and spillways.
Here’s dam levels in CA. Shasta Lake – the biggest reservoir in CA is up 1.07 ft. and is just 5.79 ft. from the top of the dam. They are releasing water, but have little additional capacity to store water if we get another substantial rain event and/or melting of the heavy snow that has fallen in the mountains. Oroville is at 101% of capacity and flowing down the spillway. Lots of water is moving downstream toward Marysville and Sacramento. The Don Pedro reservoir is also full and the McClure, Castiac and San Luis reservoirs are up to 90% capacity.
Highway 35 is “gone”. (pic. from CA Highway Patrol).
Also: Beautiful frost on the trees in Rochester NY. Water freezing on glass. Waves hitting the edge of the ice at Grand Haven. Timelapse of sailing at sunset at Key West. Snow adding up in New England. More Lake Michigan waves. Smoke from fires in Australia forms pyrocumulus clouds. Heavy snow in Japan. 84 mph gust in the Carary Is. Video at link. Daily rec. high of 80 at Richmond VA. Winter in the Netherlands. Beautiful rainbow in Brazil. Hottest ever in Australia was 51.6C = 125F on Jan. 3, 1909. Burlington, VT, had a daily record snowfall of 7.6″ on Sunday. Frozen lake in Lithuania. Nice t-storm. Very windy t-storm in Australia.
This satellite pic. was taken today. It shows clear skies over Wisconsin and much of Illnois. Lake-effect clouds cover West Michigan with breaks in the clouds in Southeast Michigan. You can tell from the picture that the wind is west (about 290 degrees). Snow covers the ground over much of Wisconsin and you can see the band of snow that passed across Illinois, Indiana and Ohio yesterday. The snow has gone north and south of Chicago and there is a stripe of bare ground in far Northern Illinois and extreme Southeast Wisconsin. You can see the ice in Green Bay, in the bays of Northwest Lake Superior and the bigger lakes in Minnesota like Upper and Lower Red Lakes. You can also see the darker Illinois and Mississippi River flowing through the snow-covered land.
This was sunset this evening from our GVSU Muskegon Skycam. The high temp. of 20 today in G.R. was 12 deg. cooler than average and tied for 6th coolest day of the winter so far. All of the Great Lakes have well above average water levels. Lake Michigan/Huron is unchanged in the last month, down 4″ year-to-year, but is still at 8″ above the average Feb. level. Lake Superior is down 2″ in the last month (at this time of year it’s below freezing, so precipitation – snow – stays on the ground and doesn’t get into rivers. Superior is also down 4″ in the last year, but is 7″ above the average February level. Lake Erie is up 8″ in the last month (Cleveland has had 191% of average precipitation since 1/1), up 5″ year-to-year and is now 16″ above the average level for February. Lake Ontario is also up 8″ in the last month. Ontario is unchanged in the last year, but is 7″ above the February average. Lake St. Clair is up 4″ in the last month and stands 18″ above the February average level.
Here’s sunset tonight at Grand Haven MI. Check out this beautiful Lake Michigan drone video from Casey Van Santen. More beautiful pics. of Lake Michigan in winter. Winter surfing on Lake Michigan. In 1970, Lake Michigan carried 131 million tons of cargo. Traffic has decreased by 60 percent in less than 50 years. Over the same period, total shipments on the Great Lakes dropped by more than 40 percent. In 2014, the top three cargoes were iron ore (accounting for 50 percent of total traffic), limestone (15 percent), and coal (7 percent). 32 years building a boat. Best walleye fishing ever? Stop Asian carp – win 1 million dollars! Tracking harmful algae. Dinosaurs of the deep. Cannons, guns and cars.
For the 29th year in a row, I was the emcee of the local Math Counts competition at GVSU in downtown G.R. I’ve said that sometimes it seems that the news is crime, chaos, conflict and catastrophe. There are a lot of good things going on that seldom get on the news. Today 100 area middle schoolers.gathered for the +3-hour event. The top 3 schools were Forest Hills Central Middle School, Northern Hills Middle School and Black River Public School. The top individual was Nicholas Ross of Forest Hills Central Middle School. Congratulations to all who participated.
Click on THIS LINK to see how the Snow Wolf clears snow at the Ford Airport in G.R. Look how far the snow carries through the air. This “Snow Wolf” can clear 7,500 TONS of snow in an hour, at 25 mph. Here’s another video. And here’s how a train can clear snow. This train can clear snow 12 feet deep and throw it 100 feet away.
Updated season snowfall totals: Grand Rapids 53.8″ (+3.2″), Kalamazoo 56.0″ (+6.0″), Lansing 26.8″ (-4.2″), Muskegon 38.8″ (-25.2″), Flint 31.6″ (+3.4″), Detroit 29.6″ (+5.5″), Saginaw 28.0″ (+2.9″), Houghton Lake (+20.0), Alpena 44.2 (-5.1″), S. Ste. Marie 85.9″ (+3.5″), Marquette 88.7″ (-29.2″).
Great Lakes ice cover is a rather low 6.2%. Ice cover on the individual Great Lakes: Lake Superior 1.2% (Superior is a deep lake – the average depth of Lake Superior (483 ft.) is 7.8 times greater than the average depth of Lake Erie (62 ft.)), Lake Huron 10.1%, Lake Erie 2.8% and Lake Ontario 0.1%.
Lake Michigan has a 10.2% ice cover, most all of the ice in Green Bay and west of the Mackinac Bridge. Be careful walking on inland lake ice. The thaw has weakened the ice and it will only very slowly harden over the next week.
The water level of Lake Michigan/Huron is up one inch in the last month (above average precipitation, snowmelt and I’ll guess we’re slightly below average in evaporation, though I don’t have any figures to back that up. Lake Michigan/Huron is down two inches year-to-year, but still 8″ above the average January level. Lake Superior is down one inch in the last month, down two inches in the last year, but 6″ above the January average. Lakes Erie, Ontario and St. Clair have all seen significant rises in the last month. Lake Erie is up 8″ in the last month, up 7″ in the last year and…get this…Erie is now 16″ above the average water level…a little less beach at Cedar Point. Lake Ontario is up 6″ in the last month, but down 3″ year-to-year. Ontario is just 2″ above average. Lake St. Clair is up 5″ in the last month, up 4″ year-to-year and is now 17″ above the January average. When the levels get that high you worry about the effects of strong winds that could cause local flooding and beach erosion and also drive ice onshore toward lake homes and cottages. Flow levels remain above average on all the rivers that connect the Great Lakes and the flow on the St. Lawrence River is expected to be close to average.
Also: The Bermuda Triangle of the Great Lakes. Hundreds of rotting fish pulled from nets. Three big projects make Trump’s infrastructure list. How’d you like one million dollars! Dangerous Straits. Dire Straits. Mackinac Straits. Best surfing in the Great Lakes? Update on the Grand Haven catwalk. Catwalk fundraiser: Saturday, Jan. 28 includes a cold water dumpster dive, wine and beer tasting at the Eagles and a Rotary Club of Grand Haven run. Ice balls on the Great Lakes. Crossing the Great Lakes by hovercraft. Michigan campgrounds welcome winter campers. Great Lakes tsunami? Mild weather allows longer navigation season. Video captures largest Great Lakes freighter arriving for winter layup. Time-lapse video shows Coast Guard freeing freighter stuck in ice. Efforts continue to stop the Asian carp. Ghosts of Lake Erie. Ice sailing. Leland Harbor could close? Arctic “sea smoke“. Divers view of shipwrecks.
<–click map to enlarge. Today is Blizzard Anniversary Day (39th anniversary of the Blizzard of ’78 and 50th anniversary of the Blizzard of ’67 – see thread below). The Blizzard of 1978 ranks as the #1 snowstorm ever for Grand Rapids and much of Lower Michigan, Indiana and Ohio. The barometer reading of 28.28″ in Cleveland still ranks as the lowest non-hurricane barometer reading in U.S. history. Sarnia, Ontario reported a barometer of 28.21″ and Grand Rapids also set a record barometer reading 28.68″. Grand Rapids had 15″ of snow in about 15 hours (19.2 total). Muskegon picked up 52″ of snow in 4 days. The Traverse City area had up to 28″. Houghton Lake and Indianapolis had over 15″ of snow and Lansing recorded over 19″. South Bend recorded a four-day total of 36″. Wind gusts of 42 mph blew the snow off roofs (a good thing). Wind gusts in Ohio topped 80 mph. The storm hit on a Wednesday Night, and many schools didn’t reopen until the following Monday. Some were closed for nearly two weeks. The heavy snow started shortly after 10 PM on 1/25. I measured a snow drift 14-feet high. Drifts in Ohio reached 20-feet. The entire Ohio turnpike was closed as was most of I-75 through Lower Michigan and Ohio. All air and rail service came to a halt. I was at the TV station for 3 days without leaving. One news anchor came to work on a snowmobile. For you weather junkies…this storm deepened 40 millibars in 24-hours – we call that “bombogenesis”. Seventy deaths were blamed on the storm, including 51 in Ohio. At least 22 people in Ohio died outside while struggling through the blizzard. Another 13 people were found dead in stuck cars, and 13 died in unheated homes. The National Guard were called out in Michigan and Ohio and the University of Michigan closed for the first time in 140 years. Over 125.000 vehicles were abandoned in the storm. It took 3 to 5 days to move the abandoned cars and open the expressways. After this, we had the coldest February ever in G.R. and the 5th coldest March. Snow piles from the storm lingered into April. Read more about the storm here in Michigan, in Ohio, cool pictures and more here. Here’s the governor of Ohio’s voice with a little film. Here’s some eyewitness accounts from West Michigan and video of a newscast from Cleveland. Mark sent a link to pics. from Breckenridge. Here’s write-up on the storm from the NWS in Detroit. Here’s Local Snowfall Amounts from the GRR NWS. Also, here’s TIME MAGAZINE’S top ten blizzards of all time. Here’s a nice YouTube video of storm pics. More from NWS on the Blizzard of ’78.
The Blizzard of ’78 kind of made my career. Before computers and mobile phones, people stuck at home had little to do but watch TV. I was there, on the air morning, noon and night. With 800 TV stations and lots of alternative activities, it would be hard to get ratings like that and the name recognition that follows. I was supposed to be at a weather convention in Savannah, Georgia that week. My car was stuck in place, so I walked into work. We lived off the stale danish and coffee from the vending machine.
Also: January is averaging 5 deg. warmer than avg. in G.R. Atlanta, GA, tied its record on Wednesday from 1950 for most consecutive January days (10) with a high of 70+ F. No snow fell at NWS Marquette from 1/14-1/24, marking the longest snowless streak in winter (Dec-Feb) since records began in 1961. Fissure in AZ desert. In the 1930s – there were more hot days in the U.S. than in recent decades. Hottest two days in history for G.R. and for MI were July 12-13, 1936. https://twitter.com/ClimateRealists/status/824374300438315018.
<–abandoned cars and buses on Lake Shore Drive in downtown Chicago. For “Throwback Thursday” let’s go back to a blizzard that occurred on the same day as the 1978 blizzard. I was in high school (New Trier East) and living in Wilmette, Illinois during the blizzard of ’67. The storm hit on Jan. 26, 1967, which was a Thursday. Outside of the snow, my best memory is some kid driving in a circle around the high school in the blizzard, with his convertible top down and everyone pelting him with snowballs, filling the convertible to overflowing with snow. A week before the storm, the temperature fell to -8° in Chicago. Then, two days before the big snow, the temperature hit 65°. At 9 PM on 1/24, it was still 60 degrees and we were under a severe t-storm watch! I remember I was at a meeting of the St. Joseph teen club and I wanted to be outside watching the storm come through. Winds hit 48 mph at Midway Airport, funnel clouds were sighted and one person was killed (four injured) when winds blew down a wall at a construction site. I remember measuring 29″ of new snow in Wilmette (a little boost from Lake Michigan with a northeast wind) along with 6-foot drifts. An estimated 50,000 cars and 1100 buses were abandoned in the storm. A total of 273 people were arrested for looting on the south and near-west sides of the city. Officially, Chicago had 23″ of snow in 29 hours. Here’s a nice write-up on the storm from the Chicago NWS. Here’s home movies after the storm, and more video. That storm also hit West Michigan with very heavy snow, severe drifting and of course, lots of school closings. More on the Blizzard of ’67 from the Chicago Tribune. Here’s pictures after the blizzard in the Lansing area and old film of the snow at Michigan State Univ. Here’s a write-up on both the 1967 and 1978 blizzards. More pics., radio feeds and video here. Finally, the connection between the 1967 Blizzard and the “Game of Thrones”. (pics. from NOAA).
7.9 magnitude given to the quake right now on the USGS website. Location was 25 mi. west of Panguna, Papua New Guinea. It was a very deep quake (86 miles), which will minimize damage and casualties. Split in road.
Here’s a look at reservoir levels in CA. Heavy precipitation this winter has pushed many reservoirs above their historical January average levels. Shasta Lake, the biggest reservoir in CA, is up 1.09 ft. in the last 24 hours and has only 32 feet to go to reach the top of the dam. Lake Oroville, the 2nd biggest reservoir is also well above average level. Don Pedro is not showing up, but that’s also above the historical average. San Luis has just reached the historic average and Millerton and McClure are filling nicely. 24-hour rainfall totals as of 10 pm Sat: 2.9″ Palomar Mt., 2.4″ Gasquet, 0.96″ Yosemite, 0.76″ Salinas, 0.39″ Redding, 0.32″ San Francisco, 0.31″ Oakland, 0.29″ Palm Springs, 0.17″ Modesto, 0.15″ San Diego, 0.13″ Sacramento. San Diego has had measurable rain 11 days this month. San Francisco has had 8.21″ of rain this month, more than double the rainfall they got in the entire year of 2013. More heavy rain and mountain snow on the way.
Still cold in AK, -51 at Tanana Sat. AM – Temp. departure from average this month: Nome -1.8 deg., Fairbanks -3.9 deg., Anchorage -8.9 deg.
Severe Weather down South – 75 mph gust at Birmingham. Hattisburg MS tornado was EF3. Large hail fell with these storms. 2″ diameter hail in LA. Tornado from Plain Dealing LA. Pic. of Vivian LA tornado. Boards go right thru a brick wall. Huge waves and near hurricane-force winds in Sardinia. Amazing views of snow-covered Algeria palm trees. Damage in GA. Scottsville TX tornado. LOTS of tornado damage photos here. Local grocer in Cataula GA reported biscuit cans bursting in the store as the tornado passed very nearby. Cars flipped. Petal MS tornado damage. Video of wind damage in Sardinia. Waterspout and huge waves in Sardinia. All-time January record high temps. set Sat. at Brownsville (95) and McAllen (96), Texas. Waterspout off Algeria. Snow in Algeria. First snow since 2005. Shopping center and church destroyed. Millions of dollars in damage at Hattisburg MS. Camels in the snow.
@MammothMountain January is shattering records – officially the snowiest Jan in history! Only 27″ to go until we hit most snow in one month EVER! Nice slo-mo snow at link. Track of Hattisburg tornado. Globally, January currently 7th warmest on NCEP CFSR record out of last 36 years (s a tellite era).
Ronald Reagan has the distinction of having both the coldest and the warmest inauguration days in going back to 1937 (before 1937, the inauguration took place in March, not January). In 1981, the temp. at noon in Washington D.C. was a balmy 55 degrees. Four years later in 1985, the low temp. in Washington D.C. was -2 and at Noon it was only +8F. The parade was cancelled and the swearing in was moved indoors to the Capitol Rotunda. Four years ago, the temp. was 28 when Barack Obama took the oath for the 2nd time. When John Kennedy was inaugurated in 1961, there was 8″ of relatively new snow on the ground and the temp. was just 22 at noon. Despite Ronald Reagan’s chilly inauguration day in 1984, the weather has on the whole been warmer for Republicans (39.3 deg.) than Democrats (32.5).
This year, temperatures are expected to be between 45 and 50 with scattered rain showers. Here’s current conditions in Washington D.C. Here’s current Washington area radar and regional radar. Coverage of the inauguration starts at 10 am on WOODTV (NBC).
A rock fall area has become active again on Oregon route 58 (Willamette Highway) near milepost 54, just west of the Salt Creek Tunnel. Also: Oregon DOT reports a landslide has Oregon Highway 36 closed three miles west of Triangle Lake (MP 24.5). Could be an extended closure.
Washington St. DOT reports: Snoqualmie Pass (I-90) is expected to remain closed into Thursday due to ice and fallen trees, the Washington Department of Transportation announced Wednesday. From Oregon DOT: “I-84 Troutdale-Hood River is closed (see pic. from Oregon DOT) – it’s impossible to navigate safely. Snow sliding over walls, onto road, too. Snowdrifts on I-84 are unpredictable. Trees still coming down, dangerous even for our experienced crews.”
Portland OR reports 0.97″ of rain with temps. between 33 and 36 – close call – could have been a dangerous ice storm. Astoria OR had 0.65″ thru 4 pm today with an average wind of 25.8 mph and a peak gust of 61 mph. Gusts hit 68 mph at Garibaldi and 67 mph on the Megler Bridge (highway 101). Lincoln Beach topped the list with a 72 mph gust. Portland weather coverage here.
Washington St. rainfall: 4.15″ Skokomish, 3.53″ Quillayute, 3.06″ Forks, 2.87″ Shelton.
Also: Spain sees its heaviest snowfall for 35 years as temperatures drop as low as -10C (14F). REALLY heavy snow in Italy. 6 FEET of new snow! Fogbow. The sun climbs to only 5 deg. above the horizon at solar noon in Fairbanks AK today. The sun stays below the horizon all day at Barrow. Volcano with a sonic boom! Check out the eruption of the volcano in Colima, Mexico.