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    <title>O Brasil Que Dá Certo</title>
    
    
    <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/" />
    <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:weblog-1756267</id>
    <updated>2011-06-05T15:51:00-03:00</updated>
    <subtitle>Aqui divulgamos as boas notícias do Brasil Que Dá Certo. 
Colabore e divulgue para fazermos um país melhor, mais justo e equilibrado.</subtitle>
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        <title>Agricultura Que Dá Certo. Vale a Pena Ver</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b015432c61f0f970c</id>
        <published>2011-06-05T15:51:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2011-06-05T15:51:00-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Investimento do Futuro - Fundos de Private Equity</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b014e5f963d08970c</id>
        <published>2011-03-02T20:00:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T15:33:57-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Todo dia alguém me pergunta no que estou investindo porque sabem que tenho tido um bom histórico em prever o que será importante no futuro. O futuro é Private Equity. Ponto Final. Tenho orgulho de anunciar que ajudei a criar...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Brasil Que Dá Certo Mudou de Endereço</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0133f5d326b2970b</id>
        <published>2010-11-13T12:24:51-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-11-13T12:24:51-02:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">O Brasil Que Dá Certo agora é uma categoria do Blog do Kanitz blog.kanitz.com.br. Inscrevam-se novamente, mudem o RSS, ou inscrevam-se no Twitter @stephenkanitz para continuar sendo informados sobre minhas previsões para o futuro. @stephenkanitz&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Perspectivas Para a Bolsa em 2010</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b012876b7e177970c</id>
        <published>2010-08-25T11:59:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T15:37:50-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Em maio vocês leram a minha previsão de que em Março a Bolsa iria subir 8 vezes em 10 anos. De lá para cá já dobrou, o que significa que vai subir agora somente 4 vezes em 10 anos. O...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Medo de Perder o Emprego Cai Para os Níveis Pré-Crise</title>
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        <published>2010-08-20T08:47:14-03:00</published>
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        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
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    <content type="html">Medo de Perder o Emprego Cai Para os Níveis Pré-Cris&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>As Sete Fases de Uma Crise - II</title>
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        <published>2010-07-30T10:00:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T15:47:30-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Em outubro de 2008, escrevi um artigo na Veja com o mesmo título, e estes estágios se confirmaram. Estamos agora na Fase 6, assunto deste artigo. Mas primeiro vamos repetir o essencial do artigo anterior. "Toda crise tem sete fases....&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>A Vida Nunca Foi Tão Boa</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b01348070ce68970c</id>
        <published>2010-05-05T08:43:51-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-05-05T08:43:51-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Leiam A vida nunca foi tão boa, de Michael Shermer, no Estado de São Paulo de hoje. Para colocar tudo no devido contexto.&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Brasil Econômico - Stephen Kanitz recomenda otimismo com cautela</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a8c226a2970b</id>
        <published>2010-02-22T07:00:46-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T08:49:58-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">O crescimento não será tão grande como se imagina, exatamente por conta de gargalos de falta de investimentos do ano passado para este ano, em parte pelo catastrofismo gerador de incerteza ao empresário.

Por definição, isso vai nos prejudicar em 2010 e, infelizmente, teremos que aumentar a taxa de juros. Há algo que me preocupa muito. Uma pesquisa feita com os departamentos de Recursos Humanos das empresas mostrou que 40% dos funcionários temem perder o emprego nos próximos 12 meses.&lt;br/&gt;
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        <title>Como Escrever um Livro - Comentários</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b012876e97ca9970c</id>
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        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Lembro-me de um colega docente da FEA, para escrever um livro se ausentou da família e se recolheu, isolou-se em uma casa alugada em outro estado. - Livro é como música, sem inspiração, sem chances. Os mais populares vieram de...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Comentário de Leitor</title>
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        <published>2010-01-18T07:49:29-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T15:59:05-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Professor Kanitz, Leio seu blog desde o início, o que muitas vezes me animou quando eu estava bem pessimista. Infelizmente não entrei na bolsa quando ela estava a 29.000 pontos mas graças ao sr. não vendi minhas ações quando elas...&lt;br/&gt;
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        <title>Perspectivas para 2010</title>
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        <published>2009-12-31T00:34:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:04:02-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Famílias que possuem reservas numa crise têm dois benefícios. Podem controlar a crise sem nenhum problema maior, usam as reservas para custear a queda de 0,5% estimado no PIB. Não precisam cortar despesas, o que simplesmente agravaria a recessão. Melhor...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Missão Cumprida</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a775b284970b</id>
        <published>2009-12-30T00:35:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:05:48-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Estamos todos de parabéns, o que inclui vocês leitores que espalharam as boas notícias e as previsões não catastrofistas e realistas veiculadas pelo Brasil Que Dá Certo. Tenho certeza que conseguimos reduzir em parte o pânico e a desinformação veiculada...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Ano Que Passou</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a717d390970b</id>
        <published>2009-12-29T11:10:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:07:07-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term=" As Boas Notícias da Semana" />
        
        



    <content type="html">A Anfavea projeta crescimento de 9,3% em 2010, depois de bater recorde de vendas em 2009. Como é possível numa recessão e num ano de CRISE, uma indústria que depende de crédito, confiança do consumidor, investimentos de milhares de empresas...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Medo de Perder o Emprego</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a77506fb970b</id>
        <published>2009-12-29T07:38:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:08:04-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term="Emprego" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Jornal do Comércio - Confiança do consumidor cai 2,4% em dezembro. O aumento no medo de perder o emprego, assunto de meu recente post preocupado com o aumento deste medo apontado pela pesquisa ao lado, agora tem uma explicação. A...&lt;br/&gt;
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&lt;/div&gt;&lt;img src="http://feeds.feedburner.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~4/6jbFvwPj3Yk" height="1" width="1"/&gt;</content><feedburner:origLink>http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/12/medo-de-perder-o-emprego.html</feedburner:origLink></entry>
    <entry>
        <title>Nossas Previsões de Crescimento para 2010</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/2u8NUTQ7aGA/nossas-previs%C3%B5es-de-crescimento-para-2010.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/12/nossas-previs%C3%B5es-de-crescimento-para-2010.html" thr:count="6" thr:updated="2010-11-14T14:13:21-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b012876706e2f970c</id>
        <published>2009-12-21T11:36:10-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:19:52-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term=" Aprenda Economia" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Sou cobrado continuadamente por jornalistas para fazer uma previsão do PIB para 2010. Recuso pelas seguintes razões:  &lt;br/&gt;
&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Lições da Crise Que Não Foi. Parte I</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/eQ-IV0uxUQ0/li%C3%A7%C3%B5es-da-crise-que-n%C3%A3o-foi-parte-i.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/12/li%C3%A7%C3%B5es-da-crise-que-n%C3%A3o-foi-parte-i.html" thr:count="7" thr:updated="2009-12-20T15:24:59-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a742c1d3970b</id>
        <published>2009-12-11T11:44:22-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:27:03-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Este gráfico ilustra bem o que aconteceu. A curva azul mostra o consumo das famílias brasileiras, num ritmo constante de crescimento. Dá para ver uma CRISE no gráfico em azul? Só com uma lupa, a pequena queda em Outubro de...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Crescimento do PIB para 2010 de 6,50% Surpreende Analistas</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/uxTWT6_9j_0/crescimento-do-pib-para-2010-de-650-surprende-analistas.html" />
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a71c0eec970b</id>
        <published>2009-12-06T10:25:42-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:29:55-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term="Previsões" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Agora todo mundo está surpreso que 2010 terá um crescimento muito maior do que o esperado pelos analistas, que previam um L, um U e um W, e um crescimento não superior a 4% em 2010. Lembrem-se, que boa parte...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Convite Para o Lançamento do Meu Novo Livro</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/3jJ_Ej6iEdo/convite-para-o-lan%C3%A7amento-do-meu-novo-livro.html" />
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a6eea61a970b</id>
        <published>2009-11-30T11:03:51-02:00</published>
        <updated>2009-11-30T11:04:05-02:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Gostariamos de convidá-los para o lançamento do meu novo livro "Família Acima de Tudo", no dia 7 de Dezembro na Livraria Saraiva do Shopping Ibirapuera . Será o primeiro livro impresso "on demand" no Brasil que permitirá colocar como capa...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Especialista defende tese de que não há crise no Brasil - Fev 2009</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/6CpGt7YU53c/especialista-defende-tese-de-que-n%C3%A3o-h%C3%A1-crise-no-brasil-fev-2009.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/11/especialista-defende-tese-de-que-n%C3%A3o-h%C3%A1-crise-no-brasil-fev-2009.html" thr:count="5" thr:updated="2009-12-02T09:22:43-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a6df51d7970b</id>
        <published>2009-11-27T00:32:25-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:31:13-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Seria muito interessante se nas edições de fim de ano, as revistas publicassem novamente o que algumas pessoas afirmaram no início da 'Crise'. Permitiria aos leitores separar o joio do trigo. A Globo foi uma das poucas empresas que entrevistou...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>FGV: Brasil está em fase de "boom" econômico - Vi o Mundo - O que você nunca pôde ver na TV</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/kkpJYsK8Sgk/fgv-brasil-est%C3%A1-em-fase-de-boom-econ%C3%B4mico---vi-o-mundo---o-que-voc%C3%AA-nunca-p%C3%B4de-ver-na-tv.html" />
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b012875c981e5970c</id>
        <published>2009-11-23T09:19:11-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:32:41-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">FGV: Brasil está em fase de "boom" econômico - Vi o Mundo - Há uma enorme diferença entre "estamos em recessão" de junho de 2009, e estamos em "boom econômico", em novembro de 2009. Nenhuma economia passa de recessão para...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Brasil Decolando</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/bi1FFCO_jcU/brasil-decolando.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/11/brasil-decolando.html" thr:count="3" thr:updated="2009-11-26T06:58:18-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b012875b7731a970c</id>
        <published>2009-11-19T10:40:16-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:35:02-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">A Revista Economist, tendo ignorado tudo o que o Brasil vem fazendo nos últimos dez anos em termos de administração, modernização de n ossas empresas, de termos criado sistemas administrativos just-in-time e ajustado a inflação - coisa que os contadores...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Salário Mínimo e o Déficit da Previdência</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/11/o-sal%C3%A1rio-m%C3%ADnimo-e-o-d%C3%A9ficit-da-previd%C3%AAncia.html" thr:count="5" thr:updated="2009-11-19T14:43:27-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a6aea3e2970b</id>
        <published>2009-11-18T08:56:55-02:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T16:39:19-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term="Administração" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Lula mostrou coragem e responsabilidade ao vetar em 2005 o aumento de 16% dos aposentados pleiteado pela oposição, especialmente num ano eleitoral. Sessenta e dois % dos aposentados foram negativamente afetados, pense nisto quando surgirem acusações de que Lula usa...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Em Defesa de Mario Gomes Torós, do Banco Central</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a6a9f538970b</id>
        <published>2009-11-17T09:16:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:35:04-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Hoje, as manchetes abordaram a substituição do economista Mario Gomes Torós, meu colega da USP, responsável pela administração das nossas reservas internacionais. Reservado, raramente dando entrevistas, por isto totalmente desconhecido pela maioria das pessoas. Supostamente foi afastado por uma longa...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>"O dia que abalou o Unibanco"</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a66d76da970b</id>
        <published>2009-11-12T00:01:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:36:02-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term=" Aprenda Economia" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Excelente a matéria do ValorInveste de Novembro, por Raquel Balarin, que conta "A história não contada do ataque especulativo ao Unibanco". Ataque que disseminou a ideia entre nós, que a crise americana havia contaminado o Brasil. Não deixem de ler,...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Preços de Casas nos Estados Unidos </title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a646e5bb970c</id>
        <published>2009-11-09T20:40:31-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:36:58-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Stabilization of U.S. Housing Prices -- Seeking Alpha. Você compraria uma casa nos Estados Unidos agora sabendo que: 1. Você prometeu casar com sua noiva mas desde 2005 está adiando porque os preços de casas está elevado. Vide gráfico abaixo....&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Comentário de Um Leitor</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/10/o-brasil-que-d%C3%A1-certo.html" thr:count="5" thr:updated="2012-01-11T00:13:43-02:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a678c460970c</id>
        <published>2009-10-28T00:00:00-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:37:47-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Pertinente este comentário abaixo de um leitor: Qual é a frase mais importante deste texto abaixo ? A falta de profissionalismo é a culpada por esses desastrosos artigos escritos por pessoas que acharam um nicho econômico e acadêmico para suas...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Administração do Governo Lula II: Empresas de Classe Mundial</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a6249053970b</id>
        <published>2009-10-27T14:19:32-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:38:31-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">A ideia de que nações deveriam ser tão eficientes como empresas, que deveríamos criar governos bem administrados e empresas de classe mundial não era bem aceita no passado no Brasil, e nem é até hoje entre alguns partidos políticos deste...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Cuidado Com o Otimismo Exagerado</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5efa3c8970b</id>
        <published>2009-10-18T20:15:25-02:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:39:30-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Ao contrário do que muitos imaginam o BQDC não é um blog de otimistas. É um blog que se baseia em fatos, não tem fins lucrativos, e não acredita em sensacionalismo para aumentar circulação. Desde o início mostramos dados e...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Assistam os Vídeos de Apresentação do Rio 2016</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a60fa431970c</id>
        <published>2009-10-16T00:18:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2012-03-05T15:30:05-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">YouTube - Rio 2016 - Olympic Games - Master Plan. Começou a onda contra o Rio 2016, que será caro, uma fortuna, etc. Esquecem de incluir as receitas indiretas, que será a mudança da autoestima brasileira, do número de jovens...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>33% O Crescimento do Tráfego Aéreo , Um Importante Indicador Antecedente</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/10/33-o-crescimento-do-tr%C3%A1fego-a%C3%A9reo-um-importante-indicador-antecedente.html" thr:count="3" thr:updated="2010-06-23T12:28:55-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5e88d23970b</id>
        <published>2009-10-15T09:22:55-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-10-15T09:22:55-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">De maio para cá nota-se claramente um rápido aumento no transporte aéreo, o que inclui executivos de empresas entabulando negócios, pedidos, etc, para o futuro. São executivos e administradores que não se deixaram levar pelo catastrofismo, ou usaram as estimativas...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Economistas Americanos Declaram Que Recessão Terminou</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/-ZB6bh1_NSw/economistas-administrativos-americanos-declaram-que-recess%C3%A3o-terminou.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/10/economistas-administrativos-americanos-declaram-que-recess%C3%A3o-terminou.html" thr:count="0" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5e02918970b</id>
        <published>2009-10-14T07:26:33-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-10-14T07:26:33-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">US economists declare recession over - 80% dos economistas consultados pela Associação Nacional de Economistas Administrativos, acham que recessão terminou. Economistas administrativos são aqueles que prestam serviços de consultoria a empresas e seus administradores, como análises de mercado, concorrência, preços...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Medo de Desemprego Continua Elevado</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/10/medo-de-desemprego-continua-elevado.html" thr:count="4" thr:updated="2009-10-13T11:56:30-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5cf991e970b</id>
        <published>2009-10-09T00:22:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-10-09T00:22:00-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Como a CNT descontinuou a pesquisa mais importante para podermos avaliar o rumo da economia, colocamos a pesquisa aqui n BDQC, mesmo sabendo que não temos o mesmo rigor de planejamento de amostra que esta pesquisa exige. Fica como indicativo,...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Legado Lula I - Um Colchão de Segurança</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/0EEY_xJkID0/o-l.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/10/o-l.html" thr:count="13" thr:updated="2009-10-15T10:25:24-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a618d581970c</id>
        <published>2009-10-05T23:45:09-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:40:19-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term="O Legado Lula 1-8" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Publiquei em 2004 na Veja, o artigo "Faça um Colchão de Segurança", onde colocava uma preocupação com o baixo nível de reservas internacionais do Brasil na época, e que diante da crise que viria em 2008 foi presciente. "Volatilidade faz...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>O Legado Lula</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5e9653c970c</id>
        <published>2009-09-29T00:57:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:41:40-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Muito se tem escrito de que o governo Lula surfou na onda dos países desenvolvidos, na sorte, ou que simplesmente continuou as medidas econômicas "neoliberais" criadas por FHC, dita até por membros do PT. Veja um bom resumo destas críticas...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Alguém Enxerga Um L, U ou W neste Gráfico?</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/09/alguem-enxerga-um-l-u-ou-w-neste-gr%C3%A1fico.html" thr:count="2" thr:updated="2009-09-04T12:14:28-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a59721a8970c</id>
        <published>2009-09-03T00:59:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-09-03T11:20:02-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Este é um indicador de atividade dos setores de compras americano, e mostra se na média os departamentos de compras das empresas estão aumentando ou diminuindo seus pedidos. Acima de 50% é positivo. Em pedidos novos, o índice é de...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Delfim Netto Descarta Novo Ciclo de Retração</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/BZMHZVHdo3g/delfim-neto-descarta-novo-ciclo-de-retra%C3%A7%C3%A3o.html" />
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5940c6a970c</id>
        <published>2009-09-01T14:07:40-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-09-03T11:24:02-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Delfim descarta a possibilidade de um W. "Roubini está errado". Em entrevista ao Estadão, Delfim diz que tem um grande respeito pelo trabalho de Henrique Meirelles e pede a sua permanência até o fim do governo. Isto é uma raridade...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Redefinindo Recessão Para o Futuro - II</title>
        <link rel="alternate" type="text/html" href="http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/typepad/BRASIL/~3/HEN35hPtyaM/redefinindo-recess%C3%A3o-para-o-futuro-ii.html" />
        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/08/redefinindo-recess%C3%A3o-para-o-futuro-ii.html" thr:count="7" thr:updated="2009-08-27T17:09:43-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5047383970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-25T00:22:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:48:18-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Como vimos no post anterior, a crise de 2008 foi basicamente devido a um único mês de 2008, Dezembro, o que coloca em cheque a definição "técnica" de dois trimestres de queda do PIB, como a melhor para definir a...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Redefinindo Recessão "Técnica" Para o Futuro</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a55b76e7970c</id>
        <published>2009-08-24T00:03:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:50:03-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Economistas e Administradores divergem com relação a definição de recessão. Como sempre, administradores usam o critério do "caso a caso", avaliando todas as variáveis necessárias, em vez de usar um único critério fixo e dogmático, como 2 trimestres de queda...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>7000 Produtos Lançados no Primeiro Semestre de 2009</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a504406a970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-22T00:40:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:50:50-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">As empresas brasileiras lançaram 57% mais produtos no primeiro semestre de 2009, 7782 produtos, contra 4954 no primeiro semestre de 2008 - pesquisa do Prof. Fabio Mestriner, da ESPM. Nenhuma empresa lança produto numa recessão. Lançamentos novos custam caro, requerem...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>A Análise da Semana: 2010 Será "O ANO"</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a4dcd3cb970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-21T00:16:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:51:24-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Da mesma forma que 2009 não foi o desastre que a maioria previa, 2010 será muito melhor do que os 3% que muitos estão prevendo. 1. 2010 será um ano eleitoral. 2. 2010 será o ano em que os 44%...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>A Análise da Semana - A Briga das Letras L, U, V, e W</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a5363dd2970c</id>
        <published>2009-08-14T10:58:30-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:52:50-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Embora previsões e economia sejam exercícios bastante quantitativos, muitos analistas estão usando metáforas verbais como L, U, V e W, que não são nada precisas. Pior, o L é uma metáfora incorreta, porque obviamente mais dia menos dia as coisas...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Não Teremos uma Grande Depressão, diz Krugman</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a4e3d972970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-11T09:01:08-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:53:19-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term="Otimismo" />
        
        



    <content type="html">Quem diria, agora é o economista Paul Krugman em manchete do Estado de São Paulo, dizendo que 'Parece afinal que não teremos uma segunda Grande Depressão". Isto apesar de todos os artigos onde até ele gerou pânico entre consumidores a...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Previsões da Boca para Fora</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0120a4dc6245970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-10T00:18:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:53:46-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Existem alguns analistas profissionais que fazem previsões da boca para fora. Não vendem a descoberto quando são pessimistas, nem compram a termo quando são otimistas. Mesmo assim, muitos jornalistas acham que suas opiniões merecem o sacrifício de milhares de árvores...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Recessão Acabou em Maio</title>
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        <link rel="replies" type="text/html" href="http://brasil.melhores.com.br/2009/08/recess%C3%A3o-acabou-em-maio.html" thr:count="2" thr:updated="2009-08-04T13:41:44-03:00" />
        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0115714c003c970c</id>
        <published>2009-08-04T08:16:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-08-02T09:29:52-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Segundo o Bradesco, até maio, o PIB do segundo trimestre já subira 1,7% ante o do período de janeiro a março. Economistas do Itaú Unibanco por sua vez detectaram, também em maio, alta de 2,3% em relação ao mês anterior.&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>As Boas Notícias da Semana</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b0115725311b7970b</id>
        <published>2009-08-02T11:39:49-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-08-03T10:44:38-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        <category scheme="http://www.sixapart.com/ns/types#category" term=" As Boas Notícias da Semana" />
        
        



    <content type="html">* Venda de automóveis cresce 20% com relação a Setembro de 2008, como prevíamos aqui em Janeiro de 2009. E ainda faltam as compras dos 20% de trabalhadores que provavelmente ainda temem perder o emprego. Pesquisa CNT deverá sair este...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Pib Americano Cai 0,25% no Segundo Trimestre</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b011571596cd9970c</id>
        <published>2009-07-31T14:02:36-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-08-03T10:45:27-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">O Bureau of Economic Analysis acaba de divulgar os dados do segundo trimestre de 2009, com uma queda de somente 0,25% no PIB americano. Entre erros contábeis, e erros metodológicos esta queda deve ser lida com muito cuidado. Pode ser...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Lula diz que economistas devem fazer um ''mea-culpa'' </title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b01157150a69c970c</id>
        <published>2009-07-29T07:37:53-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:46:40-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Presidente Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva disse ontem em Campina Grande, na Paraíba, que "o Brasil está saindo da crise e ano que vem vai ter um crescimento surpreendente". Lula cobrou de economistas que, segundo ele, escreveram artigos criticando o...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Declaração Positiva de Carlos Ghosn</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b011571221561970c</id>
        <published>2009-07-18T14:26:23-03:00</published>
        <updated>2010-08-20T09:55:54-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Contribuição de Thiago Antonio "Os países do Bric (Brasil, Rússia, Índia e China) deixaram de ser emergentes com a crise, e já fazem parte do grupo de países mais ricos do mundo, segundo avaliação do presidente mundial da Renault-Nissan, o...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>As Boas Notícias da Semana</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b011571ded7e5970b</id>
        <published>2009-07-17T00:11:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-07-20T11:03:59-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">* Retração da economia dos EUA será menor que o previsto, diz Fed, só 1% Isto é muito sério minha gente. Primeiro porque previsões incorretas assustam e desorganizam as empresas. Segundo porque queda de 1% no PIB não poderia ter...&lt;br/&gt;
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    <entry>
        <title>Noticiário Será Positivo no Segundo Semestre</title>
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        <id>tag:typepad.com,2003:post-6a0105357d1a47970b011571fca2da970b</id>
        <published>2009-07-16T01:38:00-03:00</published>
        <updated>2009-08-21T10:32:49-03:00</updated>
        
        <author>
            <name>Stephen Kanitz</name>
        </author>
        
        



    <content type="html">Contribuição de Ricardo Vila É evidente que o segundo semestre de 2009 será de crescimento e boas notícias, principalmente o 4º trimestre do ano, pois tudo começará a ser comparado com o mesmo período do ano anterior, no caso, o...&lt;br/&gt;
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