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		<title>Eggflation: Are Candy Eggs Cheaper Than the Real Thing?</title>
		<link>https://tidalfire.com/2025/04/18/eggflation/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Evan Steele]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Apr 2025 03:39:38 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Easter is upon us. The time for decorating eggs and hiding them for … some reason. &#8230; <a title="Eggflation: Are Candy Eggs Cheaper Than the Real Thing?" class="hm-read-more" href="https://tidalfire.com/2025/04/18/eggflation/"><span class="screen-reader-text">Eggflation: Are Candy Eggs Cheaper Than the Real Thing?</span>Read more</a>]]></description>
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<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Easter is upon us. The time for decorating eggs and hiding them for … some reason. There actually seems to be <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egg_hunt">a lot of history</a> behind the tradition, but we&#8217;re not focusing on history today. Our topic is a bit more contemporary.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The United States is still reeling from the spiked inflation rate in 2020, rates have come down but we feel the echoes of price increases that haven&#8217;t been seen in over 40 years.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">On top of this, we&#8217;re seeing a novel strain of bird flu that has killed an <a href="https://www.latimes.com/environment/story/2025-02-26/poultry-culling-hasnt-stopped-h5n1-bird-flu">unfathomable amount of chickens</a>, reducing domestic egg production and making prices soar to record highs.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And as if that wasn&#8217;t straining things enough, there have been massive tariffs introduced — now threatened at as much as a <a href="https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2025/04/16/trump-china-tariff-245-percent-trade-war/83114710007/">staggering 245%</a> — causing aftershocks through the market as businesses struggle to even comprehend how operations could continue under that level of taxation.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">In short, it&#8217;s not a great time to be buying eggs.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">But buy eggs we shall! We&#8217;re Americans, damn it! We&#8217;re not going to let something like fiscal responsibility stop us from doing what we want. It hasn&#8217;t worked before and it won&#8217;t work now!</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">Hmm. The rent still has to get paid, though. And <em>The Last of Us </em>season 2 just came out, so that sub&#8217;s going to stay active for another month or two. We don&#8217;t like to show restraint, but we&#8217;ll do it for shelter and Pedro Pascal. So how are we going to stretch out our egg budget? I guess we&#8217;re going to have to choose which comes first: the chicken egg or the Cadbury egg.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">The average price of eggs is <a href="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111" data-type="link" data-id="https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111">$6.27/dozen</a> in the US, as of March. As a price comparison, a 12 count of Grade A, non-organic, store branded eggs at my local Giant cost $8.29/dozen. For a historical reference, in February 2020 (the benchmark I now use for just about everything) the national average was $1.49/dozen.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So against pre-Covid costs the US has seen over a 4x jump in price, and I&#8217;m personally seeing a staggering 5.5x increase. As a final point of reference, the value of the <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/" data-type="link" data-id="https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/SPY/">S&amp;P 500 based SPY </a>has grown 1.58x in that same time period. Maybe I <strong>should </strong>have been keeping my eggs in one basket.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">And in the other corner, the Cadbury creme egg. An Easter tradition as essential as the Easter Bunny and picking fake grass out of the couch in mid-May. The egg, in keeping with tradition, has been notoriously hard to hunt down. Walking the shelves of candy, I found not a single over-sweet ovoid. I found marshmallow Peeps large enough that I lost feeling in my toes just from walking by them, but no eggs.</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">So we do what everyone else does when their brick and mortar stores no longer have what they need. We go to Amazon (this works so often <em>it&#8217;s almost like they planned it</em>). Sure enough a <a href="https://www.amazon.com/CADBURY-CREME-Chocolate-Candy-Count/dp/B00473X54O">store display box of Cadbury eggs </a>is one of the top results. 4 dozen individually wrapped diabetic comas. All for the low, low price of $27.98.</p>



<p class="has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph">($27.98 for 4 dozen) / 4 = (~$6.99/dozen)</p>



<p class="wp-block-paragraph">I didn&#8217;t confirm the math until I started writing this, and I honestly didn&#8217;t expect it to be this close. The national average is still <em>just</em> under the creme egg, just, but my local eggs have been undercut. We find ourselves at a tipping point. For the first time in human history it may be the economical choice to have a breakfast of creme eggs and toast rather than chicken eggs. Omelettes will be forever changed.</p>



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