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		<title>Analysis of Patriot Incident in Bahrain</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221525/analysis-of-patriot-incident-in-bahrain/</link>
					<comments>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221525/analysis-of-patriot-incident-in-bahrain/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sam Lair]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 22 Mar 2026 16:12:30 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[This is the longer analysis of a news story (&#8220;Patriot Missile Involved in Bahrain Blast Likely U.S. Operated, Analysis Finds,&#8221;) we did with Jonathan Landay, M.B. Pell, and Travis Hartman at Reuters on the Patriot incident in Bahrain on March 9, 2026. By Jeffrey Lewis, Michael Duitsman, and Sam Lair 1.&#160; Summary Assessment We assess &#8230;]]></description>
		
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		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221525</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>GUEST POST: ON &#8216;FIRMS&#8217; Ground: Can drone innovation in Ukraine be seen from space?</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221474/guest-post-on-firms-ground-can-drone-innovation-in-ukraine-be-seen-from-space/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Ford]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Feb 2026 13:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[ukarine]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Today&#8217;s Guest Post is from Josiah Durfee a Middlebury College grad and former Team member in Monterey. He is currently based in the UK where he is getting a Masters of Strategic Studies at the University of St Andrews. In this article Josiah will take us through his deep interests in OSINT data sources, UAVs &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Whither the Iranian S-300?</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221458/whither-the-iranian-s-300/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sam Lair]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 20 Feb 2026 23:58:38 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[In light of the increasing tensions between the U.S. and Iran, the expanding American regional military presence, and the talk of potential U.S. strikes as early as tomorrow, I thought I might check in on some Iranian air defense sites I have been keeping an eye on. One of the common talking points since the &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221458</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>A Chabahar Check-In</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221442/a-chabahar-check-in/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Sam Lair]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 13 Feb 2026 22:19:23 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Earlier this month at an event for Iran’s Space Technology Day, Iranian Space Agency President Hassan Salarieh made a set of announcements. According to the IRGC-associated Tasnim news, alongside the inauguration of a new satellite ground station in Salmas, Salarieh announced construction of the new spaceport near Chabahar had been completed. Previous statements from Salarieh &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221442</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Conscious Decoupling</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221401/conscious-decoupling/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ACW Podcast]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2026 23:14:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[podcast]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[U.S. Undersecretary of State Tom DiNanno accused China of conducting decoupled, low-yield nuclear tests including on June 22, 2020.&#160; Aaron and Jeffrey talk about seismic monitoring of nuclear tests, the role of hydronuclear testing, and what might be going on.&#160; &#160; Support us over at&#160;Patreon.com/acwpodcast!]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221401</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>(Just Like) New START is Over</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221400/just-like-new-start-is-over/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ACW Podcast]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 07 Feb 2026 23:14:29 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[podcast]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[The New START treaty has expired leaving the US and Russia without a bilateral limit on offensive strategic arms for the first time in decades.&#160;There is reportedly a handshake deal not to do anything drastic for six months while&#160;the two sides talk about the outlines of a future deal, but there seems to be little &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221400</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN&#8217;T DODGE A WRENCH: China May be Ill-Equipped to Deal with a Nuclear Accident or Attack</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221345/guest-post-if-you-cant-dodge-a-wrench-china-may-be-ill-equipped-to-deal-with-a-nuclear-accident-or-attack/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Ford]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 26 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plarf]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Today’s guest post is again from Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. This one is about PLARF detonation readiness (or rather the lack thereof). Multiple branches of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) feel they are at risk of suffering a nuclear attack or accident but lack the training to properly &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221345</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Oreshnik Again</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221337/oreshnik-again/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[ACW Podcast]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 21 Jan 2026 22:53:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[podcast]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Russia has deployed the Oreshnik system in Belarus and then, from Russia, conducted another Oreshnik test. &#160;Jefffrey and Aaron discuss how the open source team found the deployment site in Belarus before Russia announced it, what they think Oreshnik is, and how Russia managed to violate two arms control treaties with one missile. &#160; Support &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221337</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>GUEST POST: IF YOU CAN DODGE A WRENCH: How the PLA Plans to Use Hypersonic Weapons</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221291/guest-post-if-you-can-dodge-a-wrench-how-the-pla-plans-to-use-hypersonic-weapons/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Ford]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 13 Jan 2026 13:00:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hypersonic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plarf]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Today&#8217;s guest post about PLARF Ludicrous Speed Devices is by Jenny Moss [LinkedIn]. Snowboarder, China Analyst, Team Alumnus, in that order. One piece of technology that has enraptured the People&#8217;s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF), the military branch responsible for China&#8217;s entire land and air-based conventional and nuclear missile arsenal, is hypersonic weaponry. Hypersonic weapons &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
		<post-id xmlns="com-wordpress:feed-additions:1">1221291</post-id>	</item>
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		<title>Guest Post &#8211; BAYWATCH:  Identifying Signatures of PLA Rocket Force High-Bay Garages</title>
		<link>https://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/1221257/guest-post-baywatch-identifying-signatures-of-pla-rocket-force-high-bay-garages/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[John Ford]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Jan 2026 19:51:18 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geoint]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[plarf]]></category>
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					<description><![CDATA[Happy New Year everybody, this guest post is by Jack Ryan Johnson a Middlebury undergrad and promising Apprentice GEOINT Wizard who spent a long time looking deeply into and on to PLARF garages and then detailed his findings for us. The People’s Liberation Army Rocket Force (PLARF), the PLA’s strategic and tactical missile force, is &#8230;]]></description>
		
		
		
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