Total Trader

iShares are Expanding Single-Country ETF Offerings

Eden — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 23:27:21 +0000

iShares has a long list of single-country exchange traded funds (ETFs). Now the provider is getting ready to expand their popular lineup even further. The proposed funds cover everything from the United States to the Philippines.

More single-country ETFs are on the way for iShares, which already touts an impressive list of single-country ETFs. Cinthia Murphy for Index Universe reports that the latest group of proposed funds covers a some areas that are already backed by ETFs, along with some first-of-their-kind funds.

The ETFs are:

iShares MSCI USA Index Fund: The U.S. fund is a diversified ETF that will essentially be a mid- and large-cap portfolio that tracks an index investing in securities from companies in the top 85% of the domestic space by market capitalization.

iShares MSCI Brazil Small Cap Index Fund: iShares’ take on Brazil’s small-cap market is perhaps an attempt to replicate the success Van Eck has had in that segment with its version of a Brazil small cap fund, Market Vectors Brazil Small-Cap (NYSEArca: BRF).

iShares MSCI Egypt Capped Investable Market Index Fund: The Egypt ETF will track an index of 41 companies, with most sector allocations dedicated to financials, industrials and telecommunications services.

iShares MSCI Ireland Capped Investable Market Index Fund: The Ireland fund’s benchmark held 21 names as of October, and focused primarily on consumer staples, financials and materials.

iShares MSCI Russia Capped Index Fund: This will track an index that is a variation of the MSCI Russia Index, the MSCI Russia 25/50 Index. While the new fund will invest in the top 85% of Russia-listed companies by market capitalization, it will also take into account investment diversification requirements that apply to regulated investment companies (RICs), under U.S. law. This fund would go head-to-head with the Market Vectors Russia (NYSEArca: RSX).

iShares MSCI Philippines Investable Market Index Fund: The Philippines ETF will replicate an index of 28 companies, mostly in utilities, telecommunications and financials.

The debuting ETFs focused on Ireland, Egypt and the Philippines could be the first country-specific funds available to investors for each of those economies .

Know Your Forex Terms – The PIP

Total Trader — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 23:21:25 +0000

If you plan to go into Forex trading and learn Forex basics, one of the first Forex terms you will be introduced to will be the Forex Pip. As you get more involved in Forex currency trading, you will continually encounter it, so you will essentially have to know and understand this important term, and many others like it, in order to learn how to trade Forex successfully.

PIP is the acronym for Percentage In Point, or Price Interest Point, which is used to measure profits and losses in Forex Trading. This is comparable to the term used in the stock market referred as a “point”. Basically, the PIP is the unit of measurement for the smallest value (price) change of a currency.

The PIP serves as an easy alternative for measuring the rise of fall foreign exchange currency values in the form of a percentage number. Forex spreads, or the difference between the bid and ask price (buy and sell quote), is measured in PIP’s, and is the major cost of Foreign currency trading. This amount is also used to pay the broker facilitating the trade. A lower spread means a lower the payment for the broker, and the trader gets to keep more profits.

The PIP is used in currency trading since the values in foreign exchange is not based on a universal currency, and its monetary value changes accordingly to the currencies involved with each individual trade. The dollar (USD), even though considered to be the most widely traded currency, is not and cannot be involved in all currency trades. For example, if there is trading of two common currency pairs such as the EUR/GBP, the profit and loss margins cannot be measured against the USD, simply because it does not make sense. Thus, Forex trade utilizes the PIP to simplify matters.

Most of the major Forex currencies are marked or quoted to the fourth decimal point, except the Japanese Yen. As an example, let’s assume you are quoted a bid for the EUR/USD quoted at 1.0090 and the ask price is 1.0095, the spread is 0.0005 or 5 PIP’s. In percentage terms, a PIP is 0.01% of a lot. Take for example the lot size of $100,000, 1 PIP is then worth $10. This is the value of PIP’s when using the USD is used as the quote currency.

Trading in one Forex pair, such as the EUR/USD is advisable if you’re a beginner. As you get more adept doing this, you’ll get a clearer picture of how the PIP measures your gain or losses.

Source: Bart Icles

Advantages of CFD Trading For Traders

Total Trader — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 23:18:27 +0000

CFD means Contract for Difference.

There are various advantages of CFD Trading for traders.

Main benefits of this Trading are:

1. Trading on Margin: By using margins, CFD Trading gives an opportunity to the individuals involved to hold more value than they actually contribute. Contract for Difference allows the traders to get higher returns on the investment.

2. No purchase of assets is involved: In Contract for Difference Trading, traders are not required to purchase the assets. This trading involves an agreement between the broker and the trader. This agreement is related to the value of the asset and no purchasing is done.

3. Stamp Duty not required: In case of CFD Trading, stamp duty is not required. This is because there is no purchase involved.

4. Traders get Dividend: Another advantage for traders involved in this trading is that time to time they earn relevant dividends as well. This is possible only when you hold CFD position in an organisation at the time of the dividend pay out. When the stock of the product or the company will rise, the traders involved will also get benefits from it. With this principle, CFD gives trader an opportunity to earn dividend.

5. Interest gets credited: Brokerage firm pays interest to the trader on the money tied up in short position CFD.

6. Short shares ability: If traders are able to predict the movement of the shares i.e. that the share’s value will go down and the same thing happens, traders earn money. It is simple In case of CFD as in this situation; the trader has not actually purchased any shares. The trader earns money even when the share’s value goes down as they predicted something and it actually happened.

7. After hour facility: There are several CFD companies that allow its traders to actually purchase Contract for Difference even after the time is over. This plays a very important role for people who are in this trading for second source of income.

Best Forex Indicators

Total Trader — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 00:48:19 +0000

Forex is defined as the foreign exchange market where professionals trade currencies in an attempt to make money. Many traders, most notably George Soros, have made a ton of money in this way. By exploiting the fluctuations in the price of currencies relative to one another, traders can effectively buy low and sell high many times over and make money on the difference.

While Forex trading can be a highly risky proposition, there are certain fundamental things about the market as a whole that help Forex traders try to predict what the price of currencies will do. These are called indicators, and while they don’t predict the future 100% of the time, many times these events play out as expected and are a big help to the trader.

One such indicator is the Simple Moving Average (SMA). This indicator was developed early on, and it’s still one of the most widely used gauges today. A moving average is a set of data, in that for each day, the average price of the currency is calculated over a previous number of days. So for example, to calculate a 10 day moving average, today’s average is calculated by averaging the prices for the previous 10 days. Yesterday’s average is then calculated by taking the average price for the 10 days before yesterday, and so on. Each average is then plotted to where the set of data becomes a line on a graph of prices. In effect, this line “smoothes” the market action, taking out a lot of the daily fluctuations that can confuse the trader. This makes it much easier to notice the overall trend of which direction the currency price is headed.

Another widely used indicator is the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This number is found by calculating the ration of the number of up moves to the number of down moves of the currency price over a given period. Simply put, an up move is when the price rises that day, and a down move is when the price closes lower than where it opened. A RSI of 70 or over tells the Forex trader that the currency may be overbought, and might be due for a price drop. Likewise, a RSI of 30 or below can indicate an oversold currency, which may be due for a jump in price.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is another indicator that is referenced a lot by traders. This one is a bit more complicated than the previous two, although the moving average is one component of the calculation. This indicator makes use of two lines, the first being a 26 day exponential moving average minus a 12 day exponential moving average. The other line, known as the “trigger line”, is usually a 9 day moving average. These two lines will continuously cross each other as the price of the currency fluctuates, and when the MACD line crosses above the trigger line, it’s considered a good time to buy the currency. When the trigger line then crosses above the MACD line, this indicates a good time to sell.

By making use of these and many other indicators, technical Forex traders can give themselves a better chance to make money than the average person. While trading in currency is not without a great deal of risk, it is these indicators that can give the trader a leg up and also make Forex trading an enjoyable experience.

Types of Traders

Total Trader — Mon, 08 Feb 2010 00:38:04 +0000

There are many different types of traders out there, before entering the market for yourself, you may want to consider what type of trading you would be comfortable with. The different types of traders are:

1. Trend Traders

These traders attempt to buy a stock that is going up and hold onto it until it starts going down. The best part about this strategy is that it takes a relatively short amount of time to manage it. Trend traders could be in a stock for days or years, depending on how well the stock is doing, the idea here is, why kill a good thing.

2. Swing and Day Traders

Both swing and day traders attempt to catch the short movements in the stock market. It involves being much more active in your account and having to pay closer attention to patterns and other short term indicators. The great thing about these strategies is that you make a profit or loss fast and it can add up over time.

3. Option Trading

Similar to swing trading option trading attempts to make money from the stock market in a short term time period. The only difference is that with options you have the potential to explode your profits. A relatively small move in the price of the stock could mean a huge move in the option.

4. Option Seller

Option sellers on the other hand attempt to sell options that they believe will become worthless over time. This way they collect the premium up front and when the option hopefully expires in the future they are in no obligation to do anything. Option sellers do not attempt to hit the huge home runs, but try to make a good return over time by compound interest. These are the most popular ways to trade stocks. All traders will have to find out which strategy fits them the best.

Forex Trading Strategies

Total Trader — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 08:50:42 +0000

Forex trading strategies are essential for a trader to know exactly when to sell or buy a currency pair. The time of purchase or sale of foreign currency pairs is the most important point of a trade. The better that the trader is able to determine the time of entry / exit, the more profitable is a potential transaction. This can be achieved with sound Forex trading strategies.

Forex trading strategies in combination with technical analysis is usually used, especially to determine the time of entry / exit. Most often, a decision is made within seconds or hours.

Main Forex trading strategies are:

1. Support and Resistance

Sound Forex trading strategies, similar to this one, remain profitable, even though they started to be used long ago. When Resistance is broken, it can serve as a good sign to buy. This new position can be secure with the aid of a stop-loss placed directly below the level of a break. The level of a break now will become a level of support. New positions can also be opened, when in a descending trend the prices rise up to the Resistance line. New positions can also be opened, when in an uptrend the prices fall down to the Support line.

2. Scanning for the intersection of trend-lines

If you are very confident in a particular trend line (i.e., if you checked it many times), the intersection of this line by prices would be a perfect time to enter into a trade or to get out of it sooner. And, of course, do not forget about the other technical indicators. In the case where the trend-line is used as Support and Resistance: buy, when prices reach an upward trend line; sell, when prices reach a downward trend-line. This can become one of your Forex trading strategies, based on the intersection of the trend-lines.

3. Trading in the break

Three Forex trading strategies for trade at the time of breaks:

- Open a position in advance, in the anticipation of a break;

- If you see an unfolding break, open your position at the time of its occurrence;

- Wait for the inevitable roll-back after the break, because in the market after a break, there is usually a correction.

There is also a 4th option for Forex trading strategies based on break – open position in each of the phases described above. One position – before a possible break, second position – immediately after this break and the third position should be traded in the hope of the expected price correction, which is likely to happen.

4. Trading with positions of various time frames

1). Forex trading strategies, based on long positions, i.e., ranging from several days to several months. It is best to use this tactic in the presence of strong trends. At the same time, analyze short-term scales. Be sure to use in addition to technical analysis also the fundamental analysis, which is perfectly suited for long timescales.

2). Holding a position of a medium length – a few days (the safest of the Forex trading strategies, based on time-frames). It is also desirable to ensure yourself by looking at shorter trends. Analysis of the medium length position is more complex, but such positions are much more stable for profit. Of course you need to choose the right moment to open / close a position. Again, these positions require the use of both – technical and fundamental analysis.

3). Holding a short position – minutes or hours (the least safe of all the Forex trading strategies, based on time-frames). The advantage of short positions is that they have virtually no risk on the impact of fundamental news, as well as the price will not change while you were absent because you’ll be watching the prices the whole time. The disadvantage is that the risk of loss is great, as well as you have to constantly monitor prices during trading until closing. To make the right decisions, it is best to be armed with data on the volume of sellers and buyers. This will allow you to much more precisely determine the subsequent direction of the market. Such ultra-short-term trading can also be used at the time of breaks as well as in the rollback of prices after the break. Basically, such positions are better suited for traders with extensive experience, while for beginners such positions hold too much risk. The second strategy (trading in medium-term trends, with duration of up to several days) is most suitable for the novice trader.

Forex trading strategies based on technical analysis indicators will help you achieve the best results. Forex trading strategies are especially useful for choosing the right time to enter and exit the trades.

Source: Steve Maenshel

How to Profit by Swing Trading

Total Trader — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 08:34:28 +0000

It’s not exactly breaking news. A buy and hold strategy hasn’t worked for the last decade. You probably know as much if you’ve opened your retirement account statement lately. The Dow, S&P 500, and NASDAQ are all flat or down over the last 10 years.

It’s time to face facts, the old-time buy a few large-cap blue chips and hold them forever strategy has gone the way of the Dodo bird.

So, what’s the answer for this particular market?

Personally I swing. Swing trade that is.

I like swing trading for this market because it takes advantage of momentum… or trading in and out of stocks and sectors that are seeing a temporary boost. There’s no ‘buy and hope’ strategy at play here.

Let’s take a look at how swing trading works.

In a nutshell swing trading is… buying the lows and selling the highs. Ok, I know what you’re thinking… how do I consistently buy the lows and sell the highs? It seems like it is easier said than done.

Although there’s a lot of different ways to approach it, my favourite is looking for technically-based short-term trends. And taking a position to profit from the trend.

Here’s something you might not know; swing traders don’t care why a stock is trending. If the technical’s show there’s a trend, it’s not your job to figure out why. You just want to profit from it.

But here’s the catch… the stock market isn’t just flat over the last 10 years. It’s flat over the last few months too. Lots of volatility but no real trends.

You may be happy to see a flat market – especially after last year. But for swing traders like me a flat market is worse.

So how do you overcome a flat US market?

By not limiting yourself to just the stock market.

Here’s why. You won’t always find a trend in the US stock market. So I’ll trade foreign markets, bonds, commodities and even currencies. Until recently, access to these markets was difficult and often required separate trading accounts.

In the past, many individual investors found it hard to trade these markets. This helped give rise to the notion that a buy and hold strategy is the best way to invest.

Now, there’s an easy way to trade ASX stocks, foreign stocks, bonds, commodities, and currencies using momentum. It’s quick, cheap, painless and you can do it all from one trading account.

Want to know what it is?

That’s right, ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds). These are the one investment that can give you exposure to all of these markets. Today’s ETFs are revolutionizing the ability to trade currencies, commodities, and foreign markets. You can now really drill down and focus on specific subsectors of all these markets.

As I said… follow the trend. If you can’t find it in the US stock market, you now have easy access to an entire array of markets with ETFs.

I believe that the big money over the next few months and years will be found in the ’specialty’ ETFs that are popping up. The value of these ETFs can be derived from commodities like gold, currency pairs, corporate bonds, and any specific subsector you can think of. The list goes on and on.

And now you can go long or short with two or even three times leverage. Talk about spicing things up!

And remember as a swing trader you don’t care why the ETF is trending. The patterns and trends you use as a swing trader hold up regardless of the asset being traded. So you can apply the same technical analysis principles that you use with stocks.

Combining technical analysis, momentum trading, and specialty ETFs isn’t a bad way to trade this market right now. And it sure beats the heck out of buying a few blue chips and holding on for dear life!

Day Trading CFDs

Total Trader — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 06:05:56 +0000

Discover how you can generate the highest returns over the shortest timeframe when Day Trading CFDs.

Today we’ll be looking at several ways to identify the best time frame for you when trading CFDs.

Uncover the secrets to finding your best time frame

Using Multiple time frames when doing your charting analysis is going to be essential to your success as a Day Trader. Maximising your entry will stem from using a short, medium and long term chart to focus on the best entry on your time frame.

As an example you may trade a 15 minute chart, so use a daily chart, 4 hourly chart and then the 15 minute to time your entry. Your challenge initially is to find the 3 charting timeframes that consistently locate winning trades.

How big will your CFD wins be?

The next major component is determining how big your wins need to be compared to your losses and this is referred to as your risk:reward ratio. CFD Day Traders normally have similar size wins to losses and traders need to be careful if the average size of a loss is greater than their wins. In order to be profitable you will need to ensure your percentage win rate is well over 60%.

What you need to concentrate on when Day Trading CFDs

A huge challenge for short term traders is overtrading. Many CFD Day Traders feel the need to be active even when opportunities do not line up offering the best risk:reward. By focusing your efforts on a risk reward ratio of 1.5 to 1 or even 2 to 1 you can build a brilliant edge in the markets that will definitely reward your efforts.

Overtrading is the fastest way to the poor house so avoid this detrimental activity at all costs.

Forex Market: Currency Pairs and Forex Quotes

Total Trader — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 06:02:33 +0000

If you are new to the forex market, you might find forex quotes confusing. Do not allow yourself to be overwhelmed with forex quotes. In fact, reading forex quotes can be quite easy.

In reading forex quotes or currency pairs, there are two important things that you must keep in mind. First is that the currency being quoted first is what we refer to as the base currency. Second is that the value of base currency always equals to 1.

The centrepiece or focus of the forex market is the US Dollar. It is also often quoted as the base currency for a lot of pairs. A currency pair that has the US Dollar as the base currency is what we call “major”. Examples of major currency pairs are USD/JPY, USD/CAD, and USD/CHF. In major currency pairs, quoted currencies are expressed as the US Dollar, specifically, one (1) US Dollar for every, or a fraction of the, unit of the second currency quoted in the pair.

As an example, let us take the US Dollar and the Swiss Franc. In the currency pair USD/CHF, the base currency is the US Dollar. In the quote USD/CHF = 1.0806, one unit of the US Dollar is equivalent to 1.0806 units of Swiss Francs.

If a currency goes up, you must take note of the base currency. In the aforementioned pair, the US Dollar is the base currency. If the quote goes up, it simply means the value of the US Dollar has increased compared with the value of the Swiss Franc. If the quote goes down, then one can easily conclude that the value of the US Dollar has depreciated to a certain degree.

There are cases when the US Dollar is not the base currency. We often see the US Dollar as the quoted currency when it is paired with the Australian Dollar (AUD), British Pound (GBP), and Euro (EUR). Let us take the AUD/USD currency pair quoted at 0.8044. This shows that one unit of Australian Dollar is equivalent to 0.8044 or less than one unit of US Dollar. One can conclude that the Australian Dollar is weaker than the US Dollar. If the quote goes up, then it means that the US Dollar has weakened against the Australian Dollar.

Currency pairs do not always involve the US Dollar. These currency pairs are referred to as cross currencies. Examples of which are EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, CHF/JPY, and EUR/SGD. Let us take the currency EUR/SGD pair quoted at 2.0373. This shows that one unit of Euro is equivalent to more than two units of Singapore Dollar or 2.0373 Singapore dollars.

Source: Bart Icles

Forex Option Trading to Diversify Your Forex Trading

Total Trader — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 05:36:35 +0000

Forex option trading is a hedging instrument, used not only by big financial institutions, but also by many individual Forex traders. Forex option trading is a great tool for implementing both, hedging and speculating strategies. Forex options are among the most liquid options in the world. The buyer in this case becomes a holder of a foreign currency option. The seller becomes the writer, or the granter.

The forex option holder receives the right to exchange a predefined amount of currency at a predefined date and price. The option buyer is obligated to pay a premium to the seller of the option. In fact, this is the only liability of the buyer, making Forex option trading a field with very limited liabilities. The forex option seller has two ways to precede with his/her option – to buy the contract back or to hold it until its expiration.

Forex option trading requires buying at a fixed price, in a fixed amount as well as at a fixed expiration date. All of this unties you from the dangerous market fluctuations.

Do Forex options always get exercised? As a matter of fact, most of the time the options are not exercised by their purchaser with the Forex option trading; options are often offset until they expire. If the option gets exercised, a spot position is assigned to the option holder. There also is a threat of an option expiring worthless, if at the expiration time the strike price is lower than the purchase price.

As mentioned above, you only pay a fixed price for the transaction when you buy a Forex option. Forex option trading will safeguard you against losing more than you have invested into the option. In the event of the final strike price on the market being higher than the purchase amount, you will instantly profit. In the event of the final strike price on the market is lower than the purchase price, you will lose. However, you will never lose more money due to this fixed price, in case your transaction becomes worthless.

Forex option trading is applied strictly at the international exchanges, since it is a hedging instrument. While being probably riskier than regular Forex trading due to its uniqueness, Forex option trading is also potentially much more profitable.

There are two types of options in Forex option trading- call options and put options. Call options give the right to buy currency, and put options give the right to sell currency. Both these options generally change in respond to the change in volatility, i.e. if the volatility falls, the prices of both options also fall. There are common and customized Forex options, respectively called “plain vanilla” and exotic.

In order to shield yourself from potential losses, it is better to follow general safety with Forex option trading:

1. Do not place a large chunk of your total capital into Forex option trading.

2. Do not try to trade at all times. It is better to patiently wait for the proven signals.

3. Trade on a Forex option trading demo account prior starting to trade live.

Forex option trading is a good way to learn and understand more about the Forex market. Forex option trading is a risky but also potentially very profitable Forex trading instrument.

Source: Steve Maenshel

Tips For Day Trading Online

Total Trader — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 00:34:09 +0000

Day trading signifies buying and selling stock within the market day. The market day is the time period between the opening and closure of markets. Traders find this activity extremely profitable because of the financial leverage and rapid returns that accompany day trading.

Online day trading requires good dependable equipment. A good computer for trading, with a memory capacity of 1024mb RAM is required. Experts are divided about the number of monitors required for this activity. Some believe that 2 -3 monitors are needed for effective online transactions while others believe a single large size monitor is sufficient. A high speed broadband internet connection is required for speedy inflow of real time quotes and charts. A good UPS or unlimited power supply is also required for effective trading at the computer. Direct access software will help the trader to place orders and get the orders executed faster.Online day trading requires a good broker who gives instant information.

The online platform of the broker should be dependable and all services should be instantly accessible. Access to the account of the trader should be easy and the response should be quick and efficient. The trader should be able to place orders and get results before the market closes. The website of the broker should be easy to use and constant updates should be available to the trader. The broker should execute orders instantly with small margins and low spreads. All transactions should be secure online transactions that are encrypted and password protected.

Stock Market Report 3-2-10

Eden — Tue, 02 Feb 2010 22:47:40 +0000

Index/Security	Close	Chg	%Chg
Dow Jones (US)	10,297	+111.3	+1.1
S&P 500	1,103	+14.1	+1.3
NASDAQ	2,190	+18.9	+0.9

US stocks rose on Tuesday after United Parcel Service (UPS) and DR Horton released encouraging earnings reports.

Gains were broad based on Tuesday, with 28 of 30 Dow stocks rising.

UPS reported a drop in fourth-quarter profit, but forecast a sharp increase in 2010 earnings. Its stock rose over 1%.

The National Association of Realtors’ pending home sales index rose 1%, in line with expectations. The index fell 16.4% in the previous month. DR Horton, one of the top five US home builders, reported its first-quarterly profit in almost three years and its stock jumped 11%. Pulte Homes and Lennar Corp rose over 7%.

Amazon.com slid for a second straight day, falling 2%, and limited the Nasdaq’s advance.

The S&P 500 industrial sector rose over 1%. Cummins and Emerson Electric rose between 7% and 8%. Cummins is a US manufacturer of diesel engines and other power generation equipment. Emerson is an industrial conglomerate that produces technology used by the oil and natural gas industries.

Major automakers, including Ford Motor, General Motors and Nissan all reported improved January sales. Toyota, however, saw a bigger-than-expected decline in January sales, impacted by a major recall.

Credit card companies rose after analysts upgraded companies within the industry. American Express, Discover Financial Services and Capital One Financial rose between 2% and 3%.

So far, 48% of the S&P 500 companies have reported results. Analysts expect earnings to have tripled from the prior year, although the improvement is mostly due to cost cutting and easy comparisons to the fourth quarter of 2008. The financial sector is expected to lead the advance.

In other news, Moody’s Investors Service said the outlook for the US’ AAA credit rating remains stable even with the effects of the credit crisis and recession on government debt and fiscal flexibility.

Commodities

Base Metals	Close	Chg	%Chg	Units
Aluminium	2,087	+34.0	+1.7	USD/t
Lead	2,099	+74.0	+3.7	USD/t
Copper	6,794	+25.8	+0.4	USD/t
Nickel	18,225	+296.0	+1.7	USD/t
Tin	16,394	+300.0	+1.9	USD/t
Zinc	2,147	+12.3	+0.6	USD/t

Precious Metals	Close	Chg	%Chg	Units
Gold	1,115	+7.6	+0.7	USD/Oz
Silver	16.7	+0.0	+0.0	USD/Oz
Palladium	439	+10.5	+2.5	USD/Oz
Platinum	1,580	+32.0	+2.1	USD/Oz

Soft Commodities	Close	Chg	%Chg	Units
Oil (West Texas)	77.2	+2.8	+3.8	USD/Bar
Corn	365	+6.0	+1.7	USD/t
Lumber	261	+2.5	+1.0	USD/t
Sugar	29.4	+0.1	+0.4	USD/lb
Wheat	4.87	+0.13	+2.6	USD/bu
Wool	853	+0.0	+0.0	USD/t

Forex Markets

Total Trader — Mon, 01 Feb 2010 02:23:59 +0000

The five most traded currencies in the world are US Dollars, Japanese Yen, British Pound, Swiss franc and the Euro. Country specific scenarios like unemployment, higher inflation, and political uncertainties in a country usually cause a decline in the value of the currency of that country. The US Dollars participation in more than eighty percent of world transactions makes it undoubtedly the most significant currency in forex markets.

Currency Markets

The fluctuation in the value of a currency is solely based on demand and supply parameters. For example, the more the number of transactions made with a currency, the more it becomes valuable. So a currency having less demand would devalue fast, and that would have an impact on its rate value. Of course all this depends on a country’s economic standing i.e. whether the people have the most employment, and whether there are more needs for commodities and supplies. If a currency is valuable, it definitely attracts other investors to take a chance on buying it. Therefore a powerful currency would have a consistent price rate that doesn’t devalue for a long period of time.

With the advent of globalization, currency exchanges constitute some of the biggest transactions in the world money markets. To understand the value of a home currency you would have to compare it with another currency foreign to it. For example, you could express 1 US $= 0.694 British Pound Sterling at current values.

One way of understanding forex markets better is by comparing it with the stock markets. Just as you would buy stocks of different companies in the stock market and make a profit when the prices rise, in forex markets the only difference is that you buy currencies and book a profit when the currency becomes more valuable. You could become a small investor in the forex market with a capital as little as $1000 or invest big, because there are a wide variety of forex brokers to cater to all your needs.

There are many kinds of trading methods that will help you analyse current market conditions so that you could predict future trends. To be successful, you have to predict the trends before it occurs, so you could buy currencies and sell them when the prices rise. In some cases, it would mean buying a currency that was dropping in value and then profit from the currency when it takes an upward trend. What does all this mean? It simply means you have to always keep abreast of what is happening in forex markets, by analysing the markets thoroughly.

As explained in earlier articles, there are two ways to analyse forex markets in terms of trends and make a prognosis on future opportunities. These methods are known as technical analysis and fundamental analysis.

A person using fundamental analysis would look at the current economic climate, political events and a variety of economic indicators to try and predict currency moves. Generally it is the large institutional players who look to fundamentals for predicting price moves. As a day trader you should be looking at technical analysis more. However technical analysis which uses historical price patterns in economic data to predict future moves takes into reckoning three major assumptions.

They are:

The fact that all market forces are taken into account in price movement. In other words, technical analysis does not take into account economic conditions, because it presumes that the market has already accounted for that.

It presumes that currency price movements form market patterns that follow predictable paths.

It further presumes that there are historical trends in price movements. What this means is that, when circumstances are similar the same pattern would likely be repeated.

Is technical analysis necessary?

Yes for a day trader it is very important provided he learns to supplement it with fundamental analysis. The greatest advantage of technical analysis is, it could be used for a wide range of currencies and markets in different parts of the globe almost simultaneously. Although it may look complicated to a beginner, technical analysis is a very important tool for the day trader.

How does technical analysis go about doing what it does?

Technical analysis goes about its business by interpreting charts that are constantly updated in real time and could be viewed in different ways—as for example, you could see in the charts price movements over certain periods in time, interfaced with analytical features that help you predict future trends. Most often the charts are to be found in the broker’s online trading platform. Truly there is no substitute for charts in forex trading.

Learn To Day Trade Forex

Total Trader — Mon, 01 Feb 2010 00:55:01 +0000

The most important thing that you should make very clear and understand is that Forex is not a get rich quick scheme. Skilled Forex Traders can and in fact do make good profits in Forex Trading. However like any other business whether small or big, success just doesn’t happen overnight, in a few weeks or in a few months. You should use this great formula for success: Profits = Patience+Practice+Persistence.

As they say there is no substitute for hard work and diligence. Practice trading on a demo account and pretend that virtual money is your own real money. Do not open a live trading account until you become profitable on your demo account. Stick to the plan and you can be successful.

In the beginning, just choose two major currency pairs that you will trade. It becomes very difficult to keep tab on the all four. You need to start with a major currency pair because the spread is the best and they are the most liquid. The EUR/USD pair is the most commonly traded pair and usually has the best spread because of its liquidity.

The USD/CHF is the most volatile and moves the most during the trading week. The USD/JPY moves a lot on the news out of Japan. GBP/USD is the most stable of the above three pair.

You should follow and understand the daily forex news and analysis of the professional currency analyst. It is important for you to get a birds eye view of the currency markets and the news that affects the prices of the major pair that you want to trade. You should also know and understand what the key technical support and resistance levels are in the currency pair that you want to trade.

Support is the predicted level when buying pressure overcomes the selling pressure. It is at this point the currency pair moves up on the charts. Buy at the support level. Resistance is the predicted level when selling pressure overcomes the buying pressure. It is where the currency pair moves down on the charts. Sell on the resistance level.

All the best forex news and analysis is available freely online. Most of the forex brokers provide this information on daily basis if you open an account with them. Read the technical news and analysis. Write down on a piece of paper the direction the analyst is saying about the currency pair you are trading. Also note the key support and resistance level for that pair.

Learn how to use technical indicators and always trade with stop losses. It is worth your time to be patient and learn how to use technical indicators on the charts that you will be reading shortly.

Learn to be disciplined when you are trading. Avoid emotions in trading! Stick to a good system and a plan. Depending on your risk appetite and strategy, set your stop losses accordingly when you trade. Try not to trade your gut feeling.

CFD Broker -Direct Market Access

Total Trader — Mon, 01 Feb 2010 00:45:12 +0000

Top 3 Reasons to Use a Direct Market Access Broker When Day Trading CFDs

Day Trading CFDs requires a fast platform, the ability to execute your orders quickly and no requotes, especially if you are going to make any money. Today we are going to take a look at the top 3 reasons why you would want to use a Direct Market Access (DMA) CFD broker in order to day trade the markets.

1. No requotes

Since the introduction of Contracts for Difference around the world the Market Maker model has been dominating and one of the greatest frustrations of all traders is the annoying requotes that you get regularly. A requote is when you want to buy at say $2.40 but the CFD broker comes back and says ‘Sorry, that price isn’t available, would you like to deal at $2.42? Now you might be running a direction from the ASX and you can see there is volume there buy your Market Maker CFD broker won’t let you have it. This is incredibly annoying.

When you deal through a Direct Market Access CFD broker you never get any requotes as you are dealing straight into the liquidity of that local exchange. So when you go to buy at $2.40 and the volume is there then that is the price you get. Plain and simple.

2. Speed of getting orders set in the market

Another vital criteria when placing Day Trades online is the ability to execute quickly. Every second can mean a good deal of money, either won or lost, and can make the difference between a winning or losing trade. In order to ensure speed into the market you want to be using a Direct Market Access broker as they have what is known as ‘Straight Through Processing’ or STP which means you orders go direct into the market, not through a broking desk. These valuable seconds are critical to your success as an online day trader.

3. Transparency

Lastly you want to be able to see exactly what is going on and this is what we refer to as transparency. With a DMA CFD broker you can see exactly what is available in the market on both the buy and sell side and you can trust those figures to be real. That means when you want to buy 2,000 CFDs and there are 2,000 available, then you are able to get them, providing no-one else hits that price at the same time. You have the option of seeing all the individual buy and sell orders and you can see your order moving up and down the ASX queue too.

10 Forex Trading Tips to Help You to Succeed in Currency Trading

Total Trader — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 04:12:47 +0000

So many people fail in trading Forex. But you don’t have too, some people ask me if there any rules to become a successful trader. When I think about my trading I clearly see 20 rules that if followed can make you consistently profitable trader. Some of them you probably know. The only thing is left is to implement them in your trading.

1. Plan your trades and trade your plan.

It is absolutely necessary to have a plan so you know what you will do in such and such market situation. In fact the lack of planning ahead probably the biggest reason of failure of most traders.

2. Fear and hope are the two worst enemies for trader.

You need learn to control your emotions. Not to get rid of them. They are actually engines that keep you going. However engines that go out of control are very dangerous.

3. Always keep the records of the results for your trading.

If you want to repeat your successful trades over and over, if you want to avoid failure you went through, then you need to keep track of your decisions and actions. That’s why you need to record all your trading results.

4. Keep the positive attitude regardless of the results of your trading.

Result of a single trade mean very little. The long term result is what you are looking at. Therefore keeping the positive attitude no matter what the result of a current single trade will help you to move over it to the next more profitable one.

5. Think about Forex only when you are trading.

In order to succeed in FX you need to learn to focus. Whatever you do focus on it. That means if you are not trading focus on whatever you do and forget about the market.

6. Stop-loss is the key to your success in trading. Always cut your losses.

The golden rule of traders states: never-ever trade without stop loss orders. If you do it’s a surest way to lose your trading account entirely.

7. Always devote your time to study the market.

Set up aside certain amount of time to go through the price charts and economic news to better understand the price movement.

8. Always set your profit limit in each trade.

The same as with stop loss orders you need to know your profit target for each trade. I had so many potentially winning trades that turned into a losers just because I didn’t have a clear plan for taking profit.

9. Trust your own opinion before entering the market.

Facts are priceless. Opinions are worthless. Those who follow so called “gurus” in trading will never be able to make a significant profit. Take the full responsibility for your actions don’t hunt for opinions just because you are afraid to act upon your own opinion.

10. Keep your stop losses untouched during the trade.

It comes back to the rule number one. Once you have planned your potential risk and placed the stop loss, don’t touch it until price reaches the profit target or stop loss. By moving the stop loss you are changing a significant parameter of your trading system. That is the way to turn a winning into a losing one.

Everyone knows that currency trading is a good opportunity to make significant amount of money. At the same time it is the best opportunity to lose even bigger amount of money. I hope the above tips will help you to preserve your trading capital and gradually to grow it.

CFD Trading vs Traditional Share Dealing

Total Trader — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 03:36:55 +0000

Many investment groups and hedge funds have found a great deal of success with CFDs for more than ten years in the ASX stock market as an alternative means of investment to traditional share trading.

If, for example, the margin on a Stock you are interested in was 10%, establishing a position of $100,000 would only require a deposit of $10,000. Any running profits that you make can actually be used as margin to esablish new positions but any losses would require extra funds.

While stamp duty on shares has in the opinion of some traders reduced the cost effectiveness of ‘day-trading’ traditional stocks and shares, CFDs are exempt and this seems to have added to their appeal. CFDs are liable to capital gains tax but losses can be offset against future profits for the purposes of tax. In the same way that you would buy shares, when you trade in CFDs the contract purchase is the same.. So if you wanted exposure to 1,000 shares in a company, youd have to sell 1,000 contracts .

With CFDs the charges and commissions involved in a trade are not part of the spread, because of this, the CFD spread quote will be very close to the underlying price of the share or commodity that you are following. CFD’s also mimic almost every aspect of actually owning the underlying share or market, so if you hold a position long enough, you receive the benefit of any dividends being paid on the underlying shares.

CFDs will appeal to different trading styles. It’s important to note that they should not be regarded as substitutes for long term investment or saving, as more citizen try to take control of their financial destiny, theres been a growing realisation that going short is a legitimate means of trading in market.

Trade Futures With CFDs

Total Trader — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 01:28:25 +0000

Contracts for difference or CFD trading is a type of trading where traders can trade on a short term basis and get some profits out of it. CFDs profits or loss normally arise from the disparity in the charge of the future when and at the end of the buying period. Hence, the outcome depends on the performance of a share in the market. This is usually a contract between two people and depending on the position you have taken, you can either gain or lose. When trading CFDs you have two options in that you can trade long or short. Trading long means that you anticipate the prices will rise while trading short is when you expect the prices to fall.

When you decide to trade CFDs, you have to give a certain amount of money as commission for the trade. The commission normally depends on the value of the asset in question since it is a percentage of the value of the asset. CFD trading accounts give the advantage of being able to trade day and night. These trading accounts come with different features which make it very important for any trader to compare Cfds trading accounts to find the most efficient.

One way to compare CFD trading accounts is to look at the commissions involved when buying and selling. The other is to find any other underlying fees you may be required to pay for all your trades if any. You can also compare Contracts for difference trading accounts based on whether it is possible to trade on other investment options apart from futures and whether the account provides all the tools you will need in the trading process. The one thing that should give you more reason to trade Cfd is the fact that you get all advantages associated with leveraging.

13 Quick Tips for Forex Trading Success

Total Trader — Wed, 27 Jan 2010 01:11:47 +0000

#13: Back-test, but be logical. Back-testing a given strategy can prove priceless when done correctly, but remember to take the results with a grain of salt. Be especially wary of trade results shown on websites claiming astronomical gains since most of these results simply are not attainable under live market conditions for many reasons.

#12: Always analyse similar pairs in the forex market before placing any trade. Similar pairs can be defined as any tradable currency pair containing 1 of the 2 currencies you are about to trade. For example, by looking at no less than 4 US Dollar pairs before trading, one can determine if the pair will be moving based mostly on the US Dollar or the opposing currency. This can easily be done with the Japanese Yen and others as well.

#11: Be wary of trade ideas coming from other individuals or groups in the many online trading forums, blogs, or chat rooms. Only evaluate trade recommendations from trusted parties who have a proven track record of success. Remember this is your business, and to have a consistently profitable business, you need to execute reproducible trades based on your own strategies and ideals. Don’t build your house on sandy soil; lay a good foundation of continuing education and the rewards will come many times over.

#10: Longer-term charts (ie. monthly, weekly, daily) have logarithmically more importance upon technical analysis than shorter-term charts (ie. 1 minute, 5 minute, 15 minute). For example, a support or resistance level on a daily chart will hold much more importance than a similar line than a 5 minute chart. Most reputable traders will recommend trading on longer term charts, especially for those who are new to trading or have limited time to trade due to other commitments. Find your comfort zone and stick with it until you become consistent; even a slight edge in this market can set you free financially.

#9: Do not use any trading robots, expert advisors, or other “black box” automated trading software until you learn how to trade on your own first. Educating yourself is the key to success; deep roots will equal a tall tree that can weather any storm.

#8: Trade with a friend, group, partner, or mentor when you begin your journey of learning the forex market. Many of the glamorous ideologies of forex traders showered in riches come from high-risk, difficult to reproduce strategies. The way to often become most profitable in this market is to have consistency, be disciplined, and to repeat this over and over and over again. Forex trading, done properly, is not intended to be flashy.

#7: Be sure to use a forex broker with great service and support, along with low spreads. With the recent regulations we are much more protected against possible broker-related issues, but many traders are still paying much higher spreads than average when placing trades. Do your research on forex brokers to analyse not only the safe, financially sound companies, but also those that allow the lowest fees. Paying the bid/ask spread in the forex market is just one of the costs of doing business, but with the extreme level of competition in today’s marketplace there is no need to accept paying even 1 pip more than you should elsewhere.

#6: Have a backup power supply and internet access available at all times when you are trading. This can be as simple as a battery-powered laptop with a wireless access card. Don’t rely solely on the phone number of your broker as if there is a company-related trading issue; their lines will likely be slammed busy. Bottom line: be sure to have some redundancy incorporated into your trading plan; treat this like a true business and it will reward you like one.

#5: Break your trade order into 2 or 3 smaller orders to give yourself more control, both actual and psychological. As most forex brokers do not charge commissions to trade this market, they earn their fees through the bid/ask spread; you have no extra cost of placing 3 small orders rather than 1 single large one. Doing this allows you to place tighter stops on some orders, while adjusting the profit taking on others. Closing part of an order will give the same effect, but by having a few live at the same time, it is easier psychologically to set them and let them run.

#4: Trading profit comes from 1/3 psychology, 1/3 money management, and 1/3 trading strategy. It’s easy to get caught up in the “next best thing” or the potential of finding a “holy grail” system, but remember that most of your profits come from learning the things that are not quite as exciting. Trading psychology and money management are critical to any success in the forex market; without them you will be grouped with the 95% of those who lose their capital time and time again. Money management is the key to unleashing potential for compounding profits; it is an absolute necessity to learn. Do your research on the most highly coveted trading psychology texts and dig in ASAP.

#3: Be aware of world news releases. Even if you prefer to not trade news events, be certain to know when the major events are planned to take place. As a second line of asset protection to your business, a good live news feed is also recommended when you are trading. Knowing what is going on in the world is one of the most critical keys to forex trading success; without this knowledge, your chances of success are limited.

#2: Always use a well planned stop loss when placing any trade and never, ever, move it further from your entry point for any reason. Although it is a simple rule to put on paper, it’s often difficult to follow…always follow this rule.

#1: Always trade any new strategy in a demo account before going live in a real money account. Many traders simply become gamblers by placing trades live without the proper testing and education necessary to place the odds in their favour. It is also all too common for traders to have excellent results in a demo account or with paper trading, then lose all their capital once they go live in a real money account. Be realistic and treat your demo trades as real funds; that is the only way for a demo account to work over time. If you begin to have a winning pattern in the demo account, be 100% certain to follow all the rules exactly in your live account. Often, a good transition is to begin with a demo account, then go to a live mini or micro account where very little capital is risked before trading your regular sized account. Many times one can make the transition in trading psychology from demo to live when taking the added step of testing the proven system by trading very small lot sizes first.

Although these few trading “nuggets” are only the tip of the iceberg, I hope that they can pique your interest enough to warrant further research and attention. I wish you the best in your trading!

Source: Jason Gospodarek

Weekly Commodity Update

Eden — Mon, 25 Jan 2010 01:19:21 +0000

China once again showed its importance as another attempt to rein in lending led to selling of commodities and a switch to the perceived safety of government bonds and the dollar.

Commodity prices fell to their lowest levels this year as China took fresh measures to cool its galloping growth. Banks were temporarily told to halt lending in an attempt to reduce the frantic levels of activity during the first few weeks of 2010. Given Chinas and other emerging economies importance in driving commodity prices this move had an adverse impact on markets from oil to metals.

The CRB commodity index which one week into January trading showed a gain of 4 percent have since then been struggling and this week moved back to levels last seen in December 2009 and thereby putting a lot of new established long positions under pressure. Technically the uptrend since March 2009 is in danger of being broken so the next few days will be very important in deciding the near term direction of commodities.

Another piece of bad news has been the renewed strength of the dollar, especially against the Euro, which fell to a five month low this week over continued concerns about Greece’s fiscal problems. The speculative positions recently have heavily been favouring a weaker dollar and this turnaround has forced a lot of selling in order to limit losses.

Stock markets could be the next focus point as Presidents Obama’s proposed overhaul of the banking sector saw equity markets falling through previous support levels. Five failed attempts to crack the USD 1,150 resistance level on the S&P 500 index was followed by a drop through previous support at USD 1,130. This has now opening up for a potential move back towards USD 1,085.

Crude oil for March delivery reached a low at USD 75.6, a 10.50% drop from the recent highs. On top of the factors already mentioned the speculative long position in crude had reached a new record high leaving the market exposed to stop loss selling while OPECs compliance in adhering to agreed production cuts continue to slip.

Adding all these up energy prices had to come lower but considering the amount of unfriendly news prices have held up pretty well. Continued range trading around USD 80 seems to be the most likely trading pattern going forward. For now though it is pretty clear that commodity markets are not ready to decouple from the dollar and the moves there has to be watched closely.

Technically near month crude is in a wide USD 73 to USD 88 upward sloping channel and the month long uptrend is still intact. Additional support can be found at USD 75.25 being the 100 day moving average while resistance is located at USD 77.80 followed by USD 80.70.

Platinum raced to a 12 percent gain this week before selling drove it lower from overbought levels. The dramatic rise seen so far has been due to the January 8 successful launch of a Platinum ETF. To keep up with demand this fund bought 195,000 ounces of platinum during a ten day period, more than 10 times daily global production. Platinum is primarily used in jewellery and catalytic converters in autos and China has again been mentioned as a reason for buying it given the forecast for 17.2 million new cars on the road this year. Look for support on the April contract at USD 1,515 to hold for now.

The gold market also got caught by the resurgence of the dollar dropping back towards the December lows at USD 1,075. Support was found at 100 day moving average at USD 1,086 ahead of USD 1,075 and the crucial trend line support at USD 1,060. The bull market for gold is still intact and the fundamental factors that have been driving gold are still there but for now the dollar is in the driving seat so we have to advise caution on gold for the next few weeks. Relative value trades like gold/silver or gold/platinum ratio trades should perform pretty well during this correction

Commodity Futures Snapshot

Eden — Mon, 25 Jan 2010 01:09:43 +0000

The green zone represents between 2 standard deviations above and below the commodity’s 50-day moving average, and moves above or below the green zone are considered overbought or oversold.

As the dollar has risen in recent days, most commodities have pulled back quite a bit. As shown, oil has pulled back sharply from the top of its trading range to the middle of its trading range. Gold and silver have moved down to the bottom of their trading ranges, while corn and wheat are now below the green zone. Platinum has also pulled back, but it’s still closer to the top of its range than the bottom. Natural gas hasn’t gotten hit as hard as other commodities, and it is actually up a bit today.

Source: Bespoken Research

Advantages of Forex Trading

Total Trader — Mon, 25 Jan 2010 00:43:20 +0000

Foreign exchange trading involves buying and selling different currencies. It works on the theory that is similar with share market. As we know that to make the profit, you have to buy at lower price and sell at higher price, or we can also sell at higher price first and buy at lower price. But its not as easy as it sounds. By studying certain market conditions, you can actually make profits in forex. All you have to do is to analyze the forex in a correct way and do the good trade.

Why to go for Foreign exchange trading? There is an option to invest in stock market also but here are a few important advantages of currency trading over stock market.

24-hour Trading

Forex trading is done on 24-hours basis. This market is open throughout day and night as somewhere in the world, there must be this buy and sell trading is going on. Traders involved in forex trading strategy can always get that first hand information and can act accordingly. The currency rate is actually run through telecommunication all over the network of banks 24 hours a day from 00:00 GMT on Monday to 10:00 pm GMT on Friday. There are ECNs (Electronic Communication Networks) which bring together buyers and sellers.

Greater Liquidity

There is a superior liquidity in the market as there are always buyers and sellers to purchase and sell foreign currencies. Forex trading market size is 50 times bigger than the New York Stock Exchange and liquidity of such large market ensures price stability. Forex trading stop orders could be carried out more simply. This makes Forex trading signal more liquid and permits Forex traders to take benefit of trading opportunities as they happen rather than waiting for the market to open the next day.

100:1 High Leverage in forex trading

100 to 1 leverage is commonly available from online forex dealers, which substantially exceeds the common 2:1 margin offered by equity brokers. This gives them a huge leverage in their trading and presents the potential for extraordinary profits with relative small investments. Leverage can also go the opposite way and may lead to huge losses if you are not careful.

Forex trading transactions have no commissions. Forex Brokers can earn money by fixing their own speculation between what a currency could be bought at and what it could be sold at. In difference, Forex traders have to pay a commission fee or brokerage fee for every futures transaction they come in to the view. The forex market is so large that no one individual, bank, fund or government body can influence it for a long period of time. In forex trading strategy, you can trade between seven currencies but not everyone trade in all.

There are certain trading signals that give indications to the trade. These forex signals are delivered by email, instant messenger or direct to your desktop.

How Does an Online Forex Broker Work?

Total Trader — Fri, 22 Jan 2010 01:48:39 +0000

Before you begin trading in the FOREX markets you will need to set up an account with what is called a Forex Broker. Once you start your search for the perfect broker, you could feel overwhelmed by the number of them who extend their services online. Deciding on a broker requires a little bit of research on your part, but the time spent will give you a much better idea of the services that are accessible and the fees charged by several of this brokers.

Properly speaking, a forex broker is an individual or a company that buys and sells the orders placed by the trader according to his decisions. This way brokers earn money by billing a commission or a fee for their services.

All serious brokers need to be connected with a large financial organization such as a bank in order to provide the amount of funds necessary for margin trading. These credentials will ensure you have peace of mind, knowing that you have security against any case of fraud and abusive trade exercises.

What you’ll always want will be to find a broker who carries out orders quickly and with minimum slippage. All reputable online brokers will extend automatic execution of orders and will let you know their policies regarding slippage. An effective broker should be able to tell you how much slippage can be expected in both normal and volatile markets.

Margin accounts are the foundation of Forex trading, so you better be sure you clearly understand the broker’s margin terms before setting up your trading account. You also need to acknowledge the margin requirements and how margin is calculated. It may be the case that margin change according to the currency traded; or maybe the margin is the same every day of the week or perhaps not; so you have to check and get all this information pretty clear.

Additionally some brokers could offer different margins depending on what kind of account you are trading, i.e. a mini or standard account.

One more thing that you should consider is that the trading station software available to you from your broker is really important for your success as an online forex trader. You should get a feel for the options that are available by examining a demo account at a few of the available online brokers. Always keep in mind that above all, you are looking for reliability and the ability to execute well in fast-moving markets.

How To Trade Forex?

Total Trader — Thu, 21 Jan 2010 02:55:56 +0000

How to trade Forex? Trading Forex is actually quite simple. Forex trading involves merely choosing a currency pair, the amount of the base currency and the buy or sell action. Next you place your order and wait for the favorable time to perform a counter transaction to derive profits. How to trade Forex and make profit? Learn to place your orders correctly by trading on a demo account for a period of time.

Each currency quote consists of two currencies. The first currency in the pair is called the base currency and the second one is called the counter currency. The value of the first currency always equals one, while the value of the second currency is calculated against the first currency. Forex prices are expressed in pips, being the fourth decimal of the price. Understanding quotes is vital in order to learn how to trade Forex.

Margins and Leverage in Forex trades

In order to safeguard your capital, learn how to trade Forex without taking leverage from a broker. If you can put down a small amount of your own money (called margin), the dealer will provide you with more money (called leverage). Leverage will allow you to trade with more lots. Is margin trading good or bad? Same as bank loans and mortgages, margin trading may be both good and bad. While providing you with more opportunities, it will also tremendously increase the possibility of losses.

Demo Account

Trading with a demo account is definitely one of the easiest ways to learn how to trade Forex. A Demo account will safeguard you from incurring any real losses while making mistakes at the time of your trading. At first, you will most likely often make mistakes when selecting the time of entering and exiting the trades, such as you may be too late or too early. Mistakes that you make while trading on a demo account will not cost you a dime. However, if you skip this essential step, you may join the 90% of failing Forex traders.

Understanding Currency Pairs

There are lots of different currency pairs, and you should choose the right one. It is a good idea to choose the most traded currency pair, when you are just starting to learn how to trade Forex. This currency pair is USD/EUR. No matter what currency pair you select, you should try to learn its distinctive features well, before proceeding to trading other currency pairs. This is very important because every currency pair will have its own distinctive features as well as the reasons behind the fluctuations of this currency pair, such as various fundamental factors.

Currency Quotes in Forex trades

Learn to understand the currency quotes, because Forex trades are done in terms of quotes. Quotes are two-sided, and involve two prices: Bid price (price at which base currency will be sold, simultaneously buying the counter currency) and Ask price (price at which base currency will be bought, simultaneously selling the counter currency). Understanding of Bid/Ask is one of the first steps in learning how to trade Forex.

Unfortunately brokers, just like banks do not really care whether you win or lose in your Forex trades. You will still have to pay them back. If you lose the money that they gave you. It is better not to trade on margin at all, and to only trade with your own money.

It’s very easy to learn how to trade Forex. However, how to trade Forex with a profit? Allow enough time to train on a demo account before proceeding to real-life trading.

Source: Steve Maenshel

Stock Market Report 21-1-10

Eden — Wed, 20 Jan 2010 23:36:57 +0000

Wall Street suffered its worst slide of 2010 on Wednesday as investors worried that lending restrictions in China could hurt the global economic recovery.

Market breadth was negative. On the NYSE, losers beat winners by more than three to one. On the NASDAQ, decliners topped advancers three to one.

Commodity-related shares were hurt by concerns that China may curb its economic expansion. A stronger dollar also put pressure on commodity prices and commodity-related stocks.

Technology shares were among the biggest decliners after IBM gave a conservative outlook, despite reporting better-than-forecast quarterly sales and earnings. IBM shares fell 3.8%.

Healthcare stocks were down on Wednesday. An index of pharmaceuticals companies fell 1.1%. Healthcare stocks had risen the prior day on speculation that the healthcare system would face new obstacles following a surprise Republican election to the Massachusetts Senate seat.

Several banks reported earnings. Wells Fargo & Co and US Bancorp reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, helped by recent acquisitions. The Bank of America reported a wider-than-expected loss, but said its credit problems were beginning to stabilise. The Bank of America said losses widened to US$5.2B in the fourth quarter of last year, partly due to the bank paying back government bailout funds. The company said the repayments shaved off $US4B from its bottom line. US Bancorp shares added 2.3% while the Bank of America gained 0.6%. Morgan Stanley reported its second-straight quarterly profit, one year after posting a significant loss. The financial firm said it earned US$617M for the quarter versus a loss of $11B a year ago. The result missed expectations, and shares in the company fell around 1%.

In economic news, building permits, a measure of builder confidence, rose to a 653,000 unit annual rate in December, from a 589,000 rate in November, the government reported. Permits were expected to rise to a 590,000 rate, according to a consensus of economists. However, housing starts fell to a 557,000 unit annual rate, from a 580,000 unit rate in November.

The Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale inflation, rose 0.2% after climbing 1.8% in the previous month. Economists expected it to hold steady. The so-called core PPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, was flat versus forecasts for a gain of 0.1%.

Overseas Markets

Dow down 137 pts to 10,588 (10,517 – 10,720)

S&P 500 down 14 pts to 1,136 (1,129 – 1,148)

Nasdaq down 33 pts to 2,287 (2,269 – 2,304)

SPI 200 Futures down 31 pts to 4,806 (4,776 – 4,840)

FTSE down 92 pts to 5,421 (5,404 – 5,513)

Nikkei down 27 pts to 10,738 (10,725 – 10,861)

Shanghai SE Comp down 95 pts to 3,152 (3,148 – 3,255)

Commodities

WTI Oil down 2.0% to US$77.43/bbl

Gold down 2.4% to US$1,113/oz

Sugar (NY) up 0.4% to USc29.11/lb

Corn down 0.3% to US$3.32/bushel

Wheat down 0.6% to US$4.67/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) up 0.6% to US$5.54/MMbtu

Silver down 4.5% to US$17.91/oz

Platinum down 0.9% to US$1,630/oz

Palladium up 0.6% to US$469.25/oz

Copper (NY) down 2.6% to US$3.35/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ down 1.7USc to US$0.91 /A$

EUR / US$ down 2.8USc to US$1.41 /EUR

GBP / US$ down 0.6USc to US$1.63 /GBP

US$ / Yen up 0.5 Yen to 91.24 Yen/US$

Understanding How To Scalp The Forex Market

Total Trader — Wed, 20 Jan 2010 02:56:45 +0000

When it comes to trading the forex market, there is one thing that really stops a lot of traders, and it involves greed. Because there are millions of traders out there who think that making money in the forex market is easy. This has to do with the fact that a lot of traders buy courses that promise to make them millions, only for them to realize they have been scammed.

Most people end up losing money on a daily basis because even though the forex markets move everyday, the fluctuations are barely visible. Only a huge movement can be predicted, which is a rarity.

Only, and make money using my system of foreign exchange earnings are expected to be small in the day to day fluctuations in these very small. Your small, rather than the daily earnings, are trying to homer daily. The higher low, fluctuating from 50 Pip Forex market is 80 percent of the time. Not earn enough money in these market conditions following a system intrusion methods and trends.

Since it is easy to make 20-30 pips a day, my sincere advice to you would be to switch off the screen as soon as you are done for the day. You will be only paying your broker if you turn out to be over ambitious. So please protect your profits.

Don’t make the same mistakes that so many other people make. They think they will become a millionaire by the end of the first week. Your job should be to make money in a steady manner. Trading is a lot like a marathon, not a sprint.

Most of the break-out or trend following systems only gives you advice on huge movements in the forex markets. My scalping system is not like that. Using this system you can trade everyday for less than 3 hours. You are setting up a successful home based business, making a lucrative profit, having a great life style and it is good money too.

Unfortunately many of you have been cheated by Get rich quick schemes in the forex markets. On the net even I have seen may unbelievable schemes which claim to make $250 with only $100 software. If only that were true!

Source: Mike Hardaway

Stock Market Report 20-1-10

Eden — Tue, 19 Jan 2010 23:43:32 +0000

US stocks rose in a broad-based rally as investors bought healthcare shares on bets that a potential Republican victory in Massachusetts’ Senate race could stall President Obama’s reforms and remove a threat to profits in the sector.

The S&P Healthcare Index climbed nearly 2%. Drug maker Eli Lilly rose 5%. Health insurers Humana and Aetna gained 3.6% and 4%, respectively.

All 10 S&P 500 industry groups traded in positive territory.

The Dow also received a boost from McDonald’s, which gained 2.3% on an analyst upgrade. 3M was another notable mover, rising 2%.

Kraft Foods was the biggest drag on the Dow, declining 1.1% after it agreed to a revised cash-and-stock deal to buy Cadbury for about US$19.6B.

In other deal news, Tyco International agreed to buy Brink’s Home Security Holdings for US$1.9B. Brink’s shares surged almost 31.6%.

Large-cap technology companies buoyed the NASDAQ. IBM is expected to report its quarterly earnings after market close. Apple was up 4.2% while IBM advanced 1%.

Citigroup reported a fourth-quarter loss that met analysts’ expectations as the third-largest US bank took charges linked to repaying government bailout funds. On the upside, the company said consumer credit losses dropped in the quarter and that it also set aside less money for bad loans during the quarter. Shares gained 3%.

The Bank of America and Morgan Stanley will report on Wednesday. Goldman Sachs and Google will report earnings on Thursday.

S&P 500 earnings are expected to have almost tripled versus those a year ago and revenue is expected to have risen 7%. However, the jump is largely due to a spike in financial sector results versus an easy comparison to the fourth quarter of 2008 amid the height of the financial crisis. Without the financial sector, earnings are expected to be down 8% and revenue is expected to decline 1%.

Overseas Markets

Dow up 116 pts to 10,725 (10,592 – 10,730)

S&P 500 up 14 pts to 1,150 (1,136 – 1,150)

Nasdaq up 31 pts to 2,319 (2,291 – 2,320)

FTSE up 19 pts to 5,513 (5,431 – 5,532)

Nikkei down 90 pts to 10,765 (10,749 – 10,867)

Shanghai SE Comp up 10 pts to 3,247 (3,237 – 3,269)

Commodities

WTI Oil up 0.8% to US$78.66/bbl

Gold up 0.7% to US$1,138/oz

Sugar (NY) up 4.9% to USc28.98/lb

Corn down 2.6% to US$3.33/bushel

Wheat down 1.7% to US$4.70/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) down 2.7% to US$5.51/MMbtu

Silver up 1.0% to US$18.82/oz

Platinum up 1.7% to US$1,650/oz

Currency

A$ / US$ up 0.1USc to US$0.92 /A$

EUR / US$ down 0.9USc to US$1.43 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 1.1USc to US$1.64 /GBP

US$ / Yen up 0.4 Yen to 91.14 Yen/US$

Top 8 Tips To Help You Start With Forex Trading

Total Trader — Tue, 19 Jan 2010 03:55:40 +0000

1. Educate yourself.

As mentioned, the money market can be a profitable venture but it can also be full of financial risks. Before getting too excited to trade, one of the very important currency trading tips that you must follow is to educate yourself about the forex industry. Of course, it is always a wise move in every venture you get into. Among the important things you have to learn is market analysis and analyzing the factors that affect the value of a country’s currency. It would help a lot to have a background in macroeconomics, international trade, in-depth understanding of the financial market as well as understanding on how a nation’s economic policies as well as political situations affect your main concern – the currency.

2. Plan and make a strategy.

In the money market, it is important to be a quick decision maker and be able to take action, but you also have to make a plan and strategy. It is also

3. Be aware of the high risks.

Currency trading indeed involves a high level of risk, so before you decide to participate in forex market, you have to determine if you can handle the big risk that comes along with it. Experts often say that forex trading is not for everyone. In currency trading, you must be able to determine how much money you are willing to lose, and if you are wiling to lose a part or all of your investment.

4. Choose the best currency trading software.

In deciding for your forex trading software, make sure that you are also making a wise choice. Make sure that your software provides security of your data as well as personal information. Also make sure that you choose a software that has round-the-clock support services especially when it comes to server support and backup. These currency trading tips are indeed important to help you have a secure transaction online.

5. Choose a reliable and trustworthy broker.

In forex trading, you can also get a broker to help you deal with sellers and buyers in the money market. In choosing one, make sure also that you getting a reliable and trusted one. They can also be a factor in your success in forex trading.

6. Practice.

Indeed, if is one of the most important currency trading tips to keep in mind. Do not to jump into forex without practice. This is essential to help you learn the tools o the trade. You can make use of demo accounts to practice your strategy in forex.

7. Beware of forex scams and frauds online.

In dealing online, make sure also that you are not dealing with fraudulent individuals and companies. Always check track records as well as company or individual backgrounds. If they are giving you too-good-to-be- true offers, you might want to think twice about it. If they are giving you a risk-free forex trading, that could be a warning that you are not dealing with some legitimate services.

8. Be extra careful in transferring funds.

Whether online or by mail, always make sure you are sending money or transferring funds securely. This of course is a must in anything you do online that involves money, especially if it involves a large amount.

Keep in mind these currency trading tips before you get yourself involved in forex trading. Keep in mind that forex is involves high risk and indeed, is not for everyone.

Stock Market Report 19-1-10

Eden — Mon, 18 Jan 2010 22:53:36 +0000

US markets were closed for the Martin Luther King Day.

Major US companies reporting later this week include the Bank of America, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, IBM, General Electric and Google.

European shares rose, lifted by a rally in mining and oil shares on the back of firmer commodity prices.

National benchmark indexes gained in all of the 18 western European markets, except Greece, Iceland and Luxembourg. Across Europe, Britain’s FTSE 100, Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40 rose between 0.7% and 0.8%.

Trading was subdued, as US markets were closed for the Martin Luther King Day. Volumes on the European index were just 65% of its 90-day daily average volume.

Miners topped the gainers’ list as commodity prices advanced. BHP, Anglo American, Antofagasta, Rio Tinto, Xstrata and Eurasian Natural Resources rose between 1% and 4%.

Cadbury rose 1.8% on media reports that the Kraft Foods will increase its offer to at least 820 pence per share. Kraft Foods must make a revised bid for Cadbury by Tuesday. The Hershey Co., which is reportedly working on a possible bid as well, has until Saturday to make a bid under UK takeover rules.

International Power dropped 3.4% after saying talks with GDF Suez on combining some assets are no longer continuing. The biggest UK-based electricity producer had earlier rallied on speculation that GDF Suez is considering a tie up with International Power that may lead to a partnership.

Greece’s ASE Index slid 2.5%. Finance ministers from the 16 nations using the euro are meeting in Brussels as Greece struggles to cut a 2009 budget deficit that may reach almost 13% of GDP. Among notable movers, Titan Cement, Greece’s largest cement maker, sank 7.9%. Alpha Bank, the country’s third-largest bank, tumbled 7.7%.

L’Oreal, Nokia and Zodiac Aerospace advanced on analyst upgrades. L’Oreal added 2.1%, Nokia was up 1.6% and Zodiac Aerospace gained 5.4%.

Overseas Markets

FTSE up 39 pts to 5,494 (5,454 – 5,504)

Nikkei down 127 pts to 10,855 (10,781 – 10,895)

Shanghai SE Comp up 13 pts to 3,237 (3,202 – 3,238)

Rio Tinto plc up 0.89% to A$63.68 eq.; a 19% discount to prev Aust close A$78.32

BHP plc up 1.47% to A$36.54 eq.; a 16% discount to prev Aust close A$43.44

Commodities

WTI Oil down 1.8% to US$78.00/bbl

Gold up 0.3% to US$1,134/oz

Silver up 1.2% to US$18.64/oz

Platinum up 1.4% to US$1,622/oz

Currency

A$ / US$ down 0.5USc to US$0.93 /A$

EUR / US$ down 1.1USc to US$1.44 /EUR

GBP / US$ down 0.1USc to US$1.63 /GBP

US$ / Yen down 0.5 Yen to 90.74 Yen/US$

5 Ways to Improve your income from Forex Trading

Total Trader — Mon, 18 Jan 2010 01:49:46 +0000

Forex Trading or Currency Trading today is a $3 trillion industry, and I am not talking about the yearly investments or revenues of this trade, I am talking about the daily investment stats of this monstrous industry.

This means that trades of over $3 trillion occur each day across Forex exchanges throughout the world. If you have been trying to get a bigger slice of this magnanimous industry then these tips would surely help you to earn more with the same amount investments and time.

1. Be Flexible:

By flexibility I mean that you need to trade in a cross culture environment if you want to get the max out of Forex trading. This means that you cannot restrict yourself to a particular exchange centre such a London or New York. You need to diversify your investments and give ample time to investments in different exchange centres. This is because of the fact that a particular exchange may have its lull times when the trading is slow, so instead of investing in theses exchanges at this time try to invest in exchange that are livelier at the same time.

2. Be confident:

Confident is a very big factor when it comes to Forex trading. If you are not confident about your decisions, then you are not going to make profit. You should try to have faith in your abilities and should never get pressured into taking decisions that you would not like to take. Confidence can improve your ability to take risks and thus give you more profit.

3. Take good care of leverage:

One of the basic rules of Forex trading is manage your leverage amount very carefully. You may get tempted to leverage 10 to 20 times the amount of money you have in your account but this should be avoided at all costs. Everyone knows that larger the amount leveraged, larger is the risk of loss and the debt arising from it. Expert traders never leverage more than twice the amount they have in their account.

4. Avoid large trades:

Instead of focussing on a single large trade, one should try to play it safe by investing into many small trades. This will reduce the risk of you losing all your money in case a trade goes wrong. Also smaller trades can generate better profits than a single large trade, this is because of the fact that for a small trade you may not be afraid of losing money and can hence put it in the market for a longer time, whereas for a large trade you would try to get your money out of the market at the slightest change in currency value in order to avoid any major loss.

5. Get a good Forex Broker:

This is the aspect that is ignored by almost all traders, but an expert trader knows that this is one thing that matters a lot and can be controlled. The correct way to choose a Forex broker is by the task of research. Never choose a Forex broker because of the fact that he is providing you with some incentives. Always try to look into the working policies of a broker before choosing to invest with him or her. Try to go in for brokers who offer demo accounts, so that you can test a broker’s interface before opening a real money account with the broker. Always choose a broker who is compatible with your style of trading and allows you to implement your strategies.

These are some of things, which if followed religiously would enable a Forex Trader to earn more profit than he would earn without the use of these strategies.

Weekly Commodity Update – Futures Trading

Eden — Sun, 17 Jan 2010 23:53:05 +0000

After the New Year rush to initiate long positions commodity markets ran out of steam this week. The CRB index showing a flat return after a near four percent gain during the first week of trading.

The “frost” premium that helped drive energy prices higher at the beginning of the month has begun to evaporate as forecast for milder weather combined with another rise in inventories has taken prices lower. Market moves caused by weather shocks are by nature temporary but the surge in demand has helped reduce booming inventories somewhat.

The Energy information Administration (EIA) this week released their monthly OPEC surplus oil production capacity data. Excluding Nigeria and Iraq they now have 4.7 million barrels per day of surplus capacity, the highest level since 2002.

Despite robust demand from Emerging markets the slower than expected recovery among the developed economies leaves little room for further upside near term. With the current surplus capacity OPEC has signaled satisfaction with current price levels knowing that higher prices might damage the ongoing slow recovery. On top of this we have the risk of potential overheating of the Chinese economy, something that the government took the first steps to address this week by reining in lending , and raising the cost of funds for lenders.

The long awaited report from the CFTC on how they would curb excessive risk taking in energy markets were released on Thursday. The new rules would affect crude oil, natural gas, heating oil and gasoline but as it turned out the new limits would probably only impact the ten biggest position holders. So a pretty measured response with the main impact being felt by hedge funds and index-funds.

Technically Crude Oil for near month delivery made a new 15 months high at USD 83.95 but the subsequent strong sell off indicates that the market is not currently ready for an attempt on USD 85 and beyond. Considering the 18.5% rally since the middle of December last year a correction was overdue. We are currently looking for USD 78.08 and USD 76.27 as good support levels in a market that increasingly looks like it wants to range trade around USD 80 until we see further reduction in the overhang of supply.

The Gold rush of 2009 was put into perspective this week as a leading precious metals consultancy said that the investment demand for gold had doubled to 1,820 tons last year, while jewellery purchases fell 23% to 1,687 tons. This is the first time in three decades that investment demand exceeded that of jewellery demand and it highlights the huge role that investors played in driving gold to a record high in 2009.

Jewellery demand is expected to stay subdued above USD 1,000 according to traders, which puts the focus firmly on the need for continued investment demand in order to drive prices higher over the coming months. Global mine supply only rose by 6% to 2,553 tons, a six year high while net sales from central banks dropped 90% to 24 tons, the lowest level in more than twenty years.

Overall new net investments into commodities rose by USD 50 billion, a new record according to JP Morgan. It illustrates clearly how this growing asset class is being viewed by investors and currently the expectations are for a similar amount to be invested into the sector in 2010.

Gold like energy prices failed to hang onto the gains made early this week. On one hand it is being supported by continued investment interest but worries about a potential revival of the dollar on the back of European woes could hurt the EUR and thereby potentially gold as well. The economic problems facing countries around the Mediterranean and Ireland is well known and a continuation of the dollars month long slide can no longer be taken for granted.

Gold/silver ratio:

Overall the uptrend is still intact above USD 1,055 but gold looks to be in a consolidation phase for the time being. Look for support towards USD 1,115 followed by USD 1,086 and resistance at USD 1,146 and USD 1,162. Silver meanwhile has managed to hold onto its recent gains showing a near 11% gain so far this month with USD 18 proving to be a major support level. The gold to silver ratio has dropped from 65 to 61.2 currently with additional room for silver outperformance down towards 60.

The major moves of the week took place among grain and oilseeds products which tumbled on Tuesday after the USDA released their WASDE report (World agricultural supply and demand estimates), in which they surprisingly raised yield forecasts to record highs. Planting delays last year which delayed the growth window were more than offset by a mild summer and a warm dry September which helped the delayed crop to maturity.

This surprise change in forecast prompted a dramatic sell off across the board with Corn reaching the allowed down limit for the day and continued lower the following day. Because the US exports half the world’s corn, a third of the world’s soybeans, and a fifth of the world’s wheat, changes in output there have a major impact on global prices.

The reason why the upward revision came as such a surprise is due to the bad weather that the Midwest has experienced during these past few months. For exact this reason some worry that the next figures due in March could be revised lower as a portion of this season’s corn crop remains stuck in the ground due to unusually wet weather.

We see some upside to Corn now after speculative long positions have been reduced but favor a relative value trade versus wheat around the current ratio of 0.72 going for a target towards 0.79. Corn will be supported by the continued use in ethanol production while wheat supplies are abundant.

Corn/Wheat ratio

Understand Forex Accounts

Total Trader — Fri, 15 Jan 2010 01:33:21 +0000

For trading success, good money management is the key. Many traders ignore this aspect of trading at their own peril and get their account blown in a few weeks of trading. Trading discipline means using a trading system based on money management rules that limit your risk and avoid making trading decisions based on emotions.

One of the worst blunders that trades can make is to try to trade without sufficient capital. This does not mean that you should have a lot of money before you start trading; it only means that you need to have enough capital in your account to take advantage of the movements in the markets. Low capital increases your chances of getting blown out.

Many forex brokers fix the minimum amount required to open a standard account as $2000. However, it is recommended by most of the professional traders that you should start with at least $5000-10,000 to get good results. A trader with limited capital is always a worried trader. He is always looking to minimize losses beyond the point of realistic trading. Never ever trade live without practicing on the demo account for a few months. First, try to double your account at least three times in a row on the demo account.

A regular account or a standard account often also called 100k account lets you trade a $100,000 standard lot with a $2000 deposit. This $2000 is kept as the margin by the broker. This is a 2% margin.

Dont use more than 4X leverage while trading in the start. Too much leverage is dangerous for you.

Its not that leverage is bad. It is a double edged sword that cuts both ways. It increases your profit but at the same time wipes you out in case of a slight miscalculation on your part. Its just that you need to understand and learn how to use it. You can only do so with practice. With practice and more experience, you can increase the level of leverage in your trading.

Mini accounts are great for beginners. You can open a mini account with most of the brokers with a deposit of only $1000. The mini account was developed to accommodate investors who were looking for bringing more diversification to their stocks portfolios. This small dollar requirement allows many small investors to participate in the forex markets. Many were previously unable to do so. Some brokers offer micro accounts as well.

One lot on a mini account means $10,000. On a mini account, you have a different lot size as compared to the standard account. Pip size on a mini account is also small as compared to the standard account. A pip size on the mini account is equal to $1 instead of $10 as on a standard lot.

A mini account is a great way for beginners to practice forex trading. If you lose 100 pips on a mini account, it means losing only $100 as compared to losing $1000 on a standard lot. You can say a mini account reduces your risk by 10%. But it also reduces the amount of profit that you can make. Start with at least $1000 on a mini account.

Source: Ahmad Hassam

Moving Average Trading Secrets

Eden — Thu, 14 Jan 2010 22:27:39 +0000

One of the most popular technical analysis indicators is the simple moving average also known as SMA, if you learn how to use these correctly they can be a very useful tool to help you to make good trading decisions.

The 50 simple moving average, or 50 SMA, is simply the sum of the last 50 values for each period, divided by 50, this is a moving window, as time moves on so does the average. Notice that I used the word period because this indicator works on any time period in exactly the same way.

It can be used on monthly, weekly, daily, hourly, 30 minutes, 15 minute and on whatever time period you want to monitor and trade. Although the SMA is the most commonly used there is also the exponential moving average or EMA. This is a weighted version of the formula using the mathematical exponent function to give more weight to the more recent values, this has the effect of making it a slightly faster average that many traders prefer.

The truth is that it probably does not matter if you used the SMA or the EMA, what does matter however is that you use one or the other and then be very consistent with it. Do not switch between them, it is more important that you trust your chosen indicator then a slight difference in its value.

The SMA is often used to determine what the trend of the stock is, depending on the value used it could be a short term, medium term or long term trend. An important point to note is that moving averages are most useful when the stock is trending, if the moving average is flat, i.e. horizontal on your chart it can become very choppy, this is a good time to stay out of the market.

The general rule is that if the current price is above the SMA the trend is up, if below the trend is down. This is very important to understand because it forms the basics of trend trading and trading with the trend.

For the short term trend many traders like using a 5-8 SMA or EMA, here is a trading secret, never trade again the direction of the short term tend, actually this is really just common sense when you think about it.

Moving averages can often act as support or resistance, many traders use the 15, 21 or 30 SMA for this purpose.

There are a number of other very important moving averages that you need to know about, these are the 50, 100 and 200 SMA, and this mainly applies to the daily and weekly charts. A lot of big players in the markets, the mutual funds, investment banks etc use the 50 and 200 SMA as support and resistance, if they decide to buy or sell based on these you need to follow suite, the 100 to a lesser extent.

Stock Market Report 15-1-10

Eden — Thu, 14 Jan 2010 22:24:35 +0000

US stocks traded slightly higher on Thursday, led by the technology sector.

Market breadth was positive. On the NYSE, winners beat losers by four to three. On the NASDAQ advancers topped decliners eight to five.

The technology sector led gains on the back of positive brokerage comments on Oracle and ahead of an expected profit report from Intel. Shares of Oracle, the world’s second largest business software maker, gained 2.5% and led gains on the NASDAQ. Dow component Intel Corp, the world’s largest chipmaker, is expected to report a quarterly profit after market close. Its stock advanced 1.6%. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of 30cps, compared with 4cps in the previous year. IBM and Hewlett-Packard shares also advanced.

The KBW bank index was up 1.4%, led mainly by regional and midsize banks. President Obama proposed a fee to make big banks repay taxpayers for bailouts. Bank shares had declined earlier in the week on concern about the fee, but on Thursday the sector was higher.

On the downside, US economic data appeared to cast doubt on the strength of the economic recovery. Sales at US retailers unexpectedly fell in December and applications for jobless benefits rose last week. A government report showed that retail sales fell 0.3% in December. Economists were expecting sales to have risen 0.5%. Retail sales excluding autos fell 0.2% versus expectations of a 0.3% rise. Helping to soften the blow, the National Retail Federation said holiday sales for the November – December period rose 1.1%, which was better than the retail group’s expectations for a 1% decline.

The number of American’s filing new claims for unemployment rose last week to 444,000 from 433,000 the previous week. Economists expected claims would rise to 437,000. Continuing claims, a measure of Americans who have been receiving benefits for a week ore more, fell to 4.596M from 4.897M in the previous week.

On the positive side, business inventories rose slightly more than expected in November, up 0.4% as businesses re-stock.

Overseas Markets

Dow up 34 pts to 10,715 (10,667 – 10,724)

S&P 500 up 3 pts to 1,149 (1,144 – 1,150)

Nasdaq up 11 pts to 2,319 (2,303 – 2,323)

Russell 2000 up 3 pts to 647 (642 – 648)

SPI 200 Futures up 11 pts to 4,890 (4,874 – 4,899)

FTSE up 25 pts to 5,498 (5,473 – 5,522)

Nikkei up 173 pts to 10,908 (10,774 – 10,910)

Shanghai SE Comp up 43 pts to 3,216 (3,166 – 3,219)

Commodities

WTI Oil down 0.3% to US$79.39/bbl

Gold up 0.4% to US$1,141/oz

Sugar (NY) down 1.0% to USc27.76/lb

Corn down 0.9% to US$3.45/bushel

Wheat down 1.8% to US$4.95/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) up 2.8% to US$5.77/MMbtu

Silver up 0.4% to US$18.71/oz

Platinum up 2.1% to US$1,612/oz

Palladium up 5.3% to US$447.13/oz

Copper (NY) down 0.3% to US$3.38/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ up 1.1USc to US$0.93 /A$

EUR / US$ up 0.1USc to US$1.45 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 1.6USc to US$1.63 /GBP

US$ / Yen up 0.1 Yen to 91.07 Yen/US$

Mini Forex Trading – For Small Scale Investors and Beginners

Total Trader — Thu, 14 Jan 2010 01:28:29 +0000

Any one planning to invest in the Forex market can start doing so by first opening a mini Forex account before actually getting a standard Forex account. Many people are under the impression that online Forex currency trading involves a large quantity of money. This isn’t correct. With a mini Forex account, first-time investors can begin with small amounts ranging from $ 1000 to $ 2000, where the value of a pip will be $ 1 thus reducing the risk of losing a large sum of money.

In the standard Forex account, a broker may allow a leverage of 100-1 with a deposit amount of $ 10,000 and can trade up to $ 1,000,000. In terms of losses, a 10 pip loss on a standard trade of $ 100,000 would mean a loss of $ 100, whereas in a mini Forex account would mean a $ 10,000 equals $ 10 only.

Free demo platforms are now being offered online by Forex brokers to let you practice and get familiar with an online Forex trading account for lesser manageable amounts. Beginners will then have the chance and confidence to practice efficiently their trading skills and strategies without having to worry about their losses or balances, and worry about a margin call.

Take note that almost 90% of people who trade in Forex end up losing their investments – and these are just the beginners. With too many people who are unfamiliar with what Forex currency really is all about quickly get disappointed, frustrated, and angry when rushing in blindly, hoping to gain a quick and easy profit.

A mini Forex trading account offers a alternative to small scale investors to get a chance to do actual trading without exposing a huge monetary amount.

8 Trading Habits From Warren Buffett

Eden — Wed, 13 Jan 2010 22:56:11 +0000

Wisdom From Warren Buffett

1. Investing With Knowledge

Don’t do anything until you know what you are doing. – Jimmy Rogers

The knowledge in this context doesn’t mean you need an educational degree in finance and economics to invest in the markets. It means learning about the potential markets you are interested to invest in. Knowing and understand them before you put money into the markets.

Don’t

Doesn’t realise that a deep understanding of what he is doing is an essential prerequisite to success. Rarely realizes that profitable opportunities exist within his own area of expertise.

2. Predefined Trading Plan

The secret is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible. – Ed Seykota

Has developed his own investment philosophy which is suited to his own personalities and objectives. As a result, no two investors in the market trade in the same manner.

Don’t

Has no plan, uses other people’s system without own’s research. Do not have his own investment philosophy. What it happen is that you see the person change from one systems to another, and failing to understand the importance of writing a plan.

3. Researched And Tested Strategy

If I’m interested company, I’ll buy 100 shares of all its competitors to get their annual reports. – Warren Buffett

Developed and tested one’s strategy for the pass 5 to 10 years to determine the viability of the systems. Characteristics of the systems are also understood before one put real money into investment strategy.

Don’t

Has no system. Or has adopted someone’s else’s without testing and adapting it to his own personality. (When such a system doesn’t work, he adopts another one blindly. Which doesn’t work for him either.)

4. Capital Preservation

If you don’t bet, you can’t win. If you lose all your chips, you can’t bet. – Larry Hite

First priority is to ensure your investment equity can survive and invest for another day. The market will always be there as long as your investment equity is available. If you protect your money and make it the number one priority in investment, you can survive long enough in the market to profit from the opportunities.

Don’t

Investment aim is “to make a lot of money.” As a result, failed to keep them.

5. Follow His Investment Plan

For me, it’s important to be loyal to my system. When I’m not… I’ve made a mistake. – Gil Bake

Stick to his rules with discipline as long as its within the boundaries stated in his system plan. The fact is most investments do not win all the time. As investors, we need to be aware that there is drawdown period for any investment strategy.

Don’t

Lack of discipline to follow the rules as layout in the trading plan. (When such a system doesn’t work, he adopts another one. Which doesn’t work for him either.)

6. Learnt From Mistakes

One learns the most from mistakes, not successes. – Paul Tudor Jones

Always treats mistakes as opportunities to improve oneself and never commit the same mistake again. An investor will never stop learning.

Don’t

Blame, justify and give excuses about the systems, people or circumstances that are at fault. While overlooking that he can improve his trading results if he identified them as mistakes and learnt from them.

7. Almost Never Talks to Anyone About What He is Doing

My idea of a group decision is to look in the mirror. – Warren Buffett

Not concern about what he’s doing. Not interested or concerned with what others think about his investment decisions.

Don’t

Always asking for people’s opinions and finding the latest ‘Hot Tip’

8. Be a Risk Averse Investors

Believe that risk can be managed, and always be prepared to beat a hasty retreat.

Don’t

Thinks that big profits can only be made by taking big risks.

Stock Market Report 14-1-10

Eden — Wed, 13 Jan 2010 22:44:09 +0000

US stocks rose on Wednesday as investors bought financial and technology shares ahead of earnings results from Intel Corp and JPMorgan later this week.

Market breadth was positive. Winners beat losers over two to one on both the NASDAQ and the NYSE.

The healthcare sector was buoyed by a brokerage upgrade of drug maker Merck & Co. Shares in Merck & Co rose 4.4%.

The consumer sector was aided by an upbeat outlook from Kraft Foods, gaining 0.4%. Chocolate maker Hershey is still considering a potential bid for Cadbury, but has not decided whether it will proceed with a formal offer.

JPMorgan, up 1.8%, led gains in the KBW bank index. JPMorgan reports its results later this week. In other news in the sector, the White House is debating taxing companies that took bailout funds to make sure they pay the money back. President Obama is expected to announce the plan on Thursday.

Tech shares gained, with Advance Micro Devices up 5.3% and Intel adding 1.5%. The semiconductor index gained 1.2%.

Google fell 0.9% after the company said it may shut down its China operations over censorship and hacking. Google said on Tuesday it may shut down its Google.cn site after discovering an attempt to gain access to Gmail accounts of Chinese human rights activists. The company said it is one of at least 20 companies that have been attacked. Shares of rival Chinese search engine Baidu jumped 13% and had the biggest percentage gain on the NASDAQ 100. According to figures from tracking firms comScore and Analysis International, Baudi currently controls 64% of the search market in China while Google has 31% of the market.

Energy stocks were under pressure as crude prices slipped. Chevron was the biggest drag on the Dow, falling 0.9%.

The Federal Reserve said in its Beige Book report of economic conditions that while economic activity was at a low level, conditions have improved modestly, and those improvements were broader geographically compared with the last report.

The December Treasury budged showed a deficit of US$91.9B versus $120.3B in November, roughly in line with forecasts for a deficit of US$92B.

Overseas markets

Dow up 74 pts to 10,702 (10,614 – 10,709)

S&P 500 up 11 pts to 1,148 (1,133 – 1,148)

Nasdaq up 30 pts to 2,312 (2,274 – 2,313)

SPI 200 Futures up 27 pts to 4,879 (4,826 – 4,879)

FTSE down 25 pts to 5,473 (5,451 – 5,510)

Nikkei down 144 pts to 10,735 (10,730 – 10,867)

Shanghai SE Comp down 101 pts to 3,173 (3,165 – 3,233)

Commodities

WTI Oil down 0.9% to US$80.08/bbl

Gold up 0.7% to US$1,138/oz

Sugar (NY) up 2.5% to USc28.04/lb

Corn down 8.7% to US$3.48/bushel

Wheat down 6.7% to US$5.02/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) up 0.7% to US$5.61/MMbtu

Silver up 2.1% to US$18.63/oz

Platinum up 0.4% to US$1,577/oz

Palladium up 0.0% to US$424.00/oz

Copper (NY) up 1.5% to US$3.39/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ down 0.6USc to US$0.92 /A$

EUR / US$ down 0.1USc to US$1.45 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 1.7USc to US$1.63 /GBP

US$ / Yen down 0.6 Yen to 91.48 Yen/US$

Candlestick Charting Explained

Total Trader — Wed, 13 Jan 2010 00:38:09 +0000

Unless you understand Candlestick charting, you cant trade and invest effectively in securities or currencies. It is essential that you understand Candlestick charting. Many options exist for the charting of currencies and securities now with the advancement of technology. There are several types of charts easily available on the charting software. The four main charting methods are: 1) Candlestick charts, 2) Line Charts, 3) Point and Figure Charts and 4) Bar Charts.

For a number of reasons, the three charting methods pale in comparison with the candlestick charting. Candlestick charting has unique and inherent advantages over the other charts. You can understand what’s going on with the price of a currency pair with a simple glance on the candlestick charts. One of the best features of candlestick charting is its visual appeal and readability.

You can get a sense of how the price is trending with the candlestick charts. You can easily spot the opening and closing price of a currency pair on a candlestick charts. You can also tell whether the buyers or sellers have dominated a given day. These price levels can be an important area of support and resistance for a given day.

Why should traders choose candlestick charts over other types of charts when analysing price action of currency markets? Candlestick charts feature specific patterns that you can identify and use to decide when its best time to buy, sell or wait on a trade.

Currency traders or for that matter other traders too, need easy to read charts that allow them to make quick decisions and efficiently analyse price patterns in the markets. Candlestick charting offers those benefits and many more. The need for a consistent and dynamic charting method is more important than ever. Trading is becoming more and more complex. The following four pieces of information are combined to make a candlestick:

Price on the Open: The price at which a particular currency pair opens on a given period is the first piece of information used to create a candlestick.

High Price: The top of the candlesticks wick corresponds to the highest price reached during that given period.

Low Price: The bottom of the candlesticks wick corresponds to the lowest price that a currency pair reaches during a period.

Closing Price: The closing price of the currency pair at the end of a given period is the last piece of information used to create a candlestick. Depending on the price action, the closing price can be the top edge of the candles body if the price action is bullish. It can be the bottom edge of the candles body if the price action is bearish.

Candlesticks that represent bearish price action appear black. Candlesticks that represent bullish price action appear white on the chart. By looking at the candlestick charts than you can by looking at another type of charting tool, you can gain far more insight into a periods trading.

You can tell right away that the up day has a white candle. Similarly the down day has a black candle. That simple difference alone clearly reveals the nature of price action that took place during that period and can be very helpful to you.

Candlestick charts quickly clue you on the type of buying and selling that’s been going on during a given period. Candlestick charting also tell you where it may occur again. In many cases, the buyers continue to buy and sellers continue to sell during subsequent periods.

Source: Ahmad Hassam

Trading Psychology and Discipline

Eden — Tue, 12 Jan 2010 23:38:10 +0000

There are many characteristics and skills required by traders in order for them to be successful in the financial markets. The ability to understand the inner workings of a company, its fundamentals and the ability to determine the direction of the trend are a few of the key traits needed, but none of these is as important as the ability to contain emotions and maintain discipline.

Trading Psychology

The psychological aspect of trading is extremely important, and the reason for that is fairly simple. A trader is often darting in and out of stocks on short notice, and is forced to make quick decisions. To accomplish this, they need a certain presence of mind. They also, by extension, need discipline, so that they stick with previously established trading plans and know when to book profits and losses. Emotions simply can’t get in the way.

Understanding Fear

When a trader’s screen is pulsating red (a sign that stocks are down) and bad news comes about a certain stock or the general market, it’s not uncommon for the trader to get scared. When this happens, they may overreact and feel compelled to liquidate their holdings and go to cash or to refrain from taking any risks. Now, if they do that they may avoid certain losses – but they also will miss out on the gains.

Traders need to understand what fear is – simply a natural reaction to what they perceive as a threat (in this case perhaps to their profit or money-making potential). Quantifying the fear might help. Or that they may be able to better deal with fear by pondering what they are afraid of, and why they are afraid of it.

Also, by pondering this issue ahead of time and knowing how they may instinctively react to or perceive certain things, a trader can hope to isolate and identify those feelings during a trading session, and then try to focus on moving past the emotion. Of course this may not be easy, and may take practice, but it’s necessary to the health of an investor’s portfolio.

Greed Is Your Worst Enemy

There’s an old saying on Wall Street that “pigs get slaughtered”. These little pigs want more and more. This greed in investors causes them to hang on to winning positions too long, trying to get every last tick. This trait can be devastating to returns because the trader is always running the risk of getting whipsawed or blown out of a position.

Greed is not easy to overcome. That’s because within many of us there seems to be an instinct to always try to do better, to try to get just a little more. A trader should recognize this instinct if it is present, and develop trade plans based upon rational business decisions, not on what amounts to an emotional whim or potentially harmful instinct.

The Importance Of Trading Rules

To get their heads in the right place before they feel the emotional or psychological crunch, investors can look at creating trading rules ahead of time. Traders can establish limits where they lay out guidelines based on their risk-reward relationship for when they will exit a trade – regardless of emotions. For example, if a stock is trading at $10/share, the trader might choose to get out at $10.25, or at $9.75 to put a stop loss or stop limit in and bail.

Of course, establishing price targets might not be the only rule. For example, the trader might say if certain news, such as specific positive or negative earnings or macroeconomic news, comes out, then he or she will buy (or sell) a security. Also, if it becomes apparent that a large buyer or seller enters the market, the trader might want to get out.

Traders might also consider setting limits on the amount they win or lose in a day. In other words, if they reap an $X profit, they’re done for the day, or if they lose $Y they fold up their tent and go home. This works for investors because sometimes it is better to just “go on take the money and run,” like the old Steve Miller song suggests even when those two birds in the tree look better than the one in your hand.

Creating A Trading Plan

Traders should try to learn about their area of interest as much as possible. For example, if the trader deals heavily and is interested in telecommunications stocks, it makes sense for him or her to become knowledgeable about that business. Similarly, if he or she trades heavily in energy stocks, it’s fairly logical to want to become well versed in that arena.

To do this, start by formulating a plan to educate yourself. If possible, go to trading seminars and attend sell-side conferences. Also, it makes sense to plan out and devote as much time as possible to the research process. That means studying charts, speaking with management (if applicable), reading trade journals or doing other background work (such as macroeconomic analysis or industry analysis) so that when the trading session starts the trader is up to speed. A wealth of knowledge could help the trader overcome fear issues in itself, so it’s a handy tool.

In addition, it’s important that the trader consider experimenting with new things from time to time. For example, consider using options to mitigate risk, or set stop losses at a different place. One of the best ways a trader can learn is by experimenting – within reason. This experience may also help reduce emotional influences.

Finally, traders should periodically review and assess their performance. This means not only should they review their returns and their individual positions, but also how they prepared for a trading session, how up-to-date they are on the markets and how they’re progressing in terms of ongoing education, among other things. This periodic assessment can help the trader correct mistakes, which may help enhance their overall returns. It may also help them to maintain the right mindset and help them to be psychologically prepared to do business.

Bottom Line

It’s often important for a trader to be able to read a chart and have the right technology so that their trades get executed, but there is often a psychological component to trading that shouldn’t be overlooked. Setting trading rules, building a trading plan, doing research and getting experience are all simple steps that can help a trader overcome these little mind matters.

Stock Market Report 13-1-10

Eden — Tue, 12 Jan 2010 23:16:42 +0000

US stocks slid in a broad sell-off on Tuesday. Financials declined on concerns over a potential government levy on banks, and Alcoa delivered disappointing results that further dampened sentiment.

Banks led the financials sector lower. The KBW bank index was down nearly 2%. Shares of the Bank of America, Citigroup and JPMorgan were off by between 3% and 4%. A senior US official confirmed that the government is considering a levy on financial services firms to recoup bailout losses as part of the fiscal 2011 budget. The banking sector faced another potential hit after the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp floated a proposal that banks whose compensation plans encourage risk-taking would have to pay more for deposit insurance.

Shares of Alcoa fell 11% after the company reported weaker-than-expected results. The company reported a profit of 1cps versus a loss of 28cps a year ago. However, analysts expected earnings of 6cps.

Chevron Corp said its fourth-quarter profit would be sharply lower than that in the previous quarter, sending its shares down nearly 1%. Margins have been under pressure, with the rising price of oil not in sync with the weaker demand globally. A variety of oil stocks fell, with the Amex Oil index losing 2.3%.

Shares of big manufacturers retreated, with Caterpillar sliding nearly 3%.

KB Home reported a quarterly profit for the first time in two years, thanks to a tax benefit. However, the homebuilder’s revenue dropped from that a year ago.

Technology shares also fell, including Apple, which was off 1.6%. Electronics Arts cut its fiscal 2010 forecast, citing weak holiday sales in Europe. The video game publisher lost 8.3%.

Intel and JPMorgan report results this week.

The November trade deficit, released in the morning, widened to US$36.4B, from a revised $33.2B in October. The deficit was expected to widen to US$34.5B.

Overseas markets

Dow down 66 pts to 10,598 (10,569 – 10,663)

S&P 500 down 14 pts to 1,133 (1,132 – 1,144)

Nasdaq down 35 pts to 2,278 (2,273 – 2,299)

Russell 2000 down 10 pts to 634 (634 – 644)

SPI 200 Futures down 52 pts to 4,839 (4,828 – 4,906)

FTSE down 39 pts to 5,499 (5,460 – 5,550)

Nikkei up 81 pts to 10,879 (10,764 – 10,905)

Shanghai SE Comp up 61 pts to 3,274 (3,180 – 3,275)

Commodities

WTI Oil down 2.4% to US$80.55/bbl

Gold down 2.0% to US$1,129/oz

Sugar (NY) up 2.3% to USc27.36/lb

Corn down 0.3% to US$3.81/bushel

Wheat down 6.7% to US$5.02/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) down 3.5% to US$5.57/MMbtu

Silver down 1.7% to US$18.24/oz

Platinum down 1.4% to US$1,569/oz

Palladium down 2.1% to US$425.25/oz

Copper (NY) down 2.7% to US$3.34/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ down 0.5USc to US$0.92 /A$

EUR / US$ up 0.8USc to US$1.45 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 1.4USc to US$1.62 /GBP

US$ / Yen down 1.7 Yen to 90.97 Yen/US$

Forex Trading Tips

Total Trader — Tue, 12 Jan 2010 02:07:34 +0000

Tip 1. Gamblers go to casino. All unproved, spontaneous actions in Forex trading — are a part of pure gambling. Any attempt to trade without analysis and studying the market is equal to a game. Game is fun except when you are losing real money

Tip 2. Never invest money into a real Forex account until you practice on a Forex Demo account!Allow at least 1 month for demo trading. Consider this: 90% of beginners fail to succeed in the real money market only because of lack of knowledge, practice and discipline. Those remaining 10% of successful traders had been sharpening and shaping their skills for years before entering the real market.

Tip 3. Go with the trend!Trend is your friend. Trade with the trend to maximize your chances to succeed. Trading against the trend won’t “kill” a trader, but will definitely require more attention, nerves and sharp skills to rich trading goals.

Tip 4. Always take a look at the time frame bigger than the one you’ve chosen to trade in. It gives the bigger picture of market price movements and so helps to clearly define the trend. For example, when trading in 15 minute time frame, take a look at 1 hour chart; trading hourly would require obtaining a picture of daily, weekly price movements. If a trend is hard to spot — choose a bigger time frame. Up and down market patterns are always present. Always make sure you know the dominant trend, unless you are a scalper. Scalpers have no need to spend their time studying big trends, what’s happening in the market here and now (during 5-10 minute time frame) should be of only importance to a Forex scalper.

Tip 5. Never risk more than 2-3% of the total trading account.

One important difference between a successful and an unsuccessful trader is that the first is able to survive under unfavourable conditions on the market, while an unsuccessful trader will blow up his account after 5-10 unprofitable trades in the row.Even with the same trading system 2 traders can get opposite results in the long run. The difference will be again in the money management approach. To introduce you to money management, let’s get one fact: losing 50% of total account requires making 100% return from the rest of money just to restore the original balance.

Tip 6. Put emotions down, trade calm. Don’t try to revenge after losing the trade. Don’t be greedy by adding lots of positions when winning.

Overreaction blocks clear thinking and as a result will cost you money. Overtrading can shake your money management and dramatically increase trading risks.

Tip 7. Choose the time frame that is right for you. Choosing wise means that you are comfortable and have time enough to analyse the market, place and close orders etc. Some people can’t wait for hours for the price to make a move; they like action and therefore prefer smaller time frames. On the contrary, for others 10-15 minutes is a hustle to be able to make the right decision.

Tip 8. Not trading or standing aside is a position. When in doubt — stay out. If it is not clear where the market will move — don’t trade. In this case saving present capital is and absolutely better choice than risking and losing money.

Tip 9. Learn to use protective stops. Respect them and don’t move.

Hoping that market will turn in your direction is a very delusive hope. By moving a stop loss further a trader increases his chances to end up with much bigger loss. When holding to a losing trade too long, and even if funds permit, traders as a rule are very reluctant to accept big losses, thus often continue “hoping for best”. In the mean time invested money is stuck in the open trade for unknown period of time (weeks and even months) and cannot be used for opening new positions. Not working money — dead money. Also this will result in constant interest payments for holding open positions.

Tip 10. “Keep it simple, stupid” — applies to indicators, signals and trading strategies. Too much information will create a controversial picture of when to trade and when not to. To avoid lots of confusion create a simple but working method of trading Forex.

Tip 11. Think about risk/reward ratio before entering each trade.

How much money can you lose in this trade? How much can you gain? Now, make a decision if the trade is worth entering. Example: if trader is looking for possible 35 pips gain and possible 25 pips of loss, such conditions are not worth trading. Compare it with the situation when a trader has 100-120 pips of potential gain and only 10-20 pips of possible loss. This is the trade to open!

Tip 12. Never add positions to a losing trade. Do add positions when the trade has proven to be profitable. Don’t allow a couple of losing trades in a row become a snowball of losing trades. When it is obviously not a good day, turn the monitor off. Often not trading for one day can help to break a chain of consecutive losses. Trying to get revenge can often make things worse.

Tip 13. Let your profits run. Let your position be open for as long as the market wishes to reward you. Of course, for this traders need a good exit strategy, otherwise they risk to give all profits back… Running two or more open trades gives an option to close some positions earlier and keep others running for higher profits.

Tip 14. Cut your losses short. It’s better to finish unprofitable trade quickly than wait for the situation to get worse. Don’t put a stop loss too far — it’s your money you risk. Better calculate the best spot to enter when a potential loss would be minimized. Again: respect your stop and don’t move it “cherishing hopes”.

Tip 15. Trade currency pairs in respect to their active market hours.

Learn about overlapping market hours: when two markets are open and highest volume of trades is conducted.For example, Australian and Japanese trading sessions are overlapped from 8pm to 1 am EST. At that time trader can successfully trade AUD/JPY currency pair.

Tip 16. Choose the right day to trade. This recomendation is often wrongly taken as an optional thing, because everyone knows that Forex market is open 24 hours a day 7 days a week. Yet, choosing the time to trade can make a difference between successful and hopeless trading. It’s proved and highly recommended not to trade on Mondays, when the market has recently awaken and is making first “probation steps” to form a new or confirm a current trend; and on Fridays afternoon, during the huge volume of closing trades. The best days to trade are Tuesdays, Wednesdays and Thursdays.

Tip 17. Learn about Fibonacci levels and how to use them for trading.

Fibonacci can be very helpful in trading, even partially using the study, for example, to determine the best exit, can bring traders to a new edge of trading.

Tip 18. Always ensure that a signalling bar/candle on the chart is fully formed and closed before you enter a trade.

A golden rule of trading: “Always trade what you see, not what you would like to see” is the best explanation here.

Tip 19. If you ask for someone else’s advice as about how and when to trade

in other words, choose to rely on live trading signals from other traders, make sure you do it for your benefit, not for disaster. If you use such signals to discover how other traders do analysis and study on the price — you are on the right track and soon you’ll be able to do analysis yourself.

But if you’re just blindly following recommendations and your only task is to push the correct button… think again.

Tip 20. Using a highly leveraged account comes at a cost. It will, of course, give a trader more financial gear to trade, but for inexperienced traders high leverage, and, in fact, any Forex leverage can be disastrous. When a trader signs up for a high leverage without knowing how to accurately use it to own advantage, he simply signs up for additional risks that multiply with higher leverage in a tight “friendly” proportion.

Tip 21. Learn to measure trading success by the end of the day, week and then month and year. Do not judge about your trading success on a single trade. To be successful traders don’t need to win every trade, they also don’t become rich in one trade — they need to be profitable in a long run.

Tip 22. There is no such thing as a secret approach to understanding the market. Take the time to develop a solid trading system and find out that the secret to trading success lies in hard work and constant learning.

Three Bad Reasons for Pursuing Trading as a Career

Eden — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 23:06:43 +0000

When I talk with traders who are having problems, I often find that the root problem is that they have pursued work in the financial markets for the wrong reasons. Here are three of the most common problematic reasons that draw people to trading:

1) The Thrill of Gain – While this often masquerades as a passion for markets, a little observation reveals that these traders have little interest either in markets that they don’t trade or in markets while they are not trading. The interest in market action often reveals addictive patterns, in which the roller coaster rides of gains and losses become more valued than the achievement of a smooth, upward sloping equity curve. This leads to overtrading and painful emotional ups and downs.

2) The Need for Independence – These traders are drawn to markets because they don’t want to have to answer to someone else in a structured job. The problem with this pattern is that the very need for independence that leads people away from structured careers also leads them away from the kind of structured practice and preparation that are necessary for trading success. Just as these traders don’t want to be tethered to a 9-to-5 career, they rebel against being tethered to markets. This shows up as poor discipline, poor preparation, and difficulty sustaining even modest efforts at performance development (such as keeping daily journals).

3) The Need to Make It Big – Many traders try to use performance in the markets, not as an expression of their competence, but as a desperate attempt to prove it. They don’t feel successful in other endeavours and are using markets to try to be a success in life. As a result, most of their self-esteem eggs are in the trading basket. That becomes threatening and stressful when inevitable trading slumps occur. Worse still, such traders often feel a need to make more and more to fill the hole of lacking self worth, eventually leading them to take too much risk and blow up.

What is the common theme among the three groups of traders? They are using trading to act out (and try to resolve) personal issues that are separate from risk/reward and opportunity in markets. Their needs lead them to place trades more for psychological reasons than logical ones.

Source: Brett Steenbarger

Stock Market Report 12-1-10

Eden — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 22:56:47 +0000

US technology shares fell on Monday as investors took profits after the NASDAQ touched a 16-month high on Friday. Shares of industrials buoyed the broad market following the release of strong Chinese economic data.

Market breadth was mixed. On the New York Stock Exchange, winners beat losers eight to seven. On the NASDAQ, decliners topped advancers seven to six.

China’s strong trade data lifted US companies with large international operations. Constructions machinery maker and Dow component Caterpillar jumped 6%, its largest daily advance in nearly three months. Aluminium producer Alcoa rose 1.2% ahead of its fourth-quarter earnings announcement expected after market close. Analysts, on average, expect Alcoa to show a profit of 6cps compared to a loss in the previous quarter.

Dow components Intel and JPMorgan report results later this week. S&P 500 earnings are expected to have more than tripled in the fourth quarter of 2009, thanks to easy comparisons to the fourth quarter of 2008. A substantial improvement in financial sector results is expected to fuel gains.

McMoRan and Energy XXI shares jumped after the energy companies announced a key discovery at one of their oil exploration wells in the Gulf of Mexico.

Technology shares, however, weighed on the market. Shares in Apple, Dell and Hewlett-Packard all declined.

UPS and Fedex advanced 4.8% and 2.9%, respectively, on speculation that cold weather affecting parts of the US will drive consumers away from stores and into online shopping, increasing shipment volumes.

Among decliners, Dow component Procter & Gamble shares fell 0.4% on concern that Friday’s currency devaluation in Venezuela could hurt sales and revenue as products will be more expensive.

Overseas Markets

Dow up 48 pts to 10,666 (10,592 – 10,676)

S&P 500 up 2 pts to 1,147 (1,142 – 1,150)

Nasdaq down 5 pts to 2,312 (2,302 – 2,326)

SPI 200 Futures up 6 pts to 4,939 (4,916 – 4,958)

FTSE up 4 pts to 5,538 (5,528 – 5,600)

Nikkei up 117 pts to 10,798 (10,678 – 10,816)

Shanghai SE Comp up 17 pts to 3,213 (3,197 – 3,307)

Commodities

WTI Oil down 0.3% to US$82.52/bbl

Gold up 1.2% to US$1,152/oz

Sugar (NY) down 2.8% to USc26.75/lb

Corn up 1.6% to US$3.82/bushel

Wheat up 1.7% to US$5.38/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) down 12.0% to US$5.77/MMbtu

Silver up 0.8% to US$18.62/oz

Platinum up 1.1% to US$1,596/oz

Palladium up 1.3% to US$433.75/oz

Copper (NY) up 1.2% to US$3.43/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ up 1.4USc to US$0.93 /A$

EUR / US$ up 2.2USc to US$1.45 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 1.7USc to US$1.61 /GBP

US$ / Yen down 1.3 Yen to 92.07 Yen/US$

The 8 Economic Factors That Affect The Forex Market

Total Trader — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 03:43:40 +0000

Where economic theory will affect the Forex market on a long-term basis, the affect of changes in economic data is much more immediate. Oftentimes, the biggest companies in the exchange market are the various countries that participate in market activities and there currency is likened to shares in that country. It follows then that the country’s economic data is analogous to the earnings data of a company or business entity.

News and information regarding a country’s economy can have a direct impact on the direction that the country’s currency is heading in much the same way that current events and financial news affect stock prices, hence the importance of economic factors. The following eight economic factors will directly affect a currency’s movements in the Forex market.

Factor 1 – Employment Data

Non-farm payrolls is the name given to the data that pertains to the number of people who are employed within the US economy, and it is released the first Friday of every month by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Strong decreases in employment indicate a contracting economy, while strong increases are perceived indicators of a prosperous economy.

Factor 2 – Interest Rates

This is always a major focus in the Forex market. Since the central banks mandate monetary policy and supply, they are the prime focus of investors and the various market participants.

Factor 3 – Inflation

This is the measure of increases or decreases in pricing levels over a period of time. Due to the immense number of goods and services available in a country, usually a grouping of these goods and services are used to measure changes in the pricing. Increases in pricing indicate an increase in the inflation rate which in turn can devalue that country’s currency.

Factor 4 – Gross Domestic Product

This is the measurement for goods and services that were finished over a period of time. The GDP is broken down into 4 categories:

1. business spending

2. government spending

3. private consumption

4. total net exports

Factor 5 – Retail Sales

The measurement of sales recorded by retailers over a period of time is a reflection of either increased or decreased consumer spending, depending on whether sales are up or down for the comparative period a year ago. This indicator gives market participants an idea as to how strong or weak the economy is.

Factor 6 – Durable Goods

Goods that have a lifespan of three or more years are considered durable goods and they are measured in quantities that are ordered, shipped, or unfilled over a period of time. These are also an indicator of economic spending or the lack of it.

Factor 7 – Trade and Capital Flows

Currency values can be significantly impacted by monetary flows that result from certain interactions between countries. When imports exceed exports, there is a tendency for the currency value to decline. Increased investments in a country can lead to the opposite result.

Factor 8 – Macroeconomic and Geopolitical Events

Elections, financial crises, monetary policy changes, and wars can influence the biggest changes in the Forex market. These events can either change and/or lead to reshaping of a country’s economy

Richard Russell (Dow Theory Letters): Silver – “poor man’s gold”

Eden — Mon, 11 Jan 2010 03:19:42 +0000

“They call it ‘the poor man’s gold’. But don’t turn your nose up at silver. The dollar was originally defined in terms of silver. When precious metals are on the rise (as now), silver tends to be seen as a monetary metal. When times are bad, silver is seen as an industrial metal. Silver has a huge number of industrial uses, silver is the best conductor of electricity. Unlike gold, silver is actually used (and used up) in industry. Thus, a large amount of silver is lost every year. In contrast, 85% of all the gold ever mined in all history is still around; it’s in your teeth or in your sweeties’ bracelet or in that ancient Egyptian ring that you see in your local museum.

“Historically, when silver gets going, it tends to make huge percentage moves. I think you can see that from the long-term chart below. For instance, back in November 2008, silver was selling for 8.65 an ounce. Today an ounce of silver is selling for 18.10 an ounce, more than double.

“Silver is now climbing back from a drastic correction, as you can see via the chart below. In December silver hit a high of over 19 dollars an ounce. Back in 1980 (and I remember this well) silver climbed wildly (limit up day after day), and it hit $50 dollars an ounce around January of 1980.

“Silver is now in an erratic bull market. How high it may go I don’t know, but I would not be shocked to see silver ultimately climb above its 1980 price of $50 bucks an ounce. Historically, once ounce of gold will buy around 15 ounces of silver. Today an ounce of gold will buy 62 ounces of silver. Silver compared with gold is dirt-cheap today.

“How to invest in silver? I like the 100 ounce bars if you can find them (they weigh about 8.5 pounds each). Or buy the 10 ounce bars. Or you can buy the exchange traded fund SLV.

“Yesterday, both gold and platinum closed at new highs for the move. Silver is lagging behind, but when silver finally catches up, it may be a stunner. Over the last year the price of silver doubled; gold didn’t perform that well.

“Below I show a point & figure chart of silver. The white metal is now in a well-established rising trend. The upside target is the 21 box. If silver hits the 22 box, that will light the fuse. If silver hits the 22 box, I will view the whole structure that you see on this chart as one huge base.

“To put it briefly, I like silver. Gold has one advantage over silver, every central bank owns some gold, and most want more.”

Source: Richard Russell

Investing vs.Trading What’s The Difference?

Eden — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 23:43:31 +0000

There is a question which is sometimes asked by those new to the financial markets, and even occasionally debated by experienced participants. That question is how one differentiates between trading and investing. Because both trading and investing – when one considers them from the perspective of the financial markets – are performed in very similar fashions, they are often thought of as interchangeable actions.

Both trading and investing, after all, are at the most simple of levels application of capital in the pursuit of profits. If I buy XYZ stock I expect to either see the price appreciate or earn dividends perhaps both.

What separates trading from investing, however, is that generally in trading one has an exit expectation. This might be in the form of a price target or in terms of how long the position will be held. Either way, the trade is seen to have a finite life. Investing, on the other hand, is more open-ended. An investor will buy a company’s stock with no predefined notion of when he or she will sell, if ever.

We can use examples to help demonstrate the difference. Warren Buffet is an investor. He buys companies which he sees as somehow undervalued and holds on to his positions for as long as he continues to like their prospects. He does not think in terms of a price at which he will exit the stock. George Soros is (or at least was while he was still actively running his hedge fund) a trader. His most famous trade was shorting the British Pound when he thought the currency was overvalued and ready to be withdrawn from the European Exchange Rate Mechanism. The position he took was based on a specific circumstance. Once the Pound was allowed to float freely, and quickly devalued in the market, Soros exited with a handsome profit. That meets the criteria of having a predefined exit, making it a trade, not an investment.

There is another way one can define trading as set against investing, though. It has to do with the manner in which the applied capital is expected to produce a return. In trading the appreciation of capital is the objective. You buy XZY stock at 10 expecting it to go to 15 and thereby produce a capital gain. If dividends or interest are paid out along the way, that is fine, but likely only a minor contribution to the expected profits.

In contrast, investing looks more toward income over time. That makes income production, such as dividends and bond interest payments, the major focal point. Do investors experience capital appreciation? Sure, but unlike in trading, that is not the prime motivation.

With these definitions in mind, consider what many people refer to as their single biggest investment their home. Based our second definition of investing, however, a home is generally not an investment because in most cases is does not produce any income. In fact, it produces considerable expenses in the form of mortgage interest payments, utility bills, and upkeep. If anything, a home is a trade. We buy it and hope for its value to rise over time, increasing our equity. And the fact that many people expect to move in only a few years and sell at that point makes it even more of a trade rather than an investment. (Of course own rental property can certainly be viewed as investing, unless one is flipping it, which would definitely be more trading.)

As noted earlier, for many people trading and investing seem like the same thing. The mechanics of buying and selling are basically the same. Sometimes the analysis one does to make those decisions is identical as well. Its the intention and definition of objectives which separate trading and investing, though.

Weekly Commodity Update 11-1-10

Eden — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 23:32:52 +0000

Commodity markets kicked off the New Year by making strong gains as exceptionally cold weather across the Northern hemisphere gave energy and other sectors a boost.

This time of year everyone from hedge funds through to the private investors get back into the markets looking for profitable investment opportunities. Given the strong performance of commodities in 2009 where the CRB index rose by 30% and investment flows into the sector rose by more than USD 60 billion it was and is expected that the sector will have another year with positive returns.

Friday’s unemployment data showed another steep drop in unemployment and gave the market a clear indication that the recovery among developed nations could become a long drawn out event and that we have to look towards the emerging economies for support.

On that note speculation emerged during the week that the Chinese government would begin to tighten their monetary policy to reduce inflationary risks after a record gain in lending. This could lead to a reduced demand for raw materials and will be watched very closely once it occurs. What it highlights is that the risk of reversals despite the general bullish attitude to commodities is ever present.

These expectations combined with very cold weather this winter have meant that particularly the energy sector began the week strongly with Crude testing the 2009 highs and Heating Oil breaking well clear and making new highs. Crude Oil began its rally three weeks ago rallying 18% to a new high of USD 83.52 before profit taking occurred before and after the US unemployment data. The weekly storage numbers did not have a major impact but the cold weather no doubt have given market bulls an extra argument for buying the black gold.

Technically WTI Crude Oil for February delivery reached overbought territory during the week which left the market exposed to a correction. Given the current weather situation support should not be far away. Initial support is located at USD 80 which also coincides with the level OPEC has seen as being sustainable and acceptable given the current economic level of activity. Below that next level is USD 77.80 followed by USD 76.05. Resistance can be found at USD 83 followed by the psychological level of USD 85 and trend line at USD 87.10.

Gold began the week with less conviction than the energy sector but the strong correction seen towards the end of 2009 has given new buyers a better level to enter and some upside pressure to prices was seen during the week. Resistance at USD 1,142 ahead of 50% retracement of the recent sell off at USD 1,151 needs to be negotiated before a new attack on the USD 1,200 level can be initiated. Before that happens look for the market to range trade with support coming in at USD 1,171 ahead of USD 1,142.

HG Copper continued its strong 2009 performance into 2010 reaching USD 350 on weather and a strike at Codelco, the world’s largest Copper producer before profit taking and the news about a potential fiscal tightening in China saw sellers emerge. The impressive rally that began back in March 2009 looks intact as long we stay above the December high at USD 325.

Stock Market Report 11-1-10

Eden — Sun, 10 Jan 2010 23:27:58 +0000

US stocks rose on Friday despite weak December jobs data. The S&P 500, Dow Jones and NASDAQ hit their highest level in at least 15 months. Friday ended a strong week, with the S&P 500 rising in all five sessions.

Volume was light on the NYSE. Advancing stocks outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a ratio of about three to two, while advancing stocks beat decliners on the NASDAQ by about seven to four.

Data from the Labour Department showed that 85,000 jobs were cut in December. Analysts expected no non-farm job losses in December from the previous month. However, analysts noted that monthly job losses have declined sharply since the height of the recession. In addition, November’s payrolls report was revised to show a gain of 4,000 jobs, versus the initially reported loss of 11,000. The unemployment rate, generated by a separate survey, held steady at 10%, in line with forecasts.

UPS gave support to the market after it boosted its fourth-quarter outlook and said it will cut 1,800 jobs. Its shares rose nearly 5%. The news also sent shares of rival Fedex Corp higher by 2.5%. It also boosted investor optimism for the reporting season, which starts Monday with Alcoa reporting its results.

On the NASDAQ, biotechnology companies were in favour. Teva Pharmaceutical Industries gained 4.4% after the drug maker set a revenue target of 2015 of US$31B, more than double its current annual amount.

Among other biotechnology companies, Genzyme Corp advanced 5.2% on speculation that billionaire investor Carl Icahn was considering a proxy battle at the biotech company.

The first week of the year got off to a positive start. For the week, the Dow rose 1.8% the S&P 500 added 2.7% and the NASDAQ rose 2%.

In other economic news, wholesale inventories rose 1.5% in November after rising 0.6% in October. Economists expected inventories to fall 0.3%. Another report showed consumer borrowing fell by US$17.5B in November versus expectations of US$5B. Borrowing was down US$3.5B in the previous month.

Since the start of the year, analysts have revised up their earnings estimates for all S&P sectors except healthcare, financials and consumer staples.

Overseas markets

Dow up 11 pts to 10,618 (10,554 – 10,619)

S&P 500 up 3 pts to 1,145 (1,136 – 1,145)

Nasdaq up 17 pts to 2,317 (2,291 – 2,318)

Russell 2000 up 3 pts to 645 (640 – 645)

SPI 200 Futures up 30 pts to 4,925 (4,887 – 4,925)

FTSE up 8 pts to 5,534 (5,495 – 5,549)

Nikkei up 117 pts to 10,798 (10,678 – 10,816)

Shanghai SE Comp up 3 pts to 3,196 (3,149 – 3,199)

Commodities

S&P 500 Metals & Mining Index up 5.3pts (2.8%) to 192.4

Sugar (NY) down 1.7% to USc27.53/lb

Corn up 1.6% to US$3.82/bushel

Wheat up 2.1% to US$5.29/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) down 13.8% to US$6.47/MMbtu

Silver up 1.3% to US$18.48/oz

Platinum up 1.5% to US$1,579/oz

Palladium up 0.4% to US$428.25/oz

Copper (NY) down 0.7% to US$3.39/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ up 0.5USc to US$0.92 /A$

EUR / US$ up 0.0USc to US$1.44 /EUR

GBP / US$ up 0.0USc to US$1.60 /GBP

US$ / Yen up 0.3 Yen to 92.66 Yen/US$

Top 10 Currencies Traded On The Forex Market

Total Trader — Fri, 08 Jan 2010 00:47:56 +0000

The FX market, also known as the foreign exchange market, is a way for companies, banks, and individuals to trade currencies to try to gain on their initial investments. The Forex market is different and unique; the three markets (US, Europe, Asia) have at least one running at all times during the weekdays; this makes this a 24 hour a week-day market, working constantly on the week days to make sure currencies can be traded.

All currencies have the opportunity to be traded, but there are obviously major players that are traded the most on the FX market. There are 10 players on the market that find themselves a part of a majority of the trades that happen on the Forex market.

The Norwegian Krone, the Hong Kong Dollar, and the Swedish Krona

The Norwegian Krone is the number 10 most traded currency in the Forex market, as it is a part of nearly 1.5 percent of the daily transactions that happen. The Hong Kong dollar is the number 9 most traded currency as far as the forex market is concerned. Hong Kongs Dollar is a part of nearly 2 percent of the daily transactions. The Swedish Krona is a part of over 2 percent of the daily trades on the forex market.

The Canadian Dollar, the Australian Dollar, and the Swiss Franc

The Canadian Dollar finds itself at number 7 on the forex most traded list with over 4percent of the daily transaction on the forex market. The Australian Dollar finds itself with over 5 percent of the daily forex transactions and at number 6 on the list, and the Swiss Franc finds itself at number 5 with over 6 percent of the daily transactions.

The British Pound and the Japanese Yen

The British Pound, often compared to the US dollar, finds itself at number four on the forex most traded list by being apart of nearly 17 percent of the daily transactions. The Japanese Yen comes in at number 3. The Yen is featured in slightly over 20 percent of the daily transactions on the forex market.

The Euro and the United States Dollar

The Euro is an interesting currency, as it is the currency for multiple countries. This includes countries like Germany. Germany has the bank that does the most trading in the forex market. The Euro is the number two most traded currency on the forex market, as it is a part of nearly 37 percent of the daily transactions. The United States Dollar is easily the most powerful currency on the market, as it is a part of nearly 90 percent of the transactions that occur daily. As the number one most traded currency, it has 5 of the top 10 most active traders on the forex market.

Stock Market Report 8-1-10

Eden — Thu, 07 Jan 2010 23:42:00 +0000

Overseas markets

Dow up 31 pts to 10,605 (10,505 – 10,612)

S&P 500 up 5 pts to 1,142 (1,131 – 1,142)

Nasdaq down 2 pts to 2,299 (2,285 – 2,301)

Russell 2000 up 4 pts to 642 (633 – 642)

SPI 200 Futures up 29 pts to 4,913 (4,875 – 4,913)

FTSE down 3 pts to 5,527 (5,500 – 5,552)

Nikkei down 50 pts to 10,682 (10,637 – 10,774)

Shanghai SE Comp down 61 pts to 3,193 (3,177 – 3,269)

Top 3 US sectors: Financials up 2.3%; Industrials up 1.3%; Consumer Disc. up 0.9%.

Bottom 3 US sectors: Telecom Svcs down 0.9%; Utilities down 0.5%; Materials down 0.5%.

Rio Tinto plc up 0.11% to A$63.22 eq.; a 20% discount to prev Aust close A$79.00

BHP plc down -0.43% to A$36.34 eq.; a 17% discount to prev Aust close A$43.77

BHP ADR down -0.78% to A$43.76 eq.; a 0% discount to prev Aust close A$43.77

Gold: Barrick Gold Corp -1.3%; NewMont -0.4%; Anglogold -0.8%.

Oil: Chevron -0.4%; Exxon -0.3%; Coconophillips -0.5%; Anadarko -0.1%.

Resources: Alcoa -2.2%; Freeport -1.9%.

Steel: Arcelor +1.0%; Nucor -0.8%; US Steel +0.8%; Posco -1.3%.

Commodities

WTI Oil down 0.5% to US$82.75/bbl

Gold down 0.5% to US$1,131/oz

S&P 500 Metals & Mining Index down 2.1pts (1.1%) to 187.2

Sugar (NY) down 1.4% to USc28.00/lb

Corn up 0.8% to US$3.80/bushel

Wheat down 1.9% to US$5.18/bushel

Natural Gas (Henry Hub) up 16.0% to US$7.50/MMbtu

Silver up 0.4% to US$18.28/oz

Platinum up 0.0% to US$1,557/oz

Palladium down 0.5% to US$426.00/oz

Copper (NY) down 1.9% to US$3.41/lb

Currency

A$ / US$ up 0.5USc to US$0.92 /A$

EUR / US$ down 0.5USc to US$1.43 /EUR

GBP / US$ down 0.5USc to US$1.59 /GBP

US$ / Yen up 1.6 Yen to 93.31 Yen/US$