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		<title>Dear Senator Feinstein …</title>
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		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/10/dear-senator-feinstein/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 21:18:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[health care reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diane Feinstein]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obamacare]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3494</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I wrote my legislators opposing health care &#8220;reform.&#8221; Here is my letter:</p>
<p>Dear Senator Feinstein:</p>
<p>I oppose the proposed health care legislation because I do not believe it is real &#8220;reform.&#8221; I do not believe it will deliver the best health care to the most people at the lowest cost.</p>
<p>I believe that our current system has deteriorated [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wrote my legislators opposing health care &#8220;reform.&#8221; Here is my letter:</p>
<blockquote><p>Dear Senator Feinstein:</p>
<p>I oppose the proposed health care legislation because I do not believe it is real &#8220;reform.&#8221; I do not believe it will deliver the best health care to the most people at the lowest cost.</p>
<p>I believe that our current system has deteriorated because of the passage of Medicare. The rigged tax code, the prevention of competition, the lack of control by consumers of their health care dollars, meddlesome regulation, and the burden of Medicare costs being borne by non-Medicare privately insured consumers, have lead to our current mess.</p>
<p>The claims that this proposal is fiscally responsible is contrary to the evidence. A look at similar systems throughout the world reveal that they are all losing money and are resorting to more market based solutions as a fix to their problems.</p>
<p>I recommend a few simple reforms as the start of real reform to our health care system:</p>
<ul>
<li>Give Medicare enrollees a voucher and the freedom to choose any health plan on the market.</li>
<li>Reform the tax treatment of health care with &#8220;large&#8221; health savings accounts to give workers control over their health care dollars.</li>
<li>Allowing consumers to purchase health insurance licensed by other states could cover one-third of the uninsured without any new taxes or government subsidies.</li>
<li>Reform Medicaid and the State Children&#8217;s Health Insurance Program by Block-granting those programs the way it reformed welfare in 1996.</li>
</ul>
<p>These simple acts would contain costs, increase consumer choice, increase competition, and cover most uninsureds without government mandates.</p>
<p>Sincerely,</p>
<p>Jeffrey Harding</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I had no illusions that Senator Feinstein would write back and say, &#8220;Mr. Harding. Thank you for your wonderful suggestions as I was not aware that government controlled health care systems were so inefficient. From now on I&#8217;m going to suggest more free market solutions for health care.&#8221;</p>
<p>Here is what Diane Feinstein wrote back:</p>
<blockquote><p>Dear Mr. Harding:</p>
<p>Thank you for writing to me to express your concerns about healthcare reform. I appreciate the time you took to write to me, and I welcome this opportunity to convey my opinions on how we should reform our health care system.</p>
<p>I support reforming our healthcare system. The key is to find a healthcare plan that will provide coverage to the millions of uninsured Americans and keep premium costs affordable, while not adding to our nation&#8217;s unsustainable federal budget deficit.  On December 24, 2009, I joined 59 of my colleagues in voting to pass healthcare reform legislation.  The &#8220;Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act&#8221; passed by a vote of 60-39.</p>
<p>I voted for the legislation because I believe it makes several important improvements while preserving the parts of our system that work well. Some important changes will occur immediately and others will be phased in.  It will provide immediate assistance, including tax credits for small businesses and $5 billion to help subsidize coverage for some people who have been denied due to preexisting conditions. And the legislation would shrink the Medicare prescription drug coverage gap by $500.  As these health reforms take place, Congress will be able to assess and adjust the programs to improve healthcare for all Americans. All of this is accomplished in a fiscally responsible manner, reducing the budget deficit and preserving the solvency of Medicare.</p>
<p>On February 22, 2010, the President released a new healthcare reform proposal, and on February 25th, the President held a Health Care Summit that was televised nationally.  At the Summit, Democratic and Republican Members of Congress discussed the proposal, the issues they agree and disagree on, and openly worked on a way to reform our healthcare system.</p>
<p>On March 3, 2010, President Obama asked Congress to deliver a final healthcare reform bill to his desk by the end of this month.  The President believes that this legislation deserves an up-or-down vote.  Please know that I will keep your comments in mind as I continue to work with my colleagues to pass a health reform bill that makes healthcare affordable for all Americans.</p>
<p>Again, thank you for writing.  If you should have any further comments or questions, please feel free to contact my Washington, D.C. office at (202) 224-3841.  Best regards.</p>
<p>Sincerely yours,</p>
<p>Dianne Feinstein<br />
 United States Senator</p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>Party Boy Roubini Worries About Double Dip</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/yfvMlzu9l1A/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/10/party-boy-roubini-worries-about-double-dip/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 19:55:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[double dip recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nouriel Roubini]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession recovery]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3488</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p></p>
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<p>My favorite party boy economist, Nouriel Roubini, just came out with his analysis for the second half and he notes that wemay be heading toward a double-dip recession. Too much negative news, he frets. I have been saying this for some time. The difference between me and Roubini is that he believes in the necessity [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/roubini2.jpg" target="_blank"><img class="size-medium wp-image-1594 alignleft" title="roubini2" src="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/roubini2-300x277.jpg" alt="" width="231" height="213" /></a></p>
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<p>My favorite party boy economist, <a title="Roubini Global Economics" href="http://www.roubini.com/" target="_blank">Nouriel Roubini</a>, just came out with his analysis for the second half and he notes that wemay be heading toward a double-dip recession. Too much negative news, he frets. I have been saying this for some time. The difference between me and Roubini is that he believes in the necessity and efficacy of fiscal and monetary stimulus whereas I don&#8217;t. He went to Mises University but, apparently, only took Austrian Econ 101, not 201.</p>
<p>Here is his research note:</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>V, U and W</strong></p>
<p>A slew of poor economic data over the past two weeks suggests that the U.S. economy is headed for a U-shaped recovery—at best—in 2010. The macro news, including data on consumer confidence, home sales, construction and employment, actually suggests a significant downside risk even to the anemic levels of growth which RGE forecast for H1. <em>The U.S. faces continued challenges in H2—particularly as historic levels of fiscal stimulus fade—and appears far too close to the tipping point of a double-dip recession. </em></p>
<p><em> This is not the conventional wisdom</em>. Heated debate continues to rage in the United States on whether the economic recovery will be V-shaped (with a rapid return to robust growth above potential), U-shaped (slow anemic, sub-par, below trend growth for at least the next two years) or W-shaped (a double-dip recession). The V camp includes distinguished research groups and individuals such as Ed Hyman’s ISI, Larry Meyer’s Macroeconomic Advisors, the research group of JP Morgan, Michael Mussa and others. The U camp includes—among others—Roubini Global Economics, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. economic research group, PIMCO and Ken Rogoff. As early as August 2009, I worried in a <em>Financial Times op-ed</em> about the risk of a double-dip recession even if our RGE benchmark scenario characterizes the risk of a W as still a low probability event (20% probability) as opposed to a 60% probability for a U-shaped recovery. Others concerned about the double-dip risk include also David Rosenberg, Gary Shilling and John Makin. <span id="more-3488"></span></p>
<p>Ed Hyman and I debated whether the recovery would be U or V-shaped on a February 22 conference call attended by over 2,200 listeners. Since that call, a slew of new U.S. macro data have come out. They have been almost uniformly poor, if not outright awful. Consumer confidence, based on the Michigan survey, has tanked. On the real estate front, new home sales are collapsing again, existing home sales are also falling sharply, and construction activity (both residential and commercial) is sharply down. Durable goods orders are down, initial claims for unemployment benefits remain stubbornly high (way above the 400K mark). Real disposable income for Q4 has been revised downward while real disposable income (before transfers) for January was negative again. The manufacturing ISM index—while still expanding being above 50—has now fallen a couple of notches and its production and new orders index levels are falling, too; and global PMIs suggest a loss of momentum in the global economic recovery. Real inventories look unchanged in Q1 relative to Q4; auto sales were at best mediocre; core CPI was falling and core PCE was close to 0%, suggesting anemic demand and economic weakness. Q4 GDP growth was revised upward to 5.9% but most of it (3.9%) was due to inventories; final sales grew at a 1.9% rate while consumption grew at a dismal 1.7% (down from 2.8% in Q3). Q3 growth has been revised from an initial 3.5% to 2.8% to 2.2%, with final sales growing only 1.7%. So, at the time of maximum policy stimulus (H2 of 2009), final sales were growing only at a pathetic 1.8% average rate.</p>
<p>The eurozone (EZ) debt crisis, which RGE discusses in depth in a major new paper, predisposes Europe to a rising double-dip risk, due to the wave of fiscal austerity sweeping the periphery of the EZ. Even if the EZ doesn’t enter a double dip, the growth of domestic demand there will be as or more constrained than in the United States. This, in turn, will be a drag on the potential for U.S. export growth. The U.S. dollar rally on risk aversion reflects this risk. The U.S. dollar is settling back down and the threat of a debt crisis is headed off by a stronger Greek fiscal adjustment and potential adjustment package. But fiscal spending cuts, confidence hits and the looming threat of either rising unemployment or falling wages in the public sector—on top of private sector retrenchment—will remain. A similar retrenchment may well lie ahead in the United Kingdom, given rising fiscal sustainability concerns and the threat of a sterling crisis. Europe then will have great difficulty being a source of demand for U.S. exports, and may even provide impetus to faltering global demand growth, contributing to the threat of a wider double dip across high-income countries.</p>
</blockquote>
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		<title>US Transportation Agencies to Lay Off 2000 as Funds Expire</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/YOxQAT98pWQ/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/09/us-transportation-agencies-to-lay-off-2000-as-funds-expire/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 10 Mar 2010 00:59:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Keynesian economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economic recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Stiglitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Keynesian Stimulus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Krugman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession recovery]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3484</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>March 1 (Bloomberg) &#8212; The U.S. Transportation Department will lay off 2,000 employees today, halting construction projects, reimbursements to state governments and highway safety programs, according to a statement.</p>
<p>Employees will be furloughed without pay because a funding measure stalled in Congress, the department said in a statement today. The affected workers are in the Federal [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>March 1 (<a href="http://mobile.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=2065100&amp;sid=aRmUEDKFkVyw" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>) &#8212; The U.S. Transportation Department will lay off 2,000 employees today, halting construction projects, reimbursements to state governments and highway safety programs, according to a statement.</p>
<p>Employees will be furloughed without pay because a funding measure stalled in Congress, the department said in a statement today. The affected workers are in the Federal Highway Administration , the Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration and the Innovative Technology Administration.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>According to Keynesian theory, once government fiscal stimulus works its way through the economy, it will create real jobs and cause lasting economic activity. Maybe Paul Krugman and Joe Stiglitz are correct: they just aren&#8217;t spending enough. Maybe we haven&#8217;t allowed enough time. Maybe we aren&#8217;t spending it on the good government projects that really do create economic activity. Maybe &#8230;</p>
<p>Let me think about that &#8230; nope. It just doesn&#8217;t work. Again. And again. And again.</p>
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		<title>Greece Cries Wolf, Again</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/7gbZ3c-_FkI/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/09/greece-cries-wolf-again/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 22:36:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Sovereign debt]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Suprnational regulation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[EU]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Euro]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[George Papandreou]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Greece]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[sovereign default]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3476</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I watched George Papandreou last night on PBS being interviewed by Judy Woodruff. He lied the whole time. She did a pretty good job of trying to get him to admit that the Greek economic system is screwed and the Papandreous in particular had the most to do with it. Instead he just kept up [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I watched George Papandreou last night on PBS being interviewed by Judy Woodruff. He lied the whole time. She did a pretty good job of trying to get him to admit that the Greek economic system is screwed and the Papandreous in particular had the most to do with it. Instead he just kept up with his rant against &#8220;speculators&#8221; who are conspiring against Greece.</p>
<p>This is nothing but a crock. Yesterday at <a href="http://zerohedge.com" target="_blank">Zero Hedge</a> where I am a contributor, my co-blogger, &#8220;Tyler Durden&#8221; pointed out an article from Dow Jones yesterday that said:</p>
<blockquote><p>German market regulator BaFin said Monday that so far, it <em>doesn&#8217;t see any sign of massive speculation</em> in credit default swaps against Greek government bonds, despite some recent press reports suggesting this.</p>
<p>A significant reason behind widening CDS spreads is the increasing demand for insurance against Greek risk, BaFin said in a statement, adding that it closely watches the government bond and credit derivatives markets for selected euro-zone countries.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>In other words, the Greeks are fiscally incompetent and the markets are responding to this in a rational way. So George wants his fellow sovereigns to regulate these speculators so they can&#8217;t drive up the cost of the debt that Greece must sell to try to stave off default. In other words, the Greeks shouldn&#8217;t be punished for their fiscal stupidity.</p>
<p>Tyler Durden in an accompanying piece summed up Papandreou&#8217;s speech on this perfectly, and hilariously:<span id="more-3476"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>To paraphrase the 20-page speech: it is still just the speculators&#8217; fault, who are now &#8220;threatening not only Greece, but the entire global economy&#8221; so burn them all post haste before they can read all the declassified [Goldman Sachs] prospectuses, and scour the footnotes thus uncovering the truly deplorable state of all European budgets, also please ignore this huge corruption problem we have, it&#8217;s under control, oh, and it is time our globalization &#8220;partners&#8221; realize that we are critical in the future of the free world, and bail us out, even though we have repeatedly said we need no steenkin&#8217; bail out, or else global financial crisis v.2.0 &#8211; here we come. Now show me where Ben Bernanke&#8217;s office is.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Interestingly, last week&#8217;s bond sale by Greece went well for them. They sold €5 billion ($6.85 billion) of 10 year notes at 6.3%. There were €14.5 billion in bids, or three to one coverage which seems to me to be rather too good under the circumstances. My guess is that Greece&#8217;s fellow sovereigns were bidding heavily to make sure the sale went off well. From <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703502804575101912171794390.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTWhatsNews" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The final decision to sell Greece&#8217;s latest bond, announced in the early hours of trading in Athens and London, followed several days of behind-the-scenes European diplomacy and improved performance by Greek government-debt securities.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Will Germany and France <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703502804575101912171794390.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTWhatsNews" target="_blank">continue to support</a> Greece&#8217;s bond sales?</p>
<blockquote><p>Overall, Greece must borrow €54 billion this year to cover maturing debt and interest payments. That demand will crowd a euro-bond market that is scheduled to raise nearly €1 trillion this year, according to Citigroup Inc. &#8230;</p>
<p>In the next three months alone, European countries are on track to raise €287 billion, which will test the appetite of bond investors. On top of that, European banks face about €560 billion in maturing debt this year, including a substantial chunk that will have to be refinanced, according to Morgan Stanley. &#8230;</p>
<p>Many investors are worried that Greece, despite its promises, will be unable to escape its long history of overspending.</p>
<p>&#8220;We think there is still a good deal of execution risk in terms of how the Greek government is able to implement these measures,&#8221; said Kristin Ceva, who directs the global fixed-income group at Payden &amp; Rygel, a Los Angeles asset-management firm that bought Greek debt in February. &#8220;We can buy other [emerging-market] sovereigns with similar credit spreads to Greece where we think the story is a lot clearer and the fundamentals stronger.&#8221;</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Apropos to the above &#8220;execution risk&#8221; comment, I heard this morning where the cops broke into the government printing office to prevent the publication of the new austerity laws passed by the legislature. Apparently, until the new laws are published in the official government newspaper, they don&#8217;t go into effect.</p>
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		<title>Government Health Care Kills, Part II</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/mgaGwGP1Zjw/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/09/government-health-care-kills-part-ii/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 21:26:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[health care reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obama Administration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Obamacare]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[socialism]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3468</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I republished the &#8220;Government Health Care Kills&#8221; article on ZeroHedge where I also publish (same stuff as here at The Daily Capitalist). It had about 3,000 reads and 120 comments. The comments were mostly negative, especially from Canadian and UK readers who defended their systems and denigrated the U.S. health care system. Many comments were [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>I republished the &#8220;<a href="http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/05/government-run-health-care-kills-thousands/" target="_blank">Government Health Care Kills</a>&#8221; article on ZeroHedge where I also publish (same stuff as here at The Daily Capitalist). It had about 3,000 reads and 120 comments. The comments were mostly negative, especially from Canadian and UK readers who defended their systems and denigrated the U.S. health care system. Many comments were in the nature of a screed. Here is a response I made to their comments that you may find interesting.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>The proper way to analyze the delivery of health care is to understand how and why our system is flawed. I would argue that the free market delivers any product or service better and more efficiently than any government system. I think most of you would agree in general with that statement, but you don&#8217;t see it applying to health care.</p>
<p>The U.S. health care system is highly regulated. We have no real free market health care system. As a result the delivery of health care is highly distorted by the government and the result has been an expensive and often burdensome system. This has been going on since 1965 with the passage of Medicare. The rigged tax code, the prevention of competition, the lack of control by consumers of their health care dollars, meddlesome regulation, and the burden of Medicare costs being borne by non-Medicare privately insured consumers, have lead to our current mess.</p>
<p>Yet I don&#8217;t see similar problems in the delivery of other goods and services, say food for example, because the government does not regulate and control it. Yet food is more necessary to sustaining life than health care.</p>
<p>With all of these flaws, almost all (but not all) innovations, new tools and drugs come from the U.S. That is only because of the profit system that can bring big rewards to innovators and entrepreneurs.</p>
<p>I have studied the health care systems of other countries that have some form of government universal health care and they are all losing money, resort to rationing (cutbacks in services), and have a shrinking population base with which to support an aging population. From <a href="http://www.cato.org/pub_display.php?pub_id=9272" target="_blank">Cato</a>:<span id="more-3468"></span></p>
<blockquote><p>However, a closer look shows that nearly all health care systems worldwide are wrestling with problems of rising costs and lack of access to care. There is no single international model for national health care, of course. Countries vary dramatically in the degree of central control, regulation, and cost sharing they impose, and in the role of private insurance.</p>
<p>Still, overall trends from national health care systems around the world suggest the following:</p>
<ul>
<li>Health insurance does not mean universal access to health care. In practice, many countries promise universal coverage but ration care or have long waiting lists for treatment.</li>
<li>Rising health care costs are not a uniquely American phenomenon. Although other countries spend considerably less than the United States on health care, both as a percentage of GDP and per capita, costs are rising almost everywhere, leading to budget deficits, tax increases, and benefit reductions.</li>
<li>In countries weighted heavily toward government control, people are most likely to face waiting lists, rationing, restrictions on physician choice, and other obstacles to care.</li>
<li>Countries with more effective national health care systems are successful to the degree that they incorporate market mechanisms such as competition, cost sharing, market prices, and consumer choice, and eschew centralized government control.</li>
</ul>
<p>Although no country with a national health care system is contemplating abandoning universal coverage, the broad and growing trend is to move away from centralized government control and to introduce more market-oriented features.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>If we were to start over, I think many of you would choose a system that covered the most people, with the best care, at the lowest cost. Like food, only the free market can do that. But that&#8217;s not the system in which we live.</p>
<p>There are a number of market based solutions which Congress could do other than mandatory, top-down, government sponsored or controlled health care systems. I urge you to go to <a href="http://healthcare.cato.org/" target="_blank">Cato.org</a> or the <a href="http://healthcare.ncpa.org/" target="_blank">National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA)</a> for further information on this.</p>
<p>My concern is that if the U.S. system goes the way of Canada or the UK, then innovations in medical care will decline and there will be nowhere to go for advanced health care. If Danny Williams and Sylvio Berlusconi come here now, where will they go in the future?</p>
<p>Further the cost burden will be very high, placing an unfair burden on our children and grandchildren, and will be a permanent drag on the economy.</p>
<p>I understand that many of you have anecdotes about medical care, good and bad, here and in Canada and the UK. But the reality is that the Canadian and UK systems are going broke and are rationing health care. It is not feasible to raise taxes forever and still maintain a vigorous capitalistic economy.</p>
<p>I predict, as does Cato, that they will seek more market based solutions to bring costs under control. Really, you Canadians don&#8217;t have to settle for long lines and poor quality.</p>
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		<title>FDIC Needs Cash, Lots of Cash</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/6HAqUscfi74/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/09/fdic-needs-cash-lots-of-cash/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 20:16:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>I wonder if these two headlines have something in common:</p>
<p>FDIC Bracing for a Wave of Failures</p>
<p>and</p>
<p>Failed Banks May Get Pension-Fund Backing as FDIC Seeks Cash.</p>
<p>The FDIC is running out of money, is expecting many more bank failures this year, and is looking for &#8220;creative&#8221; methods of financing the mop-up.</p>
<p>With bank failures running at their highest [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I wonder if these two headlines have something in common:</p>
<p><strong><a title="from the NYT" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/business/24fdic.html?ref=todayspaper&amp;adxnnlx=1267017149-eZu6BqyY8guY8IRBJDdqcg&amp;pagewanted=print" target="_blank">FDIC Bracing for a Wave of Failures</a></strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="font-weight: normal;"><strong><span style="font-weight: normal;">and</span></strong></span></strong></p>
<p><strong></strong><strong><a title="from Bloomberg" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601109&amp;sid=aDuLDy3OUFmg" target="_blank">Failed Banks May Get Pension-Fund Backing as FDIC Seeks Cash</a>.</strong></p>
<p>The FDIC is running out of money, is expecting many more bank failures this year, and is looking for &#8220;creative&#8221; methods of financing the mop-up.</p>
<blockquote><p>With bank failures running at their highest level in nearly two decades, the F.D.I.C. is racing to keep up with rising losses to its insurance fund, which safeguards savers’ deposits. On Tuesday, the agency announced that it had placed 702 lenders on its list of “problem” banks, the highest number since 1993.</p>
<p>Not all of those banks are destined to founder, and F.D.I.C. officials said Tuesday that they expected failures to peak this year. But they also warned that the fund might have to cover $20 billion in additional losses by 2013 — a bill that could be even greater if the economy worsens. &#8230;</p>
<p>[W]ith so many banks failing, the federal deposit insurance fund has been severely depleted. At the end of 2009, it carried a <em>negative balance of $20.9 billion</em>.</p>
<p>The insurance fund is in better shape than such numbers might suggest, however. Officials estimate that bank failures would drain about $100 billion from the fund from 2009 through 2013. But of that amount, a total of roughly $80 billion in losses were recognized last year or projected for 2010. By that math, the agency is expecting an additional $20 billion of losses over the next three years.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Here is one of the creative ways they will finance the clean-up of failed banks:</p>
<blockquote><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. is trying to encourage public retirement funds that control more than $2 trillion to buy all or part of failed lenders, taking a more direct role in propping up the banking system, said people briefed on the matter.</p>
<p>Direct investments may allow funds such as those in Oregon, New Jersey and California to cut fees for private-equity managers, and the agency to get better prices for distressed assets, the people said. They declined to be identified because talks with regulators are confidential.</p>
<p>Oregon’s retirement fund may contribute $100 million as regulators seek “the support of state pension funds to solve the crisis surrounding ongoing bank failures,” Jay Fewel, a senior investment officer at the Oregon State Treasury&#8230;</p>
<p>Private-equity managed funds typically promise they’ll return funds to their investors in about 10 years. Pension funds are aiming to fund retirements that are decades away and thus can hold on to investments longer, which would help ease the FDIC’s concern, said one of the people.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>But wait, there&#8217;s more:</p>
<blockquote><p>FDIC guarantees may soften the risk of investing public pension money in distressed banks, Whalen said. When the FDIC sells a failed bank, it typically shares a portion of the loan losses.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>And that, my friends, makes for some very sweet deals.</p>
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		<item>
		<title>Are We in a Recovery?</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/xJBJAmz_GFw/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/07/are-we-in-a-recovery/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 08 Mar 2010 07:54:14 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3444</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>This was a busy week. A lot of data came in with conflicting indications.</p>
<p>In addition to the raw data I get (from the same sources as everyone else), I review  reports from other economists and commentators as well. Some of them I know I will always disagree with, others I highly respect. While I like [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This was a busy week. A lot of data came in with conflicting indications.</p>
<p>In addition to the raw data I get (from the same sources as everyone else), I review  reports from other economists and commentators as well. Some of them I know I will always disagree with, others I highly respect. While I like to keep track of conventional wisdom, I always read the data first and come to my own conclusions before I read what others think. It helps me stay &#8220;honest&#8221; if you will. Then if I&#8217;ve missed something, I can think it through a bit more.</p>
<p>The reason I am saying this is that one of the economists I respect is David Rosenberg at Gluskin Sheff. His last report (Friday, March 5) was so good that I&#8217;m going to quote from it quite a bit. It mirrors a lot of what I have been saying, and he says it quite well and we will all benefit from his analysis.</p>
<p>But first, here&#8217;s a reprise of recent data:</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Residential Real Estate</span>:</p>
<blockquote><p><a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704240004575085232728239148.html" target="_blank">[New home] sales dropped 11.2%</a> in January from a month earlier to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 309,000, the Commerce Department said Wednesday. The decline brought sales to their lowest level since the government began tracking the numbers in 1963. Sales were 6.1% lower than in January 2009. &#8230;</p>
<p>The drop in sales in January triggered an increase in the backlog of unsold new homes on the market, pushing it up to the equivalent of what would normally be sold in 9.1 months versus eight months in December. And the abundance of homes on the market continued to bring prices down. The median sales price for new homes fell 2.4% to $203,500 in January, compared with a year ago.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Prices are the lowest since December, 2003.<span id="more-3444"></span></p>
<p>The Case-Shiller Q4 report showed housing prices rising for the 7th straight month, although prices declined 2.5% YoY. But &#8230; it has been <a title="from The Daily Capitalist" href="http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/02/23/its-supposed-to-work-part-ii-housing-consumer-confidence-and-banks/" target="_blank">flattened out</a> for the last quarter.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Commercial Real Estate</span>:</p>
<blockquote><p>The amount of <a title="from Costar News" href="http://www.costar.com/News/Article.aspx?id=4D5EC39F59954EE95D3CE32D9223B9C1&amp;ref=100&amp;iid=170&amp;cid=F578F2A70D5F8ABD1C0D2C9284CE5597" target="_blank">distressed commercial real estate</a> assets on the books of the nation&#8217;s banks and thrifts approached $60 billion as of year-end 2009. That is up from $52 billion just three months earlier, a 15% increase. &#8230;</p>
<p>Loans on nonresidential income-producing properties that had been foreclosed on increased from $5.84 billion to $7.05 billion &#8211; a 21% increase. Loans on multifamily properties that had been foreclosed on increased from $1.44 billion to $1.75 billion &#8211; a 22% increase. Loans on nonresidential income-producing properties that were 90 days or more past due or were in nonaccrual status increased from $37.05 billion to $41.74 billion &#8211; a 13% increase. Loans on multifamily properties that were 90 days or more past due or were in nonaccrual status increased from $7.75 billion to $9.39 billion &#8211; a 21% increase.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Banks</span>:</p>
<p>The FDIC has announced that they will <a title="from the NYT" href="http://www.nytimes.com/2010/02/24/business/24fdic.html?ref=todayspaper&amp;adxnnlx=1267017149-eZu6BqyY8guY8IRBJDdqcg&amp;pagewanted=print" target="_blank">need to raise money</a> to cover another $20 billion in losses and may sell bonds to do it.</p>
<blockquote><p>The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation is bracing for a new wave of bank failures that could cost the agency many billions of dollars and further strain its finances.</p>
<p>With bank failures running at their highest level in nearly two decades, the F.D.I.C. is racing to keep up with rising losses to its insurance fund, which safeguards savers’ deposits. On Tuesday, the agency announced that it had placed 702 lenders on its list of “problem” banks, the highest number since 1993.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Credit remains very tight.</p>
<blockquote><p>Total assets [i.e., loans] of insured institutions fell for a fourth consecutive quarter, declining by $137.2 billion (1.0 percent). During the year, total industry assets declined by a net $731.7 billion (5.3 percent), th<em>e largest percentage decline in a year since the inception of the FDIC [1942]</em>.</p>
</blockquote>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Bank-Business-Loans-3-7-10.png"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-3447" title="Bank Business Loans 3-7-10" src="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Bank-Business-Loans-3-7-10.png" alt="" width="504" height="302" /></a></p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Employment</span>:</p>
<blockquote><p><a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704187204575101300311762136.html" target="_blank">New claims</a> for jobless benefits fell last week, but the number of workers filing first-time claims remains stubbornly high as many employers resist adding jobs in the face of a tepid economic recovery. &#8230; Initial unemployment claims fell by 29,000 to a seasonally adjusted 469,000 in the week ended Feb. 27, the Labor Department said Thursday. &#8230;</p>
<p>[N]onfarm business productivity rose at a 6.9% annual rate during the fourth quarter, higher than the initial 6.2% estimate, as employers got more output from workers, the Labor Department said Thursday.</p>
<p>Employment <a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704754604575095273557316024.html" target="_blank">fell in construction</a> and information, while temporary help services added jobs. Total government employment, including state and local jobs, fell by 18,000. At the same time, the federal work force grew by 7,000, helped by an influx of Census workers, which added 15,000 temporary workers.</p>
<p>President <a title="from Bloomberg" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&amp;sid=aQXF.EZHl71Y" target="_blank">Barack Obama</a> said today’s reports on unemployment and payrolls show the measures the government is taking to spur hiring are working, and he called on Congress to extend aid to the unemployed.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Employment has stabilized in the past several months, but it is important to note that jobs are still being shed. What we are talking about is that the rate of unemployment is going down; employment overall is not rising. The rise in productivity is good for employers: getting as much productivity out of existing employees as they can before hiring new people.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Manufacturing</span>:</p>
<p>The Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) factory index rose again in January, the seventh monthly increase. The index actually fell to 56.5 from 58.4 in January, but anything over 50 is considered to represent expanding production.</p>
<blockquote><p>[The ISM reported]<a title="from Bloomberg" href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601068&amp;sid=aALhD178jJCU" target="_blank"> incomes rose</a> 0.1 percent, the report also showed, less than anticipated and restrained by declines in interest and dividend payments. Wages and salaries climbed 0.4 percent, the most since April.</p>
<p>The <a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704754604575095273557316024.html?mod=WSJ_hps_LEFTWhatsNews" target="_blank">new orders index</a> dropped to 59.5 from 65.9, and the production index fell to 58.4 from 66.2. The employment index rose to 56.1 from 53.3, the third month above 50, indicating that more firms are hiring than shedding workers. The prices paid index slipped to 67 from 70, showing that price pressures are high but easing.</p>
<p><a title="from the BLS" href="http://www.bls.gov/news.release/prod2.nr0.htm" target="_blank">Unit labor costs</a> in nonfarm businesses fell 5.9 percent in the fourth quarter of 2009, the result of productivity increasing faster than hourly compensation. Unit labor costs decreased 4.7 percent from the same quarter a year ago, the largest four-quarter decline since the series began in 1948.</p>
<p>[F]ourth-quarter <a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704754604575095273557316024.html" target="_blank">productivity gains</a> reflected a 7.6% quarterly jump in output which was brought down slightly by a 0.6% increase in hours worked. Inflation-adjusted hourly wages are hurting: They fell 2.8% from the prior quarter.</p>
</blockquote>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Spending/Saving</span>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Personal income increased by 0.1% compared to the prior month, while personal spending climbed by 0.5%, the Commerce Department said Monday. The <a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704754604575095273557316024.html?mod=WSJ_economy_LeftTopHighlights" target="_blank">saving rate</a> in January was 3.3%, the lowest since 2.9% in October 2008 and down from 4.2% in December.</p>
<p>More than three-quarters of the <a title="from the WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704187204575101290171056982.html?mod=WSJ_economy_LEADStoryTo" target="_blank">retailers</a> who delivered February results Thursday did better than analysts had expected. Overall, sales at stores open a least a year, a closely watched retail measure, rose 4.1% from the same month a year earlier, according to Retail Metrics Inc.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>I believe the current improvements in productivity and employment are cyclical: retailers of products have sold off excess inventory and are carefully restocking shelves, employed people are still buying stuff, at a modest level, manufacturers are ramping up production to meet this demand and are still cutting costs as they strive for efficiency, resulting in a resumption of manufacturing activity. This is why we had a Q4 jump in GDP&#8211;mostly from the manufacturing sector.</p>
<p>Some, perhaps a lot, of this activity was due to stimulus money working its way through the economy, Cash for Clunkers, tax credits, and housing tax credits. The h0using market was supported by these credits and Fed purchases of MBS.</p>
<p>With the stimulus money wearing off, and with the tax credits and the Fed MBS purchases cease in April, will the economy sink back into the tank?</p>
<p>I have been forecasting a double dip, commencing sometime in the second half because the fundamental problems underlying the economy have not been cured. I am talking about the debt overhang in the economy: residential real estate debt, commercial real estate debt, and consumer debt. This is why credit is tight. It won&#8217;t loosen until bank balance sheets are cleaned up. Other than subdued cyclical recovery, there is nothing to sustain growth, organic growth, to the next stage of recovery.</p>
<p>But don&#8217;t take my word for it. Here are key <a title="from Gluskin Sheff" href="https://ems.gluskinsheff.net/Articles/Lunch_with_Dave_030510.pdf" target="_blank">excerpts from Rosenberg&#8217;s report</a>:</p>
<div id="_mcePaste">
<ul>
<blockquote>
<li>If this was a normal monetary policy cycle, then we would be creating 150,000 jobs by now because that is what we usually get 2½ years after the Fed begins to ease. </li>
<li>[W]hile the headline unemployment rate managed to stabilize at 9.7% compared with consensus views of a modest uptick, the more inclusive U6 measure, which takes into account the overall level of underemployment in the economy, rose to 16.8% from 16.5%. </li>
<li>The message to Mr. Market is that while there was much to cheer about in terms of the headline payroll number, there is still enough rot in the labour market below the surface that should still be a cause for concern in terms of the sustainability of the nascent economic recovery. </li>
<li>It could well be that businesses see what we see — a recovery that has been engineered by massive bouts of fiscal and monetary stimulus that is likely to be unsustainable. So, against that uncertain backdrop they are opting to tap staffing firms to skate them for now rather than make a commitment to hire full-time staff.</li>
<li>We come back to the idea of what happens next? Companies are not deploying their cash for new capital spending growth and instead are focusing on merger and acquisition strategies. Growth through market share rather than organic expansion seems to be the course of action for many companies who understand what the broad contours of the economy will look like in the future in what is likely to be a multi-year deleveraging cycle. </li>
<li>To get back to full employment, we will need to see 12 million jobs created and here we are still waiting for the losses to come to an end.  Until we get there, and it could take anywhere from 5 to 10 years, then expect deflation to be the primary trend in the future. Deflation in wages, rents and credit are hardly the hallmarks of a background conducive to anything other than lower bond yields, an obviously murky fiscal outlook and periodic counter-trend gyrations in market interest rates.</li>
</blockquote>
</ul>
</div>
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		<title>Friday Bank Failures</title>
		<link>http://feedproxy.google.com/~r/TheDailyCapitalist/~3/NQV-NR2sO-0/</link>
		<comments>http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/03/05/friday-bank-failures/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 06:40:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[economic recovery]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bank failures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[FDIC]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://dailycapitalist.com/?p=3441</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[<p>Here are the latest bank failures from the FDIC:</p>
<p>Centennial Bank, Ogden, UT 
 Waterfield Bank, Germantown, MD
 Bank of Illinois, Normal, IL
 Sun America Bank, Boca Raton, FL</p>
<p>This brings us up to 25 for the year.</p>
]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Here are the latest bank failures from the FDIC:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/centennial-ut.html">Centennial Bank, Ogden, UT </a><br />
 <a href="http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/waterfield.html">Waterfield Bank, Germantown, MD</a><br />
 <a href="http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/bankofillinois.html">Bank of Illinois, Normal, IL</a><br />
 <a href="http://www.fdic.gov/bank/individual/failed/sunamerican.html">Sun America Bank, Boca Raton, FL</a></p>
<p>This brings us up to 25 for the year.</p>
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		<title>CBO Says White House Underestimates Deficits</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 06:28:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Obama]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>They probably misplaced a decimal point.</p>

CBO Says White House Underestimates Deficits
<p>The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Friday that based on the Obama administration&#8217;s budget proposal, deficits over the next decade would be $1.2 trillion higher than the White House estimated.</p>
<p>A preliminary analysis of the president&#8217;s budget by the CBO forecasts a $1.43 trillion deficit for [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>They probably misplaced a decimal point.</p>
<blockquote>
<h4><a title="from The WSJ" href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704869304575104214170174900.html" target="_blank">CBO Says White House Underestimates Deficits</a></h4>
<p>The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office said Friday that based on the Obama administration&#8217;s budget proposal, <em>deficits over the next decade would be $1.2 trillion higher than the White House estimated</em>.</p>
<p>A preliminary analysis of the president&#8217;s budget by the CBO forecasts a <em>$1.43 trillion deficit for fiscal year 2011</em>, $75 billion higher than the White House projection. The CBO also estimated deficits from 2011-2020 would be more than $9.7 trillion, compared with $8.5 trillion projected by the administration.</p>
<p>Notably, over the same period, the <em>CBO revised downward the savings estimates from legislation that would reduce subsidies to student-loan lenders, to $67 billion from $87 billion</em>.</p>
<p>The total estimated cost of the Treasury Department&#8217;s<em> Troubled Asset Relief Program increases to $109 billion</em>, compared with an earlier estimate of $99 billion, due largely to a revised assessment for providing tax-free funds to American International Group Inc.</p>
<p><em>The CBO said it couldn&#8217;t analyze what the administration projects to be $743 billion of revenue from health-care legislation, but &#8220;assumed that the policies would have the effect set forth in the budget.&#8221;</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>The most <a title="from the CBO" href="http://www.cbo.gov/ftpdocs/112xx/doc11231/03-05-apb.pdf" target="_blank">startling revelation</a> was about the health care proposal:</p>
<blockquote><p><em>The proposal that would raise the most revenues, relative to the baseline, is health insurance reform</em>. The President’s budget includes a placeholder of $743 billion in related revenues between 2011 and 2020. Because the Administration did not provide the details of the underlying legislative proposal, <em>for the purposes of this analysis CBO assumed that the policies would have the effect set forth in the budget.</em></p>
</blockquote>
<p>In essence, the CBO punted. You can&#8217;t trust these guys. They always lie.</p>
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		<title>Government-Run Health Care Kills Thousands</title>
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		<pubDate>Sat, 06 Mar 2010 02:12:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Jeff Harding</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[<p>
Liberals and Progressives have religious faith in government-run health care systems. I am sure, if left to their own ends, they would much rather prefer we adopt a single-payer system similar to the systems in the UK and Canada. Political necessity only permits a foot-in-the-door policy that mandates health care insurance for everyone. While these [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Dr.-Frankenstein1.png"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-3430" title="Dr. Frankenstein" src="http://dailycapitalist.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Dr.-Frankenstein1.png" alt="" width="286" height="468" /></a><br />
Liberals and Progressives have religious faith in government-run health care systems. I am sure, if left to their own ends, they would much rather prefer we adopt a single-payer system similar to the systems in the UK and Canada. Political necessity only permits a foot-in-the-door policy that mandates health care insurance for everyone. While these systems aren&#8217;t as inefficient as the top-down single-payer systems (such as Medicare), the current bills passed in the House and Senate impose the <a title="from The Daily Capitalist: The President's Health Care Proposal" href="http://dailycapitalist.com/2010/02/22/the-presidents-health-care-proposal/" target="_blank">heavy hand of the State</a> into almost every dark corner of the health care system in America.</p>
<p>These government fundamentalists march to the canon and cry of the efficiency of government-run systems and mock for-profit systems for being inefficient and wasteful. Yet there is no area of economic activity that the government operates efficiently precisely because of the lack of discipline present in for-profit ventures. The USPS just announced they lost $238 million in 2009. Fedex and UPS were profitable.</p>
<p>The shibboleth of the inefficiency of capitalism has so often been proven wrong by economists on all sides of the spectrum that one can only conclude that these free market deniers are worse than ignorant: they choose power over efficiency. And that is what Hayek called &#8220;The Road to Serfdom.&#8221; After all, it was the Marxists and Socialists who proved by their failures that the free market works.</p>
<p>It is useless to appeal to reason to these fundamentalists. Their quest for power is an end in itself and they won&#8217;t relent.</p>
<p>What to do?</p>
<p>My suggestion is that we should use scare tactics and create an environment of fear and doubt about government health care plans. This is fair since Liberals and Progressives have been spreading falsehoods about the free market system for a hundred years. We have an advantage: we don&#8217;t have to lie. The truth is scary enough.</p>
<p><br class="spacer_" /></p>
<p>Here are two frightening and disgusting articles that demonstrate what I am talking about. Don&#8217;t tell me it couldn&#8217;t happen here.</p>
<p>You might find this first article disturbing.</p>
<blockquote>
<h4><a title="from UK's Daily Mail" href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-1253438/Mid-Staffordshire-NHS-hospital-routinely-neglected-patients.html#" target="_blank"><span style="font-size: medium;">1,200 Needless Deaths</span></a></h4>
<p>By <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/search.html?s=y&amp;authornamef=Fay+Schlesinger">Fay Schlesinger</a>, <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/search.html?s=y&amp;authornamef=Andy+Dolan">Andy Dolan</a> and <a href="http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/search.html?s=y&amp;authornamef=Tim+Shipman">Tim Shipman</a></p>
<p>Last updated at 1:45 PM on 25th February 2010</p>
<ul>
<li><strong>Up to 1,200 patients died unnecessarily because of      appalling care</strong></li>
<li><strong>Labour&#8217;s obsession with targets and box ticking      blamed for scandal</strong></li>
<li><strong>Patients were &#8216;routinely neglected&#8217; at hospital</strong></li>
<li><strong>Report calls for FOURTH investigation into scandal</strong></li>
</ul>
<p>Not a single official has been disciplined over the worst-ever NHS hospital scandal, it emerged last night.</p>
<p>Up to 1,200 people lost their lives needlessly because Mid-Staffordshire NHS Trust put government targets and cost-cutting ahead of patient care.</p>
<p>But none of the doctors, nurses and managers who failed them has suffered any formal sanction.<span id="more-3417"></span></p>
<p>Indeed, some have either retired on lucrative pensions or have swiftly found new jobs.</p>
<p>Former chief executive Martin Yeates, who has since left with a £1million pension pot, six months&#8217; salary and a reported £400,000 payoff, did not even give evidence to the inquiry which detailed the scale of the scandal yesterday.</p>
<p>He was said to be medically unfit to do so, though he sent some information to chairman Robert Francis through his solicitor.</p>
<p>The devastating-report into the Stafford Hospital-shambles&#8217; laid waste to Labour&#8217;s decade-long obsession with box-ticking and league tables.</p>
<p>The independent inquiry headed by Robert Francis QC found the safety of sick and dying patients was &#8216;routinely neglected&#8217;. Others were subjected to &#8216; inhumane treatment&#8217;, &#8216;bullying&#8217;, &#8216;abuse&#8217; and &#8216;rudeness&#8217;.</p>
<p>The shocking estimated death toll, three times the previous figure of 400, has prompted calls for a full public inquiry.</p>
<p>Bosses at the Trust &#8211; officially an &#8217;elite&#8217; NHS institution &#8211; were condemned for their fixation with cutting waiting times to hit Labour targets and leaving neglected patients to die.</p>
<p>But after a probe that was controversially held in secret, not a single individual has been publicly blamed.</p>
<p>The inquiry found that:</p>
<p><strong>• Patients were left unwashed in their own filth for up to a month as nurses ignored their requests to use the toilet or change their sheets;</strong></p>
<p><strong>• Four members of one family. including a new-born baby girl. died within 18 months after of blunders at the hospital; </strong></p>
<p><strong>•  Medics discharged patients hastily out of fear they risked being sacked for delaying;</strong></p>
<p><strong>•  Wards were left filthy with blood, discarded needles and used dressings while bullying managers made whistleblowers too frightened to come forward.</strong></p>
<p>Last night the General Medical Council announced it was investigating several doctors. The Nursing and Midwifery Council is investigating at least one nurse and is considering other cases.</p>
<p>Ministers suggested the report highlighted a dreadful &#8216;local&#8217; scandal, but its overall conclusions are a blistering condemnation of Labour&#8217;s approach to the NHS.</p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">It found that hospital were so preoccupied with saving money and pursuit of elite foundation trust status that they &#8216;lost sight of its fundamental responsibility to provide safe care&#8217;.</span></p>
<p>Health Secretary Andy Burnham accepted 18 recommendations from Mr Francis and immediately announced plans for a new inquiry, to be held in public, into how Department of Health and NHS regulators failed to spot the disaster.</p>
<p>But Julie Bailey, head of the campaign group Cure the NHS, condemned his response as &#8216;outrageous&#8217; and backed Tory and Liberal Democrat demands for a full public inquiry into what went wrong.</p>
<p>Tory leader David Cameron said: &#8216;We need openness, clarity and transparency to stop this happening again.&#8217; Gordon Brown described the scandal as a &#8216;completely unacceptable management failure&#8217; and revealed that the cases of 300 patients are now under investigation.</p>
<p>He told MPs the Government was belatedly working on plans to &#8217;strike off&#8217; hospital managers responsible for failures. The hospital could also lose its cherished foundation status.</p>
<p>Shadow Health Secretary Andrew Lansley said &#8216;These awful events show how badly Labour has let down NHS patients. It should never again be possible for managers to put a tick in a box marked &#8220;target met&#8221; while patients are pushed off to a ward and left to die.&#8217;</p>
<p>The Francis probe was launched following a Healthcare Commission report on Stafford Hospital in March last year. It found that deaths at the hospital were 27 to 45 per cent higher than normal, meaning some 400 to 1,200 people died unnecessarily between 2005 and 2008.</p>
<p>Two weeks before the report&#8217;s publication, the Trust&#8217;s chief executive Martin Yeates was suspended. He eventually resigned in May after being offered £400,000 and a £1million pension pot.</p>
<p>The Francis report said staff numbers were allowed to fall &#8216;dangerously low&#8217;, causing nurses to neglect the most basic care. It said: &#8216;Requests for assistance to use a bedpan or to get to and from the toilet were not responded to.</p>
<p>&#8216;Some families were left to take soiled sheets home to wash or to change beds when this should have been undertaken by the hospital and its staff.&#8217; Food and drink were left out of reach, forcing patients to drink water from flower vases.</p>
<p>While many staff did their best, Mr Francis said, others showed a disturbing lack of compassion to patients.</p>
<p>He added: &#8216;I heard so many stories of shocking care. These patients were not simply numbers. They were husbands, wives, sons, daughters, fathers, mothers, grandparents. They were people who entered Stafford Hospital and rightly expected to be well cared for and treated.&#8217;</p>
<p><strong>Family who lost four loved ones</strong></p>
<p>Kelsey Lintern was at the centre of one of the worst tragedies in the hospital’s appalling catalogue of failure.</p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">She lost four members of her family within 18 months, her grandmother, uncle, sister and six-day-old baby.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Mrs Lintern, 36, almost became the fifth victim when a nurse tried to give her pethidine while she was in labour, despite her medical notes and a wristband clearly stating she was allergic to the drug.</span></p>
<p>The horrific story began in January 2007 when her baby daughter Nyah had to be delivered by her own grandmother because a distracted midwife was not looking.</p>
<p>The baby was not breathing but she was resuscitated, then discharged by a junior paediatrician just two days later, despite the family’s fears she was seriously ill.</p>
<p>She was not feeding properly and still appeared blue. She died four days later. A post-mortem examination revealed four holes in her heart. Mrs Lintern accepts that Nyah may have died in any case, but said the hospital should at least have ‘realised there was a problem’.</p>
<p>It was when she was in labour with Nyah that a nurse arrived with a syringe of potentially-fatal pethidine, oblivious to the fact Mrs Lintern was allergic to it.</p>
<p>In April 2007, Mrs Lintern’s sister, Laurie Gethin, 37, died of lung, bone and lymph cancer, <span style="color: #000080;">which had taken 18 months to be diagnosed, even though she was displaying tell-tale symptoms.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Her body, with her eyes still open, was left on her blood-splattered bed in full view of other patients</span>. Tests revealed that Mrs Gethin had ‘markers’ in her blood which can indicated cancer.</p>
<p>But it was only when she was sent for a scan at another hospital that tumours were discovered. Mrs Lintern’s uncle, Tom Warriner, 48, died in January 2008 after his intestine was accidentally pierced in an operation for bowel cancer.</p>
<p>A coroner ruled the death was accidental. That summer, her grandmother Lilian Wood Latta, 80, died hungry and dehydrated after suffering a stroke. <span style="color: #000080;">She was left in her own excrement during her final days and the family said the dehydration was caused by staff failing to give her adequate fluids</span>.</p>
<p>Mrs Wood Latta had been referred to the hospital by her GP after suffering a series of mini-strokes at home. She was moved between wards three times, and it was left to relatives to change her incontinence pads.</p>
<p>Her dying wish had been to see Mrs Lintern’s new baby Khalen, so, after checking with staff, Mrs Lintern took her daughter in. But as the frail pensioner held her great-grandchild, a nurse appeared and said: ‘What on earth is a baby doing here? You do know we’ve got MRSA and C-Diff on this ward?’</p>
<p>Mrs Lintern, who lives in Cannock, Staffordshire, with husband David and their two daughters, said: ‘It is called the caring profession. But where is the care?’</p>
<p>James Reay died in agony after a junior doctor at Stafford Hospital failed to check his medical history and gave him the wrong drug.</p>
<p>The 67-year-old former miner was admitted to A&amp;E in May 2006 with a swollen leg. Medics administered the anticoagulant Heparin – but failed to take into account Mr Reay’s history of stomach ulcers, which are known to react badly to the drug.</p>
<p>Two days later he was rushed to another hospital where he died from internal bleeding after three weeks of intense pain. Yesterday his widow Olwen won a <span style="color: #000080;">five-figure pay-off</span> in an out-of-court settlement after Mid Staffordshire NHS Trust admitted liability.</p>
<p>Mrs Reay, 69, said: ‘I have won my case but to me it is blood money and I cannot enjoy it. I would rather have my husband.’</p>
<p>With a background in the hotel and catering industry, Martin Yeates was brought in to help Mid Staffordshire achieve the holy grail of foundation trust status as a supposed beacon of quality in the NHS.</p>
<p>A profile on the Trust’s website, since removed, boasted that he had developed ‘a more businesslike approach for the organisation’ after his appointment in September 2005.</p>
<p>The Trust finally achieved foundation status two years later. Mr Yeates’s career in the NHS began when he switched from the hotel trade to manage the catering department at Walsgrave Hospital in Coventry in 1977.</p>
<p>It has now ended with a £1million pension pot, six months salary and a possible £400,000 pay-off for the father of two – despite the Trust’s catastrophic failings.</p>
<p>Mr Yeates, who lives with second wife Lynn in a converted barn in a hamlet outside Stafford, was not at home last night and a neighbour said he had not been seen since Christmas.</p>
<p>It is believed he has spent at least some time in Egypt since being suspended on full pay of £169,000 in March last year – two weeks before an investigation revealed the deaths of at least 400 more patients than would have been expected, and an ‘appalling’ catalogue of failings in care.</p>
<p>Yesterday’s inquiry report said Mr Yeates resigned with effect from June 14, and was paid six months full salary in lieu of notice.</p>
<p>In his report, Mr Francis said Mr Yeates had failed to resolve ‘governance and staffing issues’ at the Trust and that he and colleagues had ‘focused on systems’ instead.</p>
<p>Of the other Trust bosses, former chairman Toni Brisby resigned in March last year after the NHS watchdog Monitor said it intended to remove her. She told the Francis report she received no termination payment of any kind. Jan Harry, the trust’s director of nursing from 1998 to 2006, oversaw disastrous changes to the organisation of wards.</p>
<p>But she told the inquiry she could not recall a decision to axe 52 nursing posts and was ‘not aware’ of plans to drastically alter the ratio of trained to untrained staff. She also said it was not her job to monitor ward standards – a claim later described as ‘absurd’ by Dr Peter Carter, general secretary of the Royal College of Nursing.</p>
<p>Helen Morrey, former director of operations at the trust, admitted that risk assessments about the impact of job cuts were inadequate and accepted responsibility for a failure to thoroughly investigate complaints by patients. She was put on paid leave last July, before leaving the trust in November.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>You don&#8217;t have a choice other than the National Health System unless you are rich. In a free market system, you could sue and drive the bad hospitals out of existence. Or you could go somewhere else. Thus the free market corrects its mistakes. Very difficult in the UK. I do think that our legal system is too liberal with awards in medical malpractice cases, but the idiots in the Republican Party see &#8220;malpractice reform&#8221; as a cost cutting measure. You can hate the lawyers, but remove them, and there is nothing between us and Leviathan.</p>
<p>This next article will repulse you because of the hypocrisy of it.</p>
<blockquote>
<h4><strong><a title="from Google: Canadian Press" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/canadianpress/article/ALeqM5h0QC7bditrEb3wYz_6_b-gsGGDxA" target="_blank">Canadian Legislator Goes to Miami for Heart Surgery</a></strong></h4>
<p>By Tara Brautigam (CP)  February 22, 2010</p>
<p>An unapologetic Danny Williams says he was aware his trip to the United States for heart surgery earlier this month would spark outcry, but he concluded his personal health trumped any public fallout over the controversial decision.</p>
<p>In an interview with The Canadian Press, Williams said he went to Miami to have a &#8220;minimally invasive&#8221; surgery for an ailment first detected nearly a year ago, based on the advice of his doctors.</p>
<p><strong>&#8220;This was my heart, my choice and my health,&#8221;</strong> Williams said late Monday from his condominium in Sarasota, Fla.</p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;">&#8220;I did not sign away my right to get the best possible health care for myself when I entered politics.&#8221;</span></strong></p>
<p>The 60-year-old Williams said doctors detected a heart murmur last spring and told him that one of his heart valves wasn&#8217;t closing properly, creating a leakage.</p>
<p>He said he was told at the time that the problem was &#8220;moderate&#8221; and that<span style="color: #000080;"> he should come back for a checkup in six months.</span></p>
<p>Eight months later, in December, his doctors told him the problem had become severe and urged him to get his valve repaired immediately or risk heart failure, he said.</p>
<p><strong>His doctors in Canada presented him with <span style="color: #000080;">two options &#8211; a full or partial sternotomy, both of which would&#8217;ve required breaking bones, he said.</span></strong></p>
<p><strong>He said he spoke with and provided his medical information to a leading cardiac surgeon in New Jersey who is also from Newfoundland and Labrador.<span style="color: #000080;"> He advised him to seek treatment at the Mount Sinai Medical Center in Miami.</span></strong></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">That&#8217;s where he was treated by Dr. Joseph Lamelas, a cardiac surgeon who has performed more than 8,000 open-heart surgeries.</span></p>
<p><span style="color: #000080;">Williams said Lamelas made an incision under his arm that didn&#8217;t require any bone breakage.</span></p>
<p>&#8220;I wanted to get in, get out fast, get back to work in a short period of time,&#8221; the premier said.</p>
<p>Williams said he didn&#8217;t announce his departure south of the border because he didn&#8217;t want to create &#8220;a media gong show,&#8221; but added that criticism would&#8217;ve followed him had he chose to have surgery in Canada.</p>
<p>&#8220;I would&#8217;ve been criticized if I had stayed in Canada and had been perceived as jumping a line or a wait list. &#8230; I accept that. That&#8217;s public life,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p><strong>&#8220;(But) this is not a unique phenomenon to me.<span style="color: #000080;"> This is something that happens with lots of families throughout this country</span>, so I make no apologies for that.&#8221;</strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;">Williams said his decision to go to the U.S. did not reflect any lack of faith in his own province&#8217;s health care system.</span></strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;">&#8220;I have the utmost confidence in our own health care system in Newfoundland and Labrador, but we are just over half a million people,&#8221; he said.</span></strong></p>
<p><strong><span style="color: #000080;">&#8220;We do whatever we can to provide the best possible health care that we can</span></strong><span style="color: #000080;"> i</span>n Newfoundland and Labrador. The Canadian health care system has a great reputation, but this is a very specialized piece of surgery that had to be done and I went to somebody who&#8217;s doing this three or four times a day, five, six days a week.&#8221;</p>
<p>He quipped that he had &#8220;a heart of a 40-year-old, so that gives me 20 years new life,&#8221; and said he intends to run in the next provincial election in 2011.</p>
<p>&#8220;I&#8217;m probably going to be around for a long time, hopefully, if God willing,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;God forbid for the Canadian public I won&#8217;t be around longer than ever.&#8221;</p>
<p>Williams also said he paid for the treatment, but added <span style="color: #000080;">he would seek any refunds he would be eligible for in Canada</span>.</p>
<p>&#8220;If I&#8217;m entitled to any reimbursement from any Canadian health care system or any provincial health care system, then obviously I will apply for that as anybody else would,&#8221; he said.</p>
<p>&#8220;But I wrote out the cheque myself and paid for it myself and to this point, I haven&#8217;t even looked into the possibility of any reimbursement. I don&#8217;t know what I&#8217;m entitled to, if anything, and if it&#8217;s nothing, then so be it.&#8221;</p>
<p>He is expected back at work in early March.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>At least he admits that the Canadian system isn&#8217;t very good. His lack of faith in his own system speaks volumes. Where will he go when we destroy the best health care system in the world?</p>
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