WEATHER SUMMARY: We will continue to be in an unstable air mass that will allow for isolated to scattered showers and storms through Thursday. Now this may change with the speed of the cold front. We won't be seeing upper 90s by the end of the week but before that front arrives that's a different story. We will most likely see a heat advisory issued for at least parts of the Valley Tuesday if not for everyone. That will be that National Weather Service's call. But with expected heat index values around 105 Tuesday and Wednesday I would think that we will have one issued.
After the front we will see "cooler" weather. By cooler I mean lower 90s for Friday but it will feel a lot better with dew points in the low to mid 60s compared to the low to mid 70s like we have seen this past weekend.
The heat is on for the beginning of the workweek as higher pressure moving towards the Carolinas as southerly winds will continue to send in hot and steamy air into the Tennessee Valley. Temperatures will stay into the upper 90's until Wednesday, where the heat index will make it feel like it's into the triple digits.
By Wednesday afternoon, a cold front will be sliding in from the North Central Plains to give us scattered showers and a dip in temperatures for the end of the workweek. A northwesterly flow of winds will move in come Thursday to drop temperatures a bit along with making it feel more comfortable outside as the humidity levels will lower.
TEMPERATURES REMAIN HOT: Through the early half of the work week, temps will remain in the mid and upper 90's with heat index values over 100 degrees. Overnight lows will be muggy and mild in the mid 70's. Most afternoons will be very uncomfortable with high dew points making it feel very sticky. We'll have lots of sunshine, with some beautiful afternoons through the early week which also means limited chances for rain. Monday through Wednesday will have only isolated showers at best, although some models are trying to bring in a weak disturbance Tuesday which would give us better rain chances.
RAIN LATE WEEK: Best chances for rain arrive later in the week, as early as Thursday according to some models. I beleive most will arrive by Friday giving us at least a few showers and storms. The cold front itself will knock our temperatures back down to the lower 90's, maybe even the upper 80's. The weekend isn't looking like a washout, but it will have the best chance of rain for the next 7 days.
THE TEMPERATURES KEEP RISING: The heat is back on and it wont let up for most of the work week. We'll see warmer temperatures again on Sunday jumping to the mid 90's. Early work week we'll have temperatures in the mid to upper 90's and when you factor dew point, the heat index will be over 100 degrees for the next several days.
MINIMAL RAIN CHANCE: While the temperatures rise, the rain chances fall. Through Wednesday next week, the best rain chance will have will be minimal at best. Towards the end of the week, rain chances pick up for Thursday and Friday which will be the main relief we see next week. The cold front that will be moving through should also drop our temps form mid 90's to lower 90's and perhaps even knock our lows into the 60's by next Saturday. So far, next weekend is shaping up great.
WEATHER SUMMARY: Not much to say for this blog posting! Mother Nature will be steady as she goes over the next several days. High pressure will be moving back across the southeast starting Saturday. This will keep our temperatures in the mid to upper 90s for about a week. Our only shot at some relief will come in next weekend.
It will feel like over 100 degrees at times during the afternoons. We may see a heat advisory early next week but most days we won't. Just use common sense if your going to be out and about to stay safe in the heat.
Have a happy weekend everyone!
Today is our last day of unsettled weather as the stationary front that was stalled out over the Tennessee Valley is moving father South today.
There's a slight chance of a shower may develop right over Mississippi/Alabama border for Franklin and Colbert Co. AL this morning, otherwise rain chances dwindle as we head into the weekend.
This means higher pressure is back in control of our forecast, to bring us plenty of sunshine and temperatures will rise back up into the mid to upper 90's. The heat index will climb back up to triple digits during the afternoon.
THIS EVENING: A stationary front continues to linger from northern Mississippi to central Alabama. Showers and storms will continue to ride along that boundary. Since we have already seen some showers move through the Valley. That will make it very tough for any more showers and storms to form. The only feature that needs to be watch is the one moving through Nashville.
FRIDAY: Only isolated showers are possible with highs back in the low to mid 90s. We will also see more sunshine.
WEEKEND: High pressure moves back into the southeast. This will keep us in a stagnant pattern of hot temperatures, high moisture content and no chances for rain.
Rain drops have been falling across the Tennessee Valley since 3 A.M. this morning and don't look to stop until 4 P.M. this afternoon. Nothing has been severe, only a couple of lightning strikes and heavy rain with wind gusts up to 30 mph.
It's good for the farmers and gardeners as Muscle Shoals still has a 2 inch deficit of rain since June 1st and Huntsville is down a 1/2 of an inch.
Rain totals so far since Noon:
As we go throughout the afternoon time, cloud cover will stick around which will not allow storms to become severe. Just be on the lookout for heavy rain and gusty winds until 4 P.M.
Afterwards will we settled down as the stationary front parked over the Valley will begin to sink farther southward. Look for a quiet night with mostly cloudy skies and temperatures down into the mid 70's.
By Friday into this upcoming workweek, higher pressure will move in to give us dry conditions. With more sunshine, temperatures will climb into the mid to upper 90's. The heat index will most likely climb above 100 again.
THIS EVENING: A cluster of scattered showers and storms will move into the Tennessee Valley. Most of these showers and storms will be mainly south of the Tennessee River. These storms could be strong to marginally severe in nature. Winds could be gusting up to 40 mph and the storms could produce blinding rains.
The storms are moving along a stationary front that is draped across northern Mississippi and Alabama. Any movement to that boundary will move those storms north or south.
THURSDAY: More showers and storms are anticipated due to that stationary front lasting one more day in northern Alabama. Storms again could be strong to marginally severe.
Get ready, round two of rain and thunderstorms is already sweeping across the Valley this morning, affecting the morning commute into work for Northwest Alabama. Frequent lightning, heavy burst of rain, and wind gusts up to 30-40 mph is expected.
Another batch of widespread scattered showers and thunderstorms will move through this afternoon that could last up until the rush hour commute and then regenerate rain showers for overnight.
We'll repeat ourselves heading into Thursday, then we'll be done with the rain as higher pressure will regain control of our forecast. This will bring back the sun and heat our temperatures up to the mid 90's for the weekend.