URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 318
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
805 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Central Illinois
  West-Central into Northern Indiana
  Western and Central Lower Michigan
  Far Northwest Ohio
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Thursday night and Friday morning from 805 PM
  until 200 AM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes possible
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
    mph likely
  Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A mix of supercells and severe bows will move into the
Watch area this evening.  A risk for a few tornadoes, including the
possibility for a strong tornado is forecast with the more intense
supercells and embedded mesovortices within the stronger bows. 
Widespread damaging winds (60 to 75 mph) will likely focus with the
bowing segments as they rapidly move east-northeastward this evening
into the early overnight.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles west northwest of Saginaw MI
to 20 miles west of Terre Haute IN. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 313...WW 314...WW
315...WW 316...WW 317...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 25035.

...Smith

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 317
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
715 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Delaware
  Eastern Maryland
  New Jersey
  Southern New York
  Eastern Pennsylvania
  Eastern Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday night from 715 PM until Midnight EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
  Isolated large hail events to 1 inch in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A squall line will continue east into the Watch area this
evening and likely reach the coast tonight.  Broken bands of
thunderstorms containing stronger thunderstorm cores and small-scale
bows embedded within the larger-scale squall line will probably
focus the threat for strong to severe gusts capable of wind damage.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 50
statute miles east and west of a line from 40 miles north northwest
of Poughkeepsie NY to 20 miles southeast of Patuxent River MD. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...WW
314...WW 315...WW 316...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean storm motion vector
27030.

...Smith

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 316
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
350 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Southwest into Central Oklahoma
  Western North Texas

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 350 PM until
  1000 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
    inches in diameter possible
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will likely develop along/near a cold front
this afternoon across parts of Oklahoma. This activity should pose
some threat for large hail generally up to 1-1.75 inches in
diameter. Scattered severe/damaging winds with peak gusts up to
60-70 mph should also occur as this convection spreads
east-southeastward through the evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55
statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles west southwest
of Altus OK to 15 miles east of Chandler OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...WW
314...WW 315...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
30025.

...Gleason

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 315
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
415 PM EDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  District Of Columbia
  Western, Northern, and Central Maryland
  Western and South-Central New York
  Central Pennsylvania
  Northern Virginia
  Eastern West Virginia
  Coastal Waters

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 415 PM until
  1000 PM EDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph likely

SUMMARY...Loosely organized thunderstorm clusters should continue to
pose a threat for mainly scattered damaging winds through the
afternoon and evening as they spread generally eastward. Peak gusts
may reach up to 60-65 mph.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 50 miles northeast of
Ithaca NY to 55 miles south southwest of Martinsburg WV. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...WW 314...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27035.

...Gleason

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 314
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
245 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of 
  Northwest Arkansas
  Western Illinois
  Southeast Kansas
  Missouri
  Northeast Oklahoma

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 245 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
    to 75 mph possible
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible
  A tornado or two possible

SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage and
intensity along/ahead of a cold front this afternoon and evening.
The strongest convection may become supercellular and pose a threat
for large to very large hail, and perhaps a tornado or two.
Otherwise, scattered severe/damaging winds appear likely as
thunderstorms grow upscale into one or more bowing clusters through
the evening.

The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 100
statute miles east and west of a line from 75 miles northwest of
Saint Louis MO to 10 miles southwest of Muskogee OK. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 312...WW 313...

AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 65 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean storm motion vector
28035.

...Gleason

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 313
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
155 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a

* Tornado Watch for portions of 
  Southern and Eastern Iowa
  Northern and Central Illinois
  Northwest Indiana
  Northern Missouri
  Southern Wisconsin
  Lake Michigan

* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 155 PM until
  900 PM CDT.

* Primary threats include...
  Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
  Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
    mph likely
  Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
    inches in diameter possible

SUMMARY...A complex scenario remains apparent this afternoon across
the Midwest. Any supercells which can become surface based will pose
a threat for strong tornadoes and large to very large hail given a
rather favorable environment. The threat for widespread
severe/damaging winds will increase through the afternoon/evening as
thunderstorms likely grow upscale into an intense bowing cluster.
Peak gusts may reach up to 70-80 mph.

The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of Kirksville
MO to 80 miles east northeast of Marseilles IL. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...This tornado watch replaces tornado
watch number 311. Watch number 311 will not be in effect after
155 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 312...

AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 600. Mean
storm motion vector 26035.

...Gleason

STATUS REPORT ON WW 318

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1102

..WEINMAN..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...ILX...IWX...IND...GRR...DTX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 318 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ILC019-021-029-041-045-115-139-147-173-183-120140-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHAMPAIGN            CHRISTIAN           COLES               
DOUGLAS              EDGAR               MACON               
MOULTRIE             PIATT               SHELBY              
VERMILION            


INC001-003-009-011-015-017-023-033-039-045-049-053-067-069-085-
087-091-099-103-107-113-121-131-141-149-151-157-159-165-169-171-
179-181-183-120140-

IN 
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ADAMS                ALLEN               BLACKFORD           
BOONE                CARROLL             CASS                
CLINTON              DE KALB             ELKHART             
FOUNTAIN             FULTON              GRANT               
HOWARD               HUNTINGTON          KOSCIUSKO           
LAGRANGE             LA PORTE            MARSHALL            

STATUS REPORT ON WW 317

THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.

..WEINMAN..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...PHI...LWX...AKQ...OKX...ALY...BGM...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 317 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DEC001-003-005-120140-

DE 
.    DELAWARE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

KENT                 NEW CASTLE          SUSSEX              


MDC009-011-015-017-019-029-035-037-039-041-045-047-120140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALVERT              CAROLINE            CECIL               
CHARLES              DORCHESTER          KENT                
QUEEN ANNE'S         ST. MARYS           SOMERSET            
TALBOT               WICOMICO            WORCESTER           


NJC001-003-005-007-009-011-013-015-017-019-021-023-025-027-029-
031-033-035-037-039-041-120140-

NJ 
.    NEW JERSEY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ATLANTIC             BERGEN              BURLINGTON          

STATUS REPORT ON WW 316

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NNE CDS
TO 15 NW CQB TO 20 SW BVO.

..WEINMAN..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...OUN...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 316 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

OKC015-017-027-031-033-049-051-055-057-063-065-075-081-087-109-
119-123-125-133-137-141-120140-

OK 
.    OKLAHOMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CADDO                CANADIAN            CLEVELAND           
COMANCHE             COTTON              GARVIN              
GRADY                GREER               HARMON              
HUGHES               JACKSON             KIOWA               
LINCOLN              MCCLAIN             OKLAHOMA            
PAYNE                PONTOTOC            POTTAWATOMIE        
SEMINOLE             STEPHENS            TILLMAN             


TXC023-155-197-275-485-487-120140-

TX 
.    TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BAYLOR               FOARD               HARDEMAN            
KNOX                 WICHITA             WILBARGER           


THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY.  PLEASE

STATUS REPORT ON WW 315

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SW DCA TO
15 NW AVP TO 30 W ALB.

..WEINMAN..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...LWX...BGM...BUF...CTP...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 315 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

DCC001-120140-

DC 
.    DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA 


MDC003-005-025-027-033-510-120140-

MD 
.    MARYLAND COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

ANNE ARUNDEL         BALTIMORE           HARFORD             
HOWARD               PRINCE GEORGES      


MARYLAND INDEPENDENT CITIES INCLUDED ARE

BALTIMORE CITY       


NYC025-120140-

NY 

STATUS REPORT ON WW 314

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNW CQB
TO 35 SSE CNU TO 40 E CNU TO 15 S UIN.

..WEINMAN..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...TSA...LSX...ICT...SGF...EAX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 314 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ARC007-015-033-087-143-120140-

AR 
.    ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON               CARROLL             CRAWFORD            
MADISON              WASHINGTON          


ILC013-061-083-117-119-133-163-120140-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CALHOUN              GREENE              JERSEY              
MACOUPIN             MADISON             MONROE              
ST. CLAIR            


KSC021-037-120140-

KS 
.    KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CHEROKEE             CRAWFORD            

STATUS REPORT ON WW 313

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 NNE DNV
TO 45 E MMO TO 50 S RAC TO 25 ENE MKE.

..BENTLEY..06/12/26

ATTN...WFO...DMX...DVN...LSX...LOT...ILX...EAX...MKX...


STATUS REPORT FOR WT 313 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

ILC031-197-120240-

IL 
.    ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

COOK                 WILL                


INC007-073-089-111-127-120240-

IN 
.    INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BENTON               JASPER              LAKE                
NEWTON               PORTER              


LMZ741-742-743-744-745-777-779-120240-

CW 

.    ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS INCLUDED ARE

WILMETTE HARBOR TO NORTHERLY ISLAND IL 

112240-

STATUS REPORT ON WW 312

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SE UNI TO
25 SSE HLG TO 30 NE LBE TO 25 S BFD TO 40 W ELM TO 25 S ROC.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0312

..MOORE..06/11/26

ATTN...WFO...


STATUS REPORT FOR WS 312 

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS 

PAC021-023-033-047-051-059-063-105-111-129-112240-

PA 
.    PENNSYLVANIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

CAMBRIA              CAMERON             CLEARFIELD          
ELK                  FAYETTE             GREENE              
INDIANA              POTTER              SOMERSET            
WESTMORELAND         


WVC001-017-033-049-061-073-077-083-085-091-093-095-103-107-
112240-

WV 
.    WEST VIRGINIA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE

BARBOUR              DODDRIDGE           HARRISON            
MARION               MONONGALIA          PLEASANTS           
PRESTON              RANDOLPH            RITCHIE             
TAYLOR               TUCKER              TYLER               
WETZEL               WOOD                

Mesoscale Discussion 1104
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0825 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Areas affected...southern Illinois into southern and central Indiana

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch needed soon 

Valid 120125Z - 120230Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...95 percent

SUMMARY...A severe thunderstorm watch is needed soon from southern
Illinois into parts of southern and central Indiana.

DISCUSSION...A line of storms continues to move southeast across
central Illinois. This line of storms will continue southeast
through the evening. While the severe wind threat will likely not be
as strong as farther north where the line is more progressive, the
strong instability and steep lapse rate environment will support a
damaging wind threat with these storms through the evening. A severe
thunderstorm watch will be issued soon for this threat.

..Bentley/Smith.. 06/12/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...ILN...LMK...IWX...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

LAT...LON   39088966 39438819 39968669 40378562 40278499 39878491
            39318517 38938579 38508692 38268762 38218840 38348915
            38428950 39088966 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Mesoscale Discussion 1103
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0819 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Areas affected...central into north-central Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 318...

Valid 120119Z - 120245Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 318 continues.

SUMMARY...A swath of 65 to 85 mph winds are expected across central
to north-central Indiana this evening.

DISCUSSION...A mature bow-echo has developed across east-central
Illinois with a strong rear-inflow jet. This bow has left a large
swath of wind damage over the past hour including a measured 68 mph
wind gust in Champaign, IL. 65 to 85 mph winds are expected to
continue across a relatively wide swath as it moves east into a very
unstable environment through the evening. Some embedded QLCS
tornadoes will also be possible, especially north of the apex of the
bow, but the strong measured wind gusts will be the primary threat.

..Bentley.. 06/12/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...

LAT...LON   41078755 41238663 41128546 40668505 40208541 39938647
            39938707 39988761 40498752 41078755 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-110 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Mesoscale Discussion 1102
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Areas affected...northwest Indiana

Concerning...Tornado Watch 313...318...

Valid 120044Z - 120215Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 313, 318 continues.

SUMMARY...A strong to intense tornado threat will exist for the next
1 to 2 hours.

DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells across northwest Indiana has a
history of tornadoes including a likely strong tornado across Lake
County within the past 15 minutes. The southernmost storm in this
cluster across northern Newton County is exhibiting broad, strong
rotation and is in a similarly favorable tornado environment
featuring STP around 5. This supercell is expected to remain
discrete/undisturbed and will likely pose a strong to potentially
intense tornado threat across southern Porter, Laporte, and
potentially St. Joseph county for the next 1 to 2 hours.

..Bentley.. 06/12/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...IWX...GRR...LOT...

LAT...LON   41378757 41608723 41968653 42088615 41958565 41498554
            41228647 41048715 41058749 41378757 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...120-145 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

Day 1 Convective Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0800 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 120100Z - 121200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
THE MIDWEST/GREAT LAKES...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR PARTS OF THE
MID ATLANTIC...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms will continue this evening across parts of the
Midwest and Great Lakes region. This includes the potential for
tornadoes (possibly strong), widespread/intense damaging winds (some
75+ mph), and isolated hail.

...Parts of the Midwest/Great Lakes...
A rather volatile environment remains in place this evening across
parts of IL/IN and southwest Lower MI, especially in the vicinity of
a modified outflow across northern IL/IN. Rich low-level moisture,
moderate to strong buoyancy, and strong low-level shear/SRH will
continue to support all severe hazards through much of the evening.
Convection has largely taken on a linear or cluster mode, with an
attendant threat of severe/damaging gusts and line-embedded
tornadoes. Any discrete cells that can be maintained within or ahead
of ongoing convection will continue to pose a conditional
strong-tornado threat, along with isolated hail potential. See MCD
1101 and MCD 1102 for more information regarding the short-term
threat in this area. 

Increasing CINH and decreasing MLCAPE with eastward extent should
eventually result in a weakening trend, though an organized severe
threat may reach parts of southeast MI and western OH later tonight.


...OK/TX into MO/northern AR...
Scattered strong to locally severe storms are ongoing from parts of
western/central OK into MO, generally along or just behind a
southward moving cold front. Moderate to strong buoyancy and
deep-layer shear of around 25-35 kt near the front will continue to
support occasional storm organization and a continued threat of hail
and localized severe gusts, though convection may increasingly
become undercut by the front with time. An isolated severe threat
may eventually spread toward the Red River into western/northern AR
late tonight. 

...Mid Atlantic vicinity...
Loosely organized storm clusters with a history of producing wind
damage are approaching the Mid Atlantic coast this evening. While
deep-layer shear will continue to be modest at best, a very
warm/moist boundary layer and moderate buoyancy will continue to
support potential for strong to locally severe gusts and scattered
wind damage, before convection weakens and/or moves offshore later
tonight.

..Dean.. 06/12/2026

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook  
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0448 PM CDT Thu Jun 11 2026

Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

...Synopsis...
Broad upper-level troughing will remain anchored over the
Manitoba/Ontario region on Day 3/Saturday as an upper-level ridge
builds over the West Coast. Early next week, a shortwave trough is
forecast to dig southward around the base of this persistent
Canadian trough, tracking across the northern Rockies around Day
4/Sunday. The upper-level ridge is expected to break down early to
mid-week as an upper-level jet max strengthens and progresses ahead
of an incoming northern Pacific trough. This secondary trough is
projected to move onshore into the Pacific Northwest by mid-to-late
next week, subsequently shifting the axis of the ridge eastward over
the Great Plains.

...Day 3/Saturday...
A narrow, amplified upper-level ridge will stretch across the
western CONUS on Day 3/Saturday, while a subtle mid-level shortwave
migrates across the Southwest. Simultaneously, a plume of mid-level
moisture advecting northward from the Baja Peninsula will promote
convective potential, primarily centered over the southern Great
Basin. Given deep, dry antecedent fuel conditions resulting from
consecutive days of hot, dry, and breezy weather, dry thunderstorms
will pose an ignition concern across northern AZ and southern UT. A
10% probability of dry thunderstorms continues for this area.
Further spatial modifications to this risk area remain likely in
upcoming outlook cycles as additional forecast guidance becomes
available.

...Day 6/Tuesday through Day 7/Wednesday...
Looking deeper into next week, the wholesale breakdown of the
western ridge is expected to escalate fire weather concerns across
the Intermountain West as the jet strengthens and gives way to
another trough later next week. But first, at least 2-3 days of well
above normal surface temperatures will occur under the established
ridge. Daily record high temperatures could be met or exceeded in
portions of the Pacific Northwest as this anomalous, but
short-lived, heat wave effectively dries dead fuels over much of the
western CONUS - significantly so over the Pacific Northwest. As the
ridge dampens and begins to slide eastward, expect winds to
strengthen amid the pre-existing very warm and dry conditions. Thus,
40% Critical probabilities have been introduced over portions of the
Great Basin and Southwest on Day 6/Tuesday and Day 7/Wednesday.
These areas will likely require expansion when the areal extent of
the strongest winds becomes more clear.

..Stearns.. 06/11/2026

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...