Reflections of Reality

Point of perfect symmetry in the EURO - now seems like a good time to accelerate or flip

2013-06-12T09:39:00.002-07:00

How deep will this cut ?

2013-06-08T23:12:00.002-07:00

different angles - same story

2013-06-02T02:42:00.001-07:00

Make or Break time .....

2013-05-28T22:59:00.000-07:00

for the EURO....

while the VIX has already taken sides...

vacation

2013-05-17T09:20:00.003-07:00

there will be no post the next 10 days...

Leveraged Bull ETFs: Divergence Warning!

2013-05-15T01:34:00.002-07:00

Melt up or seasonal Top ?? The bears have thrown in the towel.......

This is either 'Irrational Exuberance II' (think 1997) or a gigantic bull trap (think 2007). We should find out soon....

...and don't ignore the bigger picture, as seen through the lens of our long- und medium-term Exhaustion (MOMO gage) Indicator.

OptionFlows: Gold and Miners need another RETEST of the Lows

2013-05-15T01:23:00.001-07:00

Miners:

GOLD:

EURO: Expect test of the Neckline 1.2770

2013-05-15T01:02:00.001-07:00

Also observe how EURO behaves after the TREND Indicator goes through a pos/neg divergence sequence.

Which leaves us with the question of how long the Stock market can run against a stronger Dollar ?

Ride it until it ends......weekend inspiration

2013-05-11T12:34:00.000-07:00

Gold defends key Fibonacci levels with a late Friday rally

2013-05-10T22:47:00.001-07:00

Gold wants to bottom !!

EURUSD Pattern is the Elephant in the room.....

2013-05-09T10:38:00.002-07:00

Remember "Sell in May"......this is what a strengthening Dollar (weakening Euro) would mean in the world of ARB ALGOS.

Exhaustion Top like 2011?

2013-05-09T01:51:00.001-07:00

OptionFlowExtremes hint at the possibility into a similar Seasonality !!

Time to attack the Neckline

2013-05-06T07:57:00.002-07:00

Breadth update

2013-05-04T00:41:00.001-07:00

No explanantions required...

Bulls usually end on good news.....beware of the warning signs

2013-05-03T22:38:00.000-07:00

Watch the conclusion of the 2 yr compression Pattern in the VixOsc

2013-05-02T21:39:00.001-07:00

Anatomy of a TOP

2013-05-01T09:57:00.002-07:00

Junkbonds cry Wolf ?

2013-04-29T23:24:00.001-07:00

Divergences look threatening

2013-04-29T23:07:00.000-07:00

Breadth Indicators in Technology as well as our suite of VIX indicators send strong ALERTS !

Long but freakingly concerned aka. 'the wall of worry'

2013-04-27T23:12:00.001-07:00

This trend is right until it changes.....but there are plenty of contradictions.

We could give you 10 good reasons to be long (Trading Model, Junkbonds, Call/Put-ratios etc) and as many reasons why not.

There is VOLATILITY in the AIR!!

Gold looks promising

2013-04-27T23:08:00.000-07:00

Trend, TimeCycles and Pattern paint blue skies.....

Does Google Trends offer some predictive powers ?

2013-04-27T08:44:00.000-07:00

At extremes you can find 'Google Trends' helpful. At this stage I'd like to see a value of at least 40 to support the notion of a LOW or at least some kind of Vola expecting event, be it in SILVER, GOLD or Stocks. We linked some searches on the right hand side of our blog.

EURO: Head-Shoulders Pattern still in play

2013-04-27T06:25:00.002-07:00

The Fibo structures resulting from the last 5 years set the boundaries for the current Head & Shoulders Pattern.

Market Dislocations: 'Wall of Worry' short covering could come soon....

2013-04-27T06:12:00.001-07:00

Mr. Market goes parabolic against a 'Wall of Worry'. This is normally a very bullish sign because we have to expect that most of these loosing 'Wall of Worry'-trades will trigger a wave of short covering. Or maybe it is different this time.

Weekly Observations: 'Sell in May' looks like a good Strategy this year.....

2013-04-21T00:55:00.000-07:00

The following graphs should underline our theme of the topping formation Mr. Market is in, which seems to jive nicely with the old 'SELL IN MAY' adage.

We believe that there is a good chance that the stock market will correct some time, the dollar will be strong und Gold will move opposite to the stock market.