tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150Tue, 14 Dec 2021 08:54:05 +0000StocksopinionsMarketsTradingmodelPPollsoptionsETFsMutual FundseducationInformation<br> <br> <br> The markets can be treacherous, if not deceitful<br> for retail investors, in particular during times <br> of heightened volatility. Stay informed, do<br> your research, and don’t be led astray by the<br> self serving talking heads. Subscribe to PaperGains.http://papergains.blogspot.com/noreply@blogger.com (Unknown)Blogger268125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-6632163760182226468Thu, 28 Sep 2017 16:35:00 +00002017-09-28T09:35:39.779-07:00We have relocated here https://papergains.wordpress.com/http://papergains.blogspot.com/2017/09/we-have-relocated-here-httpspapergains.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-8882310524174946426Thu, 14 Sep 2017 06:29:00 +00002017-09-13T23:31:05.108-07:00NEW MATERIAL AND SITE COMING SOON. STAY TUNED IF ANYONE IS STILL THERE. ETA - 30 DAYS OR SO.http://papergains.blogspot.com/2017/09/update.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-7227605070303757946Fri, 07 Mar 2014 03:06:00 +00002014-03-06T19:06:13.893-08:00Sorry for being absent, but life calls and I just have had a lot of competing priorities. I seem to trade less and less and that seems to be the best strategy these days.http://papergains.blogspot.com/2014/03/hello.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-4068411822293237214Mon, 01 Apr 2013 02:45:00 +00002013-03-31T19:45:46.337-07:00opinionsSo, I've been absent for a while and I think it's both a busy schedule and when the market enters this area, I find it hard to find good content. I have to say first, that this market is in a strange area for the following reasons. Emerging markets are not trading at all time highs, except for SE Asia, interest rates are still on the floor, the job market still stinks, material stocks are gettinghttp://papergains.blogspot.com/2013/03/a-few-ideas.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)22tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-6384963780796771268Mon, 24 Dec 2012 04:49:00 +00002012-12-23T20:49:14.541-08:00opinionsStocksHave you noticed that we haven't heard much about the problems in Europe. That's because the media can only run with one market scare tactic at a time. Running with more than one isn't effective, as the populous can only focus on one at a time. When we try to focus on more than one, it isn't effective. So we will dwell on the Fiscal If until it is no longer effective and then probably back to http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/12/headlines-and-media.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)16tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-4623415033537816719Mon, 17 Dec 2012 05:33:00 +00002012-12-16T21:33:36.223-08:00opinionsI'm tired of hearing about this cliff that we are about to go over. The talking heads have to have something to talk about and something to strike fear in the hearts of retail investors. That's how they keep you tuned in. Anyway, I'm on the lookout for new investment opportunities, but the old ones are still good to go. The next month or so should be interesting for ARNA, as we should start to http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/12/the-fiscal-give-me-break-cliff.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-3086813167140085376Mon, 10 Dec 2012 01:37:00 +00002012-12-09T17:37:28.122-08:00I've been away for a while and when I get back what do I see, the same old thing. The market moving up and down in no discernible direction. A few thoughts, I wonder how the VVUS backers feel now that the company is offering FREE trials? Have you noticed the short interest in ARNA is at an all time high, 61 million shares on 15 Nov. I guess they're in it until the end. I'm hearing a lot about http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/12/whats-new-with-market.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-340479326544560814Mon, 05 Nov 2012 02:53:00 +00002012-11-04T18:53:49.928-08:00MarketsStocksAnother Friday and another dive in the market. So what else is new? I read an interesting article that some bank is being sued by the government for trading commodities just to affect change in other prices. I thought that sort of thing was legal, as it goes on every day. Anyway, what else. Coal and ore stocks have had good news, with the exception of CLF and I think traders might be catching onhttp://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/11/back-and-forth-we-go-in-market.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-8320319681920315835Mon, 22 Oct 2012 02:10:00 +00002012-10-21T19:10:09.583-07:00MarketsmodelPStocksTradingSo this past Friday was pretty bad, but Fridays have been bad lately and this past Friday was an options expiration day. Big deal. If you need further proof that the market is crooked, then look at what continues to happen with VVUS. They got news that they probably won't get approved in Europe and the stock wasn't cut in half. In addition, we've seen no sales data yet, but bloggers and traders http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/10/a-few-observations.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-8761106198988591279Sun, 07 Oct 2012 07:50:00 +00002012-10-07T00:50:42.374-07:00MarketsStocksThe market is doing that schizophrenic dance again, up down, up, down, for no real reason. That's when it's best to just sit back and relax. In case you hadn't notice, short interest in some of our stocks like ANR, ACI, FTR, and of course ARNA is sky high. I'm actually pretty encouraged because with all the continued shorting, these stocks have definitely bottomed and are showing signs of life. http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/10/we-are-in-funk-again.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-711693014208243723Mon, 24 Sep 2012 03:00:00 +00002012-09-23T20:03:59.324-07:00MarketsStocksWho knows? I've been asking myself this question - is this the beginning of a beautiful thing, or a head fake? This market is very tricky. The world economic situation is uncertain, to say the least, but the S&P is high. Jobs are hard to come by and housing is still in the dump, yet the market has blown it off. Like I said, this new market of the last 10 years has little to do with fundamentals. http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/09/what-should-we-expect-going-forward-in.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-1444538350407658403Fri, 07 Sep 2012 04:42:00 +00002012-09-06T21:42:30.816-07:00Been preoccupied with other things for a while, but not much has changed anyway. Our coal and ore stocks have taken a beating lately, but we have time. the problems in Europe and the slow down in China have things on hold, but oddly enough, the S&P is at a 52 week high. This is a peculiar market. Guess I shouldn't be surprised, as regulators sold us out years ago, so fundamentals don't mean what http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/09/a-short-note.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-7819032238054529841Mon, 13 Aug 2012 02:18:00 +00002012-08-12T19:18:51.729-07:00Well the shorts haven't given up on ARNA it seems, as the latest short interest crept up to 40 million and the stock price is down, but I'm really not concerned. This company is a winner. The big future loser is VVUS. I wonder how long it will be before the institutions realize their weight loss drug is not the champion they hoped it would be. So FTR is alive. The stock has moved up nicely, but http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/08/12-aug-market-update.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-4457762461985382043Mon, 23 Jul 2012 04:57:00 +00002012-07-22T22:00:59.084-07:00opinionsStocksSo the obesity wars continue. In case you weren't able to figure it out, ARNA won. I should remind you that I was never an OREX fan and while I always thought both ARNA and VVUS would both be approved, the VVUS story is a disaster. I won't go in to all the details, as I don't feel like spending the time, but women have to get on the pill and be tested monthly for a 'bun in the oven', special http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/07/a-few-thoughts-on-few-items.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)5tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-6395055953457907438Mon, 16 Jul 2012 00:26:00 +00002012-07-15T17:26:45.570-07:00StocksOur coal companies, ACI, ANR, and JRCC are reporting over the next 3 weeks and we should get a better indication what there balance sheets look like and what demand looks like in the sector. I'm really curious to see what FTR has to say, as the shorts show no real signs of letting up. I do think we are one really good story away from that stock taking off. With a quarter billion shares short http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/07/expect-3-crazy-weeks.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-7087284668501507826Thu, 28 Jun 2012 03:05:00 +00002012-06-27T20:06:12.460-07:00opinionsStocksIt ain't over. The stock is still severely undervalued and I can think of several reasons to hold on. More options expire on Friday 29 Jun and that is always a source of volatility. The institutions sold those options to retail investors just this month knowing most would expire worthless or for less than people paid. Next week the stock should move up again. Don't forget we have the Euro http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/arna-came-through-for-us-but-hold-on.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-2578953574684519121Wed, 27 Jun 2012 03:47:00 +00002012-06-26T20:49:13.992-07:00opinionsStocksSo here we are waiting. I said about two years ago that I believed that one or both (ARNA or VVUS) would be approved. I'm banking more on ARNA, as it is the safest, a new drug, and more effective than the critics say. Also, just as I thought, the short interest on 15 Jun was huge, 45 million. That's why we got the crash on the Friday after, so they could cover and reverse their positions. http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/count-down-to-decision-arna_26.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-2820239664204488Tue, 26 Jun 2012 03:41:00 +00002012-06-25T20:41:31.000-07:00opinionsStocksHere we are, just a couple of days until the saga reaches it's pinnacle. We've been in it for over 2 years and I feel a little like my youngest child is leaving for college. They say the hype is bigger than any previous hype, but as usual, 'they' lie. It was this bad for DNDN - remember. They pulled similar tricks - remember. At the end of the day, DNDN went through the roof, but then couldn't http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/arna-status-update-2-days-and-counting.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-5119022443419164636Sat, 23 Jun 2012 09:10:00 +00002012-06-23T02:31:23.911-07:00opinionsStocksIf you've followed PaperGains for a while, then you know what happened today in ARNA was expected. So what, the losers took 15% out of the stock that was under 2 just 6 months ago. This always happens with stocks that get this much hype and have this many shorts. This is one reason why I was curious about the new short interest as of 15 Jun. I think most of the 40 million shorts were still in http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/arna-glad-they-finally-made-their-move.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-7787343392306657796Thu, 21 Jun 2012 03:33:00 +00002012-06-20T20:33:08.715-07:00StocksAs expected, ARNA has taken off and I expect we will see more. I'm waiting to see the latest short interest numbers because judging from the price action around 10, there may still be alot of shorts which is crazy. I'm still holding and may buy some puts on Friday for a little insurance. I'm thinking about some 3s expiring in July. It's been a long wait, but we're coming down the home stretch.http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/one-week-and-counting-to-decision-arna.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)3tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-6925003489695471428Mon, 18 Jun 2012 04:48:00 +00002012-06-17T21:48:13.790-07:00optionsStocksI know everyone is down on natural resources - coal, metals, and ore, but being the contrarian I am, I can't help but start to pile in. ACI, ANR, JRCC, FCX, VALE, and CLF are the names I like. I know the first three are coal, but it's a good way to hedge. Also, the last three have nice dividends (that hopefully won't be cut!) They have earnings that easily cover the dividends. I'm happy to buy http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/natural-resources.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-5341985205056681463Mon, 18 Jun 2012 04:39:00 +00002012-06-17T21:39:39.494-07:00opinionsStocksThe next week and a half should be interesting. With options expiring on Friday and everything silent from the company and FDA, it looks promising. I really expect the stock to move up from here and I would be surprised if it didn't breach 10. I will try to post on the subject more often leading up to the big day.http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/count-down-to-decision-arna.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)4tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-4675567164055873367Sun, 03 Jun 2012 22:55:00 +00002012-06-03T15:55:38.036-07:00opinionsStocksSo we're in full wait mode on ARNA and VVUS. The market is also in the dumps, again. The only good thing about being in the dumps is we get to buy some stocks at good prices. Now here's what I've been doing the past couple of weeks. Buying more ACI, VALE, and ANR. Coal stocks and other natural resource stocks are priced like we're in a coal depression. I'll wait this one out. I also like some ofhttp://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/06/latest-news.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)8tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-8924543662799259462Mon, 14 May 2012 04:07:00 +00002012-05-13T21:07:09.098-07:00MarketsmodelPopinionsStocksSo VVUS and ARNA have done well for investors and the road looks clear. We're still keeping an eye on FTR and NVTL. We can wait, as the stocks are ridiculously cheap. Some of our other MP picks have stalled a bit, but that's a result of the market being firmly in the hands of traders at the moment. When things get sortted out in Europe and China kicks things in to gear, fundamentals will drive http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/05/now-what.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)2tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3657291824051989150.post-3334001822296995230Tue, 08 May 2012 05:18:00 +00002012-05-07T22:18:06.233-07:00opinionsStocksThe situation with FTR has reached a crazy point. The short selling is routinely around 50% of the volume, assuming shortanalytics is correct. I thought the quarter was a decent one and the stock was actually up early. The company needs to continue to expand their product offering and grow the business. It wouldn't hurt if they did something about all the shares outstanding. One thing is certain,http://papergains.blogspot.com/2012/05/couple-of-items-arna-and-ftr.htmlnoreply@blogger.com (Unknown)8