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		<title>The Investment Risk-Return Correlation</title>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 19 Aug 2010 01:40:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Millionaire Mommy Next Door</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Q: Pam asks, &#8220;After my portfolio value dropped by 40%, I panicked and pulled out of the stock market. I have $150,000 sitting in my savings account, earning squat. I know I should put it back to work, but with the state of our economy, I don&#8217;t know what to do with it. Any thoughts?&#8221; [...]<p></p>

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<p><strong>Q:</strong> Pam asks, &#8220;After my portfolio value dropped by 40%, I panicked and pulled out of the stock market. I have $150,000 sitting in my savings account, earning squat. I know I should put it back to work, but with the state of our economy, I don&#8217;t know what to do with it. Any thoughts?&#8221;</p>
<p><strong>A:</strong> If you&#8217;re terrified of the volatile economic climate today and would be an insomniac if you were invested in the market, perhaps it&#8217;s best to keep it parked until you are emotionally and behaviorally ready to stomach the ride and stick to a strategy. Preserve your capital while you take some time to reassess your goals and risk tolerance, determine an appropriate (perhaps more conservative) asset allocation, and explore various investment strategies to find a good fit for your goals and personality.</p>
<p>First, let&#8217;s address the risk-return correlation. In subsequent posts, I&#8217;ll tackle the other pieces.</p>
<p>Generally speaking, the goal of an investor is to be compensated for the amount of risk they take. Better yet, the investor seeks out the best risk-adjusted return &#8212; I&#8217;ll discuss this piece later.</p>
<p>If you are willing to accept <strong>high volatility</strong> (investment risk) for a <strong>high potential return</strong>, consider investing in a diversified portfolio of:</p>
<ul>
<li> aggressive growth funds</li>
<li> small cap stocks and funds</li>
<li> micro-cap stocks and funds</li>
<li> foreign company stocks</li>
<li> international funds</li>
<li> sector funds</li>
<li> precious metal funds</li>
<li> emerging market funds</li>
</ul>
<p>If you are willing to accept <strong>moderate volatility</strong> (investment risk) for a <strong>moderate potential return</strong>, consider investing in a diversified portfolio of:</p>
<ul>
<li> large cap stocks and funds</li>
<li> S&amp;P 500 and Wilshire 5000 index funds</li>
<li> convertible bonds</li>
<li> high-yield (junk) bond funds</li>
</ul>
<p>If you are willing to accept <strong>low volatility</strong> (investment risk) for a <strong>low potential return</strong>, consider investing in a diversified portfolio of:</p>
<ul>
<li> high quality short and intermediate term municipal and corporate bonds and bond funds</li>
<li> US savings bonds</li>
<li> Treasury bills and notes</li>
<li> fixed annuities</li>
<li> money market mutual funds</li>
</ul>
<p>If you are willing to accept <strong>very low volatility</strong> (investment risk) for a <strong>very low potential return</strong>, consider investing in a diversified portfolio of:</p>
<ul>
<li> CD&#8217;s (Certificates of Deposit)</li>
<li> money market deposit accounts</li>
<li> interest-earning checking accounts</li>
<li> savings accounts</li>
</ul>
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<p>Related posts:<ol>
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<li><a href='http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2009/01/readers-questions-answered/' rel='bookmark' title='Readers’ Questions Answered'>Readers’ Questions Answered</a></li>
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		<title>The Story of Goldilocks and the Three Retirement Contributions</title>
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		<comments>http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2010/07/story-of-goldilocks-three-retirement-contributions/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 16 Jul 2010 16:37:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Millionaire Mommy Next Door</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Million Dollar Recipes]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Save Money (frugal ideas)]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/?p=1493</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[By Jen Smith, The Millionaire Mommy Next Door Once upon a time, Goldilocks went for a walk.  Pretty soon, she came upon her bank.  She asked the bank teller for her retirement account balance and when she was shown the number, she wept. Goldilocks returned home to assess her budget and see where she could [...]<p></p>

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<p><a title="Goldilocks and the Three Bears by Krystn Palmer Photography, on Flickr" href="http://www.flickr.com/photos/gettysgirl/3400383586/" target="_blank"><img src="http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3422/3400383586_f9b889e20d.jpg" alt="Goldilocks and the Three Bears" width="500" height="476" /></a></p>
<p><em>By Jen Smith, <a href="http://millionairemommynextdoor.com">The Millionaire Mommy Next Door</a></em></p>
<p>Once upon a time, Goldilocks went for a walk.  Pretty soon, she came upon her bank.  She asked the bank teller for her retirement account balance and when she was shown the number, she wept.</p>
<p>Goldilocks returned home to assess her budget and see where she could come up with some extra money to make regular IRA contributions. She thought about quitting her <a href="http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2009/08/how-to-make-a-million-dollars-while-eating-lunch/">latte habit</a>. $3 saved per day could grow to $177,706 in thirty years.</p>
<p>&#8220;This idea is too soft!&#8221; she exclaimed.</p>
<p>So she returned to her budget and considered cutting her housing and utility expenses in half by <a href="http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2009/04/why-downsizing-to-a-smaller-home-can-make-you-happier/">downsizing to a much smaller home</a>. $1200 saved per month could compound into $2,389,653 in thirty years.</p>
<p>&#8220;This idea is too hard,&#8221; she said.</p>
<p>So she returned to her budget and took aim on her <a href="http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2009/07/would-you-ditch-a-car-for-1000000-one-million-dollars/">transportation costs</a>. If she sold her car and used her city&#8217;s excellent public transportation system instead, she could save $780 per month. In thirty years, her retirement fund could blossom into $1,553,275.</p>
<p>&#8220;Ahhh, this idea is just right,&#8221; she said happily. Goldilocks sold her car, walked back to her bank, and made a contribution to her retirement account.</p>
<p>Thirty years later, Goldilocks retired, and lived happily ever after.</p>
<p>THE END</p>
<p><em>For illustration purposes, results were <a href="http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2008/12/110-financial-calculators-fast-answers-to-your-money-questions/">calculated</a> at 10.00% ROI compounded annually. The actual rate of return is largely dependent on the type of investments you choose. Over the most recent 30 year span, from January 1, 1980 to December 31, 2009, the compound annual growth rate (annualized return) for the S&amp;P 500, including reinvestment of dividends, was 11.29% (<a href="http://www.moneychimp.com/features/market_cagr.htm" target="_blank">source</a></em><em>). Total savings are calculated in actual dollars (not inflation-adjusted). A common measure of inflation in the U.S. is the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which has a long-term average of 3.1% annually (from 1925 through 2008).</em>
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		<title>You Don’t Need A Broker: 9 Keys to Investing Successfully On Your Own</title>
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		<comments>http://millionairemommynextdoor.com/2010/06/fire-your-broker-9-keys-to-investing-successfully-on-your-own/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 20 Jun 2010 02:56:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Millionaire Mommy Next Door</dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m sure there are investment brokers worth their high commissions and fees, but I haven&#8217;t experienced one. I burned through five brokers before realizing that no one cares as much about my money and my future as I do. Brokers are salespeople. Naturally, they care more about their bottom line than mine. Most people I [...]<p></p>

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<p>I&#8217;m sure there are investment brokers worth their high commissions and fees, but I haven&#8217;t experienced one. I burned through five brokers before realizing that no one cares as much about my money and my future as I do. Brokers are salespeople. Naturally, they care more about their bottom line than mine.</p>
<p>Most people I coach don’t realize that they’ve been paying a 5-6% sales commission every time they buy new mutual fund shares because the commission is built into the price, making it difficult for the investor to &#8220;see&#8221; it. And paying a sales commission has nothing to do with the performance of a fund; you aren&#8217;t buying a better fund simply by virtue of paying more for it.</p>
<p>Each year, I&#8217;d compare my broker-managed portfolio&#8217;s performance with the stock market indexes (Wilshire 5000, S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, NASDAQ, MSCI EAFE, etc.). I found that despite paying a decent sum to brokers for their expertise, my portfolio usually under-performed the standard index benchmarks. In 1999, I decide that it was worth my time and energy to learn how to manage my own investment portfolio. My efforts have paid off very handsomely. Here&#8217;s a down-n-dirty summary of what I&#8217;ve learned:</p>
<p><strong>1. Start Today</strong></p>
<p>Start as early as possible to take advantage of the astounding power of compounding growth. By reinvesting the gains you receive from the money you invest, you can double your money in less than eight years assuming a 10% average annual return. Take a look at the following example, then try <a href="http://www.dinkytown.com/java/WaitCost.html" target="_blank">this calculator</a> to see how much postponing your savings plan could cost you.</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Start Now:</span><br />
Save $10,000 per year for 30 years<br />
@ 10% annual rate of return<br />
= $1,809,434 ending balance</p>
<p><span style="text-decoration: underline;">Start Later</span><br />
Postpone saving for 10 years, then save $10,000 per year for 20 years<br />
@ 10% annual rate of return<br />
= $630,025 ending balance</p>
<p><em><strong>Cost of waiting = $1,179,409</strong></em></p>
<p><strong>2. Put Your Investment Contributions on Auto-Pilot</strong></p>
<p>Instruct your bank to automatically transfer at least 10-20% of your gross income to your investment account each month. If you don&#8217;t think you can afford to do this then you can&#8217;t afford your lifestyle! Get creative, cut expenses elsewhere, and start paying yourself first.</p>
<p><strong>3. Maximize Retirement Account Contributions</strong></p>
<p>How taxes are applied to an investment can make a big difference in the long run. There are tax advantages to retirement accounts which is why (in most cases) you should maximize your contributions to these accounts first, then add to your taxable accounts. Additionally, some employers match your contributions &#8212; which equals free money. <a href="http://www.dinkytown.com/java/InvestCompare.html" target="_blank">This calculator</a> compares a normal taxable investment to two common tax advantaged situations: 1) an investment where taxes are deferred until withdrawals are made, and 2) an investment where taxes are paid on money that goes into the account but all withdrawals are tax free.</p>
<p><strong>4. Be Mindful of Fees </strong><strong>and Do It Yourself </strong></p>
<p>Invest $10,000 each year and use a broker to place your order and you might pay $575 per year in sales commissions. Alternatively, learn to place investment orders yourself and your commission savings, compounding 10% annually, would be an extra $104,042 in your pocket in 30 years. Invest in a low-cost equity portfolio using no-load mutual funds, Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and index funds. Even a small difference in the fees you pay on your investments add up over time. Use <a href="http://www.dinkytown.com/java/CompareFees.html" target="_blank">this calculator</a> to see how different fees can impact your investment returns.</p>
<p><strong>5. Diversify and Build a Balanced Portfolio</strong></p>
<p>Speculative investments are like eggs: when they fall, they make a mess. Don&#8217;t place your bet on a single stock or sector. Spread your risk into a variety of market caps and styles as well as domestic, foreign and emerging markets. Proper diversification helps your portfolio weather any ups and downs the market can take. Asset allocation accounts for 94% of the variation in portfolio returns, while market timing and stock picks account for only 6% <em>(Gary Brinson, Randolph Hood and Gilbert Beebower)</em>. Review and rebalance your portfolio annually to maintain your desired allocation percentages. The <a href="http://www.dinkytown.com/java/AssetAllocator.html" target="_blank">Asset Allocator calculator</a> is designed to help you create a balanced portfolio of investments. Your age, ability to tolerate risk, and several other factors are used to calculate a desirable mix of stocks, bonds and cash.</p>
<p><strong>6. Don&#8217;t Invest Money You Can&#8217;t Afford To Lose</strong></p>
<p>Rises and falls in the stock market are normal and frequent. Don&#8217;t invest your emergency fund into the stock market because you don&#8217;t know when you&#8217;ll need to use it. Money you may need within the next few years doesn&#8217;t belong in the stock market either. Investing for portfolio growth is your <em>long-term</em> goal.</p>
<p><strong>7. Cover Your Ass</strong></p>
<p>Protect your growing wealth with adequate insurance. The number one cause of bankruptcy is major medical expenses. In addition to medical insurance, consider coverage for disability, life (consider a term policy rather than whole life), auto, homeowner/renter, business, and personal liability. Buy policies with the highest deductible you could afford to cover from your emergency fund &#8212; and invest what you save from the reduced rates.</p>
<p><strong>8. Understand Your Assets and Liabilities</strong></p>
<p>Most people consider the home they live in as an asset but the truth is, it’s a liability. And if you are counting on future home appreciation, it’s speculation. Stop thinking of your home as a savings account. Don&#8217;t believe the sales-pressure hype that homeownership is your best investment: you&#8217;re spending money on a property that isn&#8217;t producing income. If you insist on owning real estate as a part of your investment portfolio, buy an investment property that produces a positive monthly cash flow.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re finding it difficult to squeeze your budget for investment contributions, downsize to a smaller home. Invest any remaining home equity, plus your new-found monthly savings, into your long-term-growth portfolio.</p>
<p><strong>9. Don&#8217;t Invest Until You Understand</strong></p>
<p>Question every piece of advice you are given through the filter of &#8220;what&#8217;s in it for them?&#8221; Unfortunately, there is no shortage of people who are skilled at separating you from your hard-earned money. It pays to be suspicious. If you aren&#8217;t committed to learning how to self-manage your investments, consider hiring a FEE-ONLY financial adviser (rather than a commissioned-sales broker) to assist you.</p>
<p>What I&#8217;ve offered today is a summary. I&#8217;ve shared my opinions and experiences. But don&#8217;t just take my word; ask questions and read investing books and web sites. Learn about different investing strategies and styles, assess your own personal risk tolerance, make a plan, then stick to it. Use your head &#8212; not your emotions &#8212; to guide your decisions. Practice investing first, using virtual online applications (not real money), as you wean off of your high-commission broker.</p>
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