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		<title>Randy Vásquez Is Ready Now</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/randy-vasquez-is-ready-now/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/randy-vasquez-is-ready-now/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ryan Blake]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 15:25:39 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Padres]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487435</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The right-hander posted the lowest strikeout rate among starting pitchers from 2023 to 2025. With two more ticks on his fastball in 2026, the whiffs have finally arrived.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487474" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487474" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption aligncenter"><img fetchpriority="high" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28695955.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487474" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28695955.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28695955-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28695955-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/USATSI_28695955-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487474" class="wp-caption-text">Denis Poroy-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/randy-vasquez/24719/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Randy Vásquez</a> has struck out 19 batters in his first three starts of 2026. He didn’t record his 19th strikeout in 2025 until May 14, in the third inning of his ninth start.</p>
<p>Vásquez has simply dominated in the earliest days of the new season. He opened the year with six shutout innings against the Tigers, striking out eight. He picked up a mere three strikeouts in his second start against the Red Sox, but his stuff was just as good, generating whiffs on 32.6% of swings. And then he picked up eight more strikeouts on Thursday against the Rockies. He now has a 1.02 ERA, a 2.57 FIP, a 27.5% strikeout rate and a 5.8% walk rate, pitching like a top 20 starter in the majors to begin 2026.</p>
<p>Weird, right?</p>
<p>It’s not that Vásquez was terrible before this year. He posted a 3.70 ERA and 4.96 FIP across 26 starts in 2025, and his performance was similar in the two seasons prior. That&#8217;s a pitcher who can stick in the backend of most rotations and serve as useful depth. But it wasn’t clear what Vásquez did well, or how he might take the next step to becoming a true mainstay in the majors. He walked more batters than average. He didn’t really limit hard contact. And his 14.8% strikeout rate was the lowest among any starting pitcher with at least 200 innings from 2023 through 2025. He was just kind of there.<span id="more-487435"></span></p>
<p>And now he’s here:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-5.47.27-PM.png" alt="" width="850" height="713" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-487436" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-5.47.27-PM.png 850w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-5.47.27-PM-300x252.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-5.47.27-PM-768x644.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 850px) 100vw, 850px" /></p>
<p>I don&#8217;t want to get too worked up over three starts. This is a dangerous time of year for analysis. Any big league-quality pitcher can look good over a handful of outings, and Vásquez has notably faced two lineups ranked in the bottom 10 of the league by wRC+ (the Red Sox are at 92 wRC+, the Rockies a 78). <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chandler-simpson/31912/stats/batting" target="_blank">Chandler Simpson</a> is hitting .411, and the Nationals have a top-five offense. Not much is knowable yet.</p>
<p>But what&#8217;s different about Vásquez is that this new success isn&#8217;t quite so new. Again, he struggled to be more than passable for most of 2025, and was demoted in early August after failing to get through five innings in four straight starts. He was briefly recalled after <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/michael-king/19853/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Michael King</a> went on the IL, only to be optioned again. When he returned on September 6, however, he looked like a brand new pitcher — a lot like the pitcher we&#8217;re seeing in 2026. His velocity was up, he was throwing more strikes, and, crucially, he was finally starting to miss bats. In four starts after returning to the majors, Vásquez posted a 3.09 FIP, a 21.7% strikeout rate, and a 3.6% walk rate.</p>
<p>What changed?</p>
<p>In broad strokes, not a whole lot. I tried running through the standard gauntlet of diagnostics, looking for new patterns in movement and spin and angles. I couldn&#8217;t find many large, wholesale changes to his repertoire or delivery. Vásquez is still a contemporary, seven-pitch pitcher. He throws three kinds of fastballs, relying on those for about two-thirds of his pitches, while also sprinkling in a changeup, curveball, sweeper, and slider, depending on the handedness of the batter.</p>
<p>One subtle change is the shape of his cutter,  <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/here-are-some-fun-new-pitches-from-the-early-spring/" target="_blank">as spied by Michael Rosen</a> in spring training. Michael noted that Vásquez is getting more break on the pitch both up and down. It now moves a lot like his little-used slider, just four ticks faster. That extra depth has allowed Vásquez to &#8220;cut&#8221; his cutter across the face of the zone and land it for a strike on the black. PitchingBot loves this change, upgrading his cutter&#8217;s command rating from a 47 on the 20-80 scale in 2025 to 60 so far in 2026.</p>
<p><iframe src="https://streamable.com/m/randy-vasquez-swinging-strike-to-carlos-narvaez-0oeaal?partnerId=web_video-playback-page_video-share" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p>But the biggest change for Vásquez might actually be reducing his reliance on that cutter. Last year, it was his primary pitch, throwing it 24.9% of the time. This year, it&#8217;s dropped to second at 20.9%. This is actually true of for several of his pitches. Vásquez in 2026 is not only throwing fewer cutters, but fewer sinkers, sweepers and curveballs, too.</p>
<p>In their place, he&#8217;s turned to a classic: the four-seam fastball. He&#8217;s thrown it 33.5% of the time in 2026, compared to just 21.0% last year. It&#8217;s a better fastball, too. He&#8217;s throwing it quite a bit harder at 94.8 mph, or about two full ticks faster than last year. He&#8217;s also getting an extra inch of rise and extra inch of run, coaxing batters to chase the pitch out of the zone. That&#8217;s helped him to nearly double his whiff rate on the pitch to a whopping 30.4%.</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://streamable.com/m/randy-vasquez-swinging-strike-to-willson-contreras-ekn3je?partnerId=web_video-playback-page_video-share" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p>It’s not just a useful tool to get ahead. Vásquez is throwing his four-seamer nearly 40% of the time in two-strike counts. Our new <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/lab/paired-pitches" target="_blank">Paired Pitches tool</a> helps illustrate why this is so effective. Vásquez has a broad, diverse arsenal that can access pretty much every part of the zone at every speed. He&#8217;s always scored above average by the various <a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/player/139775/randy-vasquez/" target="_blank">arsenal metrics developed by <em>Baseball Prospectus</em></a>. He&#8217;s simply unpredictable. Righties have to respect that a fastball up might be a sinker that bites back towards their hands or a cutter that fades away. And lefties have to respect the slower, north-south movement — attempting to stay back while trying not to be late.</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez.png" alt="" width="1000" height="1382" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-487446" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez.png 1000w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez-217x300.png 217w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez-741x1024.png 741w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez-768x1061.png 768w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Randy_Vasquez-300x415.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>At 93 mph, batters could still sit hope to sit and adjust. Maybe they had a hard time guessing what was coming, but they didn&#8217;t have the threat of missing the fastball hanging over their heads. At 95 mph, however, all of that changes. Batters now have to truly guess, and they&#8217;re not guessing well. Vásquez has thrown 79 pitches way out of the zone this year, in what Baseball Savant calls the &#8220;chase&#8221; and &#8220;waste&#8221; zone. Batters have swung at 23 of them — the eighth highest rate in the majors.</p>
<p>This swinging strikeout on the four-seamer is a great illustration. You can see <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ceddanne-rafaela/24262/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ceddanne Rafaela</a> trying to process all of this in real time, considering whether the pitch is about to break back over the plate or fall out of the bottom of the zone or fade towards the — whoops, it&#8217;s already gone:</p>
<p><iframe loading="lazy" src="https://streamable.com/m/ceddanne-rafaela-strikes-out-swinging-3xtbam?partnerId=web_video-playback-page_video-share" width="560" height="315"></iframe></p>
<p>The next question, then, is whether this velocity might stick around. This is where I&#8217;m going to again fall back on September 2025. Vásquez was throwing hard when he returned to the majors last year, and we can see that velocity has continued into 2026:</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-7.05.51-PM.png" alt="" width="848" height="710" class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-487448" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-7.05.51-PM.png 848w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-7.05.51-PM-300x251.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-7.05.51-PM-768x643.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 848px) 100vw, 848px" /></p>
<p>Still, where did it come from? This time last year, Vásquez wasn&#8217;t in the best standing with the Padres. He&#8217;d shown up to camp out of shape, and the team put him on a strength and conditioning program to build up his velocity and stamina, <a href="https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7155146/2026/03/29/padres-randy-vasquez-first-win/" target="_blank">as <em>The Athletic</em>&#8217;s Dennis Lin reported in March</a>. His progress really took off when he began working with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yu-darvish/13074/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yu Darvish</a>, who taught him how to recover between starts, helped him study scouting reports, and kept him accountable to his own development.</p>
<p>Padres pitching coach Ruben Niebla told <em>The Athletic</em> that this relationship, and the payoff, provided Vásquez with a bit of clarity on his identity as a pitcher:</p>
<blockquote><p>“Being a pitcher is not just about what he does on the mound. A lot of it is, like, the discipline of what he does off the mound, right? It’s the four days in between. It’s a routine. That routine builds confidence.”</p></blockquote>
<p>This is the part where I have to temper expectations. We&#8217;ve only seen this new version of Vásquez for a few weeks in 2025 and separately for a few weeks in 2026. As Eric Longenhagen has noted in <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/prospect-report-san-diego-padres-2024-imminent-big-leaguers/" target="_blank">earlier scouting reports</a>, Vásquez profiles more like a multi-inning reliever because of his small stature, his violent delivery, and his general lack of consistency. I don&#8217;t know that any of that has really changed to this point.</p>
<p>Still, this is an encouraging development for the Padres, who continue to look for value from <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/yankees-acquire-juan-soto/" target="_blank">the quartet of arms</a> they got as part of trading <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-soto/20123/stats/batting" target="_blank">Juan Soto</a> to the Yankees. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/drew-thorpe/31967/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Drew Thorpe</a> was barely on the team, dealt to the White Sox in the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dylan Cease</a> trade four months after the Soto deal. King has flashed greatness, but has struggled with injury and inconsistency. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jhony-brito/25386/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jhony Brito</a> hasn&#8217;t thrown a pitch in the majors since 2024. While King could still pan out and has been good enough that the Padres re-signed him this offseason, he&#8217;s nearly 31 and will hit free agency again <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/padres-sign-michael-king-to-three-year-deal-unless-you-read-the-fine-print/" target="_blank">sometime in the next three years</a>. A good version of Vásquez could contribute through 2030.</p>
<p>Plus, the Padres simply need pitchers, period. They ranked 26th in our <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-positional-power-rankings-starting-rotation-no-16-30/" target="_blank">preseason positional power rankings</a>, and their rotation at the moment is a hodgepodge of reclamation projects with tenuous bills of health. If this indeed what Vásquez is capable of, it&#8217;s a lot easier to see them finishing the year around average. And as Ben Clemens <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/let-me-upgrade-you-small-improvements-with-big-playoff-implications/" target="_blank">recently pointed out</a>, a good starting pitcher would do wonders for the Padres&#8217; playoff odds.</p>
<p>This all amounts to a very April story. The pitcher with the lowest strikeout rate in baseball over the last three years is suddenly striking out tons of batters over his first three games. A team desperate for any positive sign from their rotation is suddenly staring one in the face. Is this all just wishful thinking? Well, that&#8217;s for the next 5 1/2 months to decide.</p>
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		<title>Emerson Hancock Became Less Efficient And More Effective</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/emerson-hancock-became-less-efficient-and-more-effective/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/emerson-hancock-became-less-efficient-and-more-effective/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Michael Rosen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 14:00:46 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mariners]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487380</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Pronation, supination, and the reinvention of a pitcher.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487429" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487429" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Emerson-Hancock.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487429" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Emerson-Hancock.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Emerson-Hancock-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Emerson-Hancock-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Emerson-Hancock-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487429" class="wp-caption-text">Jonathan Hui-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p>Pitchers can do all sorts of things to change their lot in life — launch plyo balls, rig up a Trackman, add a kick change — but motor preferences tend to be a fixed fact. Most pitchers fall into one of two buckets: pronator or supinator. Pitchers with high spin efficiency (say, 95% and up) on their four-seam fastball belong to the pronator class, while those below 90% can be considered supinators. (As a reminder, spin efficiency is the measure of how much spin is “useful;” a fastball thrown with perfect backspin would have 100% spin efficiency.) These mechanical biases tend to remain constant throughout a career. I took 185 pitchers who threw at least 25 fastballs in both 2023 and 2026; over that three-year span, the r-squared between their spin efficiency was 0.65.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter.png" alt="" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-487382" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter.png 1183w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-300x223.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1024x763.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-768x572.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1183px) 100vw, 1183px" /></p>
<p>On that plot above, you’ll see, as there always are, a few outliers. One is <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-boyle/29608/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Joe Boyle</a>. The tale of Boyle is relatively well known at this point, at least in certain <a href="https://bsky.app/profile/mikepetriello.bsky.social/post/3mivvlvydac2m" target="_blank">social media pitching circles</a>. Over the last three years, Boyle went from throwing from an over-the-top arm angle (53 degrees) to a distinct side-arm slot (26 degrees.) The arsenal, in turn, transformed alongside it. This dramatic slot change coincided with his fastball spin efficiency declining from 86% in 2023 to 67% in 2026, one of the largest drops in that span.</p>
<p>Boyle belongs to that collection of dots on the left of the plot that went from low spin efficiency to even lower spin efficiency. And then there&#8217;s one little dot all alone on the right side of the plot. That’s <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/emerson-hancock/27470/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Emerson Hancock</a>.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1.png" alt="" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-487383" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1.png 1181w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1-300x224.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1-1024x764.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/merge_scatter-1-768x573.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1181px) 100vw, 1181px" /><span id="more-487380"></span></p>
<p>Hancock is, of course, one of this year&#8217;s early sensations. Through three starts, he’s posted a 2.04 ERA and 2.38 FIP, striking out 30.6% of batters in his 17 2/3 innings of work. His last start — on Friday, against a red-hot Astros offense — was his worst yet; he ran into some trouble in the second and gave up three runs on a bases-clearing double that barely snuck past the third baseman. Still, it was five innings, four hits, three runs, and a demonstration of the qualities fueling this breakout. One-third of his pitches on Friday were sweepers; as recently as two years ago, that pitch did not exist in his arsenal.</p>
<p>When it comes to cutting the ball, Hancock is a bit of a different case than Boyle. Even in his high-slot past, Boyle was a clear supinator; his highest-ever spin efficiency was 86%. In 2023, Hancock&#8217;s fastball was thrown with 99% spin efficiency. Pitchers with a tendency to spin the ball that pure usually generate good ride on their heaters, but struggle to throw breaking balls to their glove side — such as sweepers — without sacrificing considerable velocity. In order to leverage the seam-shifted wake that makes a sweeper move, the pitcher needs to impart some gyro spin for the seams to catch the air. If a ball is thrown with pure backspin or pure topspin, it won&#8217;t take off horizontally like <a href="https://x.com/PitchingNinja/status/2042397012461560025" target="_blank">Nolan McLean’s frisbees</a>.</p>
<p>Hancock had a big problem at this phase of his career, back in 2023, when his spin efficiency was so high. He was a dreaded low-slot pronator. Life is hard for a low-slot pronator. As I <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/nathan-eovaldi-is-making-delicious-lemonade/" target="_blank">wrote about</a> <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-eovaldi/9132/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Nathan Eovaldi</a> last year, “pronation bias blunts their ability to throw hard glove-side breakers, and the low arm angle obviates the pronator’s nominal advantage, killing the carry on their fastball.” Eovaldi has found a way to make it work; almost nobody else can say the same.</p>
<p>Take Hancock’s pitch plot from 2023. What you’ll see here is the classic pronator’s triangle, as <a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/87514/luis-castillo-and-the-pronators-triangle/" target="_blank">Mario Delgado Genzor defined it for <em>Baseball Prospectus</em></a>. While supinators have options to expand their arsenal, pronators generally must work within this triangle, maximizing their skills to the best of their abilities without significant alterations to their pitch shapes.</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-9.16.19-AM.png" alt="" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-487385" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-9.16.19-AM.png 1174w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-9.16.19-AM-300x283.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-9.16.19-AM-1024x965.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Screenshot-2026-04-12-at-9.16.19-AM-768x724.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1174px) 100vw, 1174px" /></p>
<p>Unless, somehow, you manage to completely shift your motor preference. This year, Hancock became a full-fledged supinator, sharpening the angle on his fastball while adding a glove-side breaking ball with sweep and lift. Clearly, unlocking a better shape on his fastball and a big sweepy breaker was to his benefit; the results in this small sample bear it out. But if it is the case that spin efficiency tends to be immutable and can only be altered by significant slot adjustment, how did Hancock pull this off? Yes, his arm angle is down 10 degrees, from 23 degrees in 2023 to 13 degrees in 2026. I figured that couldn&#8217;t be the entire explanation. How did Hancock escape low-slot pronator jail?</p>
<p>This was above my pay grade, so I turned to some experts on the subject. I spoke with <a href="https://x.com/SpenserDavis6" target="_blank">Spenser Davis, a pitching coach at Southern Virginia University</a>, who suggested that the change in spin efficiency may have something to do with Hancock’s delivery. He noticed that this year Hancock is landing more crossbody.</p>
<p>Every pitcher pronates at some point during their delivery. Those with higher four-seam spin efficiencies pronate earlier in their throws, while supinators delay that pronation for a handful of milliseconds longer than the pronators. As Davis explained to me, a crossbody delivery allows the plant foot to land sooner than in a full uninterrupted delivery. When Hancock lands more crossbody, the rotation phase is shortened. his trunk decelerates earlier in the delivery, cutting off his tendency to pronate and leading to a less spin-efficient pitch.</p>
<p>The difference between the landing position is subtle but clearly noticeable. In 2024, for example, he was landing to the left of his back foot:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_24.png" alt="" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-487387" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_24.png 1280w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_24-300x169.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_24-1024x576.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_24-768x432.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" /></p>
<p>This season, he’s landing to the right of his back foot, while starting from the same position on the rubber:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_26.png" alt="" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large wp-image-487388" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_26.png 1280w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_26-300x169.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_26-1024x576.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/hancock_26-768x432.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1280px) 100vw, 1280px" /></p>
<p>I also spoke to <a href="https://x.com/cwhite23_" target="_blank">Connor White</a>, Driveline’s director of pitching. He theorized that Hancock&#8217;s spin efficiency decline was connected to his change in arm angle, but not in the way I might have imagined. At Baseball Savant, the <a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/leaderboard/pitcher-arm-angles" target="_blank">arm angle measurement is derived from a single point on the pitcher’s shoulder</a>. Savant arm angle captures the rough picture, but as White pointed out, there are many more variables involved in arm angle than a single point. “The arm is not one fixed lever,” he told me. Hancock could be altering his wrist angle, or bending his elbow further, or changing his humerus angle, and none of those factors would necessarily impact the arm angle statistic seen on Savant.</p>
<p>Pitching analyst Lance Brozdowski scooped me on this very topic <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nkyizQ-lacA" target="_blank">in a video he posted Friday</a>. (As usual, it&#8217;s a great video. He even spotlighted Hancock as a perfect case study for this phenomenon.) In one section, Brozdowski provided some further explanations for how pitchers like Hancock manage to cut their spin efficiency so dramatically. Throwing a cutter more frequently could unintentionally shift motor preferences over time; on the intentional side, he reported that teams will alter grips and cues to change the orientation of a pitch, or encourage pitchers to use tools like plyo balls or even footballs to change their delivery style.</p>
<p>Which of these apply to Hancock? Some combination of all, or perhaps none of the above. It&#8217;s a bit secretive, and the lack of high-definition slow-motion video prevents any further investigation into grip changes. What&#8217;s known are the results: a lower arm slot, a newfound capacity to cut the ball, and some of the best shapes Hancock has featured since he surfaced in the majors three years ago. His four-seam fastball once sat in the dreaded “dead zone.” By lowering his arm angle and increasing his vertical break, it now grades as an average pitch, at least according to the stuff models. It doesn&#8217;t sound like much, but it might be a necessary condition to carve out a viable big league career.</p>
<p>As Brozdowski reported, this sort of mechanical alteration appears to be something of an organizational strategy for the Mariners. Hancock is one of four pitchers — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-castillo/15689/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Luis Castillo</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/logan-gilbert/22250/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Logan Gilbert</a>, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andres-munoz/20373/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Andrés Muñoz</a> are the others — who have actively cut their fastballs more in 2026. Could this grow into a league-wide trend? There are developmental risks to messing with someone&#8217;s slot, Brozdowski said. I’ve also heard from sources that this is a tough pattern to break: Once you go supinator, it’s hard to go back. </p>
<p>For Hancock, the risk seems worth the reward. At the end of last year, he was stuck in sixth-starter purgatory, struggling to break into a loaded rotation. Now he’s turned the tables, forcing the Mariners to find him a rotation slot. By nerfing his spin efficiency, he&#8217;s found a way to belong.</p>
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<p><a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/emerson-hancock-became-less-efficient-and-more-effective/" rel="nofollow">Source</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Texas Rangers Top 38 Prospects</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/texas-rangers-top-38-propsects/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/texas-rangers-top-38-propsects/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Brendan Gawlowski]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 13 Apr 2026 13:00:45 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospect List]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects Report 2026]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rangers]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487271</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Strong work from the international group, particularly with respect to small-dollar signings, has kept this system afloat even after several big trades.]]></description>
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<p>Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Texas Rangers. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the sixth year we&#8217;re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you&#8217;ll see in the &#8220;position&#8221; column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.</p>
<p>A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-new-fangraphs-scouting-primer/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. A much deeper overview can be found <a href="https://www.triumphbooks.com/future-value-products-9781629378800.php?page_id=21" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. </p>
<p>All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team&#8217;s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board" target="_blank">here</a>.<span id="more-487271"></span></p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Rangers Top Prospects</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="sortable">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Rk</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Age</th>
<th>Highest Level</th>
<th>Position</th>
<th>ETA</th>
<th>FV</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sebastian-walcott/sa3021069/stats/batting" target="_blank">Sebastian Walcott</a></td>
<td>20.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SS</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yolfran-castillo/sa3023726/stats/batting" target="_blank">Yolfran Castillo</a></td>
<td>19.2</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SS</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/caden-scarborough/sa3025060/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Caden Scarborough</a></td>
<td>21.0</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-davalillo/sa3020448/stats/pitching" target="_blank">David Davalillo</a></td>
<td>23.6</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/winston-santos/sa3015952/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Winston Santos</a></td>
<td>24.0</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-corniell/27984/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Corniell</a></td>
<td>22.8</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paxton-kling/sa3035512/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paxton Kling</a></td>
<td>22.9</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-owens/sa3069169/stats/batting" target="_blank">Josh Owens</a></td>
<td>19.3</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>TWP</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>9</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cameron-cauley/sa3017167/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cameron Cauley</a></td>
<td>23.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SS</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/seong-jun-kim/sa3069132/stats/batting" target="_blank">Seong-Jun Kim</a></td>
<td>18.9</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>TWP</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>11</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paulino-santana/sa3023718/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paulino Santana</a></td>
<td>19.4</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>RF</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>12</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leandro-lopez/sa3016748/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Leandro Lopez</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>13</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/marc-church/26353/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Marc Church</a></td>
<td>25.0</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>14</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ismael-agreda/sa3017010/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ismael Agreda</a></td>
<td>22.5</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>15</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-russell/sa3041324/stats/pitching" target="_blank">AJ Russell</a></td>
<td>21.8</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>16</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-dreiling/sa3025251/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Dreiling</a></td>
<td>23.0</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>17</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/malcolm-moore/sa3025250/stats/batting" target="_blank">Malcolm Moore</a></td>
<td>22.7</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>C</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>18</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/emiliano-teodo/sa3015158/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Emiliano Teodo</a></td>
<td>25.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>19</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/izack-tiger/sa3022875/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Izack Tiger</a></td>
<td>25.2</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>20</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/enyel-lopez/sa3067495/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Enyel Lopez</a></td>
<td>20.6</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>21</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-stephan/sa3015286/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Josh Stephan</a></td>
<td>24.4</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>22</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carter-baumler/30231/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carter Baumler</a></td>
<td>22.7</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2025</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>23</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-collyer/sa3011742/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gavin Collyer</a></td>
<td>24.9</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>24</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/elian-rosario/sa3075049/stats/batting" target="_blank">Elian Rosario</a></td>
<td>17.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>RF</td>
<td>2032</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aidan-curry/sa3015334/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Aidan Curry</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dalton-pence/sa3039663/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dalton Pence</a></td>
<td>23.6</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>27</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-gutierrez/sa3018406/stats/batting" target="_blank">Anthony Gutierrez</a></td>
<td>21.4</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>28</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/elorky-rodriguez/sa3067697/stats/batting" target="_blank">Elorky Rodriguez</a></td>
<td>18.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>29</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-johnson/sa3069384/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jacob Johnson</a></td>
<td>19.9</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>30</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-lobus/sa3022744/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ryan Lobus</a></td>
<td>25.6</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>31</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/enrique-segura/sa3019147/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Enrique Segura</a></td>
<td>21.3</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>32</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jesus-lafalaise/sa3024950/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jesus Lafalaise</a></td>
<td>21.2</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>33</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilian-bormie/sa3020327/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wilian Bormie</a></td>
<td>23.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>34</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-trentadue/sa3023010/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Josh Trentadue</a></td>
<td>24.2</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>35</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/keith-jones/sa3025629/stats/batting" target="_blank">Keith Jones II</a></td>
<td>24.0</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>RF</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>36</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robert-ahlstrom/sa3018193/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robby Ahlstrom</a></td>
<td>26.8</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>37</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jack-wheeler/sa3069284/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jack Wheeler</a></td>
<td>19.8</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>38</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-bonzagni/sa3022587/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Paul Bonzagni</a></td>
<td>24.0</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">55 FV Prospects</h2>
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<h3 class="header-name">1. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sebastian-walcott/sa3021069/stats/batting" target="_blank">Sebastian Walcott</a>, SS</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SrngMDmJrd4" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2023 from Bahamas (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>55/70</td>
<td>45/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Walcott has been one of the toolsiest and most projectable players in the game from practically the moment he signed as part of the 2023 international class. Slim, high-waisted, and with huge bat speed, he has developed above-average raw power even as he’s still a teenager with tons of development in front of him yet. He was an above-average hitter as a 19-year-old in the Texas League last year, where he hit 13 dingers and posted solid walk and strikeout rates. He&#8217;ll miss most or all of the 2026 season recovering from surgery to repair a torn UCL — the Rangers are hoping for <a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/sebastian-walcott-elbow-brace-surgery" target="_blank">an August return</a> — but even factoring that in, his blend of present production and tantalizing physicality gives him one of the highest ceilings in the minors. </p>
<p>At the plate, it doesn&#8217;t take long to identify both Walcott’s upside and the work ahead to reach it. He’s the kind of player who even casual fans can watch and go, “Whoa, that guy takes a mean cut!” He swings hard, with loft, and has the bat speed to hit pitches wherever they wind up. But that doesn&#8217;t mean he always does. The effort in his swing has him behind fastballs sometimes, the way he pulls off the plate limits his ability to drive pitches on the outer half, and he doesn&#8217;t track the ball real well, which led to a big whiff rate on spin last year. The approach is also immature; in particular, he has a frustrating tendency to let too many good pitches pass him by. He has the physical talent to hit, and has shown an ability to lace pitches from his letters to his shoestops, but the range of outcomes on his hit tool is pretty large.</p>
<p>The other big question is where he ultimately fits on defense. So far, Walcott has retained enough mobility to at least continue developing at shortstop. But, partially due to his lever length, he isn&#8217;t the cleanest operator out there. He can do freaky things, like uncork plus throws from all manner of angles and stretch for balls in the hole in a way few fielders can. But he can also get tangled, some of his throws are pretty far off line, and it’s fair to wonder if the future strength gains we&#8217;re all anticipating make him a better fit at third anyway. Texas must be thinking along that line, because he started working at third base in Frisco last season. </p>
<p>Even as Walcott has moved quickly through the minors and produced along the way, there are some evaluators who have pushed back on him as an elite talent. There are fair reasons: He swings through a lot of fastballs, he isn&#8217;t an especially instinctual player, and we&#8217;re still waiting on a lot of that immense physical projection. All of this was true before the UCL injury, too. Here, we still love him and see huge upside, but between that feedback and the injury, we’re cooling our forecast a degree or two.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">50 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SS" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">2. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yolfran-castillo/sa3023726/stats/batting" target="_blank">Yolfran Castillo</a>, SS</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>20/50</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Castillo is the latest in a long line of young, athletic, ultra-projectable middle-of-the-diamond players who the Rangers have signed out of Latin America. Like so many other such signees down through the years, Castillo is loose and fast with a tapered frame, the kind that effortlessly generates notable power and speed while teasing the possibility he could develop more of both. And as has been the case so many times before, things look good under the lights too, as both his actions in the field and mechanics at the plate check most of the boxes you want to see in a toolsy ballplayer. </p>
<p>Castillo has the bat speed and looseness in his swing to project an above-average hit tool. He’s not there yet, in part because there’s a big gap between his hardest hit balls and how often he squares one up, and also because the way he pulls off the plate now leaves him a little vulnerable on the outer half. But his 81% contact rate last year was quite good and the aforementioned max exits indicate the kind of bat speed that lets us project 55s on both the future bat and power. The way he rips his wrists through the ball to reach pitches upstairs is special, and the sort of trait that makes us comfortable projecting big on a guy whose production has been just so-so up to this point. </p>
<p>Castillo also projects as a shortstop and could be a pretty good one. He’s an above-average runner with good hands and clean actions. He isn&#8217;t a flawless defender, as like many players his age, the internal clock and reliability components are still a work in progress. But he looks like he&#8217;ll stay where he is, as he’s likely to remain spry enough for the job even if he grows into a good bit more strength. </p>
<p>There is a clash between the scouting and the narrative here. For as good as Texas is at unearthing this type of player, the club’s track record of molding all that talent into productive big leaguers hasn’t been particularly robust. We&#8217;re ignoring that in this projection. We&#8217;re here to evaluate Castillo, not Texas’ history of scouting and developing Latin American talent, and it’s not really fair for the shadows of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leody-taveras/18900/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leody Taveras</a> and Anthony Gutierrez to cloud the picture. But while the Rangers themselves should be excited about their man, it’s fair for Rangers fans to want to see a little less projection and a little more proof in the pudding before fully sharing that enthusiasm. For us, though, Castillo projects as an everyday player with star potential, and that’s enough to crack our Top 100.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">3. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/caden-scarborough/sa3025060/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Caden Scarborough</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 6th Round, 2023 from Harmony HS (FL) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>21.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 5&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>93-96 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Scarborough was one of the more projectable high school pitchers in the 2023 draft at a gangly 6-foot-5, and was signed away from a Dallas Baptist for $515,000. He struggled badly with walks during his very limited 2024 pro debut, but then flipped the script in 2025 as he worked 88 innings (mostly at Low-A, with a late promotion tucked in) and walked just 21 guys. He carried a 2.45 ERA on the season and didn&#8217;t allow a single earned run in three starts at High-A Hub City after he was promoted. </p>
<p>Scarborough&#8217;s command of his fastball is particularly impressive, and is a necessary component of his success as a starter. He&#8217;s bringing nearly six-and-a-half feet of arms and legs down the mound, with enough extension to add a tick of perceived velo to his 93-96 mph fare, and his low arm slot creates upshot angle that facilitates elevated swing and miss. When he&#8217;s locating to the upper arm-side quadrant, his fastball has pretty nasty rise/run life; in the rest of the zone, Scarborough&#8217;s heater is pretty hittable, but he successfully peppered that optimal area of the zone throughout the 2025 season. </p>
<p>His breaking ball is an 80-84 mph sweeper with plus horizontal action. His command of the pitch isn&#8217;t as crisp, though it&#8217;s a very nasty in-zone weapon against righties, who Scarborough&#8217;s sweeper often makes flinch and freeze. His slider generated plus-plus miss in 2025 and spins at around 2,800 rpm on average. Though Scarborough only threw a few dozen changeups throughout last season, he has feel for killing spin, and his loose, whippy arm action allows for projection on the pitch. He isn&#8217;t higher on the Top 100 because we want to see how his command and velo play when his workload isn&#8217;t as manicured as it was in 2025, when he was working roughly four innings per start. His delivery does have a bit of violence, and at times he looks flat-footed and his arm stroke is late. None of that mattered from a strike-throwing standpoint in 2025, though we don&#8217;t consider Scarborough to be totally out of the relief risk woods yet. He&#8217;s still a great prospect who was an emphatic arrow up dev success within two years of being drafted. He’s building up in extended after <a href="https://www.dallasnews.com/sports/rangers/2026/03/28/texas-rangers-caden-scarborough-miss-time-minor-leagues/" target="_blank">undergoing surgery in February to remove a melanoma</a>. </p>
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<h3 class="header-name">4. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-davalillo/sa3020448/stats/pitching" target="_blank">David Davalillo</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Venezuela (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>92-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Davalillo wasn&#8217;t all that highly regarded in the international market and didn’t sign until he was 19. He had a $30,000 deal in place with the Mets that was voided late and pushed him to Texas for an even lower bonus. The Rangers appear to have found a bargain, as Davalillo’s blend of control and quality secondaries have propelled him through the system quickly. He had success at Double-A last season — 2.73 ERA, 3.43 FIP, and gorgeous peripherals in 56 innings spread across 12 appearances — and is in position to contend for starts this summer. </p>
<p>Davalillo is a good athlete. He’s loose and able to repeat a somewhat busy delivery, a rock-and-fire with a high leg kick and powerful stride down the mound, but without the big head whack and heel grind that often accompanies this level of effort. His arm stroke is loose and he’s able to maintain arm speed on everything, which helps an already great split play like a plus-plus out pitch. </p>
<p>Davalillo has a deep mix and needs to, because his fastballs play best in a complementary role. He&#8217;ll touch 96 with both but sits in the low 90s, and the shape isn&#8217;t anything special. He’s reliably in the zone with them, which helps set up all the secondaries that do miss bats. In addition to the aforementioned split, he&#8217;ll flash an above-average slider, steal strikes with a sharp curve, and he&#8217;ll also mix in an occasional cutter. Unpredictability is his friend. Cutter aside, his usage of the rest of the mix was balanced, between 14-26% per Trackman. Perhaps there’s room to use the split a little more — his whiff and chase rates were top of the scale — at the expense of the sinker, but by and large, the varied attack seems to suit him. </p>
<p>There are a couple of elements in Davalillo’s game that keep us from really going nuts. He’s a control-over-command guy, and his slightly open stride limits his deception. Between that and about average arm strength, there’s a ceiling here. The floor is pretty high, though. Davalillo is relatively stretched out, has been mostly healthy as a pro, and has a deep mix that should let him turn over lineups a couple times. He has the look of a good no. 4 starter.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">5. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/winston-santos/sa3015952/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Winston Santos</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1d751lveIak" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>94-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Despite good size and plus athleticism, Santos was just a $10,000 signee in the 2019 international class. Even with plus arm strength, he’s risen unevenly through Texas’ system, amidst the pandemic and an extended search for a viable breaking ball. He’d found one by the spring of 2024, and with a much-improved slider in tow, he dominated High-A that summer. He then looked like a potential mid-rotation guy at times in the spring of 2025, but missed most of last year with a stress reaction in his back. He returned in time for the Fall League, where his velo was intact and he struck out more than a batter per inning.  </p>
<p>Santos has an enviable blend of velocity, changeup quality, and athleticism. He comfortably sits in the mid-90s with a little tail and can bump the heater up to 99 without much obvious exertion. It doesn&#8217;t have great shape, and perhaps he should throw it a little less. He has alternatives, as his slider has taken big strides since his days as a raw-but-projectable righty, and it now projects as an above-average offering, as does his change. </p>
<p>Last year, hitters whiffed a bunch but tended to hit Santos hard when they did make contact. He can be loose within the zone — his delivery is smooth, easy, and clean with the exception of a moderate head whack — and he doesn&#8217;t consistently execute his secondaries. I&#8217;m optimistic those things will get better. After all, Santos is a good athlete, and he’s shown an aptitude for improvement throughout his minor league career. And even if he does prove a little too hittable in the rotation, the arm strength and power arsenal should play toward the back of a big league bullpen. He was a late addition to our Top 100 — I liked him a bit more than Eric if y’all want to make fun of one of us later on — and he projects as a no. 4 with upside for more if his execution takes a big step forward with continued reps.</p>
</div>
<div class="button-expand-wrapper"></div>
</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">45 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">6. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-corniell/27984/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Corniell</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (SEA)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>94-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Corniell was once a Mariners pitching prospect, an expensive pre-pandemic J2 signee who was shipped to Texas in a deal for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafael-montero/12760/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Rafael Montero</a>. With the Rangers, Corniell progressed slowly and didn&#8217;t break out until 2023, when he posted a sub-3.00 ERA across both A-ball levels and won the organization’s Minor League Pitcher of the Year award. Elbow trouble the following spring led to Tommy John surgery, which kept him out until last summer. </p>
<p>Upon his return, Corniell was throwing gas. He mostly sat in the low 90s and touched higher back in 2023, but he lived at 94-97 and bumped 99 in 2025. He did so with a corresponding uptick in the sharpness of his breaking ball, an 11-5 offering that looks like a curve or a slider depending on how hard he throws it, anywhere from the upper 70s to the mid-80s. He’s also got an average sinking change and a fringy cutter, the latter of which has too much velo separation off the fastball for him to lean on it. As has long been part of his profile, Corniell threw strikes last year as well, which is no sure thing for a guy throwing harder or returning from TJ, much less both. All of that earned him his first big league call-up last September. </p>
<p>If you could bottle Corniell’s stuff from last summer and spread it across 160 innings, you could justify a 50 FV here. I was tempted to do it anyway, and were I scouting for a club, with the liberty to get aggressive and to think more about talent and less about value, I probably would have. There are reasons to stay cautious for now, though. First, Corniell did most of his work in short stints: He reached the fifth just twice and never fired more than 68 pitches. It’s possible, likely even, that he&#8217;ll need to sit lower over the course of longer outings and a longer season. For that reason, the topline grades may look a little conservative for someone who can hit 99. He’s also primarily working to one side of the plate. His delivery is fairly clean, but he opens a little early and there’s a pronounced glove-side lean to his locations. I wouldn&#8217;t be surprised to see him pepper the other side more as he matures, but as is, it’s a backend starter’s mix of locations and stuff.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">7. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paxton-kling/sa3035512/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paxton Kling</a>, CF</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: null Round, 2025 from Penn State (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Kling started his college career at LSU and was a regular presence on the club’s championship team in 2023. After a more muted sophomore year, he transferred to Penn State for his junior campaign, and his big year there propelled him to a seventh-round selection and a $375,000 bonus, on the high end for a player in his draft orbit. </p>
<p>Kling is a plus athlete and runner with a strong lower half and projectable power. At the plate, his swing is simple but effective. He has a small stride, really more of a tap, and a short, late load up. His swing is steep but malleable, and he has above-average bat speed. It’s a connected swing, and the way he fires his hips and is able to incorporate his lower half is a sign of how he’s able to generate decent pop even though he’s not a huge guy. Kling has a little vulnerability to spin low and away, as the way his swing works makes it hard for him to adjust to that particular spot. His pitch recognition looks fine, though, and he’s able to manipulate the bat head and direct the barrel just about everywhere else.  </p>
<p>Defensively, Kling looks like an average center fielder on tape. His reads and routes aren&#8217;t perfect, but they&#8217;re pretty good. He’s able to leave his feet, and he can make plays by the wall. His arm isn&#8217;t great, but it’s not going to turn into a track meet out there, either. Were I scouting for a team, I’d put an everyday regular grade on him. For us, with a scant pro track record, all at the lower levels, he belongs here. He’s a candidate to move up quickly if he hits this spring, and is a dark horse Top 100 candidate for next year.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40+ FV Prospects</h2>
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<h3 class="header-name">8. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-owens/sa3069169/stats/batting" target="_blank">Josh Owens</a>, TWP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FYDaTaAiju8" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2025 from Providence Academy HS (TN) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>92-94 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>The Rangers paid Owens $1.10 million to forgo his commitment to Georgia Southern. He’s a sinewy and athletic two-way player with a long way to go but real upside on both sides of the ball. </p>
<p>Owens oozes projectability, perhaps especially at the plate, where he has a pretty and lofted swing. It’s a manipulable bat path too, and there’s exciting power projection here given his looseness and athleticism. He’s rawer on some of the finer points of hitting: His pitch recognition and tracking skills in particular aren&#8217;t great and he had a rough ride during his Low-A cameo last season. Defensively, he’s speedy enough to cover short, but is again clearly not a finished product. His throwing stroke is odd, elongated, and for a guy with experience on the bump, not particularly natural looking. The speed of the game also caught up to him during the Rangers&#8217; Spring Breakout Game, where his internal clock lagged behind much older competitors. </p>
<p>On the mound, Owens is similarly raw but enticing. He worked almost exclusively with his sinker and slider last year. Out of a low, nearly sidearm slot, he generates above-average tail and touches 97. His slider is a little underbaked and doesn&#8217;t get quite the sweep you’d expect from his slot, but his raw feel for spin is decent, and this is a pitch to project on. While his delivery has a gangly look, he’s under control and the hesitation in his motion, the one that makes his throws from short look odd and unnatural, might have a deceptive effect off the mound. Were he solely a pitching prospect, he’d be pretty interesting. </p>
<p>Generally, two-way prospects are quite a bit better on one side of the ball than the other in a way that lets evaluators feel comfortable projecting the guy as either a pitcher or a hitter. Somehow, the Rangers have stumbled into two teenagers where that’s not the case just yet. With Owens, you have a pitcher who already has viable arm strength and some deception, with plenty of paths forward on the secondaries, though not so much arm talent to think he’s a budding ace. He’s not “safe” exactly, but there are a lot of ways this could work. At the plate, there’s big upside if pro instruction and reps sharpen up his approach and skills at the plate as he grows into his considerable tools, but there’s also a non-zero chance that he’s not much of a hitter. For now, it makes sense to keep plugging away on both sides. Ultimately, Owens has a case as the highest-variance prospect in all the minors, and he’s a player of considerable interest to catch on the complex this season.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">9. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cameron-cauley/sa3017167/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cameron Cauley</a>, SS</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2021 from Barbers Hill HS (TX) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 10&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>170</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Anyone tempted to write players off after a rough pro debut should at least keep Cauley’s career trajectory in mind. He didn&#8217;t hit a lick on the complex after he was drafted in 2021, followed that up with a 79 wRC+ at Low-A in 2022, and posted a 32.4% strikeout rate in his second spin through the level in 2023. Across those three years, he homered just 14 times. The production has caught up to the tools since, and he hit 15 bombs at Double-A last year with a 112 wRC+ and a career-low 24.7% strikeout rate. Now 23, he’s at Round Rock and on the cusp of the big leagues. </p>
<p>Cauley is calm in the box, with a small hand load and barely more than a toe tap. He has average bat speed and a slightly lofted bat path. It’s a much shorter swing than back when he was younger, and while he still isn&#8217;t a great contact hitter (70% contact last year), it’s miles better these days, and he’s actually able to pull the ball, which wasn&#8217;t always the case. </p>
<p>The contact/power blend is probably a little light for everyday duty, but Cauley’s defensive chops give him a high floor as a utility player. He compensates for a fair arm with a very quick release and online, if at times dirty, throws at short. He’s not going to make too many plays in the six-hole, but his instincts are solid and his hands reliable, and he should take care of everything else. For a guy who hasn&#8217;t spent a ton of time in center, he also looks comfortable there, with advanced reads and routes for his experience level and the wheels to handle the job. Contenders generally have a guy like this who can flex in and out of the lineup and around the diamond, and Cauley projects to have a long career doing just that.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">10. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/seong-jun-kim/sa3069132/stats/batting" target="_blank">Seong-Jun Kim</a>, TWP</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Korea (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/45</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>20/45</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>35/50</td>
<td>70</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>20/50</td>
<td>91-93 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>After their unsuccessful pursuit of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/roki-sasaki/35323/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Roki Sasaki</a>, the Rangers redirected some of their leftover IFA money to Kim. The two-way talent from South Korea signed last May and played a few games toward the end of the DSL season. He was in Arizona this spring and should make his stateside debut in the ACL. </p>
<p>While not especially physical, Kim is a smooth athlete with excellent body control. On the mound, he has no trouble repeating his textbook delivery, and displays advanced touch and feel for a teenager. There’s a downside to that: He isn&#8217;t deceptive at all, and the lack of oomph in his motion is part of why he only sits 91-93 (he touched 96 twice over the course of two in-person looks this past spring), and why both of his breaking balls are on the softer side. In short, the underlying foundation for a starting pitching prospect is present, but the stuff is underbaked. </p>
<p>At the plate, Kim’s inside-out swing path, front leg torque, and leveraged finish will look familiar to KBO watchers (yes, there’s also a bat flip). He tracks pitches well but doesn&#8217;t yet have the strength or bat speed to project much power, and likely doesn’t have the frame to grow into more than average pop; it’s a middle infielder’s offensive profile. Defensively, his reputation is good, but he understandably didn&#8217;t get much time on the infield this spring. We&#8217;ll learn more soon. </p>
<p>There’s more uncertainty here than with most two-way players. Double duty is a pipe dream for just about all of these guys, as they usually are far better on one side of the ball than the other, and lack the physicality to burn the candle at both ends all year long. The latter bit looks like a real issue for Kim, but the former piece is cloudy, as there are clear ups and downs both at the plate and on the mound. While my gut says he fits better on the mound, I don&#8217;t have a ton of conviction in it. Even if it’s hard to imagine him doing it forever, at this point it makes sense to keep plugging away with the two-way experiment and let the game pick his lane sooner or later.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="RF" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">11. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paulino-santana/sa3023718/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paulino Santana</a>, RF</h3>
</div>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>170</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>The Rangers are as good as anyone at identifying and signing good athletes in Latin America, and Santana fits the mold. He’s high waisted, with an enviable blend of speed, present strength, and physical projection. And for anyone lamenting that only the lefties get the &#8220;pretty swing&#8221; label, I&#8217;ll submit Santana’s, a lofted and connected cut built to do damage. </p>
<p>As is often the case with the physical and toolsy Latin American teens Texas always has running around their complex, Santana’s skills lag behind his athleticism. He struck out more than a quarter of the time in the ACL last year, where he posted a sub-league-average line and got eaten up by offspeed pitches in particular. He doesn&#8217;t identify breaking balls well out of the hand, and he’s not going to reach this projection if he keeps whiffing half the time against spin.</p>
<p>If you&#8217;re looking for optimism, it’s notable that Santana recently made subtle bat path adjustments and shortened his swing a tick in an effort to pull the ball more. It has worked, at least to my eye, and it demonstrates that he’s got the aptitude to make positive changes. If he can find a way to fight sliders and curves to a draw, everything else may just fall into place. He has a fast bat and is already producing exit velocities at the big league average. Defensively, he’s not quite quick enough for center, but he projects above average in a corner and has a path to everyday duty if he just hits enough. That’s a huge “just,” of course, but it’s worth staying patient here, because Santana has some of the highest upside at the plate in the entire system.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">12. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leandro-lopez/sa3016748/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Leandro Lopez</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2021 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>200</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>93-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lopez was known as Leandro Calderon when he signed, which made digging up his video on Synergy more of a task than I’d have imagined. Anyways, he signed for $10,000 in the 2021 international class, a figure that looks like a real bargain after he finished 2025 with a 2.40 ERA and 28.9% strikeout rate across 101.1 innings split between High- and Double-A.  </p>
<p>Lopez works with a fairly low-effort delivery. He pitches out of the stretch, strides short and straight, falls off slightly, and even though there’s a heel grind, he’s under control and tends to throw strikes. He&#8217;ll touch 98, but sits 93-96 with unremarkable shape; he gets an average of 17 inches of vertical break on the fastball, though out of a nearly over-the-top slot and the carry plays about as hitters are expecting. Lopez throws a ton of breaking balls, and uses his slider about as often as his fastball. It’s a tight, above-average north-south breaker in the upper-80s, and he’s also got a 12-6 curve with great snap to it and longer, though otherwise similar, shape. He can run both of them on and off the plate, and his ability to get the ball to the back foot against lefties has helped him run reverse platoon splits even with a fringy changeup. His best changes have decent fade, but he lacks the same kind of feel for it that he has with his breakers. </p>
<p>Lopez has paths to the big league rotation. His arsenal is light on east-west movement, and developing the change would be useful, even if it’s fringy, just to give him another look for lefties. You&#8217;d also like to see him maintain his stuff over longer outings — like many in this system, he averaged a little more than four innings per outing last year — and have his command reach the projection above. All of that seems possible. His stuff isn&#8217;t loud but it is functional, and it ultimately feeds a back-of-the-rotation profile, with late-inning upside in relief if he doesn&#8217;t prove to have the arsenal depth to turn lineups over multiple times.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">13. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/marc-church/26353/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Marc Church</a>, SIRP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2eEAMxjnTnQ" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 18th Round, 2019 from North Atlanta HS (GA) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>94-98 / 101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Church made the Opening Day roster last year, but a series of injuries — he battled an oblique strain, elbow inflammation, and then a torn teres major muscle in his shoulder — turned 2025 into an otherwise forgettable campaign. He was optioned early this year as well, as a lat strain put him behind schedule and didn&#8217;t give him time to ramp up in time for the season opener. </p>
<p>Church’s stuff is late-inning quality. He sits in the mid-to-upper 90s, and while the plane and shape of the heater isn&#8217;t the sort that misses bats, it tunnels perfectly with his north-south slider. That pitch breaks sharply in the upper 80s, and he can both hit the box with it or bury it in the dirt. He also occasionally throws an inconsistent change. It flashes above average with a tick of late sink and tail; at other times, it’s a hamburger in the low 90s. Church intermittently throws quality strikes, and the way he’s able to run his slider on and off the plate in particular makes it all the more frustrating when he overthrows and loses feel for the zone entirely. At his best, he has a closer’s blend of stuff and command. More realistically, the thin arsenal and history of scattered control portend a setup ceiling.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">14. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ismael-agreda/sa3017010/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ismael Agreda</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2021 from Venezuela (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>150</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>94-97 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Agreda is an undersized righty with a lightning-quick arm. His motion starts slow and finishes fast, with big hip torque and a head whack at finish. The acceleration in his delivery, as well as the arm speed and short path, are deceptive, which feels a tad unfair for a guy who can hit 100. Neither the extension nor the shape stands out, but let’s not overthink this: When you throw this hard and can also spin it, you’re in a pretty good place. Agreda has been developed as a starter thus far, and it’s worth continuing to do so as he sharpens his secondaries, even if the lack of a change and below-average control suggest a future in relief. </p>
<p>Agreda is another guy in this system with decent raw ability to spin the ball but underdeveloped breaking balls. The shapes on both the curve and slider are fine in a vacuum, but there’s so much velo separation off the fastball that opponents have plenty of time to adjust. He doesn&#8217;t quite finish his slider the way he does his fastball, which makes me think he’s got a good power breaker in him, he’s just taking something off to get his current one to land it in the right spot. It’s worth projecting on the slider, and having done so, I&#8217;m also forecasting him as a seventh-inning reliever, with variance up or down depending on how much or little that offering develops. </p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">15. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-russell/sa3041324/stats/pitching" target="_blank">AJ Russell</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2025 from Tennessee (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>21.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 6&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>207</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/70</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>93-95 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Texas’ second-rounder in the 2025 draft, Russell signed for late-first-round money. He’s a traits bet with a big ceiling but a ton of question marks, starting with his health. Russell’s UCL barked during his sophomore season and in lieu of Tommy John surgery, he opted for the internal brace procedure. He returned ahead of schedule last February, but then got shut down in March and moved to the bullpen upon his return. </p>
<p>On stuff, Russell leans on his fastball, a mid-90s offering with tail, carry, and extension, thrown out of a low slot despite his massive frame. When he locates at the top rail, hitters can miss pretty badly. They don&#8217;t tend to miss much on the secondaries, however, which are all below average presently. Both the slider and change flash, but his feel for location and execution are both a work in progress and obvious developmental priorities in 2026. It’s a complicated path forward, because Russell is more of a powerful athlete than a fluid one — he looked more limber as a freshman — and he’s already close to maxed out on deception. There are certainly things to like here, but given his draft position and fairly high relief risk, he’s more of a project than you might expect.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">16. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-dreiling/sa3025251/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Dreiling</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from Tennessee (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 11&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>197</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Dreiling was one of the big heroes on Tennessee’s CWS championship squad in 2024, when he homered in all three games of the Finals and took home the tournament’s Most Outstanding Player award. As a pro, he hasn&#8217;t hit for the same kind of power he did in school, and likely won&#8217;t, as he’s of average size and build, and his swing doesn’t generate the kind of bat speed or lift that tends to produce big home run totals. He made a ton of contact when he turned it loose at High-A last year (83% overall, 88% in zone) but hit just .226/.319/.381. Part of that stems from a passive approach, but his swing also produces a bunch of airborne contact to the opposite field. His spray chart is odd: When he’s able to turn on something and lift it in the air, it tends to leave the yard, but because he didn&#8217;t do it all that often, there’s a lot of empty contact everywhere else. In this way and others, velo looms as a problem. His swing is geared for pitches low in the zone and a good chunk of his whiffs came on fastballs up. </p>
<p>Defensively, Dreiling has seen time at all three outfield spots. He can handle center in a pinch, but both his speed and his still-developing reads and tracking skills fit better in a corner. There’s enough utility on that side, and enough contact and impact to think he can help in a reserve role. He projects as a Jack-of-all-trades type of fourth outfielder.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="C" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">17. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/malcolm-moore/sa3025250/stats/batting" target="_blank">Malcolm Moore</a>, C</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BJvfTAEpnbA" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 1st Round, 2022 from Stanford (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Texas picked last for the best possible reason in the 2024 draft, and signed Moore at the back of the first round for $3 million. At the time, he projected as a quick-moving bat with a mature approach and a few things to clean up defensively. He had a rough transition to pro ball, as a broken finger last April undercut his season before it really began. He was off to a fast start in his first nine games, and then hit .183 with just eight extra base hits in 53 contests after returning. </p>
<p>Moore had plenty of questions to answer at the plate even before the injury. His swing has a big, looping load, and then a steep swing plane. That can work, but his timing and instincts are going to have to be good because there’s some length to the path and it isn&#8217;t a fast bat. We’re left guessing on a couple things. Was the 40-grade raw power he generated last year dampened entirely by the finger, or is he one of those guys who lost a lot of juice in the shift from metal to wood? Is he a 74% contact guy going forward, or is it just really hard to hit when you&#8217;re simultaneously catching everyday and trying to nurse an injured digit? </p>
<p>These questions loom large in 2026, particularly because Moore was drafted as a bat-over-glove backstop. Defensively, he isn&#8217;t especially mobile, which shows up in all three phases. He’s a fair framer but isn&#8217;t a great blocker presently. He threw out 17% of basestealers last year, and this part of his game will likely remain below average as well, as he’s somewhat slow out of the crouch and doesn&#8217;t have a rocket arm to compensate; he can post a 1.95 pop time when everything lines up and if he can do so consistently, he can battle the running game to a draw. </p>
<p>I have less conviction in this report than most I&#8217;ve written at the site; I just don&#8217;t have much information, statistical or visual, on Moore as a healthy player swinging a wood bat. Based on all I have at my disposal, he looks like a backup catcher who can help on both sides but without a carrying tool to play every day. More so than with most guys, though, if he ends up profiling quite differently, I&#8217;m not going to feel too bad if I have to tip my cap to Moore and start over.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">18. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/emiliano-teodo/sa3015158/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Emiliano Teodo</a>, SIRP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iovApum_qLA" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>165</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>95-98 / 101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>There have been times in recent seasons when Teodo has looked like a closer, or even an effectively wild five-and-dive type. But while he was never great at landing his high-90s sinkers and sharp sliders over the plate, his ability to hit the box collapsed last year, and his first outings at Rock Round in 2026 haven’t gone any better. </p>
<p>Teodo is a max-effort thrower with a tense, full circle arm stroke and a big head whack at finish. It looks like he’s putting a bit more effort into it now than he did at his peak (and is also throwing a tick slower), but regardless, he’s thrown more pitches six inches wide of the plate than over the dish thus far. It’s a big problem for a guy whose high-90s fastball has been surprisingly hittable at the upper levels. The slider remained as venomous as ever last year, but it’s only going to matter so much if Teodo can&#8217;t reliably throw strikes. At his best, he has late-inning stuff, but you can also imagine a future in which his lack of feel doesn&#8217;t allow him to profile at all. This forecast splits the difference, baking in a viable level of strikes with a more pessimistic assessment of the fastball and command than in previous years.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">19. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/izack-tiger/sa3022875/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Izack Tiger</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 7th Round, 2023 from Butler County CC (KS) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>65/65</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>94-97 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Eric and I had a chance to sit next to each other at Texas’ Spring Breakout Game in 2024, where we kept giving each other “Who is this guy?” glances throughout Tiger’s dominant outing. Out of the bullpen, he sat 96-98 with explosive life and the day’s best breaking ball, a buck nasty 88-90 mph cutter/slider. That afternoon remains resonant because Tiger had barely been seen before — he was a relatively small signing out of a Kansas junior college and had thrown all of four innings in pro ball — and has only tossed 46 frames since. Tommy John cost him the back half of the 2024 season and all of 2025; he had a setback early this spring as well. Normally I&#8217;d be inclined to shuffle a profile like this off to the Honorable Mentions, but Baseball Sasquatch’s stuff is simply too good for that. I saw it. I swear. At least… I think I did…</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">20. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/enyel-lopez/sa3067495/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Enyel Lopez</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>45/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>96-98 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lopez was an older 2025 international signing. The Rangers had him skip the Dominican complex and plugged him into the ACL rotation, where he was wild but touched 96 while flashing two plus breaking balls. While still very lean, sources within the org say that Lopez has gotten significantly stronger — the word &#8220;emaciated&#8221; was used to describe his physical condition when he signed — and that seems to have facilitated a velo uptick. He sat 92-94 while touching 96 last summer, and was up to 96-98 in my backfield looks this spring. It also appears that his arm slot is lower. The delivery is still a little messy and the effort level suggests a relief future. He’s got time to develop a little more touch and feel, though, and if he’s able to reach triple digits with a correspondingly sharper slider in short stints, he’s going to have a lot of wiggle room on his control. The road ahead is long, but the ceiling in relief is pretty high here and starting isn&#8217;t yet entirely out of the question.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">21. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-stephan/sa3015286/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Josh Stephan</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Undrafted Free Agent, 2020 (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>90-93 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Stephan has worked through the minors at a steady pace, throwing strikes and doing just enough to miss barrels to keep progressing. The 24-year-old reached Triple-A at the end of last year and is back in Round Rock again after notching a 4.67 ERA with an 18.7% strikeout rate and 6.4% walk rate across a season spent mostly at Double-A. As you might infer from the previous sentence, he has some of the best command in the system and he needs it, as his fastballs have both fringy velocity and round-down shape. He leans heavily on his slider, a mid-80s breaker with late break down and to the glove side. It flashes plus and plays ahead of its visual “nastiness” due to the righty’s ability to work it around the plate and add/subtract velocity and movement; he also has a cutter that emulates the shape at a couple ticks higher. This is not a player dynasty leaguers need to have on their radar, but Stephan should have real-world value as a guy who can wear a couple of hats: He can spot start, long relieve, and also has a path to a more traditional middle relief role if he gains a few ticks in short stints. The perfect-world outcome is a no. 5, and the big outfield in Arlington presents as good of a place as any to reach it.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">22. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carter-baumler/30231/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carter Baumler</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2020 from Dowling Catholic HS (IA) (BAL)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>93-96 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Pittsburgh selected Baumler in this year’s Rule 5 draft and then shipped him to Texas in exchange for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jaiker-garcia/sa3018626/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jaiker Garcia</a>. He pitched well this spring and had his moment in the sun when Rangers manager Skip Schumaker informed him that he’d made the Opening Day roster during a mound visit. He mostly kept runs off the board in four pretty wild appearances to begin the season before an intercostal strain put him on the shelf. </p>
<p>It’s the latest setback in a career full of them. Tommy John and shoulder surgeries limited Baumler to 20 or fewer innings in each of his pro seasons until 2025, when he reached Double-A and threw nearly 40 frames while dealing with shoulder and back problems. If he can stay healthy, he has big league stuff. His fastball velo stepped forward in 2025, up to 93-97 with exploding life, and he maintained those gains this spring. He generated fastball miss and chase rates of about 33% last year, both plus-plus markers. Off of that he bends in a 12-to-6 curveball that pairs nicely with the pure vertical ride of his heater, a pitch best deployed in the strike zone before Baumler elevates his fastball to put hitters away. He&#8217;ll also occasionally toss a mid-80s slider that looks average. Baumler projects as a quality mid-to-high-leverage reliever, and provided that the intercostal strain is just a speed bump, he’s in line to reach that just about now.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">23. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-collyer/sa3011742/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gavin Collyer</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 12th Round, 2019 from Mountain View HS (GA) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>30/35</td>
<td>96-98 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Collyer’s been a slow burn as a prospect. Drafted all the way back in 2019, the Rangers paid him $600,000 to forget about Clemson. While he missed plenty of bats across both A-ball levels, he didn&#8217;t reach Double-A until the very end of 2024, as a reliever. In that role, he’s sitting in the upper 90s with tail and carry out of a low slot and also has two projectable breaking balls. Between that and his great feel for spin, he has a lot of the traits you look for in a late-inning reliever, and he pitched well in extensive big league work this spring. But Collyer has always struggled to throw strikes, due to some blend of a long stroke, the big movement on all his pitches, and unsolved mysteries that make this game fun and humbling to analyze. </p>
<p>In addition to control, Collyer has had a bit of trouble harnessing his ability to spin the ball into useful offspeed offerings. In theory, his low-three-quarters slot would be ideal for a sweeper, but his hand tends to stay on top of the ball and so even though he can spin it well, the break isn&#8217;t all that sharp and minor league hitters hit it pretty hard. His cutter is better, 93-95 and pretty tight, though without the kind of depth you generally need to miss big league bats consistently. Something in the middle of those two pitches seems ideal, and if he can find it, he has a path to middle relief work even if he’s still a little wild, with upside beyond that if he can hit the box just a little more often. Even though Collyer has been in the minors for a while now, there’s still development ahead, and with his ingredients, the juice should be worth the squeeze.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="RF" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">24. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/elian-rosario/sa3075049/stats/batting" target="_blank">Elian Rosario</a>, RF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2026 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>17.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/45</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>This one is from Eric’s overview of the 2026 international class: Rosario was one of the first athletes in the 2026 class to start growing into meaningful strength and power, and so his verbal deal with Texas came pretty early during the scouting process. He&#8217;s a typical big-framed corner outfield power bat looking to pull the ball with authority. He signed for $2.5 million in January.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">25. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aidan-curry/sa3015334/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Aidan Curry</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Undrafted Free Agent, 2020 (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 5&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>94-96 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Curry was an undrafted high school signee in 2020. He’s still growing into his long levers, but he’s slowly ticked up in all facets over the last several years. He’s gone from touching 95 to touching 97, he’s added and subsequently sharpened his cutter, and he generated much better results in 2025, his second spin through the Sally League. Curry’s been working in a multi-inning role throughout his career, and he has a lot of functional weapons, but he’s almost certainly going to be a reliever. He doesn&#8217;t repeat his moderately high-effort motion all that well and has a pronounced head whack on top of that, and amidst an otherwise positive campaign, he walked more than 4.50 per nine last year. It’s worth continuing to develop him as a starter for the reps, which he&#8217;s doing in a repeat High-A assignment, as he’s the type of player who needs to throw as much as possible. He projects to have an unusually deep arsenal of 55s and 60s in short stints, and has late-inning upside if he’s a late-blooming strike-thrower, which is in play given his frame.</p>
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</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">35+ FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">26. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dalton-pence/sa3039663/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dalton Pence</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 11th Round, 2024 from North Carolina (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>91-93 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Pence was a priority 11th-rounder — his $350,000 bonus is closer to fifth- or sixth-round money — and he dominated the lower levels in his first pro season. In 82.1 innings split between the A-ball levels, Pence racked up 103 strikeouts and notched a 2.73 ERA with strong peripherals. The fastball has been key for him. It mostly sits 91-93 and touches 95, missing bats due to big carry, good extension, and his ability to pepper the top rail of the zone. His secondaries aren&#8217;t great right now. The slider and change flash average, and the former in particular doesn’t suit his arm slot in its current form; the curve is an occasional parachute to steal a strike. Long-term, he’s likely a reliever, as the moving parts in his delivery make it difficult for him to get the ball anywhere else, and shorter stints could help his power breaking ball play up.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="CF" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">27. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-gutierrez/sa3018406/stats/batting" target="_blank">Anthony Gutierrez</a>, CF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Venezuela (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>21.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Gutierrez is one of the proverbial “guys who stand out when they walk off the bus.” He’s a loose and projectable 6-foot-3, with the athleticism, speed, and actions of an impact center fielder. But for as graceful as he moves, for how pretty his best swings look, for as much as it looks like he’s going to grow into serious power, and for however capably he’s hung in there as a young-for-the-level player, Gutierrez remains mostly projection. Now 21, his measurable power is still 40 grade, he hasn&#8217;t posted an above-average line anywhere outside the complex, and he’s not even as fast as his gaudy steal totals or strong defensive reputation in center would suggest. He’s back for a third season in High-A and it’s tempting to write him off as a tease. </p>
<p>I can&#8217;t do it quite yet. There’s plenty of evidence to suggest that he&#8217;ll stay lean and continue beating balls into the ground, getting front-footed by spin, and chasing too many pitches off the plate in a way that limits him to an up-down role in the end. If it clicks, though, and he’s able to get to even average power, this profile jumps in a hurry. Arizona prospect <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-fernandez/28020/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jose Fernandez</a> is in a similar bucket, and as with the D-backs shortstop, it’s worth staying patient in the slow lane here because there is latent athleticism-based upside if he’s a late maturer. The most likely outcome is a fourth or fifth outfielder, but of all the players this far down on the list, Gutierrez is the guy you want if you want to dream on a regular. </p>
</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">28. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/elorky-rodriguez/sa3067697/stats/batting" target="_blank">Elorky Rodriguez</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 10&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Rodriguez was one of Texas’ top signees in the 2025 international class and got a $1.1 million bonus. He’s an undersized lefty stick with barrel feel and a nice swing, but limited power and physical projection. He had a bright debut season in the DSL, batting .337/.473/.506 with six homers and more walks than strikeouts. Defensively, he played a mix of center and second. He attacked the latter position like an outfielder, with great directional reads off the bat and a glove that needs reps. Some kind of multi-positional fit already seems like the best and safest path for him because it’s hard to see enough pop coming for an everyday role. He projects as a rich man’s <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tony-kemp/14894/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tony Kemp</a>.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">29. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-johnson/sa3069384/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jacob Johnson</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 11th Round, 2025 from Pearl River CC (MS) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>165</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>35/55</td>
<td>93-94 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnson is an exciting developmental arm. After missing his senior year of high school recovering from TJ, he went to a Mississippi JUCO and threw well enough there to get selected in the 11th round and sign for $300,000. He’s a loose righty with good body control and a low-slot fastball-slider mix that flashes above average. He’s been sitting 93-95 on the backfields and during extended spring training, with plus tail and sink that is dominating the low-level hitters he’s facing. His slider is long with bite in the mid-80s, and he’s able to locate it to both sides of the plate. Johnson arguably has better command of that pitch, as his fastball tends to either wind up glove side or tail wildly to the arm side. He has a change, but he isn&#8217;t throwing it much. If he can find a third pitch, he has the other attributes of a groundball-generating starting pitcher prospect, and he otherwise looks advanced enough to see time at A-ball this season.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">30. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-lobus/sa3022744/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ryan Lobus</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Undrafted Free Agent, 2023 (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>88-92 / 94</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lobus is a low-slot fastball-slider reliever who went undrafted out of Mercer. He posted a 6.96 ERA in his final year in college but has kept that mark in the low-to-mid-3.00s as a professional. The bender is his bread and butter, and he uses it about 55% of the time. It’s long with good spin, and he throws it fairly hard (anywhere from 82-86) given the first two clauses in this sentence. His fastball touches 94 but doesn&#8217;t miss many bats even with a favorable release height. Lobus isn&#8217;t especially twitchy, and between that and the gumby-ish nature of his delivery, he doesn&#8217;t look like he&#8217;d be a great strike thrower. But he’s hit the box throughout his career and pretty reliably gets the slider to useful locations. Ideally he’d find a way to generate more groundballs with his sinker, but even as a pure slider monster, he projects to have utility as an optionable reliever. After striking out nearly 11 per nine and surviving the hitter-friendly Texas League with strong numbers across the board, Lobus has a shot to debut in 2026.</p>
</div>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">31. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/enrique-segura/sa3019147/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Enrique Segura</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2022 from Dominican Republic (PHI)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>21.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>90-93 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Segura came to Texas in exchange for reliever <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/daniel-robert/21229/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Daniel Robert</a>. He’s another in a long line of tall and lean international arms, in the physical mold of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/triston-mckenzie/18000/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Triston McKenzie</a> or <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miguel-castro/15684/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Miguel Castro</a>. He’s worked as a starter for most of his career, where his stuff has played on the fringy to average spectrum. He projects to throw a little harder as he fills out and may also get a few more ticks if or when he winds up in relief. </p>
<p>Segura works with a low slot, which should theoretically help him miss bats up top or bend a bat-missing slider away from righties. Thus far he’s been platoon neutral without big whiff rates, perhaps in part because he’s not all that deceptive and is fairly easy to time. Arguably, the change is his most projectable offering, as it comes out of the hand well with late fade and sink. He throws enough strikes that you can dream on a starter, particularly if he grows into more velocity, and he should be developed that way for as long as possible. More likely, the stuff isn&#8217;t quite sharp enough for repeated runs through the order, particularly since he tends to spray the ball around a little. He projects as a middle reliever.</p>
</div>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">32. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jesus-lafalaise/sa3024950/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jesus Lafalaise</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>21.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>45/60</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>94-98 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lafalaise is a sleeper with a strong arm and a projectable slider. He’s a powerful athlete with a moderately high-effort delivery and a long stroke. He stays in control, though, and can hit the target on the arm side pretty reliably. It’s also big stuff: He touches 100 and sits in the mid-to-upper 90s, if without great shape. His two-plane slider flashes above-average and could have another half-gear in it. The level of effort, lack of a refined third pitch (he’s thrown a few changeups), and history of control problems suggest a relief future. To the eye though, he’s at least close to the zone often enough to keep giving him a shot in a length role, even if he’s 90/10 to wind up in the bullpen. He’s opened the year in Hickory’s rotation and if nothing else, the reps should help him work on getting his fastball to the glove side more often. He projects as a middle reliever with a little upside.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">33. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilian-bormie/sa3020327/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wilian Bormie</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/65</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>94-98 / 101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Bormie is a good case study in what successful growth and development looks like in a small-dollar prospect. An older, small-dollar signee, Bormie was a projection flier with a loose arm and a fastball that reached the low 90s when he debuted in 2022. Two springs later, he was touching 95 and had dumped his slow, mostly useless curve for a much sharper slider. Last year, he started hitting 98 and had further refined his breaking ball into a bat-missing snapper with very tight break. He’s added strength year over year and is now touching triple digits, and while his slider didn&#8217;t look quite as good at this year’s Spring Breakout Game — it’s a little more north-south and a couple ticks lower — we’re now talking about an upper-levels reliever who projects to have two plus pitches. Bormie&#8217;s still wild, and as a guy with just fair body control and a lot of moving parts in his delivery, he likely always will be to an extent. But like with everything else, this too should continue improving as he gets stronger. Bormie projects as an optionable reliever, a fantastic outcome for org and player, and a triumph for Texas’ developmental apparatus.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">34. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-trentadue/sa3023010/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Josh Trentadue</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 14th Round, 2023 from College of Southern Idaho (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>95-97 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Trentadue was a small-school draftee, and he’s gotten significantly stronger and better since signing. Once a projectable lefty with soft stuff and a low-90s fastball, he was sitting 95-97 in the Spring Breakout Game, and flashes an above-average sweeping slider and change to go with it. His control fell apart following a late-season promotion to Frisco last year, but for the most part he’s thrown strikes as a pro, and has the body control and arm action to think he&#8217;ll be a viable strike-thrower. </p>
<p>Trentadue drops his slot from high three-quarters on the fastballs to low three-quarters on the secondaries. It’s not unusual for guys to go a little lower on some offerings and higher on others, but the magnitude and consistency of how he does it looks very predictable in its current form. Perhaps there’s a path to dropping down on everything? The extra carry would surely help the heater play at the top of the zone and it may even help bring Trentadue into the zone more, as he was off target with the four-seamer more than the slider last season. Adding an element of unpredictability would also help, as the offspeed is more good than great. He can add and subtract with the slider, but it doesn&#8217;t have elite bite, and the change almost always winds up arm side; he could use the extra deception. </p>
<p>Trentadue worked primarily as a starter last year, though without a ton of length. He projects as a reliever, one who could flex between one-inning and hybrid work. He has the ceiling of a solid middle reliever if he gets his control, well, under control. It will be a real missed opportunity if he doesn&#8217;t wear the number 32.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="RF" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">35. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/keith-jones/sa3025629/stats/batting" target="_blank">Keith Jones II</a>, RF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 9th Round, 2024 from New Mexico State (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>220</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Jones was a small-dollar senior sign out of New Mexico State who played his way to Double-A in his first full season. It’s not often that we get to call a 6-foot-1, thickly built corner outfielder with below-average wheels &#8220;scrappy,&#8221; but Jones fits the bill, as he’s a grinder who gets himself on base more often than he should simply by running out the lost causes. He’s also got legitimate pop, above average now, and even though he’s not especially projectable, he’s young enough to get the extra tick or two on his max EVs (112.5 mph last year) to round up to plus. </p>
<p>Jones swings hard, but his path is long and his bat speed is just average. Still, there&#8217;s some hit skill here, as he can flatten the bat on pitches up and he sees spin well. He actually swings and misses at fastballs more than spin, which is unusual and may explain why he didn&#8217;t post much of a platoon split last year. That fastball miss is a bit concerning, though, given the bat speed and how much more velo is coming at the highest level. In some ways, it&#8217;d be easier to see a clean roster fit if he had a clear use case as a masher against righties. But while there’s a risk that Jones is just a Quad-A bat, his power, quick ascension, and motor has me rounding up a tick. There’s no defensive value here — his lack of speed shows up much more on defense — but Jones still projects as a last man type, a danger bat off the bench and a guy who could compete for a roster spot in 2027.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">36. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robert-ahlstrom/sa3018193/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robby Ahlstrom</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 7th Round, 2021 from Oregon (NYY)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>93-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Ahlstrom was drafted by the Yankees and then traded to Texas for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-trevino/16725/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jose Trevino</a>, who immediately went on to earn All-Star accolades; no pressure, kid. Ahlstrom has climbed about a rung of the ladder per year since and is now on the cusp of the big leagues. He has a somewhat generic mix with no clear out pitch. His fastball sits 93-95 with ride out of a high slot, while his slider and curve are both average with two-plane break; he also has a get-me-over change. His control is on the average/fringy line. If he were a righty, he’d be in the HM section and hoping for a cup of coffee. As Ahlstrom is a lefty, he’s going to get a lot of looks. He projects as an optionable reliever, and chances are good that he&#8217;ll need to change his home address frequently over the next few years.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">37. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jack-wheeler/sa3069284/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jack Wheeler</a>, 3B</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 6th Round, 2025 from Morris HS (IL) (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 5&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>205</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>40/55</td>
<td>20/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Wheeler is a tall, physically projectable infield prospect who signed for an over-slot $525,000 out of last year’s sixth round. He’s going to be a project. His swing is uphill and comes with a huge leak that pulls him far off the dish. His battle with the outer half of the plate will be further stress-tested by breaking balls, which he isn&#8217;t picking up well right now. It’s too early to write him off for those things. This is a long-levered high school draftee who wasn&#8217;t on the showcase circuit much, and that tends to be a raw, slow-moving demographic. Check back in as the ACL gets going, when we&#8217;ll have a better idea of Wheeler’s progress. I can&#8217;t help but think that this is a case where short-season ball would have been helpful, either this summer or next.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="tex">
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<h3 class="header-name">38. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-bonzagni/sa3022587/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Paul Bonzagni</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 12th Round, 2023 from Southern Illinois (TEX)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>93-97 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>A 12th-rounder in 2023, Bonzagni was an arrow-up arm heading into 2025 but missed most of the season with elbow inflammation. That’s scary for anyone, particularly a guy who missed significant time in college recovering from Tommy John surgery. When he’s on the bump, Bonzagni is primarily a sinker-slider guy. He touches 98 and has generated a ton of grounders at the lower levels. He’s a slow-twitch guy and not especially deceptive, and between that and the injuries, I&#8217;m skeptical he&#8217;ll be able to start. He projects as a groundball specialist reliever, and has the ceiling of the 22nd or 23rd guy on the roster.</p>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">Other Prospects of Note</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.</em></p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Triple-A Depth</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aaron-zavala/sa3017665/stats/batting" target="_blank">Aaron Zavala</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trevor-hauver/sa3014448/stats/batting" target="_blank">Trevor Hauver</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dane-acker/sa3014924/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dane Acker</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/peyton-gray/sa3008046/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Peyton Gray</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/treyson-supak/sa828707/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Trey Supak</a>, RHP</p>
<p>Zavala and Hauver are corner outfielders without a carrying tool. Strangely, neither Acker&#8217;s velo nor his control improved upon a shift to relief. He&#8217;s a four-pitch guy who sits 93-95 with good extension. When he keeps his slider down, it&#8217;s above-average; when he doesn&#8217;t, it&#8217;s a line drive. Gray is a 30-year-old journeyman who missed a ton of bats during a monster spring. Hitters struggle with his hopping changeup; he otherwise has 90s-era stuff. I always root for phantom big leaguers to get their <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/drew-maggi/11381/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maggi</a> moment, and Supak has the requisite durability, control, and breaking stuff to eat low-leverage innings to earn his. </p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Reliever Metroplex</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/benjamin-abeldt/sa3025700/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ben Abeldt</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eric-loomis/sa3025615/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Eric Loomis</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joseph-danielson/sa3025479/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Joey Danielson</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kolton-curtis/sa3022381/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kolton Curtis</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brock-porter/sa3020708/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Brock Porter</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/michael-valverde/sa3022157/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Michael Valverde</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maicol-reyes/sa3067441/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Maicol Reyes</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/adrian-rodriguez/sa3015385/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Adrian Rodriguez</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/janser-lara/sa917460/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Janser Lara</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/geury-rodriguez/sa3019581/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Geury Rodriguez</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alejandro-chiquillo/sa3024270/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Alejandro Chiquillo</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/owen-proksch/sa3040240/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Owen Proksch</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wily-villar/sa3067638/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wily Villar</a>, RHP</p>
<p>Like the Dallas area itself, there&#8217;re quite a few people here. Abeldt was Texas&#8217; fifth-rounder last year. The southpaw missed his junior year at TCU recovering from Tommy John surgery. Prior to the injury, he was an excellent reliever with good stuff out of a low slot and deceptive motion. If nothing else, he looks like he&#8217;ll be a nightmare for lefties. Loomis is a late-round pick from the 2024 draft. He charged to Double-A in his first pro season and has a couple things that jump off the sheet, including a low release and good whiff rates on his fastball and slider. He&#8217;s a stiff mover with below-average control, though. He&#8217;s a guy analysts will probably like more than scouts. Danielson touches 98 and flashes an above-average slider. He crushed High-A, but he struggled at Frisco and in the AFL last year, and has the look of a potential up-down arm. Curtis can spin it, and between below-average deception and a low-90s fastball, his best path is probably leaning on the breaking ball in a relief role. While 2023 Porter doesn&#8217;t seem like he is coming back, Brock righted the ship somewhat last season after an alarming 2024. He still has the arm strength and stuff to pitch in a big league bullpen. </p>
<p>Even by the standards of &#8220;big stuff, no clue where it&#8217;s going&#8221; that characterize this section, Valverde&#8217;s an extreme case in both directions. Last year, Eric wrote that &#8220;Valverde’s best sliders are right up there with the best ones you’ve ever seen in your life&#8221; and that&#8217;s true. He might also never get out of A-ball. Reyes touches 98 and could have two plus pitches at maturity. He&#8217;s a 40 athlete, though, and was very scattered after a late-season promotion to the Carolina League last year.<br />
Adrian Rodriguez has two plus pitches and throws 100, but at some point you have to hit the box. Lara was out of affiliated ball for about half a decade before he reappeared with Texas last season. Now 29, he&#8217;s got two average pitches and has performed pretty well at Double-A. Geury Rodriguez is a lefty with average arm strength. He can spin it, too. The rub is that he&#8217;s not in the zone much and the stroke is pretty long. Chiquillo leans on his above-average slider and has a chance to get to an average fastball in short stints, which makes him a potential middle relief option. Proksch was Texas&#8217; ninth-rounder last year. He&#8217;s a lefty with 40 arm strength, but his deceptive delivery resembles <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/madison-bumgarner/5524/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Madison Bumgarner</a>&#8217;s and he&#8217;s got a plus slider. Villar is a 6-foot-4 IFA who signed last year at the age of 26, which is unheard of. He touches 100 and can spin it, though he hasn&#8217;t found a good breaking ball yet and can be wild. Regardless, there&#8217;s developmental runway left, and it&#8217;s a great story even if he never pans out. You&#8217;re never too old to follow your dreams. </p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Carolina Bats</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braylin-morel/sa3021229/stats/batting" target="_blank">Braylin Morel</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-marquez/sa3019498/stats/batting" target="_blank">Luis Marquez</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maxton-martin/sa3023014/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maxton Martin</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/antonis-macias/sa3021057/stats/batting" target="_blank">Antonis Macias</a>, 2B<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gleider-figuereo/sa3015813/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gleider Figuereo</a>, 3B<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/pablo-guerrero/sa3021249/stats/batting" target="_blank">Pablo Guerrero</a>, 1B<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/john-taylor/sa3068818/stats/batting" target="_blank">John Taylor</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafe-perich/sa3025368/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rafe Perich</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hector-osorio/sa3020461/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hector Osorio</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/marcos-torres/sa3018449/stats/batting" target="_blank">Marcos Torres</a>, OF</p>
<p>Morel has thumped on the complexes for a few years, but his measurable power was down in 2025. That&#8217;s not ideal for a maxed-out corner outfielder with no approach and shaky pitch recognition skills. Marquez doesn&#8217;t have big tools, but he could play forever as a singles hitter with a reliable glove up the middle. A little more speed and/or arm strength would get him to average at short and do wonders for his career. Scouts familiar with the family have noted the uncanny physical and swing resemblances between Maxton and his older brother Mason, a power hitter who topped out in Triple-A due to hit tool issues. Martin the younger also has crude feel to hit and often looks unbalanced against spin. He has a fourth outfielder ceiling. Macias has barrel feel and a good approach, but light tools everywhere else. Figuereo has power but also a lot of miss and chase, and there&#8217;s a good chance he&#8217;s a first baseman at the end of the day. </p>
<p>The son of Vlad and younger brother of Vlad Jr., Pablo Guerrero is also going to have plus power or better. He has his dad&#8217;s approach but not nearly his athleticism nor feel to hit, and he&#8217;s raw defensively at first. Taylor was an indy ball signing last year. He&#8217;s the least flashy guy in the system, but he&#8217;s reliable at short and I think he&#8217;s going to play in the big leagues. After seeing Perich go nuts on the backfields one day, he&#8217;s always been &#8220;Rake&#8221; in my internal monologues. He&#8217;s a switch-hitter with a viable blend of power and contact from both sides. It hasn&#8217;t materialized into production yet, but there are ingredients to stay with. Osorio has hit skill and a mature approach; he&#8217;s got a tweener&#8217;s blend of speed and power. Torres is still playing center, but he&#8217;s in a similar overall bucket with a bit more pop and a lesser approach. I was mildly surprised to see that those two have been asked to repeat Low-A, where they were solid, if not special, last season. </p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Catchers</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-springer/sa3067323/stats/batting" target="_blank">Josh Springer</a>, C<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/julian-brock/sa3023424/stats/batting" target="_blank">Julian Brock</a>, C<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ian-moller/sa3017171/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ian Moller</a>, C</p>
<p>Springer has feel to hit and a projectable frame. There are enough question marks — Will the closed stance give him problems covering inner-third velo? Can he get his pop times on the right side of two seconds? — to keep him down here for now, but this was a nice find in the 12th round for Texas. Brock can block and, at least when he&#8217;s not trying to launch the ball from his knees, throw. It&#8217;s a light bat with a little pop but not much feel to hit. He projects as a team&#8217;s third or fourth catcher. Moller is, or at least was, a somewhat famous catching prospect. He&#8217;s reached Double-A, but it doesn&#8217;t look like he can hit. </p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Possible Starters</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-mcconnaughey/sa3037493/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason McConnaughey</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-maclean/sa3014508/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dylan MacLean</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kamdyn-perry/sa3023663/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kamdyn Perry</a>, RHP</p>
<p>McConnaughey has good command and quality secondaries, enough so that he likely would have been an early-round pick in the 2025 draft even with 40 arm strength. He blew out early in the season, though, and fell to Texas in the fourth round. Hopefully he&#8217;ll get back on the mound later this season. MacLean signed for more than a million bucks back in 2020. He&#8217;s a pitchability lefty with good control but pretty light stuff outside of an above-average curve. Perry was a late-round high school pick in 2023 who held his own at Low-A last year. His low-slot, sinker/slider blend looks spot-starter quality. </p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Complex Kids</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johander-rubio/sa3022027/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Johander Rubio</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-astudillo/sa3025166/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Anthony Astudillo</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jhon-simon/sa3067816/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jhon Simon</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/saivel-zayas/sa3067808/stats/batting" target="_blank">Saivel Zayas</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/oliver-guerrero/sa3067805/stats/batting" target="_blank">Oliver Guerrero</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/javier-sanchez/sa3023975/stats/batting" target="_blank">Javier Sanchez</a>, C/1B<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/marco-argudin/sa3067877/stats/batting" target="_blank">Marco Argudin</a>, CF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andry-batista/sa3023956/stats/batting" target="_blank">Andry Batista</a>, RF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rashawn-pinder/sa3023729/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rashawn Pinder</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jayln-pinder/sa3067867/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jayln Pinder</a>, INF</p>
<p>Rubio isn’t a big guy, but he touches 96 in his starts and gets nearly 20 inches of vertical break on average. He pairs that with a sweepy breaking ball, sometimes slurvy, sometimes flatter. The IVB and feel to spin jump off the spreadsheet, and Rubio posted good numbers in the DSL. It was his junior year there, though, and his feel for release isn’t great despite an otherwise low-maintenance delivery. He’s a person of interest on the domestic complex this year. Astudillo throws strikes and performed in 2025. It&#8217;s 40 stuff and arm strength presently, though, so he&#8217;ll need to find more velo, which&#8217;ll be a challenge because he&#8217;s not all that projectable. Simon produced in the DSL and looks more physical than a lot of his peers, which is not necessarily a good thing. Zayas was one of the younger players in the DSL last year. He has power and speed, so it&#8217;s worth keeping tabs on him even though his immature feel to hit keeps him in the slow lane for a while. </p>
<p>Guerrero has a looping, low-ball swing and has the look, if not yet the data or production, of a corner outfield masher. Sanchez was one of the ACL&#8217;s youngest players in 2025. He mostly played first base but caught a little bit as well. He makes a lot of contact, and it&#8217;s age-appropriate for him to repeat the complex and see if he can hit for more pop in the second go around. Argudin was a 19-year-old Cuban signee last year. He&#8217;s a plus runner with good instincts in center, and while his age makes it tough to take his dominant batting line at face value, he has a nice swing and made too much good contact for us to not keep tabs on him. Batista has power projection, and for a guy who&#8217;s really raw, he made a viable amount of contact last summer. Older brother Pinder is toolsy and twitchy, and despite limited baseball feel, held his own in the ACL last summer. He&#8217;s the kind of athlete teams keep around just to see if something will eventually click. Younger brother Pinder is cut from a similar cloth. </p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">System Overview</span></p>
<p>Trades have thinned this system considerably. The <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mackenzie-gore/22201/stats/pitching" target="_blank">MacKenzie Gore</a> blockbuster especially, but there are still prospect-eligible players who left Texas in deals that shored up the Rangers&#8217; championship roster in 2023. It’s a tolerable price to pay for all the rectangular fabric dangling off of flagpoles from Arlington to Surprise. </p>
<p>Strong work from the international group has kept this system afloat even with those departures, particularly in the small-dollar demographic. Winston Santos and David Davalillo were Top 100 guys for us this winter, and they cost all of $40,000 combined to sign. On top of that, there are relevant prospects who signed for peanuts running around all over the place. Emiliano Teodo, Leandro Lopez, Wilian Bormie, Jesus Lafalaise: All of them inked deals for $10,000. There’s a similar, if less extreme, dynamic at work domestically, as this list also has plenty of mid-round players projected ahead of more expensive signees from recent drafts. </p>
<p>The big money on the international side has flowed toward intriguing athletes, which the Rangers have long had a knack for finding. The throughline of projectable Latin American signees connects across GMs and scouting directors, and has continued in recent years with guys like Paulino Santana, Yolfran Castillo, and Elian Rosario. Out of this seemingly ideal putty, though, the Rangers haven’t reliably generated impact baseball players. Leody Taveras, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maximo-acosta/27963/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maximo Acosta</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yeison-morrobel/sa3015720/stats/batting" target="_blank">Yeison Morrobel</a>, Anthony Gutierrez if things don’t click soon… These are just a few examples of really interesting teenage athletes who didn’t quite figure it out at the plate to the extent that once looked possible. It’s perhaps unfair to apply that lens to guys like Castillo or Santana, but you can understand why there might be some projectability fatigue among Rangers fans.</p>
<p>I have one other Eeyore-ish observation. If I had to pref out all the 40+ and higher types I’ve written about this cycle, I think a lot of the names on the list above would settle toward the bottom of their respective tiers. The 50-FV players did on our Top 100 list, and three of the 40+ guys are very volatile and years away from contributing. They belong where they’re ranked, but this is perhaps a system more vulnerable to rolling snake eyes a bunch than you’d think just looking at the list.  </p>
<p>To conclude more optimistically, the strength of the system is its upper-level pitching, which is ideal for a franchise on the back nine of its competitive window. Texas is well stocked in upper-level starters who can eat innings this summer, and there are several relievers who are either ready to go now or who could be pushed into big league roles with just a bit more seasoning. And, as always, there is no shortage of lower-level athletes who can be tossed into a deal to help at the deadline if the Rangers stay competitive. </p>
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		<title>Sunday Notes: Jacob Misiorowski Throws a Sinker-Like Changeup&#8230; Only Sometimes</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/sunday-notes-jacob-misiorowski-throws-a-sinker-like-changeup-only-sometimes/</link>
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		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Laurila]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 12 Apr 2026 11:00:50 +0000</pubDate>
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					<description><![CDATA[Plus Jake Bauers on being reactionary, Joe Sambito on J.R. Richard, Tom Oliver's modern-day record, facts and stats galore, and more.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-misiorowski/31623/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jacob Misiorowski</a> has a fastball that consistently reaches triple digits, and he augments it with an effective curveball-slider combination. Usage-wise, the 24-year-old Milwaukee Brewers right-hander is throwing his high-octane heater at a 62.3% clip, while his breaking-ball percentages are 16.6 and 17.3 respectively. Given the lethality of those pitches — his xBA is a paltry .168, and his K-rate an MLB-best 41.8% — he has little need for a changeup… </p>
<p>… but there is one in his arsenal. From time to time, he will even show it to a batter. Of the 289 pitches Misiorowski has delivered so far this season, 11 (3.8%) have been changeups. The story behind his only-sporadically-used weapon?</p>
<p>“I’ve had a changeup my whole career,” Misiorowski told me prior to throwing three of them in a 101-pitch start at Fenway Park on Tuesday. “That was one of the first pitches I truly learned. But then as I started throwing harder, I began going away from it, and it obviously got worse and worse the less I threw it. By the time I got drafted [63rd overall in 2022], I basically didn’t have a changeup any more. I had to relearn it, re-figure it out. So, yeah, it’s always been there, but it hasn’t always been there.”</p>
<p>Misiorowski went on to tell me the grip was originally a more conventional four-seam circle, but that he now has his pointer and middle fingers together, and his thumb underneath. He also said that he likes the amount of horizontal he gets on it, which is generally around 18 inches and has been up to 20. When I told him that the movement profile sounds a little like a two-seam sinker, he agreed that it does.</p>
<p>A few more things Misiorowski told me about the pitch are unfortunately lost, due to glitches I’ve recently encountered on my iPhone’s recording app (I mentioned this teeth-gnashing, hopefully-resolved-soon, issue in <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/mark-grant-tackles-a-challenging-career-quiz/" target="_blank">Monday’s piece</a> on Padres’ broadcaster <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mark-grant/1004951/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mark Grant</a>.)  Fortunately, I was able to grab a few minutes with Brewers pitching coach <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-hook/1005997/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Hook</a>, who made up for the missing words with his own perspective.</p>
<p>How would he describe Misiorowski’s changeup?<span id="more-487330"></span></p>
<p>“It’s horizontal-moving, it’s not really depth-y,” replied Hook. “In the small amount of developmental time he’s had with us, his big key has been getting on time. The changeup is almost detrimental in a way, because in his head he thinks he is throwing something slow. His changeup is in the 93-94 [mph] range. He doesn’t get on time for it, so he never gets to the point where he can get in front of it the way that he wants to get in front of it.</p>
<p>“It’s almost like a sinker,” continued Hook, negating the need for me to ask if he feels that it profiles as such. “It’s what, 18 and five, 18 and six? Really, it’s a good sinker. It’s something we’re going to try to implement more this year as we go along, but despite what you saw last night with him kind of got hitting with a ton of bricks and running out of gas [in the seventh inning], he’s been on time. He’s throwing the ball where he wants to — there are fewer sprays — so there is a little more count accessibility to throw the changeup. We’re going to look to do that.”</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>RANDOM HITTER-PITCHER MATCHUPS</strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nelson-cruz/2434/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nelson Cruz</a> went 15 for 25 against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kendall-graveman/15514/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kendall Graveman</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/fred-kendall/1006828/stats/batting" target="_blank">Fred Kendall</a> went 11 for 26 against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jim-barr/1000606/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jim Barr</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jason-kendall/993/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jason Kendall</a> went 19 for 42 against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Woody%20Williams" target="_blank">Woody Williams</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hank-bauer/1000679/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hank Bauer</a> went 10 for 23 against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hal-woodeshick/1014215/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Hal Woodeshick</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/elbie-fletcher/1004150/stats/batting" target="_blank">Elbie Fletcher</a> went 16 for 34 against <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/russ-bauers/1000681/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Russ Bauers</a>.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>Sticking with the Brewers, I had a question for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jake-bauers/15194/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jake Bauers</a> that circles back to something he said several years ago. Back when he was a young player with the Tampa Bay Rays, the now-30-year-old outfielder/first baseman told me that he would rather not know which pitch was coming. Moreover, he would have a better chance of hitting a slider if he was simply sitting fastball.</p>
<p>Does he still feel that way? </p>
<p>“Against certain pitchers, it might be better to be more reactionary than anticipatory,” replied Bauers, who is in his third season with the Brewers. “But as I’ve matured over the years and developed kind of my own style of hitting, that has probably changed a little bit. I think I’m a little better at anticipating, and then putting myself in a position to put a good swing at that pitch, as opposed to maybe selling out.”</p>
<p>The reasoning behind his previously-stated mindset? </p>
<p>“If I had a feeling that a breaking ball was coming, I would sit on it, and I had a tendency to sit back too long,” explained Bauers, who has three home runs and a 108 wRC+ over 46 plate appearances so far this season. “I would end up jamming myself on it. I wasn’t getting beat on a fastball, I was getting beat on a slider, because I was caught back.</p>
<p>“I would say that still I’m on the fastball with 90 to 95 percent of the pitches I see,” the lefty slugger continued. “If it’s a guy I’m familiar with, or a guy that has really obvious tendencies, I might change that. But even in those situations, I feel like I’m a little better at being more consistent with my timing if I’m not making too much of an adjustment. Almost like a soft anticipation instead of a selling out, if that makes sense.”</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>Another brief Brewers note:</p>
<p>“We’ll let <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sal-frelick/29622/stats/batting" target="_blank">Sal [Frelick]</a> do it,” Milwaukee manager <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/pat-murphy/1009373/stats/batting" target="_blank">Pat Murphy</a> replied when I asked who he’d use as an emergency catcher. “The kid was a great hockey player. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-vaughn/26197/stats/batting" target="_blank">[Andrew] Vaughn</a> was our third catcher; he practiced it a little bit and is pretty good, but he broke a hamate and isn’t with us. We asked <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jackson-chourio/28806/stats/batting" target="_blank">[Jackson] Chourio</a> and he said no. But he’s not with us either; he’s got a broken hand.”</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>A quiz:</p>
<p>Who holds the Yankees’ single-season record for one-base hits? (A hint: a post-integration infielder, he batted .315 and had 43 stolen bases that year.)</p>
<p>The answer can be found below.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>NEWS NOTES</strong></p>
<p>SABR announced this week that Guardians president of baseball operations Chris Antonetti, and the team’s longtime radio voice, Tom Hamilton, will be among the featured speakers at this summer’s national convention. More information on the event, which will be held in Cleveland from July 29-August 2, can be found <a href="https://sabr.org/convention" target="_blank">here</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tom-nieto/1009593/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tom Nieto</a>, a catcher who appeared in 251 games while seeing action for four teams across the 1984-1990 seasons, died on March 27 at age 65. A minor league coach and manager following his playing days, Nieto notched 57 of his 127 career hits with the St. Louis Cardinals in 1985. One of his five home runs was a 10th-inning walk-off for the Montreal Expos against the Chicago Cubs in 1986.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-duliba/1003546/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Bob Duliba</a>, a right-hander who went 17-12 with 14 saves and a 3.47 ERA while pitching for four teams across the 1959-1967 seasons, died on April 4 at age 91. Originally with the St. Louis Cardinals, the Glen Lyon, Pennsylvania native came out of the bullpen to relieve <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/vinegar-bend-mizell/1009015/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Vinegar Bend Mizell</a> in his MLB debut.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/davey-lopes/1007750/stats/batting" target="_blank">Davey Lopes</a>, who swiped 557 bases while playing for four teams — primarily the Los Angeles Dodgers — across the 1972-1987 seasons, died earlier this week at age 80. A second baseman, Lopes logged 1,671 hits and a 111 wRC+, performing best against opposite-handed hurlers. The Providence, Rhode Island native batted .291 with an .831 OPS versus southpaws, and .251 with a .698 OPS versus righties.  </p>
<p>———</p>
<p>The answer to the quiz is <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steve-sax/1011481/stats/batting" target="_blank">Steve Sax</a>, who hit 171 singles for the Yankees in 1989. If you guessed <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/derek-jeter/826/stats/batting" target="_blank">Derek Jeter</a>, his single-season career high was 169.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>A followup note on Davey Lopes: </p>
<p>He was almost a Giant. One year before being drafted and signed by the Dodgers in 1968, Lopes was taken in the eighth round by San Francisco, only to temporarily forego pro ball and return to Washburn University. He wasn’t the only notable player the Giants drafted but failed to sign in 1967. Their fourth-round pick that year was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steve-busby/1001745/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Steve Busby</a>, who opted to attend the University of Southern California. and subsequently become a Kansas City Royal via the 1971 draft. A two-time All-Star who tossed a pair of no-hitters, Busby went 56-41 for the Royals from 1973-1975 before injuries sidetracked his career.</p>
<p>&#8212;&#8212;</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-sambito/1011392/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Joe Sambito</a> spent his first eight big-league seasons with the Astros, appearing in 353 games and tossing 536 innings from 1976-1984. A southpaw who pitched almost exclusively in relief, he logged 33 wins, 72 saves, and a 2.42 ERA while wearing a Houston uniform. I recently asked the now-73-year-old Brooklyn native about those teams, and about one player in particular.</p>
<p>“The Astros were not built on power,” recalled Sambito, who was at his best in 1979 when he saved 22 games and posted a sparkling 1.77 ERA. “We had a lot of rabbits who hit line drives. It was gap-to-gap. And then we had some good arms, some good young pitchers. I was fortunate to be one of those guys.”</p>
<p>The most notable of those of young pitchers was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jr-richard/1010913/stats/pitching" target="_blank">J.R. Richard</a>, a 6-foot-8 righty with erratic control and an electric fastball. From 1975-1979, the flamethrower twice led NL pitchers in strikeouts, fanning 303 and 313 batters in back-to-back seasons. He also led the senior circuit in walks and wild pitches three times each.</p>
<p>“J.R., on a good day, was untouchable,” said Sambito. “He had probably the highest ceiling of anybody. Whether or not he got the most out of his ability, I think that would have been more for him to answer. But he was good. Guys were afraid to get in the box sometimes, because he had a tendency to lose the ball. You never knew where it was going to go. I saw him hit a few guys, but it wasn’t intentional. He wasn’t a headhunter. He was what you’d call effectively wild.”</p>
<p>He was especially dominant from 1976-1979. Over that four-season stretch, Richard went 74-51 with a 2.88 ERA, a 2.82 FIP, and a 22.6% strikeout rate that was second in the majors behind only <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nolan-ryan/1011348/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Nolan Ryan</a> among pitchers who threw at least 500 innings. He was once again overpowering in 1980 — a 10-4 record, a 1.90 ERA, and his first All-Star berth — but only until his career was tragically derailed in mid-July. Richard suffered a stroke, never again to stand atop a big-league mound. He died in 2021 at age 71.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>FOREIGN AFFAIRS</strong></p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hyun-min-ahn/sa3023680/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hyun Min Ahn</a> is 13-for-39 with two doubles, a triple, and two home runs for the KBO’s KT Wiz. A member of Team Korea who went 5-for-15 in this year’s WBC, the 22-year-old outfielder slashed .334/.443/.570 with 22 home runs and a 175 wRC+ last season.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jun-soon-park/sa3067161/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jun Soon Park</a> is 13-for-33 with two doubles, a triple, and a home run for the Doosan Bears. Selected sixth overall in the 2025 KBO draft, the 19-year-old infielder debuted last summer and slashed .284/.307/.379 over 298 plate appearances. </p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryusei-terachi/sa3067022/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ryusei Terachi</a> is 16-for-48 with a double and a home run for NPB’s Chiba Lotte Marines. The 20-year-old catcher slashed .256/.299/.331 with an 85 wRC+ last year in his rookie season.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kensuke-kondoh/sa3063115/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kensuke Kondoh</a> is 14-for-47 with three doubles, five home runs, and 11 walks for the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks. The 32-year-old left-handed-hitting outfielder has slashed .307./418/.458 over 15 NPB seasons.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hiroya-miyagi/sa3063746/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Hiroya Miyage</a> was diagnosed with a damaged UCL and will get a second opinion before potentially undergoing surgery. The 24-year-old southpaw had a 2.39 ERA over 150-and-a-third innings for the Orix Buffaloes last year. He threw three-and-a-third scoreless innings for Samurai Japan in the WBC.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>An excerpt from Robert K. Fitts’s <a href="https://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/in-the-japanese-ballpark-robert-k-fitts/1146838968" target="_blank">book</a> <em>In the Japanese Ballpark: Behind the Scenes of Nippon Professional Baseball</em>, which was published last year:</p>
<p>“Even back in the 1960s, Japanese stadiums had these really good-looking girls running around in shorts carrying these huge containers of draft beer&#8230; They’re running up and down the steps of Korakuen Stadium, and the steps were so steep that you needed to be a mountain goat to navigate them… You could sit up there on a summer night with a cool breeze coming in and see the lights of Tokyo, the neon signs, and the trains going by, and then in this pool of light down below on the field, Sadaharu Oh would step in with this one-legged stance and hit a home run.&#8221; </p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>FARM NOTES</strong></p>
<p>The New Hampshire Fisher Cats (Double-A, Toronto) tallied 10 runs while logging just one hit — a two-run single in the second inning — of their 12-7 win over the Portland Sea Dogs (Boston) on a 35-degree Tuesday night in southern Maine. Three Sea Dogs pitchers combined for eight walks, two HBPs, and four wild pitches in the frame.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jess-made/sa3024108/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jesús Made</a> is 12-for-32 with two triples, a home run, and a 159 wRC+ over 36 plate appearances for the Double-A Biloxi Shuckers. The 18-year-old shortstop in the Milwaukee Brewers organization is No. 2 on our <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2026-top-100-prospects/" target="_blank">2026 Top 100 Prospects list.</a></p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maxwell-clark/sa3022683/stats/batting" target="_blank">Max Clark</a> is 19-for-46 with eight doubles, a triple, and a 198 wRC+ over 57 plate appearances with the Triple-A Toledo Mud Hens. The 21-year-old outfielder in the Detroit Tigers organization is No. 7 on our 2026 Top 100 Prospects list.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/noah-schultz/sa3020949/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Noah Schultz</a> is 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA and a 40.4% strikeout rate over 14 innings with the Triple-A Charlotte Knights. The 22-year-old southpaw in the Chicago White Sox system is No. 36 on our 2026 Top 100 Prospects list.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jhonny-level/sa3023898/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jhonny Level</a> is 14-for-27 with two home runs and a 263 wRC+ over 30 plate appearances with the Low-A San Jose Giants. The recently-turned-19-year-old shortstop in the San Francisco Giants system is No. 77 on our 2026 Top 100 Prospects list.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p>A random obscure former player snapshot:</p>
<p>To say that <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tom-oliver/1009780/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tom Oliver</a> wasn’t known for his power would be an understatement. A gifted defensive centerfielder for the Boston Red Sox whose MLB career spanned the 1930-1933 seasons, Oliver came to the plate 2,073 times and never left the yard. No other player in the modern era has more plate appearances without homering. (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bill-holbert/1005936/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bill Holbert</a>, who played from 1876-1888 holds the pre-1901 record with 2,396 PAs sans a home run.)</p>
<p>Oliver did have a decent batting average, finishing at .277 with a high-water mark of .293 in his rookie campaign. His time in the minors included some sparkling BAs, including .352 with the Beaumont Exporters in 1926, and .338 with the Little Rock Travelers in 1929. He also flashed occasional power down on the farm, going deep 48 times in 6,470 plate appearances.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>LINKS YOU’LL LIKE</strong></p>
<p>When he was 10 years old, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-eyanson/sa3031104/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Anthony Eyanson</a> was diagnosed with achalasia, a rare disorder that makes it difficult to swallow. Eleven years later, he is now one of the top pitching prospects in the Boston Red Sox system. Ian Cundall <a href="https://www.baseballamerica.com/stories/anthony-eyansons-breakout-carries-extra-meaning-in-2026/" target="_blank">wrote about</a> the 21-year-old right-hander for <em>Baseball America</em>.</p>
<p>Detroit’s <em>Metro Times</em> ran <a href="https://www.metrotimes.com/topic/sports/a-new-biography-of-former-detroit-tiger-ron-leflore-who-in-the-1970s-famously-went-from-prison-to-the-big-leagues-hits-bookshelves-this-week/" target="_blank">an excerpt</a> from Adam Henig’s new book, <em>Baseball’s Outcast: The Story of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ron-leflore/1007478/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ron LeFlore</a></em>.</p>
<p>At <em>Good Grief</em>, Luke Epplin <a href="https://lepplin.substack.com/p/the-mystery-of-gene-bearden" target="_blank">wrote about</a> how <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gene-bearden/1000717/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gene Bearden</a> — a 20-game winner for the Cleveland Indians in 1948 — apparently fabricated his claim of being badly injured during a torpedo strike of the U.S.S. Helena during World War II.</p>
<p>Len Levin. who died earlier this week at age 95, served as a proofreader for thousands of biographies, game stories, journal submissions, and book essays that were published by the Society for American Baseball Research. Jacob Pomrenke wrote <a href="https://sabr.org/latest/in-memoriam-len-levin/" target="_blank">a memoriam</a> at <em>SABR.org</em>.</p>
<p>———</p>
<p><strong>RANDOM FACTS AND STATS</strong></p>
<p>MLB announced this week that 6.8% of players on Opening Day rosters, injured lists and the restricted list were Black. That number was 6.2% at the start of last season, and 6.0% to begin 2024.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lee-smith/1012175/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Lee Smith</a> had 478 saves and allowed 89 home runs. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenley-jansen/3096/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenley Jansen</a> has 478 saves and has allowed 89 home runs.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/masahiro-tanaka/15764/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Masahiro Tanaka</a> went 24-0 with a 1.49 ERA over 212 innings with NPB’s Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles in 2013. The 37-year-old erstwhile New York Yankees hurler — he pitched in pinstripes from 2014-2020 — is now taking the mound for the Tokyo Yomiuri Giants.</p>
<p>The Boston Red Sox out-slugged the Kansas City Royals 22-11 at Kauffman Stadium on today’s date in 1994. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/scott-cooper/1002600/stats/batting" target="_blank">Scott Cooper</a> went 5-for-6 with a pair of doubles and a home run for the winning side. Boston batters went deep five times on the day, Royals batters twice.   </p>
<p>On today’s date in 1932, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sammy-byrd/1001796/stats/batting" target="_blank">Sammy Byrd</a> swatted two of his 38 career home runs to lead the New York Yankees to a 12-6 win over the Philadelphia Athletics. Four Hall of Famers — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jimmie-foxx/1004285/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jimmie Foxx</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lou-gehrig/1004598/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lou Gehrig</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/babe-ruth/1011327/stats/batting" target="_blank">Babe Ruth</a>, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/al-simmons/1011978/stats/batting" target="_blank">Al Simmons</a> — who combined for 2,048 career home runs each went deep once.  </p>
<p>Players born on today’s date include <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chucho-ramos/1010676/stats/batting" target="_blank">Chucho Ramos</a>, who in 1944 became the second native Venezuelan to play in MLB (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alex-carrasquel/1001983/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Alex Carrasquel</a>, who debuted in 1939, was the first). An outfielder, Ramos appeared in just five big-league games, logging five hits in 10 at-bats for the Cincinnati Reds.</p>
<p>Also born on today’s date was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/charlie-lau/1007379/stats/batting" target="_blank">Charlie Lau</a>, who caught for four teams across parts of the 1956-1967 seasons, then became a renowned hitting coach, tutoring the likes of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/harold-baines/1000434/stats/batting" target="_blank">Harold Baines</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/george-brett/1001400/stats/batting" target="_blank">George Brett</a>. The author of the book <em>The Art of Hitting .300</em>, Lau logged 298 hits and a .255 batting average over his relatively nondescript playing career.</p>
<p>MLB history includes two players born in the village of Evart, Michigan (population ≈ 1,700). One of them is <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wib-smith/1012215/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wib Smith</a>, a catcher who went 8-for-42 while appearing in 17 games for the St. Louis Browns in 1909. The first of his hits came in his first ever plate appearance, against Hall of Famer <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/addie-joss/1006630/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Addie Joss</a>. The other Evart native is <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wish-egan/1003703/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wish Egan</a>, who made 42 appearances while toeing the slab for the Detroit Tigers and St. Louis Cardinals from 1902-1906. He later made a name for himself as a scout. Egan is credited with signing <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hoot-evers/1003875/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hoot Evers</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hal-newhouser/1009535/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Hal Newhouser</a>, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dizzy-trout/1013196/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dizzy Trout</a>.</p>
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		<title>FanGraphs Weekly Mailbag: April 11, 2026</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Matt Martell]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Apr 2026 13:00:52 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mailbag]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487285</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[We discuss the terrible Nationals pitching staff, TTO pitching greatness, what Dodgers injuries would keep them from being World Series favorites, and more.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487298" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487298" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487298" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Miles-Mikolas-Nationals-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487298" class="wp-caption-text">Rafael Suanes-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p>I went to the Nationals-Cardinals game on Wednesday afternoon at Nats Park to check in on the two rebuilding clubs early in the season. Washington has been in a perpetual rebuild for pretty much the entirety of the 2020s, while St. Louis just tore its roster down to the studs this past offseason. And yet, with Chaim Bloom installed as the new president of baseball operations, <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/st-louis-cardinals-top-53-prospects/" target="_blank">a deep farm system</a>, and several young position players starting to come into their own, the Cardinals seem to be closer to their next winning season than the Nationals. </p>
<p>That&#8217;s certainly how things played out on Wednesday, when the Cards beat the Nats, 6-1, to take two out of three in the series. St. Louis first baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alec-burleson/27615/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alec Burleson</a>, the team’s second-longest tenured position player, went 3-for-4 and knocked in three runs, and second baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jj-wetherholt/34985/stats/batting" target="_blank">JJ Wetherholt</a> made several slick plays in the field. Wetherholt, who entered this year as the 12th-ranked prospect in baseball, has reached base in all 11 of his starts this year, and he has at least one hit in 10 of them. (He went 0-for-4 with a walk and a run on Wednesday.) The big story, though, was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jordan-walker/27475/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jordan Walker</a>, who hammered his fifth home run of the season in the fifth inning. It was the 17th time in franchise history that a player has homered five times within his first 12 games to start the season. After two below-replacement-level seasons, it seemed less likely that Walker would ever make good on his former top prospect pedigree, but now he looks like a completely different player. He seems way more confident and is making much better swing decisions; he&#8217;s lifting the ball, while walking more and striking out less. Yes, it&#8217;s only been 12 games, but the early returns are promising. He enters Friday night&#8217;s game against the Red Sox slashing .295/.367/.682 with a 192 wRC+.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ll talk more about the Nationals in my answer to the first question below. We&#8217;ll also answer your questions about the World Series teams whose players accumulated the most and least WAR by the end of their careers, the potential injuries that would stop the Dodgers from being World Series favorites, and the most successful three-true-outcomes pitchers of all time. But first, I&#8217;d like to remind you that this mailbag is exclusive to FanGraphs Members. If you aren’t yet a Member and would like to keep reading, you can sign up for a Membership <a href="https://plus.fangraphs.com/product/fangraphs-membership/" target="_blank">here</a>. It’s the best way to both experience the site and support our staff, and it comes with a <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-state-of-fangraphs-2025/" target="_blank">bunch of other great benefits</a>. Also, if you’d like to ask a question for an upcoming mailbag, send me an email at <a href="mailto:mailbag@fangraphs.com" target="_blank">mailbag@fangraphs.com</a>.<span id="more-487285"></span></p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>FanGraphs,</p>
<p>You are the best!</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve been watching way too many Nationals games this year. We are doing a good job hitting and scoring thus far, but our pitching is the worst I can recall. Other than <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cade-cavalli/27473/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cade Cavalli</a> and maybe <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brad-lord/31972/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Brad Lord</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/foster-griffin/16432/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Foster Griffin</a>, we just stink. Looking at non-Rockies teams, what is the worst pitching staff of the modern era? I know it&#8217;s early, but how close are we to rivaling them?</p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Nats Fan</em></p>
<p>Hi, Nats Fan! First off, thank you for your question, your kind words, and your support.</p>
<p>You&#8217;re absolutely onto something here. The 2026 Nationals just might have the worst pitching staff ever assembled through their first 12 games. I&#8217;m writing this Friday afternoon before the Nats play the Brewers in Milwaukee, so all of the statistics below are as of the end of play Thursday. Nationals pitchers have produced -1.8 WAR across their 107 innings this season. That is the worst WAR figure for any pitching staff through a team&#8217;s first 12 games since at least 1974, which is as far back as we have data tracking game-by-game team WAR. If they keep this up, they will be the first pitching staff to finish below replacement level since Allegheny City, a precursor to the Pittsburgh Pirates, produced -2.3 pitching WAR in 1890.</p>
<p>Unfortunately, historically bad pitching is all too familiar for Washington fans. The worst modern pitching staff over a full season is the 2022 Nationals, who were exactly replacement level. That group of pitchers actually got off to a solid start. The 2022 Nats played a doubleheader for their 12th and 13th games, but through their first 13 games of the season, their pitchers had amassed 1.7 WAR, the eighth most in the majors. They had by far the worst pitching staff for the rest of the season, however, combining for -1.4 WAR over their final 149 games.</p>
<p>Do I think this year&#8217;s group is going to finish below replacement level? No, probably not. Our Depth Charts project Nats starters to post 7.9 WAR for the rest of the season; their relievers, 0.3. But based on what I saw on Wednesday, and what you&#8217;ve seen watching, by your own admission, “way too many Nationals games this year,” I don&#8217;t think it&#8217;s out of the question that this staff could do it. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miles-mikolas/9803/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Miles Mikolas</a>, the veteran of the staff, labored through three innings against his former team. He allowed just two runs, but the Cardinals threatened for more than that, tallying five hits and three walks. There&#8217;s a reason manager <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-butera/sa827148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Blake Butera</a> went to his abysmal bullpen so soon; Mikolas clearly didn&#8217;t have it. Through three starts, Mikolas has a ghastly 12.41 ERA and an 8.34 FIP. Lord, one of the pitchers you cited as an exception to the stinking, came on in relief and pitched well enough. The only hit he gave up in three innings was the solo shot to Walker. Things got dicey and dragged after that, though, as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cionel-perez/19614/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cionel Pérez</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-henry/27570/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Henry</a> surrendered another three runs. The team&#8217;s final pitching line: six runs, all earned, eight hits, seven walks, one hit-by-pitch, nine strikeouts, one home run. It was the seventh straight game in which the Nationals gave up six or more runs.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>People like to talk about the World Series teams that had the most eventual Hall of Famers and whether they won or lost, but another perspective is WAR. Which World Series team’s players had the most (or least) cumulative WAR at the time of their World Series? Alternatively, which team’s players eventually accumulated the most (or least) WAR by the end of their respective careers?</p>
<p>TTFN,<br />
Guy Arrigoni</em></p>
<p><strong>Matt Martell and Jon Becker</strong>: We answered the first part of this question in <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-4-2026/" target="_blank">last week&#8217;s mailbag</a>, so now we&#8217;ll turn to the World Series teams whose players accumulated the most and least WAR by the end of their careers. Let&#8217;s start with the 10 pennant-winning teams with the most career WAR:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Most Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2000</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>1038.5</td>
<td>22.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1996</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>951.5</td>
<td>19.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2003</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>49</td>
<td>950.7</td>
<td>19.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1997</td>
<td>Cleveland Indians</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>920.0</td>
<td>20.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1978</td>
<td>Los Angeles Dodgers</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>38</td>
<td>913.2</td>
<td>24.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1983</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>909.6</td>
<td>20.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2009</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>45</td>
<td>905.6</td>
<td>20.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1995</td>
<td>Cleveland Indians</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>41</td>
<td>903.4</td>
<td>22.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2001</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>47</td>
<td>877.9</td>
<td>18.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1996</td>
<td>Atlanta Braves</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>872.9</td>
<td>20.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>It’s not surprising to see the 2000 Yankees at the top of the list, considering the core of that roster included a pair of Hall of Famers, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/derek-jeter/826/stats/batting" target="_blank">Derek Jeter</a> (73.0 WAR) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mariano-rivera/844/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mariano Rivera</a> (39.1), as well as plenty of other players whom many deem to be Hall of Fame worthy, such as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/roger-clemens/815/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Roger Clemens</a> (134.3), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andy-pettitte/840/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Andy Pettitte</a> (67.9), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-cone/1680/stats/pitching" target="_blank">David Cone</a> (56.7), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jorge-posada/841/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jorge Posada</a> (40.9), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bernie-williams/857/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bernie Williams</a> (43.9), not to mention All-Stars <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-oneill/1009818/stats/batting" target="_blank">Paul O’Neill</a> (41.0), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tino-martinez/1168/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tino Martinez</a> (28.7), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chuck-knoblauch/609/stats/batting" target="_blank">Chuck Knoblauch</a> (39.8). But what puts that club over the top is the group of complementary players who weren’t there for that whole Yankees dynasty but had great careers in their own right. In addition to Jeter and Knoblauch, the 2000 Yankees featured three other former Rookie of the Year winners: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dwight-gooden/1004852/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dwight Gooden</a> (60.6), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/david-justice/923/stats/batting" target="_blank">David Justice</a> (40.4), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-canseco/1001918/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jose Canseco</a> (42.1). Oh, and a 24-year-old <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alfonso-soriano/847/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alfonso Soriano</a> also appeared in 22 games, adding his 39.0 WAR to the 2002 Yankees’ total.</p>
<p>As with part one of the question, we&#8217;re also going to sort by that last column, average career WAR. As mentioned last week, the raw total method is going to skew toward more recent teams since rosters have grown larger and more cycled-through: </p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Highest Average Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>1923</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>760.7</td>
<td>30.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1939</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>27</td>
<td>777.8</td>
<td>28.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1905</td>
<td>New York Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>21</td>
<td>599.1</td>
<td>28.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1932</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>32</td>
<td>863.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1928</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>811.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1930</td>
<td>Philadelphia Athletics</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>30</td>
<td>809.2</td>
<td>27.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1927</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>667.7</td>
<td>26.7</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1962</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>825.6</td>
<td>26.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1932</td>
<td>Chicago Cubs</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>817.2</td>
<td>26.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1911</td>
<td>New York Giants</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>28</td>
<td>728.6</td>
<td>26.0</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>As expected, sorting by highest average WAR per player brings plenty of earlier teams to the forefront, starting with the 1923 Yankees. They were led, of course, by <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/babe-ruth/1011327/stats/batting" target="_blank">Babe Ruth</a> (179.4 WAR) and a rotation anchored by Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/herb-pennock/1010161/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Herb Pennock</a> (47.5) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/waite-hoyt/1006115/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Waite Hoyt</a> (45.8), plus stalwarts <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-shawkey/1011825/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Bob Shawkey</a> (34.2), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006589/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sad Sam Jones</a></a> (42.0), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carl-mays/1008313/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carl Mays</a> (43.5). Joining Ruth in their lineup was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-meusel/1008817/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bob Meusel</a> (28.7), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wally-schang/1011521/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wally Schang</a> (41.0), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wally-pipp/1010365/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wally Pipp</a> (31.6). <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lou-gehrig/1004598/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lou Gehrig</a> would not displace Pipp as the Yankees’ starting first baseman until June 1, 1925, but a 20-year-old Iron Horse did appear in the first 13 games of his career during the 1923 season, so that year’s Yankees also get all of his 115.9 WAR.</p>
<p>It’s fitting, then, that the second team on this list was Gehrig’s final club. By the beginning of 1939, ALS was breaking down his body; he asked manager Joe McCarthy to keep him out of the lineup on May 2, ending his streak of consecutive games played at 2,130. He never played again, but because he played eight games that season, his career WAR also counts for the 1939 Yankees. That team’s average WAR is also propped up by Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-dimaggio/1003311/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joe DiMaggio</a> (82.6 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-gordon/1004874/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joe Gordon</a> (60.4), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bill-dickey/1003271/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bill Dickey</a> (56.1), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/red-ruffing/1011296/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Red Ruffing</a> (68.3), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lefty-gomez/1004821/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Lefty Gomez</a> (30.0), as well as shortstop <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/frankie-crosetti/1002802/stats/batting" target="_blank">Frankie Crosetti</a> (27.8), third baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/red-rolfe/1011157/stats/batting" target="_blank">Red Rolfe</a> (26.4), and right fielder <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/charlie-keller/1006768/stats/batting" target="_blank">Charlie Keller</a> (45.7). You might recall we covered Keller’s career, which was on a Hall of Fame trajectory before injuries limited him to part-time duty after his age-29 season, in our <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-january-24-2026/" target="_blank">January 24 edition of the mailbag</a>. </p>
<p>You’ll also notice that the 1962 Giants are the only post-integration team in the top 10, and many of the players who contributed most to their placement on this list — such as Hall of Famers <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/willie-mays/1008315/stats/batting" target="_blank">Willie Mays</a> (149.8 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/willie-mccovey/1008423/stats/batting" target="_blank">Willie McCovey</a> (67.4), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/orlando-cepeda/1002103/stats/batting" target="_blank">Orlando Cepeda</a> (50.5), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/juan-marichal/1008106/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Juan Marichal</a> (61.7), along with the Alou brothers, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/felipe-alou/1000177/stats/batting" target="_blank">Felipe</a> (38.1) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matty-alou/1000179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matty</a> (20.4) — wouldn&#8217;t have been allowed to play in the big leagues in an earlier era. The 1962 Giants also had Hall of Very Good pitcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/billy-pierce/1010326/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Billy Pierce</a> (52.2) and a first-year right-handed pitcher named <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gaylord-perry/1010210/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gaylord Perry</a>. Perry made it into just 13 games that season, but his 97.4 career WAR total is the second highest on the team.</p>
<p>Of the 10 teams at the bottom of the list in total WAR, just three won the World Series, all three before integration:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Lowest Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>1914</td>
<td>Boston Braves</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>347.4</td>
<td>10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1944</td>
<td>St. Louis Browns</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>355.1</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1906</td>
<td>Chicago White Sox</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>25</td>
<td>373.7</td>
<td>14.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2014</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>378.1</td>
<td>7.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1993</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>391.1</td>
<td>9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1920</td>
<td>Brooklyn Robins</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>29</td>
<td>402.0</td>
<td>13.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1984</td>
<td>San Diego Padres</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>31</td>
<td>405.7</td>
<td>13.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1943</td>
<td>New York Yankees</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>26</td>
<td>415.5</td>
<td>16.0</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1945</td>
<td>Chicago Cubs</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>37</td>
<td>429.4</td>
<td>11.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1905</td>
<td>Philadelphia Athletics</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>19</td>
<td>434.8</td>
<td>22.9</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>There’s an early baseball flavor to this list, too, owing to the smaller rosters, but the 2014 Royals stand out. Kansas City had several core contributors who had nice careers on that team, among them <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alex-gordon/5209/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alex Gordon</a> (31.5 WAR), <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lorenzo-cain/9077/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lorenzo Cain</a> (30.6), and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-shields/7059/stats/pitching" target="_blank">James Shields</a> (32.5), but that roster wasn’t as beefed up as the one from the following year. The 2015 Royals won the championship with a roster that had 85 more WAR, a lot of that coming from deadline acquisitions <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johnny-cueto/6893/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Johnny Cueto</a> (29.0) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ben-zobrist/7435/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ben Zobrist</a> (42.7). It’s also worth noting that the hallmark of those two Royals ballclubs was the bullpen, and relievers tend to be fickle, and even the great ones don’t amass as much WAR as the greatest players at other positions. </p>
<p>Another thing to consider: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/salvador-perez/7304/stats/batting" target="_blank">Salvador Perez</a> (18.9 WAR) is still active and could add to the totals for both the 2014 and 2015 Royals. Because we’re using our WAR instead of Baseball Reference’s version, which does not include catcher framing, Perez is contributing a lot less value. Perez is worth 35.1 WAR according to B-Ref, and if we use that figure for him instead, the 2014 Royals jump to 395.0 WAR. That would flip them below the 1993 Phillies, a team we’ll discuss in the next section.</p>
<p>Sorting by the lowest average gives the 2014 Royals a clean sweep of both categories, and that 2015 club pops into the top 10, too:</p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Lowest Average Career WAR on World Series Teams</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Year</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>WS Result</th>
<th>Players Used</th>
<th>Total Career WAR</th>
<th>Average WAR Per Player</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2014</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>48</td>
<td>378.1</td>
<td>7.9</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2007</td>
<td>Colorado Rockies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>53</td>
<td>444.8</td>
<td>8.4</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1993</td>
<td>Philadelphia Phillies</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>40</td>
<td>391.1</td>
<td>9.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2015</td>
<td>Kansas City Royals</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>46</td>
<td>463.1</td>
<td>10.1</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1914</td>
<td>Boston Braves</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>34</td>
<td>347.4</td>
<td>10.2</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2010</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>42</td>
<td>440.2</td>
<td>10.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2012</td>
<td>San Francisco Giants</td>
<td>Won WS</td>
<td>45</td>
<td>472.1</td>
<td>10.5</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2015</td>
<td>New York Mets</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>49</td>
<td>517.0</td>
<td>10.6</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1944</td>
<td>St. Louis Browns</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>33</td>
<td>355.1</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2013</td>
<td>St. Louis Cardinals</td>
<td>Lost WS</td>
<td>44</td>
<td>476.7</td>
<td>10.8</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Hall of Famer <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/todd-helton/432/stats/batting" target="_blank">Todd Helton</a> (54.9 WAR), All-Stars <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/troy-tulowitzki/3531/stats/batting" target="_blank">Troy Tulowitzki</a> (37.8) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-holliday/1873/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matt Holliday</a> (49.5), and a cameo from late-career <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steve-finley/54/stats/batting" target="_blank">Steve Finley</a> (40.4) helped to keep the 2007 Rockies out of the top spot, but that was a roster filled with pitchers who had short peaks and hitters whose WAR totals were dampened by Coors Field park factors. The only other team with less than 10 career WAR per player, the 1993 Phillies, rostered no Hall of Fame players, with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/curt-schilling/73/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Curt Schilling</a> (78.9) the closest to being enshrined in Cooperstown.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>My baseball-loving son asked me this question, so I&#8217;m forwarding it onto the experts: How many players being injured (let&#8217;s assume out for the year) would it take for the Dodgers to no longer be the World Series favorites? Specifically, he was wondering if the Dodgers would still be favored if they lost both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shohei-ohtani/19755/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shohei Ohtani</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yoshinobu-yamamoto/33825/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yoshinobu Yamamoto</a>, or would it take losing some larger combination of players like Ohtani, Yamamoto, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mookie-betts/13611/stats/batting" target="_blank">Mookie Betts</a>?</p>
<p>Thanks,<br />
Rob White</em></p>
<p><strong>Dan Szymborski</strong>: Hi Rob,</p>
<p>It’s always fun to play the uncaring, cruel deity of baseball, so this question is a blast to answer. As of Friday afternoon, ZiPS has the Dodgers at 22.5% odds to win the World Series, with a big drop-off before getting to the next team, the Yankees, at 12.9%. It helps the Dodgers that they’re projected as the best team and the team with the clearest path to a division title and a bye.</p>
<p>So, as you might surmise, you have to do a lot to no longer make the Dodgers the favorites to win the World Series, though I should note that even being favored still leaves nearly four out of five scenarios in which they <em>won&#8217;t</em> win the World Series. Losing Ohtani alone isn&#8217;t actually enough to cripple the Dodgers, even with how good he is, because the Ohtani-less Dodgers are still an 88- to 90-win team. That&#8217;s enough to be the strongest team in the division by the projections. The Dodgers currently lead the NL West by a couple of games, and while that cushion is not an insurmountable barrier, it still keeps them as heavy favorites to win the division and one of the two teams most likely to secure a bye.</p>
<p>Removing Ohtani <em>and</em> Yamamoto, on the other hand, is enough for the Dodgers to lose their status as World Series favorites. That&#8217;s a lot of value to lose, and it brings the Dodgers to down to a projection of about 86-87 wins; they’d still be the best in the division, but their probability to win the West would drop down to 60%. And with Los Angeles no longer a heavy favorite in the division, and actually a slight underdog for a bye, coupled with just being weaker, the team would see its World Series odds drop to 10.1%, with the Yankees up to 16.9%.</p>
<p>Because mission creep is part of life, I also checked to see how I could make the Dodgers no longer the favorites to win the NL West. To do that, I had to knock off both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-tucker/18345/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kyle Tucker</a> and Mookie Betts. Doing so would make them slightly weaker than the non-Rockies NL West teams for the rest of the season, and thus more likely than not to lose their small cushion in the division. For this to happen, they would need a <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sXIrfcMRQhs">Homer at the Bat level of misfortune</a>.</p>
<p>__</p>
<p><em>Hi Matt and the mailbag team,</p>
<p>Longtime member, first-time question writer here. I am thoroughly entranced by <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-williams/30122/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gavin Williams</a>’ unusual stat line to start the 2026 season. In 17 and 2/3 innings across three starts, he has recorded 25 strikeouts while only allowing five hits. Wow! But he has also allowed 14 walks. Whoa! And two of those five hits have been home runs. This dogged commitment to the truest outcomes made me wonder how often pitchers have seasons with more walks than hits allowed, and ultimately, who is the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rob-deer/1003137/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rob Deer</a> (or <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/true-outcome-players-through-time/" target="_blank">should we say</a> <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jim-thome/409/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jim Thome</a>) of the pitching world. I&#8217;m seeing <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nolan-ryan/1011348/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Nolan Ryan</a>’s 1977 season with 341 strikeouts, 198 hits, and 204 walks over 299 innings as a pretty wild time, yet he only allowed a measly 12 home runs. Who else strolls this erratic path to TTO pitching greatness?</p>
<p>Thank you for your thorough and entertaining work,<br />
Will Spangler / ismailadieme</em></p>
<p><strong>Michael Baumann</strong>: Thanks for the question, Will. You’ve hit on two essential truths of baseball. First: Gavin Williams is a good pitcher, but he will walk you if you let him. If you ever find yourself alone in the woods with a wild Gavin Williams, just stand still and he might let you pass. Second: The back-in-my-day curmudgeons who pine for Nolan Ryan while bemoaning how TTO-y the game has become are achieving feats of cognitive dissonance you or I could hardly fathom. Sometimes when I’m in a bad mood, I think about reactivating my Facebook account and posting “Nolan Ryan was <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carlos-marmol/2790/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Carlos Marmol</a> with a good PR team” just to piss people off.</p>
<p>I’d like to thank Matt for giving me your question, because I was able to answer it within two minutes, thanks to Stathead. Full seasons with more walks than hits are exceedingly rare: Only five qualified pitchers in AL/NL history have done it.</p>
<p>As you said, Ryan achieved (if that’s the right word) this feat in 1977. He never won a Cy Young Award, but two of the other four pitchers with a walks-over-hits season did at some point in their careers: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/randy-johnson/60/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Randy Johnson</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bob-turley/1013225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Bob Turley</a>, who had more walks than hits in both 1954 and 1955. The other two pitchers — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tommy-byrne/1001801/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tommy Byrne</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006590/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Toothpick Sam Jones</a> — were All-Stars in their own right. (Toothpick Sam Jones is, unfortunately, not the career leader in pitcher WAR among pitchers named Sam Jones; that’d be <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-jones/1006589/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sad Sam Jones</a>, mentioned earlier in this mailbag. Neither should be confused with 1960s NBA superstar Sam Jones.)</p>
<p>I guess the takeaway here is that if a major league team gives a pitcher a full season of starts even while he’s walking the whole park, said pitcher must be really talented.</p>
<p>Lowering the innings threshold to 100, this is still a pretty rare occurrence: 18 times by 13 pitchers in the past 125 years. Lowering the innings threshold further, we start to get some power relievers in the picture: With a 50-inning minimum, we have 61 pitchers going walks-over-hits a total of 81 times. Marmol (I didn’t know this when I wrote the joke in the first paragraph of this answer) and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/aroldis-chapman/10233/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Aroldis Chapman</a> have done it four times each. Turley, Byrne, and (turns around three times and spits) <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mitch-williams/1014025/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mitch Williams</a> got there three times apiece.</p>
<p>I don’t think it will surprise anyone to learn that we’re getting more and more of these seasons recently. For starters, with 30 teams and massive modern bullpens, there are more pitcher seasons to choose from. And strikeout rates are at historic highs, while hits per nine innings are on the low end of historical norms. (Nothing beats the second deadball era of 1968.)</p>
<p>Of the 81 50-inning walks-over-hits seasons, 39 have come since 1995, 24 have come since 2010, and a whopping 11 have come since 2021. But only one total in 2024 and 2025, so maybe the pendulum is swinging the other direction now.</p>
<p>In the interest of giving you your money’s worth for this question, I also considered the larger question of who the TTO king of pitchers is, because that’s not merely a question of walking more guys than a pitcher strikes out.</p>
<p>So I went back, back, back through baseball history, taking every season by a pitcher who qualified for the ERA title. After removing seasons from before batters faced was a stat, along with 2020, because it’s fake, we have a sample of 7,924 individual seasons. Here are the top 10 in terms of TTO%.</p>
<div class="table-container table-green" style="max-width: 500px;">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">The Top TTO Pitcher Seasons in AL/NL History</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Season</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Team</th>
<th>TTO%</th>
<th>HR%</th>
<th>BB%</th>
<th>SO%</th>
<th>TBF</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td>2019</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gerrit-cole/13125/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gerrit Cole</a></td>
<td>HOU</td>
<td>49.33%</td>
<td>3.55%</td>
<td>5.88%</td>
<td>39.90%</td>
<td>817</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1998</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kerry-wood/304/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kerry Wood</a></td>
<td>CHC</td>
<td>47.50%</td>
<td>2.00%</td>
<td>12.16%</td>
<td>33.33%</td>
<td>699</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2023</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/spencer-strider/27498/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Spencer Strider</a></td>
<td>ATL</td>
<td>47.31%</td>
<td>2.88%</td>
<td>7.60%</td>
<td>36.83%</td>
<td>763</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2017</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robbie-ray/11486/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robbie Ray</a></td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.92%</td>
<td>3.46%</td>
<td>10.68%</td>
<td>32.78%</td>
<td>665</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2023</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/blake-snell/13543/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Blake Snell</a></td>
<td>SDP</td>
<td>46.90%</td>
<td>2.02%</td>
<td>13.34%</td>
<td>31.54%</td>
<td>742</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2019</td>
<td>Robbie Ray</td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.72%</td>
<td>4.02%</td>
<td>11.24%</td>
<td>31.46%</td>
<td>747</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2001</td>
<td>Randy Johnson</td>
<td>ARI</td>
<td>46.48%</td>
<td>1.91%</td>
<td>7.14%</td>
<td>37.42%</td>
<td>994</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>1997</td>
<td>Randy Johnson</td>
<td>SEA</td>
<td>45.65%</td>
<td>2.35%</td>
<td>9.06%</td>
<td>34.24%</td>
<td>850</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2013</td>
<td><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yu-darvish/13074/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yu Darvish</a></td>
<td>TEX</td>
<td>45.54%</td>
<td>3.09%</td>
<td>9.51%</td>
<td>32.94%</td>
<td>841</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td>2018</td>
<td>Gerrit Cole</td>
<td>HOU</td>
<td>44.93%</td>
<td>2.38%</td>
<td>8.01%</td>
<td>34.54%</td>
<td>799</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Again, no surprise that recent pitchers dominate this list. Wood, Ryan, and Johnson are the only 20th Century pitchers in the top 30. Modern baseball is, after all, dominated by strikeouts and home runs.</p>
<p>But TTO King feels like it should be a career achievement award. So I took the 1,063 pitchers who have thrown 1,000 or more innings in the AL and NL since 1916 (the first year batters faced appears in our database) and ranked them.</p>
<div class="table-container table-green" style="max-width: 500px;">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">The Top TTO Pitcher Careers in AL/NL History</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="fg-table" style="table-layout:auto">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Name</th>
<th>TTO%</th>
<th>HR%</th>
<th>BB%</th>
<th>SO%</th>
<th>TBF</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Blake Snell</td>
<td>43.25%</td>
<td>2.32%</td>
<td>10.87%</td>
<td>30.06%</td>
<td>4791</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Robbie Ray</td>
<td>41.91%</td>
<td>3.54%</td>
<td>9.96%</td>
<td>28.41%</td>
<td>6166</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-cease/18525/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Dylan Cease</a></td>
<td>41.51%</td>
<td>2.78%</td>
<td>10.00%</td>
<td>28.73%</td>
<td>4348</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Kerry Wood</td>
<td>40.87%</td>
<td>2.52%</td>
<td>11.36%</td>
<td>26.98%</td>
<td>5863</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Randy Johnson</td>
<td>39.74%</td>
<td>2.41%</td>
<td>8.77%</td>
<td>28.56%</td>
<td>17067</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Yu Darvish</td>
<td>39.27%</td>
<td>3.16%</td>
<td>7.71%</td>
<td>28.41%</td>
<td>7305</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L">Nolan Ryan</td>
<td>39.12%</td>
<td>1.42%</td>
<td>12.38%</td>
<td>25.31%</td>
<td>22574</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-sale/10603/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Sale</a></td>
<td>39.08%</td>
<td>2.56%</td>
<td>5.82%</td>
<td>30.70%</td>
<td>8452</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-degrom/10954/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jacob deGrom</a></td>
<td>38.77%</td>
<td>2.43%</td>
<td>5.69%</td>
<td>30.65%</td>
<td>6082</td>
</tr>
<tr class="">
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/oliver-perez/1514/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Oliver Pérez</a></td>
<td>38.77%</td>
<td>3.06%</td>
<td>11.79%</td>
<td>23.92%</td>
<td>6464</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<p>Again, it skews toward the recent.</p>
<p>Snell takes the grand prize, followed by Ray and Cease. I’m sure I will one day give a less surprising answer to a mailbag question, but I don’t know how. Without going through the trouble of a quantitative era adjustment, Ryan’s place high up on the list — again, one of the most predictable findings in the history of sabermetrics — was such a historical aberration I’d feel odd giving the crown to anyone else. With respect to other trendsetting mid-century power pitchers like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sandy-koufax/1007124/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sandy Koufax</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/sam-mcdowell/1008476/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Sam McDowell</a>, no pitcher in history wasted his fielders’ time quite like Ryan did.</p>
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<p><a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fangraphs-weekly-mailbag-april-11-2026/" rel="nofollow">Source</a></p>]]></content:encoded>
					
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		<title>Effectively Wild Episode 2464: Hello, Dolly!</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2464-hello-dolly/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/effectively-wild-episode-2464-hello-dolly/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Lindbergh]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 11 Apr 2026 07:37:32 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Effectively Wild]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487317</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please visit our Patreon. Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the bad omen of a broken bat on an Ichiro Suzuki statue, whether Mason Miller is, at this moment, the best pitcher ever on a batter-per-batter basis, and how to label atypical [&#8230;]]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png" alt="EWFI" width="590" height="206" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-242076" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi.png 590w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/01/ewlogofi-300x105.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 590px) 100vw, 590px" /><br />
<em>This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, please <a href="https://www.patreon.com/effectivelywild" target="_blank">visit our Patreon</a>.</em></p>
<p>Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the bad omen of a broken bat on an <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ichiro-suzuki/1101/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ichiro Suzuki</a> statue, whether <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> is, at this moment, the best pitcher ever on a batter-per-batter basis, and how to label atypical pitches, then Stat Blast (30:00) about team promotional giveaways, age and debut gaps among MLB brothers, and switch-hitters who hit higher in the lineup from one side. Then (47:58) Ben talks to 88-year-old All-American Girls Professional Baseball League pitcher Dolly &#8220;Lippy&#8221; Vanderlip about growing up as the lone girl in games against boys, joining the AAGPBL at age 15, playing for manager <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jimmie-foxx/1004285/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jimmie Foxx</a>, life on and off the field, the end of the league, how <em>A League of Their Own</em> revitalized interest in the AAGPBL, the impending launch of the Women&#8217;s Pro Baseball League, and more.</p>
<p><strong>Audio&nbsp;intro</strong>: Tom Rhoads, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1K07EyCA31NglTFT3h8Rdiiu0lpDyz9u_/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<strong>Audio&nbsp;interstitial</strong>: Moon Hound, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nUFPNuHpOrpem0flIdJO-zbMml2BaR_a/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<strong>Audio&nbsp;outro</strong>: Alex Glossman and Ali Breneman, &#8220;<a href="https://drive.google.com/file/d/1LwE1yLYIymQe16tQBjqWkF9Tx8DNlZez/view?usp=drive_link" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Effectively Wild Theme</a>&#8221;<br />
<br />
<a href="https://x.com/RyanDivish/status/2042674134543667310" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to broken statue video</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/DKramer_/status/2042678768880488566" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to broken statue image</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/Mariners/status/2042690565746376905" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners joke tweet</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/NikoTamurian/status/2042676213043597447" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to statue being fixed</a><br />
<a href="https://ca.sports.yahoo.com/news/ichiro-delivered-perfect-joke-statue-200805882.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to statue story summary</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=bat&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;team=0%2Cts&amp;rost=&amp;age=&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;sortcol=17&amp;sortdir=default&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners wRC+ ranking</a><br />
<a href="https://effectivelywild.fandom.com/wiki/Episode_1565:_Three_Arms,_You%E2%80%99re_Out" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to three arms episode</a><br />
<a href="https://bsky.app/profile/nathanhb.bsky.social/post/3mj5zu73zjc23" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Wicker Man post</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;type=1&amp;month=0&amp;ind=1&amp;qual=50&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=&amp;enddate=&amp;season1=1998&amp;season=2026&amp;sortcol=7&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to highest K% for RP</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;type=8&amp;month=0&amp;ind=1&amp;qual=50&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=&amp;enddate=&amp;season1=1998&amp;season=2026&amp;sortcol=19&amp;sortdir=default&amp;pagenum=1" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to lowest FIP for RP</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/pitch-type-splits?position=P" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miller pitch-type splits</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;stats=pit&amp;lg=all&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2025&amp;ind=0&amp;startdate=2025-08-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09&amp;team=0&amp;sortcol=18&amp;sortdir=asc&amp;qual=20" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Miller&#8217;s stats as a Padre</a><br />
<a href="https://www.joesheehan.com/2026/04/newsletter-excerpt-april-6-2026-mason-k.html" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sheehan on Miller</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/xander-bogaerts-hits-grand-slam-in-12th-for-padres-first-walk-off-win" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Padres-Rockies game story</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;team=0%2Css&amp;stats=sta&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB SP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;team=0%2Css&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB RP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&amp;lg=all&amp;qual=0&amp;type=8&amp;season=2026&amp;month=1000&amp;season1=2026&amp;ind=0&amp;rost=0&amp;age=0&amp;filter=&amp;players=0&amp;stats=rel&amp;startdate=2026-03-01&amp;enddate=2026-04-09&amp;team=0%2Cts" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to team RP stats</a><br />
<a href="https://bandwagon.ghost.io/what-would-you-call-this-pitch/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Crizer on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/tatsuya-imai-wrong-way-slider-movement" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB.com on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://x.com/MLBNetwork/status/1998906576346976736" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLBN on Imai</a><br />
<a href="https://baseballsavant.mlb.com/savant-player/tatsuya-imai-837227?stats=statcast-r-pitching-mlb#statcast-pitch-arsenal" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Imai&#8217;s Savant arsenal</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shuuto" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to shuuto wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/11oaeS97z60B21FBF1sQwYIWSLxrFzJyUQC-Bic5mzek/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to 2025 promotions data</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1AptGSN767znocaRAmszEeskjEaCcWJ7sZlh6-6Gd-os/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to team giveaway rates</a><br />
<a href="https://apnews.com/article/white-sox-pope-leo-hat-be997daeb1c394ede0cd9782c99a95f8" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Sox giveaway expansion</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HF7ISwD3m9yvhBfPlz9Hiwiw7cPNm6OOR-9gP1g-7mI/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to MLB brothers data</a><br />
<a href="https://www.baseballprospectus.com/news/article/19569/bp-unfiltered-guerrero-brothers-and-birthdates/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ben on Guerrero birthdates</a><br />
<a href="https://sabr.org/bioproj/person/art-fowler/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Art Fowler SABR bio</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/document/d/1ibKVpcpCx8AgX_YOFPBOCo4H7Yody2SMAUFofb0GL00/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to switch-hitters info</a><br />
<a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tc1brO-rxTYbtrehiTeTb_QRtmUcFX0yoO1VRcM4CYI/edit?usp=sharing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to switch-hitters data</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hello,_Dolly!_(song)" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to &#8220;Hello, Dolly!&#8221; wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dolly_Vanderlip" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dolly&#8217;s wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://www.aagpbl.org/profiles/dolly-vanderlip-ozburn-lippy/190" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Dolly&#8217;s AAGPBL player page</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/All-American_Girls_Professional_Baseball_League" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to AAGPBL wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Women%27s_Pro_Baseball_League" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to WPBL wiki</a><br />
<a href="https://www.narratively.com/p/the-hidden-queer-history-behind-a-league-of-their-own" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to AAGPBL queer history</a><br />
<a href="https://www.mlb.com/news/maybelle-blair-on-coming-out-at-95-and-a-new-league-of-their-own" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Blair article 1</a><br />
<a href="https://www.outsports.com/2025/5/8/24111140/maybelle-blair-being-out-gay-womens-baseball-player/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Blair article 2</a><br />
<a href="https://andrewballnotes.substack.com/p/mlb-extensions-the-same-bet-made" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Ball on extensions</a><br />
<a href="https://neilpaine.substack.com/p/the-red-sox-bet-big-on-roman-anthony" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Paine on extensions 1</a><br />
<a href="https://neilpaine.substack.com/p/how-mlbs-big-extension-bets-are-changing" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Paine on extensions 2</a><br />
<a href="https://firstpitch.streamlit.app/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to First Pitch site</a><br />
<a href="https://groundscrewbaseball.com/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Grounds Crew Baseball site</a><br />
<a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/stathead/sharing/4VUYb" rel="noopener" target="_blank">Link to Mariners Stathead</a></p>
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		<title>Eric Longenhagen Prospect Chat: 4/10/2026</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospect-chat-4-10-2026/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/eric-longenhagen-prospect-chat-4-10-2026/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Longenhagen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 16:00:55 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Chat]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487276</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Come chat A's, my upcoming Florida trip, and whatever else.]]></description>
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<td class="chat_time">12:31</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: What&#8217;s up party people? Happy Friday from my old man&#8217;s place in Catty, and thanks for being patient while I helped my grandmother with some stuff this morning. I&#8217;m gonna keep things to about 45 minutes today so I can catch my flight to Florida.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: Eric, thanks as always for your thorough work and unparalleled depth in the A&#8217;s prospect list. This is like Christmas morning for me!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:32</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Hey thanks, it was fun to sit on them for a bunch of the spring and feel good about wrapping my arms around the whole lot of these fellas. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a>!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:33</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: A 45 FV is a big jump in your eval of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a>, considering he didn&#8217;t get a mention on their list last year. What changed for you? Just more confidence in the whole profile thanks to contact and defense gains?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:34</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I was too light on his CF defense last cycle and that piece is the biggest reason why Perez &gt; Bolte.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:34</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Dave T</span>: Is MIL <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jon-adams/sa3020135/stats/batting" target="_blank">Luke Adams</a>’ overly-passive hitting profile sustainable? His contact quality and approach are excellent, but he’s still not swinging the bat enough. And I’m worried about his defense.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:35</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: We have him in as a 1 WAR role player type, more the sort who is on the fringe of the roster than playing daily. Just light on power for a guy with his defensive limitations. Still a big leaguer, but of limited impact.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:36</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">JK</span>: Nice start from <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-kilen/sa3035353/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Kilen</a> on the year. What would you like to see from him this year?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Saw a lot of him this spring, the bat to ball piece is there, didn&#8217;t get to see him do a ton on defense. I hope they promote him to Richmond fairly quickly, like say by the end of May? I wanna see him challenged.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:38</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">War2D2</span>: Eric! I noticed that both <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/owen-caissie/27496/stats/batting" target="_blank">Owen Caissie</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edward-cabrera/21690/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Edward Cabrera</a> are tearing up the league at present—Caissie is running up a 170+ wRC+, and Cabrera is pitching like an ace, and depending on the flavor you look at both of them have already accrued half a WAR. Crossing fingers for health of course, and taking into consideration “it’s April,” but this is looking like a case of both teams getting exactly what they wanted out of a deal. No real question, I just love it when a plan comes together.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;m with you, Cabrera always feels like a ticking time bomb for injury and if Miami got an everyday bat out of that deal, it&#8217;s a long term win for them. Conversely, Eddie has always been a &#8220;but if things clic for this guy he&#8217;s gonna have a 6 or 7 WAR season, and if the Cubbies have caught lightning in a bottle for even two of his three years just because they had an OF logjam to trade from? That&#8217;s nice.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: (Bill Walton voice) Equilibrium!</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:40</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Derek</span>: Is Lagrange the Yankee&#8217;s 8th inning guy by June?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;d wanna jump through the hoops you&#8217;d have to jump through that soon. You&#8217;re stunting his development by doing it that early, and you have to make other roster moves to accommodate it&#8230; I think the time to do it would be late, late in the year. If it&#8217;s obvious he&#8217;s one of your twelve best arms in August and you&#8217;re in the thick of a playoff push, let&#8217;s roll.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: Was a bit surprised to see <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a> with only a 30 future hit tool, given his plus contact rates and your mention of his power/hit combo. I assume it&#8217;s because of the chase rate?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:42</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: That&#8217;s a typo I need to fix</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:43</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: thanks for catching it. He does need a reduction below the raw contact quality to account for the chase but not *that* much</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I can&#8217;t tweak it on The Board at the moment because Meg is editing the Rangers list, but I&#8217;ll fix it in the post itself as we go here.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: He&#8217;s good, I loved getting to watch him against older opponents this spring.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">A&#8217;s fan</span>: In the case of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a> how do you balance the results on the changeup vs the movement profile itself?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: When the sample is that small (he only threw 110 changeups all of last year) just trust your eyes</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:44</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jim</span>: Any realistic chance that <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a> can play a passable 3B defensively?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: He&#8217;s a mixed bag over there, he does some nice things (he can throw, I love his footwork and body control) and struggles at others (range, hands). I think he *has* to play there some of the time to be useful, I have a tough time seeing him hitting enough to be a 1B-only roster fit.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: But he can really pick it at first, all of his skills shine there</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Have you gotten any looks at <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/josiah-hartshorn/sa3069285/stats/batting" target="_blank">Josiah Hartshorn</a> yet?  Is he a possible dude?  Big bonus and a good start so far in a small sample.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:46</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Yo</span>: Josiah Hartshorn is off to a fantastic start &#8211; could he be a quick riser?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, it&#8217;s going to be interesting to see how his body develops over time. It&#8217;s already a good bit different than when he was in high school. He&#8217;s a good hitter, he has real physicality, I was essentially primed for him to have a good spring and hot start by Sahadev and AZ Phil, and when I started seeing Cubs the last two weeks of ST he was indeed good. Shot to be this year&#8217;s <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edward-florentino/sa3023944/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edward Florentino</a> and reinforce so much confidence in the bat that we don&#8217;t care it&#8217;s 1B.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Porkbl</span>: Has the outlook changed on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Luis%20Hernandez" target="_blank">Luis Hernandez</a> in extended spring training? Does he pass Level this year on the board?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:48</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: IDK, Level looks pretty good&#8230;</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Luis has been good in my looks. He&#8217;s a smaller guy but his swing is so beautiful and well-connected, he&#8217;s getting a ton out of his body even though it&#8217;s small and he&#8217;s very skilled. His numbers at Papago will be nutty if he&#8217;s there all summer.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Jim</span>: Any idea how long <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a> will be out due to injury?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Sadly no, since it&#8217;s shoulder (I was told) it could be a while.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:50</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Delvin</span>: What is Cam Schlitter&#8217;s floor at this point, assuming health? A #2?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, #2/3 on a good team if it just looks like this in perpetuity.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Any idea when Edward Florentino will be back for game action? Last I heard, he was supposed to be back in early April, but I haven&#8217;t seen him play yet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:51</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll get on that case when I&#8217;m in Florida since Pirates are part of my targets down there.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Redbeard</span>: Does Made have the footspeed to steal bases at he major league level or is he taking advantage of minor leagues where it seems anyone can steal bases if they want to.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I would take the under on what he&#8217;s done so far, his body is changing and looking more like power-hitting 2B</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:52</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Wood</span>: Do you have any info on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/taitn-gray/sa3069266/stats/batting" target="_blank">Taitn Gray</a> from Tampa? They&#8217;re off to a strong start in A ball. Almost a $1m bonus 3rd round HS pick last draft is all I could find.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Had an insane BP at the Combine, really exciting physical projection, built in that way where if I told you he was a serious athlete in basically any sport you&#8217;d believe me. At the time we had very little idea how the hit tool and defense would translate, six games in so far so good. Really high ceiling&#8217;d kid, still a lot of risk there</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:54</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Loved the aggressive grade on <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilder-dalis/sa3022347/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wilder Dalis</a>!  What would he need to do in the first couple months to get added to the T100?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Let&#8217;s see where the power is at in a measurable sense. Both Brendan and I thought the bat speed had ticked up this spring compared to last year, now we wanna know exactly how much.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Meredeith</span>: I&#8217;m dying for another home grown Yankees position plater star. How confident should I be in Lombard Jr.?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: *Star* is a little much for me there, more solid everyday shortstop who K&#8217;s a bunch but hits for a decent amount of pull power and plays great defense.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:55</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Porkbl</span>: How does Jackson Flora stack up to other recent top of the class college pitchers? Both in terms of present ability and future projection</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:57</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think he&#8217;s definitely behind Skenes and probably behind (or level) with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chase-burns/35333/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chase Burns</a> and what I thought about Doyle last year.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sperts Valuez</span>: Law has Lackey at #2!! Thinking Cubs at 23….what’s Brady Neal missing?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;m on board with Lackey that high, had him sixth entering the year which was probably (I think?) highest of the peer group at the time. Neal lacks typical catcher size. I have liked him since HS tho.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:58</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Ben</span>: What your thoughts on the weight that Made put on?  Is that going to push him off of SS (maybe Pratt does that anyways)?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah, it&#8217;s scary how fast he got this big. Still has Ketel/Cano right tail outcomes, sooo much power.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sideshow Eno</span>: I think you mentioned in the past you were hoping to see <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dorian-soto/sa3067678/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dorian Soto</a>? Has this happened? Any news?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">12:59</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll be en route to Fort Myers in 150 minutes</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:00</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: SSS but Rushing looking much more like who we thought he was coming up so far this year.  Is he really just stuck behind <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Will%20Smith" target="_blank">Will Smith</a> for the foreseeable future?  That would be so sad.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Man, I wonder what they&#8217;re gonna do. They ripped the AJ Ellis band-aid off once, right? Maybe Smith is an offseason candidate to move, I think you find ways for both of them to play a fair bit this season and it&#8217;s not a problem.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:01</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Smith&#8217;s contract only gets more team friendly as it goes, it&#8217;s just about weighing how much is left in the tank.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Sloth</span>: When you co-write a Top 100+ list—this year, or in general— which group causes more debate: the end of the 50 grades (i.e. players who just made the list) or the top of the 45s (players who just missed)?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:02</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: The just missed group and the guys toward the back of the 55 FV tier</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">MD</span>: If Benge needs to be sent down, is there any outfielder in the system who could give the Mets league average production?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:03</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think they&#8217;d just platoon Taylor and Melendez/Young. Morabito is more a Speed/D reserve guy, maybe Ronny Mo finds a way to play more often. Did I underrate how long Benge&#8217;s swing is?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Guest</span>: Is there anyone in the Twins system that could realistically become the everyday first baseman at the big league level in say the next 2-3 seasons?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:04</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think you&#8217;re looking at the Tait timeline if it turns out he can&#8217;t catch.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:05</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Chip</span>: What do you expect Waldschmidt&#8217;s role will be in the second half?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:05</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Blerg, what is Lourdes&#8217; timeline? The snakes are soo injured again. I mean look at this: <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/roster-resource/depth-charts/diamondbacks" target="_blank">2026 Arizona Diamondbacks Depth Chart | RosterResource | FanGraphs Baseball</a></p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Let&#8217;s let Waldschmidt&#8217;s hit tool stabilize some at triple-a before throwing him in there, but I have to believe he&#8217;ll be more dangerous than Tawa/Barrosa/<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/alek-thomas/23792/stats/batting" target="_blank">Alek Thomas</a> right away</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:07</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Kate</span>: Looks like the Mariners are holding Becker back for complex season?  Any insight there?  Are they working on his swing?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:08</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Just a long young guy growing into his body and I think they learned some stuff from having been overzealous with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tai-peete/sa3022966/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tai Peete</a> that they&#8217;re slow playing Becker. He might go to A ball later this year if he hits on the complex. I&#8217;m glad to get to see him when I get back to the desert later this month.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:09</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Salty</span>: Was watching McLean&#8217;s start last night after looking at FG&#8217;s new pitching tool, and the DBacks lost two ABS challenges against him.  Could level of deception be an even more important skill now to potentially cause opponents to burn challenges early in a game?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:10</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Yeah I think we&#8217;re still learning about what might lead a player to challenge and some of these guys with crazy breaking balls are at the top of the list for who I think might benefit from the system. I think teams are over-indexed for situations right now and under-indexed for which guys actually know the zone. Aren&#8217;t the new tools cool?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:10</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Our website is pretty sweet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:11</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Really happy to be part of it. Ten years in June.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:11</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Will</span>: Any rough ranges on where the &#8217;26 Draft guys are tracking for the hundo?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:13</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Roch probably 10-15, Emerson toward the rear of that young SS group in the high 50 FV tier, Lackey probably close to them, too. Flora right ahead of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-anderson/sa3026056/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Anderson</a>. Gracia idk if I think he&#8217;ll be a 50 by draft time because of the defense piece. Booth might sneak on toward he back.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:13</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Tyring to think about who else I might stuff, feels like I&#8217;m missing a name.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:14</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Cameron</span>: What do you feel is the next untapped inefficiency in baseball? Do you think it has to do with player development? We are so granular at this point it&#8217;s hard to think of anything that hasn&#8217;t been beaten into the ground yet.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:14</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Africa</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:15</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I think over time that could be a big deal.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:16</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: And I hope MLB approaches it in a way that avoids some of the ugly ways people in latin america have been impacted by the system there.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:17</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Folks should read Alden Gonzalez&#8217;s story from this week. I know you know a lot of that stuff if you&#8217;ve been coming here and reading, but it&#8217;s good that the bigger outlets are surfacing it for your dad to read.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: BTW my dad asked me this week if you bunt at the ball and miss, is it a strike? Autodidacts ftw. Taught me how to play every guitar chord there is, sports are not his thing.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
<td class="chat_desc">
<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Oaktown Blues</span>: I really appreciate that you give us hard hit rates on The Board. How rare is it for a DSL player to put up a 50%+ HH rate like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a>?</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:18</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: It&#8217; rare but it can also be misleading. See: Escotto, Maikel</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Scotty</span>: Happy Friday, Eric. Not your domain but <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trey-gregory-alford/sa3067313/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Trey Gregory-Alford</a> is showing as playing for Seattle&#8217;s A ball team on the fangraphs page&#8230;</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I&#8217;ll alert the dev guys, thank you.</p>
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<td class="chat_time">1:19</td>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Brendan</span>: When an unranked guy like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ben-rice/29576/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ben Rice</a> takes off like this in the big leagues, what was usually missed in the prospect evaluation?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: In his case i&#8217;d say it was just: Look how big and strong that left-handed hitter is, you wanna stay on that guy. Sometimes I&#8217;m just an idiot who stays skeptical for its own sake, and I think that&#8217;s what happened there. We also had a huge run of guys crushing at Trenton/Somerset and then not doing anything (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players.aspx?lastname=Diego%20Castillo" target="_blank">Diego Castillo</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/hoy-park/18027/stats/batting" target="_blank">Hoy Park</a>) and that put me off the scent some.</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">drplantwrench</span>: can we have your 2026 city connect Official jersey rankings?</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: I honestly have been so offline either driving, at games, or with family since last thursday that i&#8217;ve barely seen them. Lemme peek really quick and then I need to go to the airport with my aunt&#8230;</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: 80: none<br />70: Padres<br />60: Pirates<br />55: Royals<br />50: Braves, Rangers<br />45: Reds<br />40: Orioles, Brewers</p>
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<div class="chat_wrap"><span class="chat_author">Eric A Longenhagen</span>: Okay, that&#8217;s all for me. I promise when I&#8217;m back in AZ we&#8217;ll do a two-plus hour version of this. See you on the backfields in FL this week.</p>
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		<title>Athletics Prospect Braden Nett Has Seven Pitches and a Good Backstory</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-prospect-braden-nett-has-seven-pitches-and-a-good-backstory/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-prospect-braden-nett-has-seven-pitches-and-a-good-backstory/#respond</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[David Laurila]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 15:15:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Athletics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487261</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Currently on the shelf, the non-drafted right-hander has plus stuff when healthy.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487280" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487280" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487280" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Baseball-on-Mound-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487280" class="wp-caption-text">Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a>’s path to prospect prominence was anything but ordinary. Not only was he working at a Home Depot when he signed with the Padres in 2022 as a non-drafted free agent, but he also had barely played in college. What he lacked in conventional experience, he made up for with a promising arm. San Diego saw him pitching in the MLB Draft League, gave him a chance, and what’s transpired since is bordering on storybook. Initially from Troy, Missouri — with a short stop as a St. Charles Community College Cougar — the 23-year-old right-hander has progressed to the point where he is now ranked seventh on our newly released <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/" target="_blank">Athletics Top Prospects list</a>, with a 45 FV.</p>
<p>His change of address came at last summer’s trade deadline. Intrigued by his promising-but-unpolished toolbox, the Athletics acquired Nett as part of the <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/padres-swing-big-in-deal-for-mason-miller/" target="_blank">six-player deal</a> centered around <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a>. On the season, Nett notched 116 strikeouts while logging a 3.75 ERA and a 3.77 FIP over 105 2/3 innings between a pair of Double-A outposts.</p>
<p>Currently sidelined with a rotator cuff issue — he’s on roster of the Triple-A Las Vegas Aviators, but has yet to appear in a game — Nett has a mid-to-upper-90s fastball when healthy. As I learned talking to him during spring training, he also has a wide-ranging arsenal.<span id="more-487261"></span></p>
<p>“As of now, I’m throwing seven pitches,” said Nett, whose repertoire comprises two- and four-seam fastballs, a cutter, a slider, a sweeper, a curveball, and a kick change. “We’ve dialed back on a couple of them usage-wise, though, prioritizing some pitches over others. But I do still have all seven.</p>
<p>“The sinker is one thing we’re dialing back on,” he added. “Last year, I was throwing quite a bit of them, and we noticed that they kind of fell into some barrels, so we’re focusing on four-seams a little more. My curveball has been really good, so the usage of that to lefties will maybe skyrocket a little bit.”</p>
<p>Asked what he considers to be his best pitch, Nett chose his sweeper, which he described as being “less depth-y and more sweep-y” with 17-18 inches of horizontal movement. He feels that his next-best offering is either the curveball or four-seamer. And while he professes to have limited knowledge of his metrics, he does know the particulars on some of his pitch characteristics. Ditto his delivery.</p>
<p>“One thing we’ve looked at is release height,” added Nett. “With my fastball, it is around 5’6”, and on my sweeper, it is around 5’4”. There has been some conversation about whether the two inches is something that hitters can recognize, but we don’t think so. It hasn’t been an issue so far.”</p>
<p>High velocity and spin are among his attributes. When I asked Eric Longenhagen for a snapshot of the young righty, our lead prospect analyst told me that Nett has sat 96-97 [mph] and touched 100, adding that all three of his breaking pitches possess plus or better raw spin, with his nastiest pitches being his best curveballs. Eric went on to say, “Nett&#8217;s terrific arm speed allows us to project that his changeup will continue to improve with reps.”</p>
<p>According to Nett, better familiarity is part of that equation.</p>
<p>“The changeup has been kind of off and on,” he explained. “It’s the only pitch I’ve kind of fiddled with. I’ve messed with some grips, and I’m on a kick change right now. I think I’m going to stick with that.”</p>
<p>Nett explained that he began “playing with” a kick change during spring training of last year, and while admittedly still a work in progress, particularly in terms of command, he is pleased with how it’s been coming along. He couldn’t tell me how much depth he’s getting — “I’m not too big on analytics” — but he’s pretty certain that it is negative vert.</p>
<p>Eric cited Nett’s improving, yet still less-than-stellar, strike-throwing ability [a 10.3% walk rate last season] in his write-up of the right-hander. To Nett’s credit, he recognizes that a pitcher needs to know where the ball is going in order to be successful.</p>
<p>“For me, it’s not how nasty my stuff is, it’s how effective I can be in-zone, command-wise,” he said. “I feel like that’s less talked about in the world of data that we live in now. Everyone is chasing movement and velocity. I think command is way more important.”</p>
<p>As for how he ended up falling below nearly every team’s radar — entering pro ball as a non-drafted free agent is obviously a big part of his story — his answer was simple and straightforward.</p>
<p>“I didn’t get into the right spots to get seen,” Nett reasoned. “I went to a JUCO for a semester and didn’t really play, so I didn’t really have eyes on me. Then, in the summer-ball circuit, I did kind of have some eyes on me. It went from there.”</p>
<p>Which isn’t to say that scouts started banging down his door. However many eyes were on him, there wasn’t any direct communication… until there was.  </p>
<p>“I never did talk to a team until I got the phone call that I was getting signed,” Nett told me. “Now, here I am.”</p>
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		<title>Five Things I Liked (Or Didn&#8217;t Like) This Week, April 10</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/five-things-i-liked-or-didnt-like-this-week-april-10/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/five-things-i-liked-or-didnt-like-this-week-april-10/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Ben Clemens]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 14:00:05 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Daily Graphings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Five Things]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Giants]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Guardians]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Orioles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phillies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Royals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tigers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Twins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[White Sox]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487220</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Crazy bounces, wild swings, and pitchers making plays highlight this week's list.]]></description>
										<content:encoded><![CDATA[<figure id="attachment_487233" aria-describedby="caption-attachment-487233" style="width: 1200px" class="wp-caption alignnone"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things.jpg" alt="" width="1200" height="628" class="size-full wp-image-487233" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things.jpg 1200w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-300x157.jpg 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-1024x536.jpg 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Andrew-Benintendi-Five-Things-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /><figcaption id="caption-attachment-487233" class="wp-caption-text">Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images</figcaption></figure>
<p>Welcome to a new season of Five Things I Liked (Or Didn’t Like) In Baseball This Week. After a slow, veteran-who-signed-late-this-spring style warmup to the year, it’s time for another dive into the little details that catch my eye each week. It’s the perfect time of year for it. Beautiful weather, early-season optimism, overheard conversations about who should bat third and who’s a bum – it all fuses together to make this one of my favorite parts of the baseball calendar. And even though the WBC whetted my appetite for the spectacular somewhat, there’s really no replacing major league games for the sheer variety of entertainment. I’m sure that Zach Lowe of <em>The Ringer</em>, whose old NBA column format I’ve borrowed, would say the same thing about the basketball regular season. Let’s talk baseball.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">1. Ricochets</span><br />
If you share my baseball consumption habits, it might seem like every weekday offers a Royals game, a Guardians game, or a Royals-Guardians game. And I love it! I’ll take any excuse to watch <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maikel-garcia/22715/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maikel Garcia</a> continue his ascent from contact hitter to do-it-all superstar, a kind of modern-day <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-ramirez/13510/stats/batting" target="_blank">José Ramírez</a>. And I get to watch the actual José Ramírez too? And <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bobby-witt-jr/25764/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bobby Witt Jr.</a>? And <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-kwan/24610/stats/batting" target="_blank">Steven Kwan</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/vinnie-pasquantino/27676/stats/batting" target="_blank">Vinnie Pasquantino</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bo-naylor/21865/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bo Naylor</a>, and old favorite <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/michael-wacha/14078/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Michael Wacha</a>? Both of these teams are sneaky fun, and their series this week didn’t disappoint. Witt might be having a slow start on offense, but he’s still a defensive genius:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExYXBuYmVvNnJtYnY4ejcyMGJqcDYyaXQwanIwbDAzdXQzdHN0a20wbCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/ajGT9XVeSLuTKsIi0S/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Lots of shortstops – pretty much every other shortstop, even – would get only one out, somewhere, on that play. But two?! Ludicrous. When Garcia’s lunging attempt caromed toward Witt, he turned from interested observer to protagonist so smoothly that it looked like he was planning on doing it the whole time. It started with his feet. Instead of charging the ricochet, Witt timed his steps to hop to a stop and get his body in as good a throwing position as he could:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExbmd0dWI3bmRtb2RuY2dmbDVzaHFmbnlhMnlicWJ2MWJqamwwMXBqZSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Dka6zUc7EOzywaZJv8/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /><br />
<span id="more-487220"></span></p>
<p>That’s a tough throw to make for the shortstop, running right and throwing all the way across his body toward second. Witt cut down on the difficulty with his footwork. Then he snapped off a throw from a tough angle – side-arm slot, cross-body – and hit <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jonathan-india/21523/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jonathan India</a> perfectly.</p>
<p>India read the play correctly and helped Witt out. He came toward Witt to catch the throw as early as possible and have a clean throwing lane, with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kyle-manzardo/29794/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kyle Manzardo</a> on the outfield side of the basepath. That let him step into the throw. He had plenty of oomph to get batter <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rhys-hoskins/16472/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rhys Hoskins</a>. But he, too, needed a little help from a friend:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExejlqMHBxaml4dHduNTVrZTNibjhxcTI5eWhwdWFicTdmMW14OXB6diZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Qhh9YLT0QyDBNolDgk/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>The entire Kansas City defense looked great on this play, but Witt stood out to me. This wasn’t Witt running faster or throwing harder than the competition. He just had a perfect map of the play in his head, the whole time, and knew exactly what to do instantly. He never hesitated. He moved smoothly from recovering a ricochet to a feed. He knew where India would be, and he scooped and fed the ball in one fluid motion. The timing of this play doesn’t sound possible. A ricochet, and then time to turn a double play? How? Bobby Witt Jr. is how.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">2. Pitchers Being Athletes</span><br />
I don’t normally use the same game twice, but this one was an exception. That’s actually due to a bylaw of the Five Things Committee (it’s just me and my dog, and she has the tie-breaking vote): When a pitcher catches a popup, I must write about it. Pitchers mostly don’t field the ball unless they have to, and pop flies are a perfect example of not having to, because on almost every popup, some other fielder has plenty of time to run to where it’s going to land. In the entire 2025 season, pitchers recorded only 22 outs this way. But this week, we got three in two days – and two in one game.</p>
<p>First, check out <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tanner-bibee/30134/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tanner Bibee</a>, recognizing the gravity of the occasion. When <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jac-caglianone/35041/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jac Caglianone</a> hit the most textbook weak infield fly you’ll ever see, the entire Cleveland infield converged slowly. But Bibee called everyone off and snagged it:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExd2RheWNscjJ4cGF5ZDk0M2oyaG03a2Zlb3FyNDhlcWw0dzcyNnppYiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/obshDY9jEjnabcl57w/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That’s someone who recognizes how rarely he gets to catch a fly ball. And not to be outdone, Michael Wacha went deep into foul territory to snag one of his own only two innings later:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media0.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExeHFmZXRpYmh4am5yeHJ4OWJreXB3ZHc5ZHFsb3hqdW1uN3llZ3VweSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/hMWdOOBPAr2y5DCsTs/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That one was borderline hard! Generally speaking, pitchers are just cleaning up the trash when they get involved defensively, but I don’t think either <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/salvador-perez/7304/stats/batting" target="_blank">Salvador Perez</a> or Garcia was going to arrive in time to make a play. Wacha picked up the flight of the ball before either of them and got there with time to spare. I also like how he no-sold it, in contrast to Bibee. At 27, you celebrate your small victories. At 34, you act like you’ve been there before. (I’m 40, but I’m Team Bibee when it comes to celebrating.)</p>
<p>As if those two instances of pitchers making plays weren’t enough, they came only a day after yet another pitcher popup grab. This one was a classic of the genre. You can almost hear the fielders shouting “where is it?” as they stare fruitlessly into the sky:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNWNxcnowbDY2MHVzdmxwdHUybHh5eTU0dzFtN25laWE2dzk2MjJmayZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/Zm3NzPSSS7f8tkUrAA/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>The best part of this one? Catcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-quero/28022/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Quero</a> got very demonstrative in the aftermath. Not toward pitcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-murphy/26214/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Murphy</a> – I’m pretty sure I heard him saying “nice, nice” on one replay – but at his corner infielders. Quero never saw that ball, and rightly gave way to Murphy. But that’s supposed to be a first or third baseman’s ball. Good angle, no shadows, and crucially, a corner infielder is not a pitcher. But the two Sox corner infielders — <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/munetaka-murakami/37120/stats/batting" target="_blank">Munetaka Murakami</a> and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miguel-vargas/20178/stats/batting" target="_blank">Miguel Vargas</a> — weren’t ready to make a play; Murphy was, and he reaped the rewards. He also got the save, his first of the year. What a delight.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">3. Luis Arraez, Picking Machine</span><br />
When the Giants made <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-arraez/18568/stats/batting" target="_blank">Luis Arraez</a> their starting second baseman during the offseason, baseball analysts everywhere wondered what they were thinking. Opinions vary on how valuable Arraez’s contact-hitting game is, but no one was in disagreement about his defense. He slid down the defensive spectrum from second to first a few years ago thanks to years of poor results at the keystone, and he didn’t even grade out particularly well at first base. The Giants were going to move him back up the defensive spectrum? Surely this wouldn’t end well.</p>
<p>I’m happy to inform you that so far, it has gone extremely well. Defensive metrics don’t work all that well in small samples, but Arraez is already two runs above average per Statcast. More importantly to me, given how little hard data we have at this point in the year, he looks comfortable and rangy in the field. This is no gimme:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExaWNjd3ltZWE4YmE3MXp5emJscjl6ZmxzeWRlZXByNnk0dXJrajQ1YSZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/JIIhDdrgR36xsVRBVD/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>You better be fast to get <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trea-turner/16252/stats/batting" target="_blank">Trea Turner</a> on a play like this:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExMmRiY3MzdDdmeHNqajBlcjc2ajFrcnFyY2ZidW11dDg5dGQybXhwaiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/z2QtMIJ2HKcVS7kjNV/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Here’s a nice infield-in snag to keep a runner at third:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExdW80cGhpNnA0MWNleDA5Y3hmNmI0anBmczgzc3ZvMHF4bzBseDljbCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/OvBF999DNLkI1SKDjq/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>I won&#8217;t pretend that Arraez is suddenly playing like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nico-hoerner/21479/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nico Hoerner</a>. He doesn&#8217;t have to, though. If he can be an average defender at second base, his profile changes completely. Earlier in his career, he hit like a first baseman or DH – 130 wRC+ in 2022, 131 wRC+ in 2023. But with his offensive results down in recent years, he got stuck in no man’s land – not enough offense for first, not enough defense for second. If he can credibly play second, the offensive bar is much lower. One way of thinking about that: He’d be competing with <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rafael-devers/17350/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rafael Devers</a> and top prospect <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/bryce-eldridge/33390/stats/batting" target="_blank">Bryce Eldridge</a> for the first base job. At second base, his biggest competition is either <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/casey-schmitt/27577/stats/batting" target="_blank">Casey Schmitt</a> or <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/christian-koss/27653/stats/batting" target="_blank">Christian Koss</a>. (Case in point: Schmitt, a middle infielder by trade, has made seven appearances in the field this season, all at first base when Devers was the DH. The Giants clearly don&#8217;t see him as an everyday player.) </p>
<p>In addition to playing a solid second base, Arraez is doing two things I absolutely love offensively. First, he’s not batting leadoff, a <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-myth-of-luis-arraez/" target="_blank">pet peeve of mine</a> when he played for the Padres. His high-average game plays better with runners on base. He’s inserting a little chaos into his offensive game, too, dropping down some bunts to keep defenses off balance. In the eighth inning of Wednesday’s 5-0 win over the Phillies, he laid down a sacrifice bunt, which turned into a run-scoring two-base error when the pitcher threw it away. Then, after the next batter struck out, he bounced off of second and scored easily on a Devers single. Arraez’s singles-only offensive profile hasn&#8217;t been enough to make him an impact player in recent years. It would be absolutely delightful if he ended up finding a home as a good-fielding, slap-hitting second baseman after years as a peerless contact hitter who didn’t have a position.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">4. Insult to Injury</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-benintendi/17901/stats/batting" target="_blank">Andrew Benintendi</a> is having a rough year. He’s striking out 44% of the time in the early going and has a 35 wRC+. A few bad defensive seasons in a row means that he’s DH’ing instead of playing the outfield. And worst of all, he got drilled in the shoulder while striking out:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media2.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExM2E1bWJnYTczZTl1eHRjM3BvbzFnZnViMmZjeGJ2emU4a2RibzBiaCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/7RKo4xCQdGRgqFrmsb/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Yeah, that’s a bad look. Now, with a shameless plug to our new <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/lab/paired-pitches" target="_blank">Paired Pitches</a> tool, you can absolutely see what he was thinking:</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1.png" alt="" width="1000" height="1308" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-487221" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1.png 1000w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-229x300.png 229w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-783x1024.png 783w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-768x1005.png 768w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/PairedPitches-Trevor_Rogers-1-300x392.png 300w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px" /></p>
<p>It’s tough being a hitter. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/trevor-rogers/22286/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Trevor Rogers</a> gets 17 inches of arm-side movement on his sinker and 10 inches of glove-side movement on his sweeper. That’s a difference of 27 inches, and home plate is only 17 inches wide. Rogers had dotted the outside corner with a sweeper earlier in the at-bat. Benintendi was leaning out looking for it, with a classic two-strike approach: Look for a breaking ball and then adjust to a fastball if necessary.</p>
<p>When Benintendi started to swing, he was still expecting something soft, low and away. But as he picked up the ball&#8217;s spin and speed, you can tell from his face that he immediately realized his error:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNDk1N3ZrMTJ5czR6dDl1dHppajdvbm1vZGJ1eDFmNG4zcnZyYzlseiZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/CyVHNZrGA2nzRbFQdZ/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Baseball is so hard. Benintendi is a former All-Star. He’s been paid a hundred million dollars in his career. He’s a highly trained professional athlete who has trained for tens of thousands of hours to do one specialized task. And he just tried to do that task and looked like this:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExODB1bWIwZXF6ODI2MXFndmV6ZWltN2RzOXA4cW5ra2poang2N2IzayZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/lqHaIfHz2iEpMwFv9E/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>What a laughably difficult sport. I don’t know how these guys do it.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">5. Ricochets, Part Two</span><br />
On the other hand, sometimes baseball is comically easy. The Twins were in a pickle Monday night. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kody-funderburk/24993/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kody Funderburk</a> walked the first two batters he faced on 10 pitches. Then he hummed one to the backstop, giving catcher <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/victor-caratini/14968/stats/batting" target="_blank">Victor Caratini</a> absolutely no chance to block it because the pitch missed above <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/zach-mckinstry/19392/stats/batting" target="_blank">Zach McKinstry</a>’s head. Then there was a glitch in the matrix:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media4.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExNzM1MGRyZXR1ZDhnbDc1YmFjb3c3bW5uNHcxZmpyZmtqOWQ0MjV0NCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/oigH5AevaFFekQCBjx/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Target Field is notable for the snug dimensions behind home plate. But even with a closer wall – roughly 45 feet behind the dish – the odds of this happening so perfectly are near-zero. Caratini barely had to move to get the rebound:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media3.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExbnNteW5zOXliMmp6Ym4zcmp0b21jd2poemJjMmJpZGM0cjlmY2UwcyZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/GTM904ljfvlSU8DKlk/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>That almost looks like a drill. Spin around backwards, get a feed from a coach, turn and fire. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/riley-greene/25976/stats/batting" target="_blank">Riley Greene</a>, the lead runner, noticed the carom and slammed on the brakes. It’s a good thing he did; he would have been out by a mile at third base, and the longer throw to second gave him time to retreat.</p>
<p>However, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/spencer-torkelson/27465/stats/batting" target="_blank">Spencer Torkelson</a>, the trail runner, got caught in between. He saw the wild pitch immediately and followed baserunning 101 by moving his eyes to Greene. When he saw Greene take off, he snuck a quick peek toward home, noticed Caratini with his back to the play, and broke for second. But his timing couldn’t have been worse. That quick peek home came <em>just</em> as Greene screeched to a stop:</p>
<p><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" src="http://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause.png" alt="" width="1136" height="620" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-487222" srcset="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause.png 1136w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-300x164.png 300w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-1024x559.png 1024w, https://blogs.fangraphs.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/Tork-Pause-768x419.png 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1136px) 100vw, 1136px" /></p>
<p>And having checked off two things in his head – lead runner advancing, catcher facing the other way – Torkelson put his head down and ran. If he’d looked back at Greene, if he’d kept his eyes on Caratini slightly longer, if he’d just had a worse read and been closer to first base, everything might have been fine. Instead, he got to second around the same time as Greene. Whoops. By the time he took another look around, it was all over:</p>
<p><img decoding="async" src="https://media1.giphy.com/media/v1.Y2lkPTc5MGI3NjExMXB3eDd6dXNmM290ZDdhb3p5cWI5ODNiZTM3MmxjMzVxZ3dqZmE5dCZlcD12MV9pbnRlcm5hbF9naWZfYnlfaWQmY3Q9Zw/PFmMeAr3yidTuHq0Rd/giphy.gif" width="100%" height="100%" class="alignnone size-large" /></p>
<p>Caratini, for his part, took all the drama out of the play. He didn’t fire wildly to second where <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/brooks-lee/31595/stats/batting" target="_blank">Brooks Lee</a> was calling for the ball. He didn’t try to make a perfect throw on the run. He just jogged toward second, surveyed the field, and then made an easy, high-margin throw to <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kody-clemens/20572/stats/batting" target="_blank">Kody Clemens</a> that essentially guaranteed the out. Torkelson gamely tried to escape the rundown, but it wasn’t happening. Greene was in no position to break for third and cause confusion. The wall just won.</p>
<p>Funderburk walked McKinstry on the next pitch, but that fortunate bounce and Minnesota’s level-headed team defense had already defused the rally anyway. The Twins won the game and swept the Tigers in the series to move to 7-6 on the year, good for second place in the AL Central. It&#8217;s early in the year, and the Twins may have a long rebuild ahead of them, but no one has told the players that yet. They&#8217;re taking advantage of lucky bounces, in this case literally. Sure, it might be a long summer in Minneapolis, but if the early season is any indication, it&#8217;ll be an interesting one, too.</p>
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		<title>Athletics Top 36 Prospects</title>
		<link>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/</link>
					<comments>https://blogs.fangraphs.com/athletics-top-36-prospects/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Eric Longenhagen]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 10 Apr 2026 13:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Athletics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospect List]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prospects Report 2026]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://blogs.fangraphs.com/?p=487155</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[This system isn't great in terms of either its overall depth or the amount of high-end talent, but it does have two things the A's badly need: a potential franchise-altering star up top and a lot of polished pitching.]]></description>
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<p>Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Athletics. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the sixth year we&#8217;re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you&#8217;ll see in the &#8220;position&#8221; column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.</p>
<p>A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-new-fangraphs-scouting-primer/" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. A much deeper overview can be found <a href="https://www.triumphbooks.com/future-value-products-9781629378800.php?page_id=21" rel="noopener" target="_blank">here</a>. </p>
<p>All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team&#8217;s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board" target="_blank">here</a>.<span id="more-487155"></span></p>
<div class="table-container table-green">
<div class="table-logo"></div>
<div class="table-title">Athletics Top Prospects</div>
<div class="table-wrapper">
<table class="sortable">
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Rk</th>
<th>Name</th>
<th>Age</th>
<th>Highest Level</th>
<th>Position</th>
<th>ETA</th>
<th>FV</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a></td>
<td>19.5</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SS</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gage-jump/sa3034986/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gage Jump</a></td>
<td>23.0</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-arnold/sa3026225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jamie Arnold</a></td>
<td>22.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wei-en-lin/sa3067072/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wei-En Lin</a></td>
<td>20.4</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johenssy-colome/sa3075046/stats/batting" target="_blank">Johenssy Colome</a></td>
<td>17.5</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2032</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a></td>
<td>23.8</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a></td>
<td>24.8</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>9</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/devin-taylor/sa3043560/stats/batting" target="_blank">Devin Taylor</a></td>
<td>22.3</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-bolte/sa3020006/stats/batting" target="_blank">Henry Bolte</a></td>
<td>22.7</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>CF</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>11</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a></td>
<td>18.5</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>12</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-echavarria/sa3023560/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Steven Echavarria</a></td>
<td>20.7</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>13</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-fien/sa3067509/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Fien</a></td>
<td>20.5</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>C</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>14</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-kuroda-grauer/sa3025386/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joshua Kuroda-Grauer</a></td>
<td>23.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>2B</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>15</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-miller/sa3067552/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Miller</a></td>
<td>20.9</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>16</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-barnett/31741/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Barnett</a></td>
<td>25.4</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>MIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>17</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a></td>
<td>23.1</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>18</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shotaro-morii/sa3067343/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shotaro Morii</a></td>
<td>19.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>TWP</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>19</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a></td>
<td>19.4</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2030</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>20</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eduarniel-nunez/23162/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Eduarniel Núñez</a></td>
<td>26.8</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>21</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/corey-avant/sa3023137/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Corey Avant</a></td>
<td>24.4</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>22</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a></td>
<td>23.3</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>23</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yunior-tur/sa3021045/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yunior Tur</a></td>
<td>26.7</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>24</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/william-johnston/sa3022940/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Will Johnston</a></td>
<td>25.3</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>25</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chen-zhuang/sa3018174/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang</a></td>
<td>25.6</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>26</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-baez/sa3016584/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Henry Baez</a></td>
<td>23.5</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>27</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gunnar-hoglund/31318/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gunnar Hoglund</a></td>
<td>26.3</td>
<td>MLB</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>28</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-causey/sa3028661/stats/pitching" target="_blank">A.J. Causey</a></td>
<td>23.4</td>
<td>AA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2027</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>29</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathaniel-taylor/sa3043592/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Zane Taylor</a></td>
<td>23.9</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2028</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>30</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-parra/sa3024574/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Parra</a></td>
<td>20.3</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>SP</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>31</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/stephen-emanuels/sa3014698/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Stevie Emanuels</a></td>
<td>27.2</td>
<td>AAA</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>32</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/isaiah-johnson/sa3011626/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jared Johnson</a></td>
<td>25.1</td>
<td>A+</td>
<td>SIRP</td>
<td>2026</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>33</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-turley/sa3044148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Turley</a></td>
<td>22.4</td>
<td>A</td>
<td>LF</td>
<td>2029</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>34</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricky-duran/sa3075066/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ricky Duran</a></td>
<td>17.5</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2032</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>35</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ayden-johnson/sa3067681/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ayden Johnson</a></td>
<td>18.2</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>3B</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>36</td>
<td class="align-L"><a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darwing-ozuna/sa3068179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darwing Ozuna</a></td>
<td>18.0</td>
<td>R</td>
<td>RF</td>
<td>2031</td>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
<tfoot></tfoot>
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<div id="tool-caps-prospects-list" class="button-expand-is-hidden">
<h2 style="text-align: center;">60 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SS" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">1. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/leodalis-de-vries/sa3023363/stats/batting" target="_blank">Leo De Vries</a>, SS</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QH-1G9NPhrw" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>S / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>45/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
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</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>De Vries was unanimously viewed as the best prospect in the 2024 international class, a potential do-everything, switch-hitting infielder with power from both sides of the plate. He signed for just over $4 million, which is about what you&#8217;d expect from a top-of-the-market player. Same as they have with other of their recent high-profile prospects, the Padres wasted no time in pushing De Vries&#8217; promotion pace; most players his age are in the DSL and domestic complex leagues during their first two seasons, while De Vries broke camp in 2025 at High-A Fort Wayne. He was dealt to the Athletics at last year’s deadline as part of the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-miller/31757/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Miller</a> trade and instantly became the A’s top prospect. </p>
<p>After more than holding his own as an 18-year-old in High-A, De Vries was incredible down the stretch at Double-A Midland, where he hit .281/.359/.551 with five homers in 103 plate appearances. He followed that with a .426/.460/.723 2026 Cactus League line in 50 plate appearances, and broke camp back in Midland. The pace at which De Vries has conquered the minor leagues gives him a very real shot to debut before he turns 20 in October of this year, and add another young, franchise-changing player to the A&#8217;s everyday lineup as they transition from Sacramento to Las Vegas. </p>
<p>De Vries is a switch-hitting shortstop with weaponized power from both sides of the plate. He is a plus athlete, twitchy with good body control. He has a quick bat and a lofted stroke from both sides of the plate, with perhaps a little more verve and bat control from the left side. His exit velocities are more fringy or average than above at this point, which isn’t unexpected because — it is worth periodically reiterating — he was 18 years old last season and has plenty of physical development ahead. At peak, De Vries is going to be dangerous on every swing he takes. His hands are quick enough to make contact in all parts of the zone, and he has home run power from line to line. Though his lift-heavy style of hitting will likely cap his contact rate to some extent, it won&#8217;t be to a degree that hinders his power output. </p>
<p>There are still pretty big error bars when projecting De Vries&#8217; defensive future. Though he&#8217;s a tall, bigger-framed athlete, the skinny-ankled De Vries has so far stayed lithe and agile enough to play a viable shortstop. He will contort himself to make some cool, acrobatic plays that take advantage of his plus raw arm strength, but his hands and range are merely sufficient for a shortstop, and he has had bouts of inaccuracy on deeper throws. We&#8217;re cautiously optimistic about him staying at shortstop in a vacuum, with the primary threat to that being a slippage in range caused by him trending bulky in his mid-20s. De Vries&#8217; hands should improve with reps, and his solution to throwing inaccuracy has been to play hot potato with the baseball and quickly flick two-hoppers to first base. It isn&#8217;t ideal, but it works. He looks much more comfortable airing it out as he moves from right to left across the bag. This comfort perhaps makes third base Plan B, as most plays there are made moving in that direction. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jacob-wilson/33266/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jacob Wilson</a> is a better shortstop defender than De Vries, and that alone might be what precipitates a change, rather than De Vries&#8217; ability. Regardless, we think De Vries will contribute on both sides of the ball as a 30-homer, heart-of-the order hitter who is either a tenable shortstop or a plus third baseman.</p>
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</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">50 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">2. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gage-jump/sa3034986/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gage Jump</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=e8V2QFtNEfQ" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from LSU (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>197</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>35/45</td>
<td>93-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Jump was a notable high school prospect in California because of his invisiball heater, which had above-average velocity to go with plus riding life and a flat angle. Concerns that he couldn&#8217;t throw strikes pushed him to UCLA, where he struggled with walks as a freshman and missed his sophomore year recovering from TJ. After he transferred to LSU for his draft year, Jump&#8217;s command improved, and for the last two seasons, he&#8217;s thrown a starter&#8217;s rate of strikes while increasing his workload to 112.2 innings. Jump paved over High-A hitters throughout the first six weeks of the 2025 season and was promoted to Double-A Midland in mid-May. After that, the A&#8217;s started to dial down his per-outing workload, and he failed to work into the sixth inning in any start from June on. He struggled at the very end of the year and surrendered more than half the runs (27) he gave up all season (50) during its final month, but he still finished 2025 with a 3.28 ERA. He was nails during 2026 spring training, broke camp with Triple-A Las Vegas, and has tee&#8217;d himself up to make his big league debut at some point this year, especially if he avoids the late-season swoon of his prior campaign. </p>
<p>Jump&#8217;s fastball sits 93-96 mph and gets on top of hitters quickly because they don&#8217;t seem to pick up the baseball out of his hand. He&#8217;ll reach back for 97-98 when he wants it, even late in outings, but the key to its success is its uphill angle. Though he lacks expert feel for location, Jump&#8217;s super short arm action keeps his release consistent enough for him to throw a starter&#8217;s rate of strikes. He mixes in a couple of different breaking balls — gyro sliders in the 84-88 mph range and two-planed slurves in the 78-83 mph range — and a splitter that has had about 300 rpm less spin on average than the 2025 version and is the pitch Jump struggles most to control. Each of these pitches will flash plus throughout a typical start, but the slider is the one that is most consistently good and located where Jump wants. Though he might always produce elevated walk rates due to his style of attack, Jump has a plus fastball/slider combination that will miss big league bats for five innings at a time. His ceiling could look like that of <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robbie-ray/11486/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Robbie Ray</a>, with whom Jump shares some mechanical effort and violence.</p>
</div>
<div class="button-expand-wrapper"></div>
</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">45 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">3. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kade-morris/sa3023206/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kade Morris</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2023 from Nevada (NYM)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>92-94 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>A NorCal high schooler who matriculated to Nevada, Morris posted a 5.42 ERA pitching on the surface of the moon during his draft year in Reno, but was a young-for-college spinmeister with starter-caliber repertoire depth and athleticism, and became a shrewd third-round pick by the Mets. He&#8217;d pitched his way to High-A when he was acquired by the A’s in the 2024 trade deadline deal that sent <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/paul-blackburn/14739/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Paul Blackburn</a> to New York, then the A&#8217;s accelerated his promotion pace in 2025 and he spent the majority of the year at Triple-A Las Vegas. Morris pitched 150 innings across 28 starts, and enters 2026 as one of the A&#8217;s more polished pitching prospects. </p>
<p>Morris executes a lateral sinker/slider attack with lots of tailing uphill heaters in on the hands of righties. He can locate fastballs to his glove side to set up harder sliders and true sweepers away from righties, which he routinely dots just off the corner. He&#8217;s competitive, confident, loose-armed, and athletic, and he repeats his delivery well, giving him the look of a big league starter in every way but his frame, which is slight and skinny but not without career-long starter precedent (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chris-bassitt/12304/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chris Bassitt</a> is a fair body comp). </p>
<p>Morris can manipulate his breaking stuff to include a slower curveball, which he uses to get looking strikes. He&#8217;s crafty and will mix speeds and shapes across a range of about 14 mph. This, plus his fastball&#8217;s natural sink, helps him generate a lot of groundballs. He needs to develop a changeup to guard against platoon vulnerability, as none of his breaking balls are truly geared for getting lefties out. He has some feel for creating downward sink on his current changeup, which still needs refinement. If he develops a good cambio over time, then we&#8217;re talking about a starter who you would feel comfortable giving the ball to in a playoff series. For now, Morris looks more like the sort who plays a valuable, innings-eating no. 4/5 starter role during the regular season and then shifts into relief come playoff time. He&#8217;s a good bet to debut at some point in 2026 and play a role in the A&#8217;s rotation for the next several years.</p>
</div>
<div class="button-expand-wrapper"></div>
</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">4. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-arnold/sa3026225/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jamie Arnold</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jipx81vRy5I" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 1st Round, 2025 from Florida State (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>188</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>92-95 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Arnold entered his draft spring as a potential top-three pick, but his 2025 wasn&#8217;t as dominant as his sophomore year. His strike-throwing (especially with the fastball) backed up. College hitters were still flummoxed by his delivery and stuff, and chased at a rate that helped him keep his walk rate down at a solid 7.7%. But visually, Arnold wasn&#8217;t locating his fastball, and that was supported by the data under the hood: He posted a 45% zone rate, and a 59% strike rate with his fastball, both way below the big league average. Arnold ranked 17th on the FanGraphs Draft Board and was picked 11th overall. </p>
<p>Before the start of the 2026 regular season, Arnold was again having control issues on the backfields, but he was still given a very aggressive assignment and sent to Double-A Midland. He ends up behind in counts and has to lean on his slider to claw his way back in. That was okay against college hitters (Arnold had a 2.98 ERA as both a sophomore and junior) but might not fly against upper-level minor leaguers. Arnold&#8217;s delivery would win a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/madison-bumgarner/5524/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Madison Bumgarner</a> look-alike contest, as he has a swooping, lower-slot delivery that creates awkward uphill angle and tail on his 94-ish mph fastball (his velo slipped more into the 91-92 range late during spring training). He began incorporating more cutters as Opening Day approached, perhaps just because he was working deeper into minor league spring outings and getting to use it as he faced hitters multiple times, or perhaps because the A&#8217;s are searching for something he can throw for a strike. Arnold&#8217;s slider has more two-planed finish, while his cutter, which was often about 87 mph in my look, stays uphill, and his changeup often moves like a glorified two-seamer. </p>
<p>There are mid-rotation ingredients here. Arnold&#8217;s mechanical fluidity is appealing, his delivery&#8217;s unique elements should help his fastball play up if he ever learns to command it, his slider is really nasty, and he has the makings of a four-pitch mix. But we&#8217;re now entering a second consecutive year in which his fastball control looks a bit sketchy. Though it was reasonable to hope that Arnold would return to peak form and be set up to race through the minors this year, that&#8217;s not how he looked during 2026 camp. A <a href="https://blogs.fangraphs.com/picks-to-click-who-we-expect-to-make-the-2027-top-100/" target="_blank">pre-season Pick to Click</a>, he is pretty clearly behind several of Pre-Vegas&#8217; other well-regarded arms on the big league depth chart right now and is treading water with his pre-draft FV grade. That said, this is still a really good pitching prospect who may just need more time than the prospect zeitgeist seems to think he will in order to reach his ceiling.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">5. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wei-en-lin/sa3067072/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Wei-En Lin</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sdfGIkV3cps" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Taiwan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>179</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>90-94 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Lin signed in mid-2024 but wasn&#8217;t widely seen until he pitched for Taiwan in a February 2025 WBC qualifier, where he worked out of the bullpen. He then had a dominant first half at Low-A Stockton as a starter thanks to the riding angle of his low-90s fastball and the quality of his parachuting mid-70s changeup, which garnered plus-plus miss. He was promoted to High-A Lansing, where he worked as a long reliever — about three innings per outing for 11 outings — before a two-start shot of espresso at Double-A to end the year. Altogether, Lin worked 87 innings and had one of the best strikeout-to-walk ratios in the minors, with 33.4% strikeout rate and 6.3% walk rate. </p>
<p>After three 2026 Cactus League outings with the big league team, Lin left camp to pitch for Taiwan in the World Baseball Classic. There we saw what his arm strength looks like when the adrenaline is really flowing, as he worked in the 93-95 mph range against Korea. His fastball was back in its usual 90-94 band during Lin&#8217;s final backfield start of the spring before he broke camp at Double-A Midland. </p>
<p>Lin&#8217;s body and mechanics look like a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-quintana/11423/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Quintana</a> starter kit. He&#8217;s spindly and thin, and moves with great mechanical efficiency, though without quite the same grace and precision as Quintana. His walk rates slipped as he was promoted last year, and his full-season walk rate was likely better than his true command talent, but he has four distinct pitches and controls them enough to project as a big league starter. Lin&#8217;s fastball punches above its weight thanks to its ride and angle. It generated an elite miss rate last year, above 30%, and unlike Lin&#8217;s walk rate, that mark did not dip as he was promoted last season. Off of that pitch, he&#8217;ll bend a mid-80s slider into the zone, and this pitch tunnels well with his elevated fastballs. Lin still needs to improve his ability to locate it off the plate, but it has the movement of a big league finishing pitch if he can get there. </p>
<p>Lin&#8217;s changeup dominated A-ball hitters last year but fell by the wayside once he started facing more advanced guys. It often flutters in south of 80 mph, which might be too slow to trick big leaguers. Still, his arm action is lovely, and he should have a traditionally effective changeup in time. For a pitcher the age of a college sophomore, this is a great foundation. Lin probably doesn&#8217;t have the command profile of a Quintana or a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joe-ryan/21390/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Joe Ryan</a> such that he&#8217;ll truly be able to weaponize his fastball&#8217;s movement to an elite degree, but that&#8217;s going to be an impact pitch for him even if he&#8217;s only ever sitting 93, and he might yet add more velocity. He&#8217;s tracking to debut ahead of his chalk 40-man timeline and should be up by late 2028.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">6. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/johenssy-colome/sa3075046/stats/batting" target="_blank">Johenssy Colome</a>, 3B</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UBSsejlsuw8" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2026 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>17.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/45</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>20/60</td>
<td>55/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Colome, who signed for $4 million in January, might have the best pure bat speed in the entire 2026 international signing class. The hip/hand separation he&#8217;s able to create at his swing&#8217;s apex is incredibly explosive, though it sometimes requires a very deep load and big effort to generate. Colome&#8217;s swing can look out of control at times, or ineffectual in the same way that <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/miguel-andujar/15878/stats/batting" target="_blank">Miguel Andujar</a>&#8217;s sometimes can, but the talent to hit for that kind of power is absolutely here. Colome has worked out at both shortstop and third base on the A&#8217;s complex and has the arm to play either spot, but his hands and actions at short are more on the fringe of what&#8217;s typical at the position, and some scouts have him projected to third. Volcanic bat speed gives him a big power-hitting ceiling, while his swing mechanics and potential corner fit make Colome volatile.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="MIRP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">7. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/braden-nett/sa3020336/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Braden Nett</a>, MIRP</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Undrafted Free Agent, 2022 (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>94-98 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Nett is one of the best undrafted free agent signings of the post-COVID era. He entered pro ball as a wild, arm strength developmental project with an ideal pitcher&#8217;s frame and a great looking arm action, and during the last two seasons, his strike-throwing improved. He walked 20.1% of opponents in his first full season, then 14% in 2024, and hovered around 10% at Double-A on either side of the 2025 Mason Miller trade. He was added to the 40-man roster after the 2025 season, but made just one appearance in the 2026 Cactus League and began the regular season on the IL with his second rotator cuff injury of the last few years.</p>
<p>When Nett has been healthy, he has worked in the 94-98 mph range and bumped 100, and he sat 96-97 in our lone 2026 data point before the injury. Buttressing his heater are three different breaking balls, all with plus or better raw spin but roughly average on-field performance. Nett&#8217;s cutter was his most-used secondary with San Diego, but it was de-emphasized and usurped by his slider after the A&#8217;s acquired him. The nastiest pitches he throws are his best curveballs, but his feel for locating his slider is much more consistent than that of his curve. His terrific arm speed allows us to project that his changeup will continue to improve with reps. Even if his walk rate regresses toward his career norm (based on how Nett&#8217;s feel and release consistency have looked in person, we think it will), it&#8217;s worth developing him as a starter for at least another couple of years to give that changeup reps. There&#8217;s a right tail outcome here where Nett&#8217;s command clicks and he becomes a mid-rotation starter, which might not happen until his late 20s. Until then, we expect him to be an inefficient five-and-dive type at the back of the A&#8217;s rotation. If injuries continue to limit his innings, the A&#8217;s might pull the reliever parachute at some point, but probably not until late in 2027.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">8. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/junior-perez/sa3005744/stats/batting" target="_blank">Junior Perez</a>, CF</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/35</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Perez broke out as a complex-level Padre back in 2019, then was traded to the A&#8217;s as the PTBNL for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jorge-mateo/17273/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jorge Mateo</a> after the 2020 season. He crawled through A-ball during the next couple of years, striking out 30% of the time or more from 2021 through 2024, though he managed to hit a bunch of homers and steal a bunch of bases in each of those seasons. He cut his strikeout rate (28.6%) in a repeat season at Double-A Midland in 2025, and kept it there (26.9%) during the final two months of the season after he had been promoted to Las Vegas. It was enough of an improvement (ditto for Perez as a center field defender) for the A&#8217;s to add him to their 40-man roster, putting him in position to debut in 2026 and compete for a sustained role starting in 2027. </p>
<p>Perez has plus bat speed and good enough timing to damage pitches in the zip code of the zone&#8217;s center, which he sprays to all fields. He lacks great bat control, and swings underneath a ton of in-zone fastballs and breaking balls that find the top and bottom edges of the box, respectively. Perez&#8217;s 74% in-zone contact rate would be one of the three lowest among qualified big leaguers since 2024, and he posted that mark mostly at Double-A. This makes his hit tool feel flimsy and gives him strikeout-driven bust risk. The good news is that his selectivity at the dish means he tends to target pitches he can handle, and he does a good amount of damage when he makes contact. </p>
<p>The piece of Perez&#8217;s profile that will actually give him room to strike out at an elevated clip is his defense, which has improved across the last few seasons to the point where he can now play a passable center field. Perez is a plus runner and takes fairly efficient routes to balls hit into the gaps and over his head, and he also has a good arm. He is not nearly as good out there as <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/denzel-clarke/29858/stats/batting" target="_blank">Denzel Clarke</a>, but he&#8217;s a more consistent power threat on offense. What the A&#8217;s want out of their center fielder of the near future might depend on how the rest of the offense is performing. Perez could be a plus corner defender and occasionally spell <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tyler-soderstrom/27467/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tyler Soderstrom</a> or <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lawrence-butler/22542/stats/batting" target="_blank">Lawrence Butler</a> against lefties, who he posted a .375 xwOBA against in 2025. He&#8217;s a pretty good roster fit for them and should play a meaningful role soon, perhaps by the second half of 2026 if he continues to strikeout less than 30% of the time in Vegas.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40+ FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">9. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/devin-taylor/sa3043560/stats/batting" target="_blank">Devin Taylor</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2025 from Indiana (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>35/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>30</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>One of the most consistently productive college hitters in the 2025 draft class, Taylor finished his Indiana career with a .350/.459/.672 line and raked with wood in two years of summer ball. He has gorgeous feel for all-fields contact, and he can drive pitches on the outer third to the opposite field with power and turn on pitches on the inner half. He makes it look easy with the way he reads and reacts to pitch location and speed, as he can adjust his hands and upper body posture to put the barrel on the ball. Taylor is a lower launch guy who might not quite hit for his raw power in games, and he&#8217;s a terrible outfield defender who might just be a DH. The defensive piece is a body blow to his overall value and gives him basically zero margin for error as a hitter, but this projection is enthusiastic enough about Taylor to consider him a corner outfield platoon bat.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="CF" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">10. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-bolte/sa3020006/stats/batting" target="_blank">Henry Bolte</a>, CF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2022 from Paolo Alto HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>80/80</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>I have been skeptical of Bolte’s baseball card stats over the last couple of years. He is a .268/.370/.434 career hitter in the minors and has enticing physical prowess and twitch, but the length of his swing undermines his impressive tools in a couple of key ways, which is why he continues to project as a souped-up fifth outfielder. Bolte is long levered and ends up underneath a ton of elevated fastballs, and the contact he does make (he posted a 67% rate last year, toward the bottom of the big league scale) tends to be on the ground and/or to the opposite field. </p>
<p>Make no mistake, Bolte will sizzle hard liners and grounders at the first and second basemen, because once his wrists get going, he strikes the baseball with impressive force. But hitters with this contact profile — both in how little contact there is and the nature of the spray when it&#8217;s made — tend to underperform from a game power standpoint. If we&#8217;re looking for recent examples of players like this who still find a way to be productive, we can look to <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/garrett-mitchell/27555/stats/batting" target="_blank">Garrett Mitchell</a>, who has been successful in a fairly small sample amid injury. </p>
<p>Bolte presents a similar dichotomy on defense, where his speed and athleticism give him impact range, but a lack of ball skills and feel cause his defense to play down. He struggles with errant reads and discomfort at the catch point, and will be a right field-only fit in the big leagues if things continue this way. Bolte&#8217;s speed gives him utility as a pinch-runner, his power makes him a threat to crush a mistake in the middle of the zone, and his speed and athleticism make it feasible that he can improve as an outfield defender over a long period of time. This is the type of athlete who teams give chance after chance to improve, and it&#8217;s plausible that Bolte will have a meaningfully good peak offensive season or two in his late 20s. That&#8217;s essentially baked into his grade here.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">11. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/breyson-guedez/sa3067688/stats/batting" target="_blank">Breyson Guedez</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Venezuela (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 10&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>160</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>If the A&#8217;s had a breakout prospect during 2026 camp, it was Guedez, a medium-framed outfielder with an exciting contact/power blend who is sneaky toolsy. Guedez signed for $1.5 million in 2025, then slashed .359/.395/.490 during his DSL debut, with a 6.7% walk rate and 9.5% strikeout rate. He raked in a half-dozen big league spring training games in 2026, homered in the A&#8217;s Breakout game, and looked more physical and toolsy than his amateur scouting reports suggested, though still a good bit more compact than the Leo De Vries and Edgar Montero types (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/wilyer-abreu/23772/stats/batting" target="_blank">Wilyer Abreu</a> is a fair body comp). </p>
<p>Guedez has plus bat speed and impressive strength for his age. He&#8217;s muscular throughout his lower body and upper extremities, including in his hands and wrists. His swing has some natural uppercut to it, though that didn&#8217;t manifest in a ton of airborne contact during his pro debut, as he was more of a doubles machine, with 15 of them in 53 games. Even though Guedez is very likely to end up as a left field-only fit on defense and lacks big body projection, he is a rather exciting young hitting prospect with one ruby red flag in his data: his chase. Guedez chased at a 39% overall last year (the big league average is 30%) and a whopping 60% with two strikes (the big league average is 38%). Those are scary numbers for someone likely to wind up on the low end of the defensive spectrum. Guedez was given a fairly aggressive assignment to Low-A Stockton at age 18, and the way his plate discipline trends throughout the season will be the most influential variable for his overall grade during the next year. Here he&#8217;s graded like a high school prospect who&#8217;d go in the early second round.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">12. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/steven-echavarria/sa3023560/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Steven Echavarria</a>, SP</h3>
<div class="header-video"><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JvoIh3nqpug" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer">Video</a></div>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2023 from Millburn HS (NJ) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
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<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Even though aspects of his fastball&#8217;s plane and shape were suboptimal, Echavarria&#8217;s breaking ball quality and projectability made him one of the more exciting high school pitchers in the 2023 draft, and he signed for $3 million rather than go to Florida. He&#8217;s now pitched in two full seasons, with the second (2025) being a bit rocky, as Echavarria struggled when he was stretched out to work five or more innings at a time and had his per-outing innings cut mid-year. He still managed to throw 104 frames, nearly twice as many as he had the year before, but his ERA and various FIPs were all above four, and Echavarria K&#8217;d just seven per nine despite plus fastball velocity. </p>
<p>Though Echavarria&#8217;s lack of fastball movement and spotty command make that pitch more hittable than most heaters this hard, all three of his secondary pitches flash plus, albeit rarely. He has added a second, harder breaking ball since turning pro (his slider) that now serves as his primary weapon against righties, while his curveball and changeup (which he has been leaned on a bit more often early in outings so far in 2026) have the kind of movement that will be effective against lefties. Location consistency is going to be the biggest variable impacting Echavarria&#8217;s outcomes, and it&#8217;s possible a stronger lower body will help him get there. Though his stuff looks good, he has consistently under-performed as a bat-misser since signing because he so often lives in the heart of the zone when he&#8217;s throwing strikes. He&#8217;ll turn 21 this year, and it would be unreasonable to expect Echavarria to be a fully-formed pitcher at this point, but his 40-man timeline is creeping up, and during the next two years it&#8217;s going to be important for him to polish his command to avoid relief projection. This is still a high-upside FV grade for Echavarria, but one south of what is typical for someone who got a bonus as big as he did.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">13. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/dylan-fien/sa3067509/stats/batting" target="_blank">Dylan Fien</a>, C</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 7th Round, 2024 from Great Oak HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>S / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Fien was successfully signed away from a UCLA commitment for $550,000 and slashed .241/.326/.322 in his first pro season, which isn&#8217;t a great Cal League line. Still, he&#8217;s a projectable switch-hitter who posted a 75% contact rate while learning how to catch during a fairly aggressive full season assignment. Fien has above-average left-handed bat speed and can move the barrel around the zone enough to do extra-base damage to all fields. His righty swing is not as explosive, but he&#8217;s still often on time and has pull-side doubles pop. There is an above-average hit/power combination lurking here if Fien&#8217;s 6-foot-3 frame fills out. He needs a ton of work on defense and might ultimately end up at first base, where he&#8217;s playing more often than he is catching at the start of 2026. Fien&#8217;s promotion pace has been surprisingly aggressive so far (he broke camp with Lansing), but he is going to be a slow burn as a prospect if he continues to catch even part of the time. He&#8217;s got a puncher&#8217;s chance to be an everyday player and obviously has a much better shot to do so if he can improve behind the dish.</p>
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<h2 style="text-align: center;">40 FV Prospects</h2>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="2B" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">14. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/joshua-kuroda-grauer/sa3025386/stats/batting" target="_blank">Joshua Kuroda-Grauer</a>, 2B</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2024 from Rutgers (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>190</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
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<thead>
<tr></tr>
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<tr></tr>
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<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Kuroda-Grauer grew up in Somerset, New Jersey and stayed in state for college, going to Rutgers, where one of his mothers got her MSW and was later an advisory council member at their Graduate School of Education. JKG raked in college and had more walks than strikeouts as both a sophomore and junior en route to a third-round selection and a $1 million bonus. He slashed .296/.359/.372 in his first full pro season and reached Double-A Midland in the second half (where he hit his first two professional home runs, a mark he&#8217;s matched already in 2026) and then hit .345 in the Arizona Fall League. </p>
<p>The bedrock of Kuroda-Grauer&#8217;s profile is his exceptional hand-eye coordination and contact ability. He has been damn near impossible to strike out since high school and has posted a K% at or below 10% at basically every level since his freshman season in Piscataway. A majority of his contact is sprayed to the opposite field, with his extra-base damage typically limited to fastballs sliced straight down the right field line and the occasional hanging breaking ball yanked to left. This batted ball profile and below-average bat speed combine to ensure that JKG will slug well under .400 across a large big league sample. His chase rate splits (which explode with two strikes) indicate he may not have especially good strike zone discipline, and this is why his hit tool is projected below his pure bat control; for as much contact as he&#8217;s making, a lot of it is of suboptimal quality. </p>
<p>After the Athletics acquired Leo De Vries, Kuroda-Grauer was forced to move off of shortstop (where he took over 80% of his reps in 2025) and play more second and third base (then some outfield in the Fall League) late in the year. He had prior experience at second base and in the outfield (he got reps during college summer ball), but not at third base, and it has been a pleasant surprise how quickly he&#8217;s taken to the hot corner. He already has great chemistry with De Vries when the two are operating around second base, and while JKG is merely passable at shortstop, he projects to be a plus defender both in quality and versatility at the other positions he can play. Even though he came to 2026 camp noticeably stronger (he&#8217;s added about 25 pounds since his draft year) and it&#8217;s plausible he&#8217;ll impact the baseball a bit more now, Kuroda-Grauer is likely to be a nice role player rather than a first- or second-division regular at any one position.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">15. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cole-miller/sa3067552/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Cole Miller</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2023 from Newbury Park HS (CA) (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 6&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>226</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>35/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>89-91 / 93</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Miller signed an over-slot $1 million deal as the A&#8217;s 2023 fourth-rounder rather than go to UCLA. He blew out and had Tommy John sometime during 2024 spring training, then returned in 2025, pitching on the complex until late June, when he was promoted to Stockton. Miller posted a 1.90 ERA across 52 combined innings and broke 2026 camp back with Stockton. </p>
<p>Miller still has starter projection because of his size and build (he&#8217;s a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6), and also the way he moves, which is loose and fluid if not always under control. He has a lower arm slot that generates a tailing low-90s fastball, but his best pitch is his changeup, which has as much tail and a good bit of sinking action. He can run both his fastball and changeup off the hips of lefty batters and back over the plate, and he can manipulate the shape of an 81-85 mph breaking ball from a curveball to a slider, depending on where he is trying to locate it. Though he lacks great arm strength right now, Miller&#8217;s age, size and flexibility make it possible that he might yet throw harder, although he was usually in the low 90s before he blew out and has basically thrown this hard for his entire time as a prospect. Even though his lower-slot delivery is atypical for a starter, there are otherwise lots of starter ingredients here. Miller will track as a backend option for as long as his fastball velocity remains in this pedestrian area.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">16. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mason-barnett/31741/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mason Barnett</a>, MIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 3rd Round, 2022 from Auburn (KCR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>218</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>93-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Barnett moved into Auburn&#8217;s rotation in the middle of his junior season, and his stuff peaked late in the year as the draft approached. The violence and inconsistency of his delivery caused him to project as a reliever on our draft rankings, but he&#8217;s been developed as a starter (by two orgs — he was part of the <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/lucas-erceg/19360/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Lucas Erceg</a> trade) and made his big league debut across five starts to end the 2025 season. Barnett struggled with command in those outings, as well as in his first Cactus League start of 2026, and he was quickly optioned to Las Vegas during the first half of spring training. </p>
<p>The barrel chested right-hander has a due north arm slot that imparts vertical ride on his fastball and depth on his breaking stuff. A long, plunging arm action and the trunk tilt required of Barnett to get to this arm slot are tough for him to repeat, and this impacts his command. He has four distinct pitches that he throws for strikes at a roughly 60% clip. It&#8217;s the bones of a starter&#8217;s mix and pitchability, but only just so. Barnett&#8217;s fastball has average velo and uphill angle when it&#8217;s located at the top of the zone, but it has a hittable line when it&#8217;s middle-down. He attacks righties with his fastball and a 83-87 mph slider (his best pitch), and goes at lefties with his fastball and a tailing changeup. He&#8217;ll try to dump in a 12-to-6 curveball early in counts to steal a strike, but he doesn&#8217;t land it consistently. Barnett should be deployed as a spot starter and swingman while he has options left, but as his roster flexibility drips away, it&#8217;s more likely that he settles into the bullpen side of the equation due to his below-average command.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">17. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/thomas-white/sa3025383/stats/batting" target="_blank">Tommy White</a>, 3B</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 2nd Round, 2024 from LSU (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>228</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
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</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>A barrel-chested college baseball cult hero, White was among the highest-profile transfers of the college athlete empowerment era, heading from NC State to LSU after an incredible freshman season. He slashed .355/.419/.704 throughout his college career, with 75 homers in three seasons, and signed for $3 million as the A&#8217;s second-rounder in 2024. In his first full pro season, he slashed .275/.334/.439 split between High-A Lansing and Double-A Midland, then thrived in the Fall League. </p>
<p>This projection assumes a performance dip is coming for White, who has a pretty extreme inside-out contact profile (he can&#8217;t pull fastballs in the air) and a penchant for chase. His operation in the box can get noisy, and he ends up tardy to the contact point. His hands aren&#8217;t especially quick, but his ability to rotate explosively through his hips provides glimpses of viable big league corner defender pop. It&#8217;s tough for hitters who are routinely late against fastballs to reliably hit for power, and White falls into this category even though his best shots are impressive. A tendency to expand the zone in any count adds further offensive volatility to a profile that was driven by his contact percentage (80% overall) in 2025. </p>
<p>A surprisingly mobile, low-to-the-ground defender for his size, White&#8217;s ability to control his body well on the run puts him in a good fielding position, which allows him to cover up for below-average hands. He&#8217;ll have to stay as lithe and quick as possible, which can be challenging for athletes built like he is (<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/maikel-franco/12179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Maikel Franco</a> is a fair all-around comp for White), but he has a better shot to stay at the hot corner than you&#8217;d guess when he gets off the bus. White will likely play a mix of third and first base (where he looks like a future plus defender) in the big leagues as part of a lefty matchup role.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">18. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/shotaro-morii/sa3067343/stats/batting" target="_blank">Shotaro Morii</a>, TWP</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Japan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>181</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>60</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>90-94 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Morii comes out of Toho High School in Tokyo and elected to skip the NPB Draft to come stateside as an amateur prospect. This is similar (but meaningfully different) than <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/rintaro-sasaki/sa3060492/stats/batting" target="_blank">Rintaro Sasaki</a> skipping the NPB Draft to go to Stanford and eventually be subject to the MLB Draft. Morii came directly to the U.S. for his debut season and slashed .258/.399/.384 in the Arizona Complex League. He creates fairly exciting hip/hand separation and can punish the baseball pretty well for a hitter his age, but Morii is already rather physical and probably doesn&#8217;t have much more raw power in the tank. It will likely take improvement in his contact ability (he posted a 71% overall rate in 2025) for him to have the offensive profile of an everyday second baseman, the position at which he fits best and which he played most during my spring 2026 looks. </p>
<p>Morii did not play in a regular season game as a pitcher last year, and instead got reps during instructional league (and again this spring), where he sat in the low 90s with a blunt slider and a splitter in its nascent stages of development. Morii is balanced and controlled over his landing leg and has a short, repeatable arm action. Again, his lack of physical projection makes it tough to forecast improved velocity as he ages. He&#8217;s a fun developmental prospect without an obvious plus tool for his profile to truly hang its hat on. His best chance at being an everyday player (or the pitching equivalent) is probably to outperform this power projection and slug his way to an everyday second base role. He&#8217;s back in Arizona, where he&#8217;ll attempt to hit and pitch during extended spring training, potentially finishing the summer in Stockton if double duty goes well.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">19. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/edgar-montero/sa3024109/stats/batting" target="_blank">Edgar Montero</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Dominican Republic (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>19.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>220</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>20/55</td>
<td>40/30</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Montero put up video game numbers in his second DSL season. He is listed at 185 pounds and as a shortstop, but he&#8217;s at least 30 pounds heavier than that already and is very likely to move to a corner. While he wields very impressive power for a hitter his age, the cement on his frame is drier than most at this stage, and there might only be another half grade or so in the tank. His swing takes a while to get on plane, and Montero slices a lot of contact the other way, which are warning signs about his future contract ability against good velo. There are outcomes for Montero that look like <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nolan-gorman/22263/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nolan Gorman</a> if he indeed ends up with 70 power. His surface stats led us to consider him for the Top 100, but we moved off him pretty quickly because of these yellow flags.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">20. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eduarniel-nunez/23162/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Eduarniel Núñez</a>, SIRP</h3>
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<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2016 from Dominican Republic (CHC)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.8</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>170</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>70/70</td>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>94-100 / 101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Núñez has been a frustrating pitcher to monitor during the last half decade because he has long had superlative stuff, but very poor control. Sort your TrackMan spreadsheet and Núñez is at or near the top in a number of categories. Nobody in the world who throws as hard as he does can spin the baseball like he does (he averaged 2,700 rpm on his four-seamer last year). But often to see Núñez actually pitch is to watch him traffic cop a rally with walks and bean balls, and he&#8217;s had long stretches in the minors where he&#8217;s either walked a batter per inning or experienced wild fluctuations in velocity. </p>
<p>Núñez was a minor league free agent in 2024, signed with the Padres, and put things together enough in 2025 that he became part of the Mason Miller trade and made his big league debut with the A&#8217;s. And so here we are nine years after Núñez signed, with him touching 101 in Triple-A games and bending in some ungodly 90 mph sliders. On some nights, it looks like he should be closing big league games, while on others he is dangerously wild, a threat to the hands and faces of every righty batter. Núñez still has two option years left, and his service clock has only just started. He&#8217;s going to be in our universe for a while. He also has a track athlete&#8217;s build and incredible arm speed, and he hasn&#8217;t yet been in an org that we know to be great at maxing out pitchers. If his control problems persist to this degree (2026 Núñez doesn&#8217;t looked like he&#8217;s suddenly found 40-grade control), he&#8217;ll remain on the Triple-A/big league fringe forever, but this is the category of player out of which pops a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/felix-bautista/20666/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Félix Bautista</a> or a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jeff-hoffman/17432/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jeff Hoffman</a> or an <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/evan-phillips/17734/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Evan Phillips</a>, the guy with freaky stuff who takes forever to put it together, and then has the athletic longevity to sustain a meaningful peak after he does. That&#8217;s in play for Núñez, and so I&#8217;m valuing him more here than is typical for an older prospect whose control grade would tend to always put him in the 35+ FV bucket.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">21. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/corey-avant/sa3023137/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Corey Avant</a>, SIRP</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 9th Round, 2023 from Wingate (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>24.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>&#8220;Cool Breeze&#8221; Corey was a reliever at Division-II Wingate who the A&#8217;s began to stretch out as a long reliever and spot starter in 2024, before more solidly committing to developing him as a starter in 2025, when he worked 123 innings (including his Fall League frames). Avant still has some reliever risk because of his below-average control — he only walked 10.5% of opponents in 2025, but his underlying strike-throwing was worse than that, and he&#8217;s tended to be in the 13% or above area dating back to college — but he is built like a starter at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-4, and he deserves a longer developmental runway since we&#8217;re talking about a small school guy who barely pitched in college because he was deployed as a reliever. </p>
<p>Avant throws hard; he was parked in the 93-97 mph range last year, though his fastball&#8217;s downhill plane sucks some of the effectiveness out of that pitch. Conversely, the higher slot helps add depth to Avant&#8217;s slider, which has great velocity for a standard gyro-style offering. Whether Avant can continue to start will depend on the development of his splitter/sinker, an 87-91 mph offering that he actually has decent feel for locating, but that lacks big movement. Automatic pitch tagging thinks a lot of his splits are two-seamers, so it&#8217;s tough to tell exactly how many of them he threw last year, but the number is something like twice what he did in 2024, though still only 200 of them across the entire season. He looks like he takes great care of himself, and he&#8217;s an engaged teammate who was often watching his fellow A&#8217;s arms with intense focus as everyone got underway this spring. It&#8217;s probably more likely that Avant is a reliever in the end, but even if that&#8217;s the case, he&#8217;ll be a draft-and-develop feather in the cap of the A&#8217;s. They should continue with the starter track for another two seasons at least, and decide more about his path when his 40-man roster deadline arrives after the 2027 season.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">22. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/kenya-huggins/sa3020609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Kenya Huggins</a>, SP</h3>
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<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2022 from Chipola JC (FL) (CIN)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>230</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>92-96 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Huggins has a giant frame and showed upper-90s heat at the 2022 Draft Combine, where he sat 96-98 mph and absolutely dwarfed many of the pitchers from the Power Five schools. The Reds used a little more than $400,000 to sign him away from a commitment to Louisiana Tech. He blew out in late June of 2023 (his first full season), had TJ, came back late in 2024, and in 2025 broke camp back at Low-A Daytona, where he made 15 healthy starts prior to the Miguel Andujar trade. Across all of 2025, Huggins worked 78 innings of 3.81 ERA ball with a 22.7% strikeout rate and 10.1% walk rate. He was assigned to Double-A Midland at the start of 2026. </p>
<p>Huggins pitches heavily off a downhill, mid-90s fastball that averaged 94-95 mph even as he set a personal single-season best for innings. We&#8217;re talking 75% fastball usage after he joined the A&#8217;s org, though he was working more with his secondary stuff — an upper-80s cutter/slider and changeup — during 2026 spring training. Huggins&#8217; high arm slot creates downhill angle on all of his pitches, which is why what is more like a cutter in terms of movement often plays like a slider thanks to the extra depth created by its angle. Huggins&#8217; changeup performed well from a bat-missing standpoint in 2025, but it lacks exciting movement to the eye and was used too little to take its per-pitch performance at face value. Huggins&#8217; strike-throwing track record is pretty short, but his physical conditioning has improved since he turned pro, and he fills the zone with his fastball and slider. There isn&#8217;t a true plus pitch here and so Huggins is pretty likely to end up toward the back of a rotation or in the bullpen, but with a good 2026 season, he should contribute in this fashion starting in 2027.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">23. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/yunior-tur/sa3021045/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Yunior Tur</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2023 from Cuba (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.7</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 6&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>60/70</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>94-97 / 100</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Tur, who entered affiliated ball at age 23, has an NBA wing player&#8217;s frame at a broad-shouldered 6-foot-6 and has mostly been developed as a starter. In 2025, he worked 125.2 innings across 30 appearances (26 starts) mostly at High- and Double-A. This spring, he has thrown in relief on the backfields and to start the Triple-A regular season. </p>
<p>Though it&#8217;s possible the need for depth will force him back into the Vegas rotation at some point, Tur&#8217;s best fit on a big league staff would indeed be as a fastball-heavy reliever. He sat 94-97 as a starter last year, often with 17-20 inches of induced vertical break. Though it&#8217;s reasonable to hope Tur will rip upper-90s gas out of the bullpen, that hasn&#8217;t happened yet, and he has been in his usual range during single-inning bursts this spring. His secondary stuff — a mid-80s short action slider and a mid-80s splitter — is only fair, and it looks like he may have scrapped his cutter this year. He should still be able to pitch off his fastball in an up/down role while the big league coaching staff tries to find a plus pitch somewhere else, which would facilitate a more consistent role.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">24. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/william-johnston/sa3022940/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Will Johnston</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 13th Round, 2023 from Texas A&amp;M (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>40</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Splitter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>88-92 / 95</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnston moved from Texas A&amp;M&#8217;s bullpen into their rotation in the middle of his junior season, and the A&#8217;s stretched him out as a starter in pro ball until May of last year, when he returned to relief. For a minute, it looked like his strike-throwing had improved, but it regressed in 2025, as he walked five per nine across 70 innings spent at mostly Double-A Midland, where he&#8217;s back to start 2026 (and on the IL with a disc issue in his back). </p>
<p>Lefties with a breaking ball as good as Johnston&#8217;s death ball slider tend to play at least a lefty specialist role. It spins around 1,900 rpm on average, several hundred rpm slower than the average big league slider, but there&#8217;s something about his high release and his ability to hide the ball that helps this pitch play like a plus-plus offering against both left- and right-handed hitters. Johnston also has a splitter, giving him a second effective way to attack righties. Because he&#8217;s light on velo, he often tries to elevate his fastball way above the zone where it can stay out of trouble, which is part of why he doesn&#8217;t work efficiently enough to start. Johnston has had back stuff in the past, so this early-season injury is somewhat concerning, but when healthy, he looks like a pretty solid middle reliever thanks to his platoon neutralizing capabilities.</p>
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</div>
<h2 style="text-align: center;">35+ FV Prospects</h2>
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<h3 class="header-name">25. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/chen-zhuang/sa3018174/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2021 from Taiwan (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.6</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>90-93 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>&#8220;Z-man&#8221; signed in November of 2021 after he was scouted during the WBSC U-23 World Cup, debuted at Stockton as a 21-year-old the following year, then missed 2023 recovering from shoulder surgery. Over the last two years, his innings count has grown (145.2 innings last season) and he&#8217;s pitched well (1.16 career WHIP, 5% career walk rate) with only a little bit of slippage as he&#8217;s climbed to Double-A, even though Zhuang has pedestrian stuff. He touched 97 last year, but tends to sit 90-93, and sometimes his velo will slip below that. His changeup has heavy sink and is easily his best pitch, but it isn&#8217;t a dominant offering. He&#8217;ll be able to change speeds and throw strikes enough to act as a spot starter, and he&#8217;ll likely help the A&#8217;s this year, but it&#8217;s tough to project Zhuang in a long-term rotation role with stuff this light.</p>
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<h3 class="header-name">26. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/henry-baez/sa3016584/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Henry Baez</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: July 2nd Period, 2019 from Dominican Republic (SDP)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>175</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>40/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>92-95 / 98</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Baez is a skinny, 6-foot-3 righty who the Padres added to their 40-man roster after the 2024 season and then traded to the A&#8217;s in the Mason Miller deal the following deadline. He has spent the bulk of the past 18 months at Double-A, where he&#8217;s posted a 1.08 WHIP and 2.60 ERA despite a generic 7.4 per nine across both orgs. He entered 2026, his second option year, as a likely part of the A&#8217;s spot starter contingent, but he was put on the IL with what my sources indicate is a shoulder issue when camp broke. Baez was sitting 93-95 during his pre-injury outings this spring and looked like his usual self. He has a mono-rotational delivery in which his entire torso seems to rotate at once as he completes his motion, and as unorthodox as this looks, Baez has been able to throw strikes at a high clip for his entire career. His breaking ball command helps his pedestrian stuff play up a bit, as both his slider and curveball missed bats at an above-average rate in 2025. His changeup isn&#8217;t nearly as effective. Without a plus pitch, Baez&#8217;s role will likely remain in the fifth through seventh starter area.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">27. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gunnar-hoglund/31318/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gunnar Hoglund</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 1st Round, 2021 from Ole Miss (TOR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>26.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 4&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>220</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>40/40</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>91-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Hoglund was a famous high schooler who ended up at Ole Miss and was drafted in the first round by the Blue Jays before coming to Oakland in the 2022 <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/matt-chapman/16505/stats/batting" target="_blank">Matt Chapman</a> trade. Injuries have prevented him from throwing more than 100 innings in all but one pro season, and he opened 2026 on the IL with knee and lumbar spine issues. Hoglund got shelled during his six-start big league debut in 2025, and his stuff (which has been better at some points than others) was average or below across the board. His sinking mid-80s changeup is now his best offering. He works with five pitches — a four-seamer, sinker, cutter, changeup and slider — that all generated below-average miss in 2025. Hoglund&#8217;s delivery appears less athletic than when he was at his prospect peak, and he hasn&#8217;t really been able to demonstrate starter&#8217;s durability as a pro. He now looks like a spot starter.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">28. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/anthony-causey/sa3028661/stats/pitching" target="_blank">A.J. Causey</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2024 from Tennessee (KCR)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>88-90 / 92</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Causey began his college career at Jacksonville State before transferring to Tennessee for his junior season, and he went in the fifth round as a quick-moving, low-slot righty reliever. He split 2025 as a multi-inning weapon at High- and Double-A in the Royals system (48 appearances, 73.1 innings, 1.72 ERA), then was traded to the A&#8217;s at the start of 2026 spring training in exchange for former Rule 5 pick <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/mitch-spence/27707/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Mitch Spence</a>. </p>
<p>Both Causey&#8217;s changeup and slider played like plus pitches last year, though only his changeup, which has huge tailing action and sink in the low-80s, is truly nasty. His slider lives off of deception and command rather than pure stuff, though its uphill angle is difficult for hitters to parse. There are two viable secondary pitches here, including one that can neutralize lefties, which is rare for a sidearmer. Causey&#8217;s feel for location helps keep his fastball out of trouble, and his slider command gives him a second way to get ahead of hitters. He projects as a stable middle-inning &#8220;look&#8221; reliever who is on pace to debut late in 2027.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">29. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathaniel-taylor/sa3043592/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Zane Taylor</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2025 from UNC Wilmington (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>23.9</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>200</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Changeup</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>50/55</td>
<td>40/50</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>92-95 / 97</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Taylor was a priority senior sign as a four-year starter at UNC Wilmington who sat 92-93 during the course of 2025 before his velo climbed not long before the draft, sometimes 95-97, albeit with hittable movement. His build and delivery are more evocative of a reliever, but he has never done anything but throw strikes. Taylor&#8217;s slider/cutter has inconsistent velo and shape, but it&#8217;s consistently located and generated huge miss and chase in 2025. His changeup is the opposite. It has sink/tail action, but it&#8217;s rarely used and is scattered in zone and out. There are lots of starter ingredients here, enough to merit development in that role even if Taylor doesn&#8217;t look the part from a size and mechanics perspective.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SP" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">30. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jose-parra/sa3024574/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jose Parra</a>, SP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2024 from Venezuela (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>20.3</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>5&#8242; 11&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>185</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>L / L</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>50/60</td>
<td>30/45</td>
<td>91-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Parra had a much improved second pro season in the DSL, as he K&#8217;d 10 per nine and posted a 2.64 ERA across 44.1 innings. The stout lefty was bringing big velo during the DSL A&#8217;s postseason run (frequently touching 96), and flashed a plus two-planed breaking ball in the upper 70s. Parra has a realistic lefty relief outcome but is still roughly a half decade away from the big leagues.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">31. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/stephen-emanuels/sa3014698/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Stevie Emanuels</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 5th Round, 2020 from Washington (OAK)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>27.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 5&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>215</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Curveball</th>
<th>Cutter</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>30/30</td>
<td>92-95 / 96</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Emanuels experienced a three-tick velo bump in 2023 and has mostly sustained it since then, averaging anywhere from 93-96 mph on his fastball for much of the last three seasons. He also incorporated a cutter into his repertoire, which now gives him three different breaking ball shapes to show hitters. He deploys cutters, sliders, and curveballs across a 76-90 mph range, so even though hitters can reliably look for movement to one half of the plate, they can&#8217;t anticipate speed and shape. Emanuels commands those pitches much better than he does his fastball, which had a sub-60% strike rate last year. His cutter has late, quick action that allows it to stay off barrels, but it&#8217;s his slider that misses bats at a comfortably plus rate. He walked six batters per nine at Midland in 2025 but still managed a 2.70 ERA because, collectively, his breaking pitches missed bats at a 45% clip. A lack of fastball command will likely cap Emanuels&#8217; role to up/down relief.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="SIRP" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">32. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/isaiah-johnson/sa3011626/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jared Johnson</a>, SIRP</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 14th Round, 2019 from Smithville HS (MS) (ATL)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>25.1</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>210</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Fastball</th>
<th>Slider</th>
<th>Command</th>
<th>Sits/Tops</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>55/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>30/40</td>
<td>93-97 / 99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnson is a very physical, high-effort relief prospect who utilizes a slider-heavy approach to pitching. He was acquired from the Braves in exchange for <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nick-allen/22277/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nick Allen</a> after the 2024 season, but he didn&#8217;t pitch at all in 2025 due to forearm issues. He is healthy and was assigned to Double-A Midland at the start of 2026. </p>
<p>Johnson&#8217;s slider will bend in as hard as 94 mph. He hides the ball well and throws with such violence that it often takes hitters a second to adjust to his delivery. His fastball will touch 99 but was more in the 93-96 mph range during the spring of 2026, and his very high release point creates a downhill angle that hurts the pitch&#8217;s ability to miss bats. Johnson&#8217;s stuff is pretty nasty, and while his bull-in-a-china-shop control will probably limit him to up/down duty when he debuts, he could pitch his way into a more regular middle relief role if he gains better control of his body in his mid-20s.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="LF" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">33. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gavin-turley/sa3044148/stats/batting" target="_blank">Gavin Turley</a>, LF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Drafted: 4th Round, 2025 from Oregon State (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>22.4</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 1&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>196</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>55/60</td>
<td>30/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>45</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>If you&#8217;re a <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/colby-thomas/31855/stats/batting" target="_blank">Colby Thomas</a> fan, this is your guy. Turley packs a huge punch for a hitter his size, hitting 20 bombs with a 61% hard-hit rate at Oregon State in 2025. He slashed .243/.336/.430 at Stockton after the draft. Turley swings incredibly hard, but he pulls off a ton of secondary pitches. He posted a sub-60% contact rate against both sliders and changeups in college, and is a left field fit on defense. That&#8217;s a tough bar to clear with big strikeout totals looming. Taylor is a power-hitting dev project who began 2026 on the IL with a fractured thumb.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">34. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricky-duran/sa3075066/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ricky Duran</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2026 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>17.5</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 0&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>165</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/50</td>
<td>20/50</td>
<td>45/45</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Duran is a fairly typical $1 million international signee with exciting physicality and bat speed, but he likely isn&#8217;t a shortstop. His swing length creates some hit tool risk. He&#8217;ll debut in the DSL this year.</p>
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<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="3B" data-team="ath">
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<h3 class="header-name">35. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ayden-johnson/sa3067681/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ayden Johnson</a>, 3B</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Bahamas (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.2</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 2&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>180</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/40</td>
<td>45/55</td>
<td>25/55</td>
<td>50/50</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>50</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Johnson was the best Bahamian prospect in the 2025 international class, a powerfully built youngster with the look of a D-I running back prospect who signed for $1.5 million. He worked out for teams at shortstop, but at his size he was a pretty good bet to move to third base, and indeed Johnson spent most of his DSL debut at the hot corner. He slashed .257/.414/.321 last year and K&#8217;d at a 27.1% clip, too much for the A&#8217;s to bring him to the States in 2026. Johnson&#8217;s bat speed and power projection are still exciting, but he needs to cut his strikeouts this season to retain prospect status for next cycle.</p>
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</div>
<div class="tool-item top-prospects-tool" data-position="RF" data-team="ath">
<div class="table-header grey">
<h3 class="header-name">36. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darwing-ozuna/sa3068179/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darwing Ozuna</a>, RF</h3>
</div>
<div class="table-grey">
<div class="table-title">Signed: International Signing Period, 2025 from Dominican Republic (ATH)</div>
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<th>Age</th>
<td>18.0</td>
<th>Height</th>
<td>6&#8242; 3&#8243;</td>
<th>Weight</th>
<td>195</td>
<th>Bat / Thr</th>
<td>R / R</td>
<th>FV</th>
<td>35+</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<div class="table-title">Tool Grades (Present/Future)</div>
<div class="table-player-0">
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Hit</th>
<th>Raw Power</th>
<th>Game Power</th>
<th>Run</th>
<th>Fielding</th>
<th>Throw</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>20/30</td>
<td>40/60</td>
<td>20/55</td>
<td>60/60</td>
<td>30/50</td>
<td>70</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<table>
<thead>
<tr></tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr></tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</div>
</div>
<div class="prospects-list-summary">
<p>Ozuna signed for $850,000 in 2025 as one of the more projectable righty-hitting power bats in the international class. He struggled in his DSL debut, slashing .211/.301/.311 and posting a sub-70% contact rate. But Ozuna&#8217;s size — he&#8217;s 6-foot-3 and has room for big strength on his frame — and explosive swing are too exciting to move off of him entirely after a bad debut. He will repeat the DSL in 2026 and needs to improve as a contact bat to remain on the list.</p>
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<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">Other Prospects of Note</span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><em>Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.</em></p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Outfield Tweeners</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/nathan-nankil/sa3022532/stats/batting" target="_blank">Nate Nankil</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-lasko/sa3022539/stats/batting" target="_blank">Ryan Lasko</a>, CF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cameron-leary/sa3025469/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cameron Leary</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/clark-elliott/sa3019972/stats/batting" target="_blank">Clark Elliott</a>, OF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/carlos-pacheco/sa3018455/stats/batting" target="_blank">Carlos Pacheco</a>, OF</p>
<p>Nankil was the A&#8217;s seventh rounder out of Cal State Fullerton in 2023. He made plus contact (but struggled to hit for power) at Lansing last year. He is back there to start 2026 after he floundered during a late-season promotion to Midland. Lasko has run sub-70% contact rates each of the past two years as he&#8217;s entered the upper levels of the minors. He can play an okay center field (and he can really, really throw), but not so good that it will carry him to a big league role with a 30-hit/45-power combo on offense. Leary and Elliott are two medium-framed, lefty-hitting outfielders who each have one average tool (for Leary, it&#8217;s his hit tool; for Elliott, it&#8217;s his pull power), while their other components are below average. Pacheco is a speedy outfielder who has struggled to translate anything close to his complex-level performance to full-season ball.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Up-The-Middle Guys</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/casey-yamauchi/sa3022528/stats/batting" target="_blank">Casey Yamauchi</a>, INF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jesus-fernandez/sa3021123/stats/batting" target="_blank">Jesus Fernandez</a>, SS<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/colton-conn/sa3029251/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cole Conn</a>, C<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-durrington/sa3067341/stats/batting" target="_blank">Max Durrington</a>, 2B/LF<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andrew-swift/sa3017281/stats/batting" target="_blank">Drew Swift</a>, SS</p>
<p>Yamauchi, 25, is an undersized infielder who is still in A-ball, though he posted an 88% contact rate last year. Fernandez, 20, is a well-built shortstop who has been tough to make swing and miss in the lower levels of the minors, but the quality of his contact is so lacking that he hit .178 in Arizona last year. He&#8217;s still a name scouts bring up as a deep sleeper in this system because he&#8217;s a shortstop with bat-to-ball skills, but he desperately needs to hit the ball harder. Conn, 24, is a switch-hitting catcher from Illinois-Chicago with a 50-hit/40-power/30-defense toolset. He&#8217;s at Double-A. Durrington, 19, is a versatile Aussie who played a bit in big league spring games this year. He&#8217;s yet to find his footing in games, but he&#8217;s athletic and swings hard. Swift is an important Arizona baseball figure after starring at Hamilton High School and ASU before pro ball. He&#8217;s a great defender who doesn&#8217;t hit enough to play a sustained big league role, but he should wear a major league uniform at some point.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">Hard-Throwing Relievers</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/jackson-finley/sa3023406/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Jackson Finley</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/grant-richardson/sa3040703/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Grant Richardson</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/donny-troconis/sa3020992/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Donny Troconis</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/abel-mercedes/sa3017013/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Abel Mercedes</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ryan-brown/sa3022939/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ryan Brown</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/ricardo-osorio/sa3068460/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Ricardo Osorio</a>, RHP</p>
<p>Finley missed time in college and then all of 2025 due to injury, but when he&#8217;s been healthy, he&#8217;s thrown hard. He was in the 96-99 mph range during instructs and again this spring, albeit with below-average movement and well below-average command. Richardson is a physical 6-foot-3 lefty who the A&#8217;s drafted in the sixth round last year out of Grand Canyon. His fastball sits in the 93-94 mph range with enough ride that it played like a comfortably plus pitch in college. He needs to develop a third pitch to remain a starter long-term. Troconis looked like he had added meaningful strength during the offseason and sat 96 during his first scouted outing of the year, then was sitting 92 by the end of spring training. At his best, he looks like a standard middle reliever. Mercedes was a minor league Rule 5 pick from Houston who will bump 100, but he&#8217;s walked more than a batter per inning the last three years. Brown is a 25-year-old righty who K&#8217;d 10 per nine in 2024 thanks to a plus changeup. He didn&#8217;t pitch last year due to injury and has been assigned to Lansing at the start of 2026. Osorio is a 6-foot-4, 18-year-old DSL reliever who sat 93-97 last year in limited innings.</p>
<p><span class="h3_no-margin">One Plus Pitch</span><br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/gerlin-rosario/sa3019251/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Gerlin Rosario</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/tucker-novotny/sa3038957/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Tucker Novotny</a>, LHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/micah-dallas/sa3020391/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Micah Dallas</a>, RHP<br />
<a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/james-gonzalez/sa3011609/stats/pitching" target="_blank">James Gonzalez</a>, LHP</p>
<p>Rosario, who was acquired before the season in exchange for second baseman <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/cooper-bowman/sa3016966/stats/batting" target="_blank">Cooper Bowman</a>, is a 24-year-old A-ball reliever whose changeup (his third most used pitch) missed bats at an elite level last year. Novotny has one of the funkier arm strokes I&#8217;ve ever seen, as it swoops way behind his body as he squeezes his shoulder blades together behind him on disconnection. He&#8217;s 6-foot-5 and generates seven feet of extension, but doesn&#8217;t throw all that hard. He could be a fastball/changeup reliever. Dallas is a Double-A reliever with a plus slider and a great multi-year strike-throwing track record who sits about 89. Gonzalez, who pitched in the WBC for Panama, has spent most of his minor league career as a starter but has moved to the bullpen this year. His changeup has performed like a plus pitch in the past, but he&#8217;ll need a velo bump coming out of the &#8216;pen (he peaked at 93 in the WBC) to profile as a big leaguer. </p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><span class="h3_no-margin">System Overview</span></p>
<p>This system isn&#8217;t great in terms of either its overall depth or the amount of high-end talent, but it does have two things the A&#8217;s badly need: a potential franchise-altering star up top in Leo De Vries, and a lot of polished pitching that will soon be ready to help the hitter-heavy big league roster compete for a postseason berth. I picked the A&#8217;s to win the division before the year for exactly this reason. Though it&#8217;d be foolish to assume that all of their young big league hitters will develop in a linear fashion, they have a deep, talented bunch and need pitching to complete their postseason puzzle. Healthy Braden Nett, Gage Jump, and Kade Morris look like they could each be one of the team&#8217;s best five starters by the end of the year, and if Jamie Arnold and Wei-En Lin see their command click, one of them could move quicker than I expect and also be in the mix. </p>
<p>How quickly De Vries debuts might depend as much on how some of the big league infielders perform as Leo&#8217;s own numbers. If the A&#8217;s are hanging around the top of the AL West by July, but <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/max-muncy/29779/stats/batting" target="_blank">Max Muncy</a>, <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/darell-hernaiz/26224/stats/batting" target="_blank">Darell Hernaiz</a>, and <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/andy-ibanez/18819/stats/batting" target="_blank">Andy Ibáñez</a> aren&#8217;t hitting and De Vries is, it&#8217;s going to be tempting to promote him. If another team is running away with the division, it will be less enticing. Either way, De Vries looks quite good and seems to be responding to the mounting hype and pressure with a calm beyond his years.</p>
<p>The Athletics have tended to give out some enormous individual bonuses internationally, with mixed results. <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/luis-morales/32227/stats/pitching" target="_blank">Luis Morales</a> had a fine big league introduction, while <a href="https://www.fangraphs.com/players/robert-puason/sa3014697/stats/batting" target="_blank">Robert Puason</a> is now an afterthought. Johenssy Colome is the latest spin of the wheel. Note that last year the A&#8217;s spread things out a bit more and seem to have something with Breyson Guedez, who was one of my favorite hitters to watch this spring. He needs to narrow his approach, but he has the hit/power combination to profile as an everyday guy. Physical traits like size, body composition, bat speed and projectability still seem to be the A&#8217;s north stars when scouting internationally, as is the case for many clubs. </p>
<p>In the domestic draft, it&#8217;s more of a mix. The A&#8217;s will take some players with those aforementioned traits, but they&#8217;ll also take the occasional Joshua Kuroda-Grauer or Devin Taylor who have more impressive performance track records than they do tools. There are great litmus tests in this system to see if the A&#8217;s pitching development has improved. There are pitchers who need to improve their command (Arnold, Lin, Nett, Corey Avant), as well as ones who need another pitch (Yunior Tur, Zane Taylor, Jose Parra), or who need to make good on their projection (Cole Miller, Steven Echavarria). How much and how quickly these guys develop will help us understand if there&#8217;s a proficient, sustainable way for the A&#8217;s to produce arms internally, which is always an important competency for small market teams. </p>
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