BuyOnTheDip.com ~ Trading Stocks and Options!

Step by Step $SPY

2012-06-06T07:11:00.001-07:00

Step 1) Monday = Hammer
Step 2) Tuesday = Confirmation
Step 3) Today = Follow Through

from $127/$128 to 130.77+1.74 (1.35%) ... from out of the money to near-the-money, to in-the-money. *raise stop above cost

watch resistance: @ 200ema

Hammer of the Frogs! $SPY

2012-06-04T12:08:00.001-07:00

... today's candle just turned into sexy mallet of love, time to pounce on the bounce. feeling froggish? ... LEAP.

Long-term Equity AnticiPation

LONG: $SPY 130 Jan 2013 $CALL

the 200 day simple $SPY support

2012-06-04T08:30:00.001-07:00

... Sell in May? too soon in June? ... we hit the 200sma today, look for a support bounce tomorrow/wednesday.

I haven't bought anything in weeks, anxiously awaiting todays 200 kiss. Get your BOUNCE buy list ready.

disc: long $SINA $POT $ZNGA $HK (all common, all underwater)

the FARMER and the $DELL ~ Earnings Play

2012-05-10T10:12:00.000-07:00


BOTTOM of the BOLLINGER BANDS

EARNINGS ROULETTE: JUNE 16 CALLS @ .47 cents!

EPS guess? ... May 22nd (AH)

the FARMER: Long $POT

below the old BHP bid price, buy under $42

PLUS (+) marks the SPOT ~ $SPY $CALL

2012-05-09T08:06:00.001-07:00

... went long May 135 $CALL on the morning dip. 6 days of selling, time for a bounce. Today's candle (+) looks promising, dough-g!

who's afraid of the big bad $VXX ?!

2012-05-04T10:05:00.001-07:00

... has room to the upside, watch EMA resistance. sold my 17 $CALL position today (50%+ profit)

... looking to buy May 18s on any bullish pop for an over weekend hedge.

"Faith In Floyd." (the second coming) ~ Halcon Resources $HK

2012-04-28T13:17:00.000-07:00

more oil, more coil.

full disclosure: LONG $HK

BIG DATA MATTERS! ~ Mattersight Corp $MATR

2012-04-14T13:17:00.000-07:00

STOCK #1 = $MATR

ANALYZE THIS.

Large and Untapped Market: We estimate the market potential for our analytics in the United States at $5+ billion per year. The market is very new, and we believe it is less than 5% penetrated.
Enterprise Analytics Footprint: Mattersight's technology applies millions of proprietary algorithms to previously unstructured and unanalyzed customer and employee interactions. Our analytics are used in service, sales and collections calls centers. We have also deployed analytics applications for fraud, customer retention, and the back office.
Analytics as a Service in the Cloud: Our analytics are delivered in the cloud, and virtually all of the company’s revenues are recurring.
Significant Returns for Our Customers: Mattersight's unique analytics and delivery model generates 2x to 10x returns for our customers.
Impressive Customer List: The company has built an impressive customer list, including three of the top five HMOs, three of the top four Property & Casualty companies, one of the three largest retail banks, and one of the two largest Prescription Benefit Management companies.
Long-lasting Customer Relationships: The company’s average revenue per customer is in excess of $1 million per year. A typical contract is between $3 million and $20 million and runs for an initial duration of three to five years, with a number of the company’s earliest customers having signed extensions of an additional three to five years.
Significant Revenue Visibility: The company has a large contract backlog, and its revenue retention rate is 95%. *source: www.Mattersight.com

Behavioral Backlog

VALUE ADD: SAVE TIME & MONEY

--  Predicting future customer and employee outcomes and behaviors
--  Routing calls based on predictive algorithms to the best available
    agent to handle each specific caller
--  Identifying the best opportunity for improvement for each specific
    agent, supervisor and manager

"We are extremely proud of our groundbreaking work in understanding the connection between language patterns and human behavior. The large investment we have made in this area creates significant value for our customers and very valuable competitive advantage for our company,"
~ Kelly Conway, President and CEO.

STOCK #2 = $VRNG

MOBILE MATTERS: ... show me your Vringo! $VRNG

MOBILE PURE PLAY
22 PATENTS FILED (2 approved)
MARK "shark tank" CUBAN = 7.4% stake!

FaceBook visual ringtones ... Facetones! (of course)

Andrew Perlman talks Vringo

video platform video management video solutions video player

Jon Medved on TECH M&A

EXTREME BULLISHNESS! ~ Skullcandy Inc NASDAQ: $SKUL

2012-03-25T10:55:00.000-07:00


** HUGE SHORT INTEREST!!!

BIG NAMES, BIG GAINS.

SOCIAL CHAMPS!

BUY: $SKUL $15.56 +0.49 (3.25%)

... 44% sales growth YoY !!

p.s. the X-treme Team: $MNST & $UA

Apple ♥ Neckflits! $AAPL & $NFLX

2012-03-08T22:21:00.000-08:00

MLB, NBA, NHL ... and NETFLIX!

CUP and "forming" HANDLE

1) APPLE FRIENDLY *free marketing!
2) 20% SHORT INTEREST *squeeeze worthy
3) GLOBAL EXPANSION *europe, india, asia

“The iPad’s a big plus for Netflix for two reasons. One is, it’s just a much higher-resolution screen, so it’s just a much better viewing experience for all of Netflix’s customers. But secondly, Netflix has a much higher profile positioning, it’s much easier for Netflix to capture new customers through iTunes and so forth.” ~ Tilson

LONG MARCH 17th 110 CALLS

... if this works, look to "roll out" to the APRIL 115s

... everywhere.

RISK = COMPETITION

p.s. when my 4 year old says Netflix it sounds like, ... neck-flits.

... "daddy, can i have the eye phone to watch neckflits?"

WHAT'S IN THE BOX?!!?!? ... Pandora $P

2012-02-23T23:28:00.000-08:00

... your station.

PLAY #1: BUY $P 13.02 +0.69‎ (5.60%‎)

JOHN DOE has the UPPER HAND!

play #2: BUY $AKAM: 36.52 -0.09‎ (-0.25%‎)

BUY on the DRIP!

AKAMAI is the streaming video FaceBook play of choice
... BUY ON THE DRIP! (gap fill bounce)

The AUSTERITY of PARLIAMENT ~ G-FUNK!

2012-02-12T19:53:00.000-08:00

SMOKED GRECIAN LATTE

AUSTERITY VOTE: 199 to 74

... waiting for a pullback.

The Customer Service Takeover! ~ LivePerson, Inc. $LPSN ... "I CAN HELP YOU."

2012-02-01T23:36:00.000-08:00

you've been served.

RECO!! BUY PRE-EARNINGS

Q4 Earnings:

February 13, 2012
*after market hours

LONG: $LPSN 11.95 -0.05 (-0.42%)

*click here for live-chat customer service*

LivePerson has been public for over 10 years and knows the game ... they went public while the dot-com bubble was bursting. The CEO has done over 43 quarterly earnings calls. FAITH in LoCascio!

" ... the entrepreneur should always have the dream of going public, that's the DREAM! ... not of selling." ~ Rob LoCascio, CEO


SICK (gross) MARGINS

ROCKY IV.1 ~ $YNDX ~ Yandex NV (Public, NASDAQ:YNDX)

2012-01-25T23:15:00.000-08:00

ORIGINAL BUY: $YNDX @ $18.81

GOOD COMPANY: LONG w/ @ChartSwingTrade

LONG CALLS: $GOOG ... the American Yandex!

BUY ON THE 'OVERSOLD' DIP in $GOOG

... there is no tomorrow.

GUESS WHO'S $BAK ?! ~ Braskem SA (ADR) (Public, NYSE:BAK) *

2012-01-24T22:41:00.000-08:00

*obligatory first post of 2012.

ORIGINAL IRA BUY:

GOOD COMPANY:

2012 IRA Contribution Limits
If you are under 50 years of age at the end of 2012: The maximum contribution that you can make to a traditional or Roth IRA is the smaller of $5,000 or the amount of your taxable compensation for 2012. This limit can be split between a traditional and a Roth IRA but the combined limit is $5,000. *IRS.gov

NEW IRA BUY: Veolia $VE

(click chart)

Veolia TV (click here)

SPEC SECTOR PLAYS: Ethanol? $PEIX $BIOF ... charts look prime'd, yet corn cars are NOT the future. just speculative ideas for quick buck.

... rub my BAK, rub my BAK, rub my BAK!

The PURE PLAY on PLAY. ~ Zynga, Inc. ~ $ZNGA

2011-12-21T22:46:00.000-08:00

Zynga = The PURE PLAY on PLAY.

1) VIRTUAL GOODS = REAL PROFITS!

2) DOWN 15% from IPO

RISK: high valuation @ 6B+

LONG $ZNGA

PURE PLAY: MOBILE GAMING $GLUU

Glu Mobile

... looks like Mathew Drapkin, the "insider", tried to game the ZNGA IPO. Not sure he got the pop he was looking for, but it creates a nice floor at $2.99-$3.00 *stop loss level

PURE PLAY: MACAU GAMING $MPEL

Melco Crown
20%-30%+ YOY growth

p.s. HEDGE: $SPY JAN 123 PUTS

the market is a ...
<br>

The HIGHER LOW. ~ SPDR S&P 500 ETF $SPY

2011-12-19T21:04:00.000-08:00

DEFENDING THE HIGHER LOW.

LEVELS

1) RED bullish trend line from the low. (filled gap/top of base)

2) ORANGE bullish trend line from bottom of base. (unfilled gap) *

2) GREEN horizontal "higher low" support line.

* favorite buy zone (orange)
... gap fill area, oversold stochastic level, higher low intact.

p.s. watch/wait
... for the breakout spike in $TLT for a top/equity bottom.

the AUCTION KING. ~ Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers $RBA

2011-11-18T20:59:00.000-08:00

... when the market crashed in 2008, it took the mom & pop construction company with it. They borrowed money to finance NEW equipment for NEW jobs, then it all stopped.

* NO JOBS, NO WORK *

can't make that lease/loan payment ? ... equipment gets REPO'd!!!

Ritchie Bros current INVENTORY: (their loss, $RBA's gain)

... the world's largest industrial auctioneer, $RBA!

risk: used equipment market is still weak.

reward: stock acted well during this week's sell-off. *

November 1st was a 15 month low, chart shows capitulation ... BUY!

*14%+ SHORT INTEREST

full disc: no pos, yet.

the QUADRUPLE TOP in the TRIPLE Q's? ~ NASDAQ: $QQQ

2011-11-15T23:32:00.000-08:00

... i see 1, 2, 3, 4 Q's at the top of this chart ... they used to call her the QUAD Q's, but they don't anymore.

"There's NO such thing as a QUADRUPLE TOP." ~ Richard Bias

Which way from here? ... choose your own adventure.

OVERALL TREND: UP

BULLISH TARGET: $76 ... measured move of $16 from the $60 breakout (green arrow) *overly optimistic

NEUTRAL: $58ish ... sideways forever (light blue) *not likely

RANGE BOX: back to the bottom of the range ... from the low 50's to the high 50's & back again.(orange arrow) *all of 2011

BEARISH BREAKDOWN: $42ish, giving back the entire 16 point Sept 10 to Feb 11 bull run. (red arrow) *be prepared

FULL DISC: Long Jan 58 CALL

PowerShares QQQ Trust, Series 1 (ETF)
(Public, NASDAQ:QQQ)

The Collapse of CRUDE?! ~ ProShares Ultra DJ-UBS Crude Oil $UCO

2011-07-31T16:52:00.000-07:00

or a PEAK OIL inverse H&S ?

UCO
$42.41 -1.08 (-2.48%)

Ultra Crude Oil $UCO
3 MONTH CHANGE: -32.63%

DEMAND for OIL: HIGH

SUPPLY of OIL: LOW

... BUY 'ULTRA CRUDE OIL' ON THE DIP!

LONG: UCO & USO calls

The StockTwits Edge! ~ with @BuyOnTheDip $$

2011-06-18T16:12:00.000-07:00

The StockTwits Edge

The StockTwits Edge:

Part One: Trend Following.
Chapter 1: Find Trends, Ride Them, and Get Off (Howard Lindzon, @howardlindzon).
Chapter 2: Trade, Trend, Tail (Keith McCullough, @KeithMcCullough).
Chapter 3: Don’t Quit (Michael K. Dawson, @TrendRida).
Chapter 4: Know Thyself (Chris Peruna, @chrisperuna).
Chapter 5: Insider Information Is Reflected in the Charts (Keith Kern, @stt2318).

Part Two: Value Investing.
Chapter 6: Margin of Safety (Todd Sullivan, @toddsullivan).
Chapter 7: The Bean Screen (Daniel Miller and Jason Robinson, @wallstreetbean).
Chapter 8: Fallen Angels (Michael Bigger, @biggercapital).
Chapter 9: Dividends Don’t Lie (Eddy Elfenbein, @crossingwallstreet).

Part Three: Day Trading.
Chapter 10: Only Price Pays (Brian Shannon, @alphatrends).
Chapter 11: Intraday Earnings Momentum Gap Trade (John Lee, @weeklyTA).
Chapter 12: Trading the News (Mike Bellafiore, @smbcapital).
Chapter 13: Intraday Momentum (Steven Spencer, @sspencer_smb).
Chapter 14: The Underlying Psychology of Large Players (Gilbert Mendez, @smbcapital).

Part Four: Swing Trading.
Chapter 15: Flags and Wedges (Joe Donohue, @upsidetrader).
Chapter 16: Breakout from a Tight Base (@chessNwine).
Chapter 17: The Base is Everything (HCPG, @HCPG).
Chapter 18: Trading People, Not Stocks (Joey Fundora, @downtowntrader).
Chapter 19: The Top Down Technician (Greg Harmon, @harmongreg).
Chapter 20: Identifying Trend Shifts (Derek Hernquist, @derekhernquist).
Chapter 21: A Chart Will Never Lie to You (Sunrise Trader, @SunriseTrader).
Chapter 22: The Short Squeeze Trade (Frank Zorrila, @zortrades).
Chapter 23: The Price Tells the Story (Derald Muniz, @1nvestor).
Chapter 24: Force Confirmations, Not Trades (Nick Fenton, @nickfenton).
Chapter 25: The Birth of a New Trend (Ivan Hoff, @ivanhoff).
Chapter 26: The Trend Intensity Breakout Setup (Pradeep Bonde, @stockbee).

Part Five: Options Trading.
Chapter 27: Unusual Options Activity (Joe Kunkle, @OptionRadar).
Chapter 28: Put Ratio Spread (Jared Woodard, @condoroptions).
Chapter 29: Know What You Don’t Know (Adam Warner, @agwarner).
Chapter 30: There Is Always an Option (Steven Place, @stevenplace).
Chapter 31: Selling Premium (Darren Miller, @attitrade).
Chapter 32: The New High Dip (Chris Stauder, @BuyOnTheDip).

Part Six: Forex Trading.
Chapter 33: They Call Me Mrs. Cable (Lydia Idem, @faithmight).
Chapter 34: The Mind of a Chartist (Raghee Horner, @ragheehorner).

Part Seven: The Art of Trading.
Chapter 35: Trading Is An Art (The Fly, @the_real_fly).
Chapter 36: Embrace the Tape (Quint Tatro, @tickerville).
Chapter 37: Macro Setups at the Crest of Structural Change (Gregor Macdonald, @GregorMacdonald).
Chapter 38: Broken Butterfly Formation (Anne-Marie Baiynd, @AnneMarieTrades).
Chapter 39: Always Happy, Never Satisfied (Joshua Brown, @reformedbroker).
Chapter 40: One Step Ahead of the Herd (John Benedict, @geckojb).
Chapter 41: Change is the Only Constant (Steve Gomez and Andy Lindloff, @todaytrader).
Chapter 42: The Kirk Report (Charles E. Kirk, @thekirkreport).
Chapter 43: Stick with Names You Know (Ronald Roll, @gtotoy).
Chapter 44: Massive Trends and the Trajectory of Noise (Phil Pearlman, @ppearlman).
Chapter 45: We Have Met the Enemy, and It Is Us (Abdel Ibrahim, @RatioTrader).
Chapter 46: A Contrarian at Heart (John Welsh, @johnwelshtrades).

p.s. BuyOnTheDip will be hosting a retweet contest for a coveted "BOTD" signed copy! ... stay tuned for details.

BTFD = BUY THE * FRACKING * DIP! ~ Halliburton Company $HAL & Schlumberger Limited $SLB

2011-05-08T13:26:00.000-07:00

FRACKING: Hydraulic Fracturing or Hydrofracking is a process in which fluid is injected at high pressure into oil or gas deposits to fracture the rock formations and increase the recovery rate.

THE HALLIBURTON LOOPHOLE of 2005: the Dick/Bush Energy Bill exempted drillers from having to disclose the chemicals used during hydraulic fracturing.

THE US FRAC ACT of 2009: Fracturing Responsibility and Awareness to Chemical Act is a bill that would allow the EPA to regulate hydraulic fracturing in the US and require the energy industry to reveal what chemicals are being used. (the 111th Congress adjourned on Jan 3rd, 2011 without taking action on the FRAC ACT, and the 112th Congress has not re-introduced the bill)

HYDRAULIC FRACTURING: 9 out of 10 onshore wells now use FRACKING!

ADDITIVES & CONSTITUENTS:

KING HAL (Halliburton) :

... buy on the "oversold" dip!

SCHLUMB LORD (Schlumberger) :

... the $90 magnet.

(buy in the low 80's)

FACT or FICTION? ... GasLand.

THE TRUTH? ... of propaganda!

CHINA is FRACKING NUTS!!
In April 2011 CHINA completed its first horizontal shale gas well in Sichuan. The ministry of land and resources calculates the size of the shale gas reserves at 26,000 billion cubic meters - more than 10 times the known holdings of conventional natural gas. The world's largest user of energy just started fracking, it's still early ... BUY THE FRACKING DIP!

p.s. Happy FRACKING Mother's Day!

The ZYNGA of CHINA ~ Perfect World Co., Ltd. (ADR) $PWRD

2011-04-17T12:33:00.000-07:00

Launched MMORPGs

SHARE REPURCHASE PROGRAM = $100 million

CHINA STOCKS: $BIDU, $SINA, $SOHU, $SNDA, $CYOU, $GAME, $GA, $KONG, $PWRD

STOCK PERFORMANCE YTD:

SINA +80%

BIDU + 52%

KONG +52%

SOHU +50%

NTES +46%

CYOU +22%

GA +20%

GAME +15%

SNDA +10%

PWRD +6.09% (dog of the tao)

p.s. The IPO Buzz: ZYNGA, LinkedIn, Twitter, Groupon, LivingSocial, and the FaceBook.

DISCLOSURE: iOwn $PWRD (common)

$PUT on your BEAR HAT! ~ $SPY S&P 500 ETF

2011-03-20T11:35:00.000-07:00

Unable to display content. Adobe Flash is required.

The EARL of ORANGE. $USO ~ United States Oil Fund LP (ETF)

2011-03-17T10:56:00.000-07:00

40.87 +1.19‎ (3.00%‎)

NCAA PICK = Syracuse OrangeMen

Obama & BOTD believe the Syracuse Orange men will advance to the Sweet 16.