Rita Kerins' Real Estate Updates -- Rita Kerins, Real Estate Blogger

Banks Raise Mortgage Qualification Standards

Thu, 12 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Despite the economy's improvement and prodding from Congress, banks don't seem ready to open their purse strings just yet.

Nationally, mortgage approval standards are tightening.

The data comes from a quarterly survey the Federal Reserve sends to its member banks. The Fed asks senior bank loan officers around the country whether "prime" residential mortgage guidelines had tightened in the last 3 months.

For the period July-September 2009:

Roughly 1 in 4 banks said guidelines tightened
Roughly 3 in 4 banks said guidelines were "basically unchanged"

Just one bank said its guidelines had loosened.

Combine the Fed's survey with recent underwriting updates from the FHA and from Fannie Mae and it becomes clear that mortgage lenders are much more cautious about their loans than they were, say, 2 years ago.

Today's borrowers face a host of hurdles including:

Higher minimum FICO scores
Larger downpayment requirements for purchases
Larger equity positions for refinances
Lower debt-to-income ratios

In other words, mortgage rates may stay low into 2010, but that won't matter to homeowners that don't meet minimum eligibility standards. With each passing quarter, that list gets smaller.

Therefore, if you're on the fence about whether now is a good time to buy a home, remember that, along with an increase in mortgage approval standards, home values are rising, too.

Acting sooner is probably better than acting later.

FHA Streamline Refinance Program : There's 5 Days Left

Tue, 10 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Consider this a last call for FHA Streamline Refinances. Starting next Tuesday, the popular rate-lowering program gets strict on borrowers.

There's 5 days left.

Under the current streamline refi guidelines, FHA homeowners have minimal program eligibility requirements.

FICO scores must be 620 or higher
The refinance must provide a "tangible benefit"
No mortgage lates allowed in the last 12 months

Beyond that, everything else goes, practically. There's no income, asset, or job verification with the current FHA Streamline program. Neither is there an appraisal requirement. It doesn't matter if you're 50% underwater.

Until next week, that is.

Beginning November 17, FHA Streamline Refinance applicants must show evidence of income and employment, plus proof of cash required to close. Furthermore, the FHA is limited loan-to-values to 97.75% for homeowners that want to "roll closing costs" into their mortgage.

In areas of declining home values, this may render refinancing impossible.

There's more changes, too, as highlighted by the Federal Housing Commissioner. Read up for yourself, or ask a mortgage professional for help.

If you're a homeowner and you're currently financed through the FHA, it may be prudent to explore the possibility of an FHA Streamline Refi. Mortgage rates are low right now and FHA guidelines are loose.

Starting next week, FHA Streamlines will be a completely different beast.

In What Direction Should My Ceiling Fan Blades Rotate?

Mon, 09 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

It's November. The official start of winter is 6 weeks away. For homeowners with ceiling fans, let this be a reminder to reverse your units' blade rotation.

Watch this 2-minute video for a hands-on demonstration of changing the direction of your ceiling fans, plus a clever test using ordinary tissue to see if you've done it properly.

In the cooler months, the blades of a ceiling fan should be set to rotate clockwise. It forces warm air at the top of a room to recirculate downward into the "living space". Proper blade rotation can change a room's "feel" by 8 degrees or more, allowing for more modest settings on a home thermostat.

Congress Expands And Extends The First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit

Fri, 06 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Congress both extended and expanded the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit program Thursday.

The White House says the President will sign it into law today.

The up-to-$8000 tax credit's expiration date has been pushed forward to spring, requiring homebuyers to be under contract by April 30, 2010, and to be closed by June 30, 2010.

The program's basic eligibility requirements remain the same:

Buyers can't purchase the home from a parent, spouse, or child
Buyers can't purchase the home from an entity in which they're a majority owner
Buyers can't acquire the home by gift or inheritance
All parties to the purchase must meet eligibility requirements

The new law includes some notable updates, however.

For one, the definition of "first-time home buyer" has been expanded to include most homeowners with at least 5 years in their current home. "Move-up" buyers like these are now eligible for IRS tax credits, but with a cap at $6,500.

This means that you don't have to be a true first-time home buyer to claim the "first-time home buyer tax credit".

Other eligibility changes include:

The subject property's sales price may not exceed $800,000
The subject property must be a primary residence
Income thresholds raised to $125,000 for single-filers and $225,500 for joint-filer

And remember, the First-Time Home Buyer program grants a tax credit as opposed to a deduction. This means that a tax filer would receive a cash payment of $2,000 from the U.S. Treasury if his "normal" tax liability totals $6,000 and he was eligible for all $8,000 available under the new law.

The complete list of qualifying criteria is posted on the IRS website. Be sure to review it with a tax professional to determine your eligibility. Then mark your calendar for April 30, 2010.

It's 5 months away.

A Simple Explanation Of The Federal Reserve Statement (November 4, 2009 Edition)

Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:50:01 -0700

The Federal Open Market Committee voted to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent.

In its press release, the FOMC noted that the U.S. economy "has continued to pick up" since the September FOMC meeting and that housing market activity has increased.

It's the third consecutive post-FOMC statement in which the Fed speaks optimistically about the U.S. economy -- a signal that the recession is likely over.

The economy isn't without threats, however, and the Fed identified several in its announcement, including:

Ongoing job losses for American workers
Reduced fixed investment by businesses
Ongoing challenges for the financial markets

The overall tone remained positive, however, as inflation appears to be held in check.

Also in its statement, the Fed confirmed its plan to hold the Fed Funds Rate near zero percent "for an extended period" and to honor its $1.25 trillion commitment to the mortgage bond market.

The Fed plans to wind down its mortgage market support over the next 5 months, reaffirming its March 2010 exit date. For now, Fed support helps hold mortgage rates down.

Mortgage market reaction to the Fed's press release is negative overall. Mortgage rates are rising.

The FOMC's next scheduled meeting is December 15-16, 2009.

Because Of The Federal Reserve, You Should Lock Before 2:15 PM ET Today

Wed, 04 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

The Federal Open Market Committee caps off a scheduled, 2-day meeting today in the nation's capital, its 8th meeting of the year.

The group adjourns at 2:15 PM ET and, as is customary, will issue a press release reviewing its monetary policy and the health of the U.S. economy.

The FOMC's post-meeting statements are brief but comprehensive. They're a window into the mind of the Federal Reserve and Wall Street picks apart every sentence for clues.

It's why FOMC meetings tend to shake up the mortgage markets -- for good and for bad.

After its September 2009 meeting, the FOMC said in its press release:

Financial markets have improved
Housing activity has increased
Economic activity has "picked up"

Since September, the momentum has picked up. Credit risks have reduced further, home sales are surging, and, although unemployment remains high, the Fed remains optimistic about a full economic recovery.

Today's FOMC press release will be closely watched. If the Fed alludes to strong growth with inflation in 2010, mortgage rates should rise. Reference to slower growth should help keep rates steady.

The FOMC is expected to leave the Fed Funds Rate within its target range of 0.000-0.250 percent -- the lowest it's been in history. However, it's what the Fed says Wednesday that will matter more than what it does.

If you're floating a mortgage rate or wondering if the time is right to lock, the safe approach is to lock prior to 2:15 PM ET Wednesday.

Higher Home Prices Ahead, Says The Pending Home Sales Index

Tue, 03 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

The housing market continues to steam forward.

As reported by the National Association of Realtors�, the Pending Home Sales Index posted its 8th consecutive monthly gain in September.

It's the longest winning streak in the history of the index and Pending Home Sales are now at their highest levels since December 2006.

A Pending Home Sale is a home under contract to sell, but not yet closed. It's the precursor to an Existing Home Sale.

Trade group data shows that nearly 80 percent of "pending" homes close within 2 months. The majority of those remaining close within months 3 and 4.

When the Pending Home Sales Index rises, it tells us that market activity has picked up. September's data confirms what we've been noticing since February -- the Buyers Market is ending.

With more homes under contract in the marketplace, homebuyers typically face one or more of the following:

1. Competitive, multiple-offer situations
2. Reduced purchase price leverage over sellers
3. Fewer seller concessions

Therefore, if you're buying a home in the next several months, know that the 8-month run in Pending Sales will lead to a run in closed sales. It should result in higher home prices, too

Indeed, we're already seeing it.

How To Test A Home Smoke Alarm

Mon, 02 Nov 2009 07:45:00 -0700

According to the United States Fire Administration, there were an estimated 1.5 million domestic fires last year, resulting in more than 3,400 deaths.

Many of these deaths occurred in homes with no smoke detectors or no working smoke detectors.

When detectors fail, it's often because its batteries are dead or missing. Therefore, make a point to test your smoke detectors annually.

Here's how to do it:

Have somebody go to the farther point of the house from the detector
Push and hold the testing button for 5 seconds to activate the alarm
Confirm the alarm is audible by all parties

You should also buy smoke detector aerosol and spray it directly into the device. This will simulate a real fire. If the alarm doesn't sound, the smoke detector will fail when it's needed most. Replace the device immediately -- even if it beeps when you push the Test button.

Smoke detectors are inexpensive and essential. Make sure the devices in your home are working properly. Test them at least once per year.

How To Find Good Deals As The Buyers Market Comes To An End

Fri, 30 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

At some point in their lives, every home buyer in America has wondered "Is now the best time to buy a home?" In this 3-minute video, NBC's The Today Show does a good job of answering the question.

The conclusion? Yes, but not if you're going to overpay.

The Buyers Market is ending, we learn, as home prices rise across most of the country. Pockets of opportunity remain, however, and the focused home buyer can still find a "good deal".

Some of the video's tips include:

On what types of homes can you get the best prices
What you can learn from looking in a seller's closet
How to identify a desperate seller

The piece also goes negative on short sales, noting the amount of time required to buy one. Short sales typically do take longer to close versus a "traditional" purchase, but that doesn't mean they should be avoided.

There's plenty of bargains in the short sale arena, too.

What The Media Missed In September's New Home Sales Report

Thu, 29 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Some days, newspaper headlines are a terrible place to get your real estate news.

Today is one of those days.

After the September New Home Sales report showed sales volume down from August, the mainstream media jumped on the story:

But the headlines miss the point, somewhat. Yes, home sales volume is important to housing, but it's not as important as home supply.

A deeper look at the New Home Sales data reveals an interesting comparison point:

New home sales volume fell 3.6%
The number of new homes available for sale fell 3.8%

In other words, sales outpaced supply -- a running theme this year and a positive signal for housing.

Since peaking in January 2009, the supply of newly-built homes has now dropped by 40 percent. The average sale price is up 15% over the same period.

This is why you can't get your real estate news from the headlines. You have to dig a little bit deeper to get the real story.

September's New Home Sales report was plenty strong. The housing market recovery continues.

Home Values In 95% Of Case-Shiller Markets Are Improving Year-To-Year

Wed, 28 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

For August, the Case-Shiller Index showed annual home values improving across 19 of 20 U.S. markets. It's the first time in 3-plus years that the benchmark housing index has shown such strength.

According to a Case-Shiller Index spokesperson, "The rate of annual decline in home price values continues to improve."

It's yet another sign that housing may have already bottomed.

However, just because the Case-Shiller Index shows a stabilization in home values, that doesn't necessarily make it true. This is because real estate happens on the local level and the Case-Shiller Index is more "national". It tracks data in just 20 U.S. cities.

Homeowners everywhere else are unaccounted for.

Furthermore, even within the 20 tracked Case-Shiller markets, there's no allowance for the natural sub-markets that exist. Some neighborhoods under-perform and some neighborhoods out-perform.

Case-Shiller treats them all the same.

Despite its imperfections, though, the Case-Shiller Index remains a helpful, broader measurement of U.S. real estate. Economists believe that housing led the U.S. into the recession and they believe housing will lead us out, too.

If that's true, August's Case-Shiller data is another step in the right direction.

Falling Home Supplies Mean More Multiple-Offer Situations For Buyers

Tue, 27 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

The national housing supply fell to a 2-year low last month, according to the National Association of Realtors�.

At the current sales pace, existing home inventories would sell out in 7.8 months -- 30 percent faster versus November 2008.

For a 10-month window, that's a major housing supply reduction and it helps to explain why multiple-offer situations have been so common lately.

Moreover, the same report from NAR showed sales activity reaching its highest point since July 2007, too.

If you're looking for evidence that the long-standing Buyers Market is ending, this month's Existing Home Sales report might be it.

Even median sales prices -- typically dragged lower by distressed and foreclosed properties -- declined at its slowest pace in a year. The market may have turned a corner.

Home prices are rooted in the basic economics of supply and demand.

When supply outweighs demand, home prices fall
When supply lags demand, home price rise

Since March 2009, the market has been moving in the right direction. Low mortgage rates, ample housing supply and a first-time home buyer tax credit fueled buy-side demand so that home prices are now rising in many U.S. markets.

If home supplies stay on this path into 2010, expect home prices to rise even more.

Powermat : The Wireless Battery Charger For Cell Phones

Mon, 26 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Tired of "wire clutter" where your mobile phones, MP3 players and gaming devices compete for outlet space?

The Powermat may be your solution.

The Powermat is a 12-inch long wireless battery charger that's conspicuously missing "plugs". Instead, it uses magnetic induction to safely recharge up to 3 devices at once.

Just place your phone(s) on the pad and they charge automatically.

The Powermat debuted at the 2009 Consumer Electronic Show and was reviewed in video. The reviewers had many positive comments on the Powermat, but highlighted some negatives aspects, too. Give a look and see what you think.

Powermat retails for $99 on Amazon.com and is usually shipped for free.

Government : Home Values Edged Lower In August

Fri, 23 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

According to the government, home values edged lower last month.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency's Home Price Index report shows values down by 0.3 percent from the month prior -- the index's first down month since April.

The Home Price Index is based on the value of homes financed via Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac and, in this sense, the FHFA Home Price Index is more of a "national" real estate index than its private-sector cousin, the Case-Shiller Index.

But like the Case-Shiller, the HPI is as notable for what it specifically excludes as for what it includes. Most notably, the Home Price Index doesn't account for homes meeting any of the following descriptions:

Is considered new construction
Is a multi-unit property
Is financed by an entity other than Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac

Given the resurgence of FHA financing this year, this last exclusion is especially glaring. FHA represents about one-third of all mortgage loans in 2009.

Because of these exceptions, some analysts label the Home Price Index incomplete. The same could be said of every method of home valuation, however. Case-Shiller only collects data from 20 markets, for example.

In light of these shortcomings, therefore, what's most important is to recognize that both of the "popular" home valuation reports show similar patterns -- home prices have leveled and are showing signs of a rebound.

For a region-by-region breakdown of the Home Price Index, visit the FHFA website.

As Gas Prices Rise, Home Affordability Wanes

Thu, 22 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

With crude oil at its highest levels since October 2008, retail gas is up 8 cents per gallon this week.

It's bad news for home buyers and mortgage rate shoppers. The same force that's driving oil higher is linked to rising mortgage rates.

We're talking about the weakening U.S. Dollar which is now at its worst levels versus the Euro in 15 months.

Crude oil is priced in U.S. dollars, by the barrel. When the dollar loses value, more of them are needed to buy the same barrel of oil. As a result, predictably, the price of crude oil goes up.

Now, there are other reasons why crude oil is rising, but the fading U.S. dollar is one of the major ones and it's why we're addressing it.

The dollar has a similar impact on mortgage rates.

Mortgage rates are based on the price of mortgage bonds that -- like crude oil -- are also denominated in dollars. As the dollar loses value, so do mortgage bonds. This causes demand for bonds to drop and prices on bonds to fall.

Because bond prices and bond rates move in opposite directions, mortgage rates rise and this is precisely what's happening on Wall Street today.

Since touching a 5-month low in early-October, mortgage rates have tacked on as much as 1/2 percent, depending on the product. Moreover, with the dollar showing no signs of a rebound, the upward pressure on rates should continue.

If you're trying to time the market bottom, you may have already missed it. Consider locking your mortgage rate before rates increase even more.

And your everyday signal that rates are rising? Just check your price at the pump. If gas prices are up, it's likely that mortgage rates are, too.

Housing Starts Post 8th Gain in 9 Months

Wed, 21 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Housing Starts on single-family homes gained last month, marking the 8th time that's happened this year.

A "Housing Start" is a home for which the foundation has been excavated and, considered alongside other key market metrics, September data suggests that the housing market stabilization is complete.

Momentum in housing is overwhelmingly positive:

Homes under contract are soaring
National home supplies are way down
Home values are up in a lot of markets

Despite the positive news, the press is calling September's Housing Starts data a "bummer". Citing a drop in monthly building permits, the media purports that housing will slow in the months ahead.

The conclusion may be right, but the rationale may be wrong.

The probable cause for fewer permits isn't that the housing market is overdone. It's that home builders are choosing to exercise caution given the pending expiration of the First-Time Home Buyer Tax Credit and a still-growing number of foreclosed homes.

It's unclear what housing demand will be beginning in December and the last present a builder wants for the holidays is an excess of inventory.

It makes sense that building permits are down, in other words.

Looking back at February of this year, there's a host of signs that housing is on the path to recovery. Now, that path won't be a straight line and there's bound to be setbacks, but September's Housing Starts is not one of them.

Housing Starts are up 40 percent on the year.

Previewing The New Good Faith Estimate

Tue, 20 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

The new Good Faith Estimate makes its debut January 1, 2010.

Expanded from 1page to 3, the legislators responsible for the new Good Faith Estimate want it to be simpler for homeowners and home buyers to understand than the former version.

By most accounts, Congress will meet this goal.

The new Good Faith Estimate includes plain-English explanations of every fee, charge, and interest payment involved in a purchase or refinance. It also includes a section called "The Shopping Cart" in which applicants can compare lenders.

The new Good Faith Estimate is concise, too. Using a series of "Yes/No" checkboxes on Page 1, mortgage lenders specifically note:

The interest rate on the mortgage
Whether the interest rate can change over time
Whether the loan carries a prepayment penalty
The length of the rate lock

Currently, this information is spread across 3 separate forms.

Furthermore, the new Good Faith Estimate simplifies rate-and-fee comparisons, showing applicants how a lower rate can be available for a higher set of fees, and vice versa.

For all of its clarity, though, the new Good Faith Estimate still fails to address the issue of "suitability". As in, is this the right loan for the right borrower? That's something only a loan officer can do.

For suitable advice, talk with a loan officer who both listens to your needs and helps you plan for them. Great terms on an unsuitable loan are often worse than "good" terms on the right one.

DIY : How Do I Fix A Towel Rack That's "Loose"

Mon, 19 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Over time, towel racks tend to come loose from sheetrock walls. And, sometimes, they separate completely. The good news is that making repairs is easy -- it's something you can do yourself with a little instruction.

In this 2-minute video from ExpertVillage.com, a professional contractor shows that with just a drill and some butterfly anchors, re-securing a towel rack can be a basic handyman job.

So, before you call a professional to rehang your towel rack, watch the video and consider making the repair yourself.

The Fed Thinks The Economy Is Improving And What It Means For Home Affordability

Fri, 16 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

Mortgage rates are higher after the Federal Reserve released the internal notes of its September 22-23, 2009 meeting.

Known as the "Fed Minutes", the report details the conversation and cross-currents that led to the Federal Reserve's decision to vote "unchanged" on the Fed Funds Rate after its last meeting.

The Fed Minutes are the lengthy companion to the more famous, succinct post-meeting press release.

As a comparison:

Press Release: 383 words
Minutes: 6934 words

The extra level of details is a big deal because Wall Street is perpetually in search of clues about what the Federal Reserve is going to do next.

In the past week, multiple Federal Reserve members hinted that the Fed Funds Rate may rise as early as April 2010. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke even alluded to it, too.

The minutes revealed that the economy may improve even faster than was previously expected, too.

These acknowledgements are part of the reason why mortgage rates are up. Because the Fed Funds Rate rises to accommodate a growing economy, the prospect of economic recovery is drawing money into the stock market and away from mortgage-backed bonds.

Less demand for bonds means lower prices which, in turn, leads to higher rates.

Foreclosures Concentrate In Just 4 States

Thu, 15 Oct 2009 07:45:00 -0700

For the seventh consecutive month, foreclosure activity in the U.S. was dominated by a tiny subset of states.

As reported by RealtyTrac.com, more than half of September's foreclosure-related activity occurred in just 4 states:

California
Florida
Nevada
Michigan

These states represent just 22.05 percent of the total U.S. population.

Overall, foreclosures are up 29 percent from September 2008 and, while, the data seems negative, defaults are creating some interesting buying opportunities.

Foreclosed homes often sell at a discount as compared to non-foreclosed homes. Cheap prices, low mortgage rates and willing buyers have helped to spur home sales in many U.S. markets. In August, "distressed homes" accounted for one-third of all existing home sales.

That said, buying foreclosures isn't for everyone.

First off, foreclosed homes are often sold "as-is" and may be in perfect condition, or may be inhabitable. If the property falls into the latter category, it's important to get estimates for the work needed to make the home livable. Suddenly, the home may not seem like such a "steal".

And, secondly, buying a home in foreclosure can be a 3-month process or more. For some people, this is just too long.

Buying a home in foreclosure is fundamentally the same as buying a "regular" home -- there's a contract and a closing. But most of the steps in between are different.

Read the complete foreclosure report, plus take a peek at foreclosure heat maps on the RealtyTrac website. If you like what you see, talk to your real estate agent about what to do next.